New York City FC
LA Galaxy
Spread
LA Galaxy 0 / New York City FC 077%
consensus
LA Galaxy covers
13 models · avg conf 57%
LA Galaxy covers
LA Galaxy commonly priced as -0.5 favorites; home field and implied win likelihood make them likely to win by at least 1 goal, covering the spread.
With LA Galaxy favored at 0 spread, they are likely to cover at home, especially considering their home performance.
The spread is set at 0, indicating no clear favorite, but the odds for LA Galaxy slightly favor them covering at home. Historically, home teams in MLS have a slight advantage in such situations, which increases confidence in them covering the spread.
For the 'Draw No Bet' spread (0), LA Galaxy is offered at 1.85 compared to New York City FC at 1.98. This indicates that bookmakers see the Galaxy as slightly more likely to win outright, thus covering the 0 spread.
At Asian handicap 0 (DNB), the juice favors LA (1.85 vs 1.98), suggesting marginal value on the home side with push protection on a draw.
With most spreads at 0 (even) and odds slightly favoring LA Galaxy at 1.85 compared to NYCFC at 1.98, the home team is more likely to at least draw or win. Even in scenarios with LA Galaxy -0.5, the odds of 2.38 suggest some value, though with higher risk.
Many books list a pick'em (0) line and a couple show LA -0.5, implying the market views this as a coin flip with a slight lean to LA. Given home field and slim line movement, LA is the marginal favorite to cover.
Most spreads are pick'em (0) with LA at 1.85, suggesting LA covers by winning outright, supported by home advantage in a tight contest.
The spread is essentially a pick'em (0) with LA Galaxy getting slightly better odds at 1.85 vs NYCFC's 1.98. This indicates a very evenly matched contest, but home field advantage in MLS typically provides a 0.3-0.5 goal edge, making Galaxy the marginal play to cover.
The most common spread is LA Galaxy at 0 (-110) against NYCFC at 0 (-110), indicating a true pick'em scenario. One outlier shows Galaxy at -0.5 (2.38) with NYCFC at +0.5 (1.51), suggesting slight home advantage. Given that home teams in MLS have a historical edge and the odds structure slightly favors Galaxy covering, a marginal lean to LA Galaxy, though confidence is low due to the pick'em nature.
New York City FC covers
While the moneyline is tight, the spread tells a clearer story. The odds for New York City FC +0.5 are very low (around 1.51), indicating a high market confidence that NYCFC will, at a minimum, secure a draw. This suggests the away team covering is a more probable outcome than an outright home win.
Most books have this at a 0/0 push line (pick'em at 1.85/1.98), with NYCFC getting slightly better odds at 1.98. Some books show LA Galaxy -0.5 at 2.38 (indicating less confidence in them covering). Given the competitive nature and NYCFC's ability to get results on the road, taking NYCFC on the spread or push offers better value.
With the spread at 0 (pick'em) and NYCFC getting slightly better value at 1.98 vs 1.85 for Galaxy, the books are building in juice that suggests a draw or close game is likely. NYCFC at +0.5 (-0.5 for Galaxy at 2.38) offers protection with a push on a draw. The pricing indicates bookmakers expect a tight contest where the away team covering 0 points is reasonable value.
Moneyline
LA Galaxy +2.63 / New York City FC +2.6100%
consensus
LA Galaxy wins
13 models · avg conf 58%
LA Galaxy wins
The odds show LA Galaxy as the favorite in the majority of lines (lower decimal moneyline and -0.5 spread with favorable odds). Home advantage reinforces their edge.
LA Galaxy has home advantage and slightly better odds, indicating they are favored to win.
The betting odds consistently price LA Galaxy as a slight favorite, with their average moneyline odds being lower than New York City FC across various bookmakers. Playing at home further strengthens this position.
LA Galaxy has slightly better average odds (around 2.44-2.50) compared to New York City FC (around 2.59-2.65) across multiple lines, indicating a marginal favoritism towards the home team. Home advantage in MLS often plays a significant role.
The odds suggest a very close matchup, but LA Galaxy has a slight edge being the home team, which often provides an advantage. The moneyline odds are slightly more favorable for LA Galaxy in some lines, indicating marginal bookmaker confidence in their victory.
Market is very tight but slightly favors LA at several books (mid-2.40s vs NYCFC mid-2.50s–2.60s). Home advantage and multiple books offering LA shorter juice tip the edge toward LA in a close match.
The moneyline odds are extremely close, making this a near pick'em. However, LA Galaxy consistently holds a slight edge across most betting lines, likely due to home-field advantage. In a tightly contested match, this small advantage could be the deciding factor.
LA Galaxy has a slight edge as the home team with moneyline odds averaging around 2.45, compared to NYCFC's 2.6, indicating a close but home-favored matchup.
Market is near pick’em but pk pricing (LA 0 at 1.85 vs NYCFC 1.98) and occasional shorter ML (2.35–2.47) lean to slight home edge.
The odds consistently favor LA Galaxy across all bookmakers (2.35-2.60 vs 2.50-2.65 for NYCFC). As the home team with a slight edge in the pricing, LA Galaxy has the advantage. Home field in MLS is significant, and the market consensus shows Galaxy as marginal favorites. However, the tight odds reflect this is essentially a pick'em match.
LA Galaxy holds slight favorite status across multiple bookmakers with odds ranging 2.35-2.50, while NYCFC sits at 2.50-2.65. Home advantage in MLS is significant, and the consistent pricing suggests the market expects Galaxy to have a narrow edge in this cross-conference matchup.
The odds show LA Galaxy as a slight favorite (averaging around 2.44-2.47 vs NYCFC's 2.59-2.61). Home field advantage at Dignity Health Sports Park is a factor. However, the margins are tight, indicating this is essentially a pick'em match with only a marginal edge to the home side.
LA Galaxy shows a slight odds advantage across most sportsbooks with moneyline odds averaging 2.44-2.47 compared to NYCFC's 2.59-2.65. This implies an implied probability of ~41% for Galaxy vs ~38% for NYCFC. Home field advantage and the marginal odds difference favor LA Galaxy, though the market views this as a fairly even matchup. The slight edge is minimal given the competitive nature of this fixture.
Over/Under
O/U 2.7577%
consensus
Over
13 models · avg conf 63%
Over
The 'Over 2.5' goals market shows significantly lower odds (ranging from 1.67 to 1.74) compared to 'Under 2.5' (2.04 to 2.08). This strong preference for the 'Over' suggests an expectation of a high-scoring match with at least three goals.
The market consensus points strongly towards a high-scoring affair. The odds for Over 2.5 goals are significantly juiced (as low as 1.67), implying a high probability of three or more goals being scored. The line being set at 2.75 on some books further reinforces the expectation of an open, attacking game.
The totals line fluctuates between 2.5 and 2.75, with 'Over' odds consistently more favorable (1.67-1.89) than 'Under' (1.93-2.08). This suggests a market expectation of a higher-scoring game, likely due to both teams' attacking potential in MLS play.
The totals line shows a tendency towards over 2.5 and 2.75 goals with more favorable odds, suggesting bookmakers expect a higher-scoring game. Both teams have offensive strengths that could contribute to a higher score.
Market lines near 2.75 with Over favored slightly (lower odds than Under) and MLS scoring trends suggest a game likely to exceed 2.75 goals, especially with LA Galaxy's attacking potential.
Totals line at 2.75 with over odds around 1.88 implies expectation of goals; MLS matches often exceed this, especially with both teams' offensive styles.
Over is shaded at both 2.75 (1.88–1.89) and 2.5 (1.67–1.74), implying an expected goals tally near 3 in a typically high-scoring MLS spot.
The totals line sits at 2.5-2.75 goals with Over 2.5 at 1.67-1.74 being heavily juiced, indicating bookmakers expect goals. LA Galaxy historically plays attacking football at home, and early season MLS matches often see defensive vulnerabilities. The best value appears to be Over 2.5 at 1.74, suggesting the market anticipates at least 3 goals in this matchup between two offensive-minded clubs.
The totals market shows slight lean toward Over with Over 2.75 at 1.88-1.89 compared to Under at 1.93. The alternative line of Over 2.5 at 1.67-1.74 offers more confidence. MLS matches between attacking-minded teams like these often produce 2-3 goals, and the odds structure suggests bookmakers expect scoring.
Both teams have shown the potential for scoring, and the odds suggest that the total might go over 2.75.
Under
Totals markets cluster at 2.5–2.75 with consistent better juice on the under (books price under higher), indicating market expectation of a lower-scoring game. Early-season dynamics and balanced matchups support the under.
The total is set at 2.5-2.75 goals across different books, with Under slightly favored at most sportsbooks (1.93-2.08 vs 1.67-1.89 for Over). Both teams tend to play tactical soccer, and cross-conference matchups in MLS often feature more cautious approaches. The market movement toward Under 2.75 at 1.93 suggests sharp money on the defensive side.
The majority of totals are set at 2.75 with Over at 1.88-1.89 and Under at 1.92-1.93. The slightly better payout on Under suggests moderate expectation of lower scoring. Some books show 2.5 totals with Under at 2.04-2.08 vs Over at 1.67-1.74, indicating market confidence in Under. Early season MLS matches and defensive-minded play typically lean toward lower-scoring affairs. The consistent Under favoritism across multiple books supports this prediction.