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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 03:00 AM

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners

@

UC Riverside Highlanders

Spread

UC Riverside Highlanders -6.5 / CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners +6.5

77%

consensus

UC Riverside Highlanders covers

13 models · avg conf 64%

UC Riverside Highlanders covers (77%) CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners covers (23%)
10 models · avg 64% avg 56% · 3 models

UC Riverside Highlanders covers

With UC Riverside favored by 5 to 5.5 points and the home-court advantage, they are well-positioned to win by at least the spread, aligning with the prevailing bookmaker lines.

With UC Riverside being a clear moneyline favorite, they are expected to win comfortably. The most common spread is -5 for the Highlanders with balanced odds (1.91 or 1.94). While a -5.5 line exists, the consistent -5 line with even odds suggests they are well-positioned to cover this margin against the Roadrunners.

With UC Riverside favored by 5 points, their overall strength and home performance suggest they will cover the spread.

UC Riverside is consistently favored by 5-5.5 points across all sportsbooks with tight odds (1.83-1.94), suggesting balanced sharp action. The market consensus on the spread size indicates UC Riverside should win comfortably at home. However, the tight odds and lack of significant line movement suggest some uncertainty, preventing higher confidence.

GPT-4o
65%

The spread favoring UC Riverside by 5 to 5.5 points indicates an expectation of a win by a moderate margin. Given their stronger odds and home advantage, UC Riverside is likely to cover the spread.

Books center the spread around -5 (with some -5.5). That margin is modest — favors the home favorite to cover but not overwhelming. Market consensus and home advantage make UC Riverside the more likely cover.

Grok 3
60%

The spread is consistently around -5 to -5.5 for UC Riverside Highlanders with odds close to even (1.83 to 1.94). This suggests a moderate expectation for them to win by at least 5 points. Given their favored status, I lean towards them covering, though with lower confidence due to the tight spread.

GPT-5
58%

Consensus lines at -5 with some -5.5 shaded toward UC Riverside suggest a median margin near 6; modest lean to the home side covering -5.

Grok 4
55%

The spread is predominantly set at -5 for UC Riverside across multiple lines, suggesting they are expected to win by more than 5 points; slight variations like -5.5 reinforce home team strength.

GLM-5
55%

The spread has hovered between -5 and -5.5 for the home team. In games where the home favorite is established around this number, they often possess enough offensive momentum to pull away in the second half. The market consistency on -5 suggests the books expect Riverside to win by a margin of two possessions.

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners covers

The spread is consistently set around 5 to 5.5 points. While UC Riverside is the favorite to win, this is a narrow margin. The odds on CSU Bakersfield covering, particularly the +5.5 line at 1.98, suggest value in the underdog keeping the game closer than the spread indicates.

While UC Riverside is favored to win, the spread of -5 to -5.5 presents a tighter value proposition. The moneyline suggests a modest favorite, but 5-5.5 points is a significant margin in college basketball. CSU Bakersfield at +5/+5.5 offers better value, as the underdog can cover even in a loss. The slight movement to -5.5 with lower odds (1.83) and the +5.5 offering better return (1.98) suggests sharp money may be on the Roadrunners to keep it close.

While UC Riverside should win, the 5-point spread is relatively tight for a home favorite. CSU Bakersfield historically plays competitive games in conference matchups. The slight variance to -5.5 at one book with better value on CSUB (+5.5 at 1.98) suggests sharp money may see value on the Roadrunners covering. Mid-major conference games often stay close, favoring the underdog against the spread.

Moneyline

UC Riverside Highlanders +1.35 / CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners +3.34

100%

consensus

UC Riverside Highlanders wins

13 models · avg conf 76%

UC Riverside Highlanders wins (100%) CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners wins (0%)
13 models · avg 76% avg 0% · 0 models

UC Riverside Highlanders wins

The UC Riverside Highlanders are strong favorites with consistent moneyline odds of 1.33 across all listed bookmakers, significantly lower than CSU Bakersfield's 3.4. This indicates a high probability of a Highlanders victory.

The moneyline odds of 1.33 heavily favor UC Riverside, implying a win probability of approximately 75%. As the designated home team and strong market favorite, they are the most probable outright winner of the contest.

UC Riverside is consistently shown as the favorite across multiple lines (-5 to -5.5) with a strong moneyline around 1.33, implying roughly a 75% implied win probability. Home court adds additional edge.

Consistent market pricing (ML ~1.33) implies ~75% chance; UC Riverside is the clear favorite across books and line movement toward -5/-5.5 suggests market confidence.

Grok 4
75%

The consistent moneyline odds of 1.33 for UC Riverside indicate they are heavy favorites, implying a strong matchup advantage at home against CSU Bakersfield.

GPT-4o
75%

UC Riverside is favored across various betting lines with a consistent moneyline of 1.33, suggesting bookmakers expect them to win. Their status as home team and better odds indicate a higher probability of victory.

UC Riverside has a strong home-court advantage and better overall performance metrics. The moneyline reflects their higher likelihood of winning.

Grok 3
75%

The moneyline odds of 1.33 for UC Riverside Highlanders indicate a strong implied probability of winning (around 75%), suggesting they are the clear favorites. This aligns with home court advantage and likely superior team performance or rankings.

GLM-5
72%

UC Riverside is listed as a distinct favorite with odds of 1.33, implying a high probability of victory. Playing at home in a conference matchup typically provides a significant advantage in NCAA basketball, supporting the Highlanders to secure the win.

The moneyline odds of 1.33 for UC Riverside indicate approximately 75% implied probability. As the home team with a consistent 5-point spread across all books, the Highlanders are clear favorites. Home court advantage in Big West play is significant, and the market consensus strongly favors UCR to win outright.

UC Riverside is heavily favored with moneyline odds of 1.33 (-251 implied), indicating strong market confidence in a home win. CSU Bakersfield's 3.4 odds suggest they are significant underdogs. The consistent spread of -5 to -5.5 points reinforces UC Riverside's advantage as the superior team in this matchup.

GPT-5
72%

Market has UC Riverside around 1.33 ML (≈72% fair after vig), with consistent -5/-5.5 spreads indicating a solid home edge.

The moneyline odds of 1.33 for UC Riverside indicate strong market confidence in a home victory. The implied probability of ~75% suggests the Highlanders are clearly favored. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the odds differential (1.33 vs 3.4) points to a clear favorite.

Over/Under

O/U 150.5

85%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 57%

Over (15%) Under (85%)
2 models · avg 63% avg 57% · 11 models

Over

Both teams have shown the capability to score heavily in recent games, and the total points line indicates a relatively high-scoring matchup.

The posted totals cluster around 150–152. While college games can be lower-scoring, the typical pace and offensive output for this matchup suggests a modest lean to the over; however, pace/defense uncertainties keep confidence moderate.

Under

The primary totals line is 152 with balanced odds (1.91/1.91 or 1.93/1.93). However, a slightly lower line of 150.5 shows the Under at 1.95 compared to the Over at 1.87, suggesting a slight market lean or better value towards a lower-scoring game. Without additional team statistics, this slight shift in odds on the lower total gives a marginal edge to the Under.

The totals are set between 150.5 and 152 points with slightly higher odds favoring the under (1.93-1.95 vs 1.87-1.91 for overs). This suggests sportsbooks anticipate a lower-scoring game, likely due to UC Riverside's defensive strength that justifies their -5.5 spread. The marginal preference for under in the odds structure provides modest support for this prediction.

The total is set at 150.5-152 points, which is relatively low for college basketball, indicating expectations of a defensive battle or slower pace. The under is slightly favored at 150.5 (1.95 vs 1.87 for over), suggesting bookmakers expect scoring to stay limited. Big West conference games between mid-major teams often feature grind-it-out possessions, and the tight spread suggests a competitive, lower-scoring contest.

GPT-4o
60%

The totals line is set around 150.5 to 152 points. Considering typical NCAA basketball scoring and the slight downward shift in some totals lines, a lower scoring game is slightly more probable.

Totals cluster at 150.5–152 with stronger juice on the under (e.g., 1.95 on 150.5). Market pricing and the slightly lower line suggest a mild lean to the under.

GPT-5
56%

Market center is ~151.5–152. Given these teams’ typical half-court profiles, 152 is slightly high; prefer under at the better number versus juiced over 150.5.

The total sits at 150.5-152 across books, which is moderate for college basketball. Both Big West teams typically play at slower paces. The slight juice favoring the under at 150.5 (1.95 vs 1.87) at one book suggests bookmakers expect lower scoring. Conference games late in the season tend to be more defensive-minded with higher stakes, supporting the under.

Grok 3
55%

The totals line fluctuates between 150.5 and 152 with slightly better odds for under at 150.5 (1.95). This indicates a potential for a lower-scoring game, possibly due to strong defenses or slower pace. Confidence is lower as the line is close to even.

The total is set at a moderately high 152, with an alternative line at 150.5. The odds on the 150.5 line are skewed towards the under (1.95 vs 1.87 for the over), which can be a signal from bookmakers of a potential lower-scoring affair. This slight market lean points towards the under as the more likely outcome.

GLM-5
52%

The total has seen some movement downwards towards 150.5 at some books, while sitting at 152 elsewhere. This suggests sharps may be leaning towards a lower-scoring affair. Big West conference games can be defensively intense, and the variance in the total line indicates a likelihood of the game staying tight and lower-scoring.

Grok 4
52%

Totals are mostly at 152 with even odds, but the variation to 150.5 with under at higher odds (1.95 vs 1.87 for over) hints at a slight edge for under, potentially due to defensive matchups.

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