Siena Saints
Merrimack Warriors
Spread
Merrimack Warriors -3 / Siena Saints +385%
consensus
Merrimack Warriors covers
13 models · avg conf 65%
Merrimack Warriors covers
Given the spread of -3 for Merrimack, they are expected to cover at home, especially considering their overall performance and home advantage.
The spread consistently favors Merrimack Warriors by 3 to 3.5 points across different lines, suggesting confidence in their ability to cover against Siena Saints. The odds are slightly better for Merrimack to cover, indicating a reasonable expectation for them to win by more than the spread.
Merrimack is consistently favored across various spread lines (-3 to -3.5). Given their strong moneyline favoritism, they are expected to win by at least a few possessions, making them likely to cover the -3 spread. While the -3.5 line is balanced, the overall market trend points to Merrimack winning comfortably enough to cover a small handicap.
The betting line has moved from Merrimack -3 to -3.5. This upward movement for the favorite suggests that significant money is backing them to win by a comfortable margin, making a cover of the spread likely.
Merrimack Warriors are favored by -3 to -3.5 across multiple lines with competitive odds (1.87 to 1.91). This suggests a moderate edge for Merrimack to cover the spread at home.
The spread has stabilized around -3 to -3.5 for Merrimack across multiple books, suggesting market consensus. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is significant. The consistency of the line (no significant movement) suggests oddsmakers are confident in this positioning. Merrimack should cover the modest spread, though it's a relatively tight matchup.
The spread lines consistently favor Merrimack by 3 to 3.5 points with balanced odds, suggesting they are likely to cover as the home team with a slight edge.
Merrimack is listed around -3 (with variations up to -3.5) as the home favorite. Home-court advantage plus the spread suggests Merrimack covers the 3-point line more often than not in this matchup.
The spread has tightened slightly, moving between -3 and -3.5. The fact that some books are willing to deal -3.5 indicates respect for Merrimack's home advantage. In lower-scoring conference games typical of these teams, home court often proves decisive in covering narrow margins. Siena's road struggles make the home cover the logical play.
The spread centers around Merrimack -3 (and a -3.5 variant). Home-favorite pricing and modest margins indicate they should cover a short spread, but small line means moderate upset/push risk.
With the spread at -3 to -3.5 and slight juice favoring Merrimack, their pressure defense can create enough extra possessions to win by two possessions; low total keeps confidence moderate.
Siena Saints covers
While Merrimack should win, the 3-3.5 point spread is relatively small. The slight movement to -3.5 at one book and better odds on Siena +3 (1.95-1.99) suggests some value on the underdog. In close college basketball games, the dog often covers even in losses. Siena has value to stay within the number.
While Merrimack should win, the 3-point spread is tight for a home favorite. One book has moved to -3.5, suggesting some action on Merrimack, but the juice on Siena +3 (1.95-1.99) offers value. MAAC conference games tend to be competitive, and Siena getting 3 points provides enough cushion. The slight line discrepancy between books (3 vs 3.5) indicates uncertainty about the margin of victory.
Moneyline
Merrimack Warriors +1.54 / Siena Saints +2.45100%
consensus
Merrimack Warriors wins
13 models · avg conf 71%
Merrimack Warriors wins
The Merrimack Warriors are strong favorites with a moneyline of 1.52 compared to Siena Saints' 2.58, indicating a high probability of an outright win for Merrimack.
Merrimack is the clear favorite based on the moneyline odds of 1.52, which implies a win probability of approximately 65.8%. The spread also consistently favors them as the home team, indicating a strong market consensus on their victory.
Merrimack Warriors are favored by the bookmakers with a moneyline of 1.52, indicating a significant probability of winning. Additionally, they are at home, which typically provides an advantage.
Merrimack Warriors are favored to win with a moneyline of 1.52, indicating a strong likelihood of victory at home.
Merrimack is the clear favorite on the moneyline at 1.52 odds, indicating strong market expectation of a home win against Siena.
Merrimack Warriors are favored with a moneyline of 1.52 compared to Siena Saints at 2.58, indicating a higher implied probability of winning. The consistent spread favoring Merrimack also supports this prediction.
Merrimack is the clear favorite across multiple books (ML ~1.52, implied ~66%) and they are at home; line consistency suggests bookmakers view them as likelier winners.
Merrimack is favored at -3 to -3.5 points across multiple sportsbooks, with moneyline odds of 1.52 indicating a ~66% implied probability. As the home team with consistent line support, they appear to be the stronger team in this matchup. However, confidence is moderate rather than high due to limited contextual information about current season form and head-to-head history.
Merrimack is the home favorite with a clear moneyline edge (approx. 1.52), implying roughly a 66% chance to win. Home court and favorite status support the likelihood of victory.
Merrimack is established as the clear favorite with odds of 1.52, implying a roughly 65% win probability. Playing at home in a conference matchup provides a significant advantage. The market has held steady on Merrimack as the favorite across multiple line listings, suggesting sharp money supports the Warriors winning outright.
Merrimack is favored at home with moneyline odds of 1.52 versus 2.58 for Siena. The market shows clear confidence in the home team, and home court advantage in college basketball is significant. The consistent -3 to -3.5 spread across multiple books indicates strong consensus on Merrimack's superiority.
Market makes Merrimack a -3/-3.5 home favorite with ~1.52 ML (~66% implied). Home-court plus a defense-first, turnover-driven style gives them a small but clear edge.
Merrimack is favored at home with moneyline odds of 1.52, implying roughly 66% win probability. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is significant, and the consistent 3-point spread across multiple books indicates market confidence in Merrimack. The Warriors should capitalize on their home environment against a Siena team that historically struggles on the road in conference play.
Over/Under
O/U 131.577%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 60%
Over
There has been a significant upward line movement on the totals, shifting from 130.5 to 132.5. A two-point jump is a strong indicator that the market expects a higher-scoring game than the initial projection, making the over the favorable bet.
The totals line has seen a slight increase from 130.5 to 132.5, suggesting some market expectation for a higher-scoring game. While the final 132.5 line shows balanced odds, the upward movement indicates a slight lean towards the over. For NCAA basketball, 132.5 is a relatively modest total, making the over a plausible outcome.
Total lines sit around 130.5–132.5 with near-even odds on both sides. A modest lean to the over is reasonable given typical NCAA pacing and the potential for competitive scoring, though the line is fairly balanced.
Under
The totals line shows a slight preference for the under, with the odds being slightly longer for the over, particularly at 130.5 points. This may suggest a tighter, lower-scoring game influenced by defensive strategies or lower pace of play.
The total points are set around 130-132.5. Both teams tend to play lower-scoring games, making the under a more likely outcome.
The total has actually moved up to 132.5 in some markets, but the primary line sits at a low 130.5. Merrimack typically employs a slower, defense-first tempo which suppresses scoring. With a low total like this, the game flow suggests a grind-it-out conference battle where possessions are valued, favoring the Under.
The total has slight movement from 130.5 to 132.5 across books, but the under is consistently priced slightly better (1.95-1.97) than the over (1.87-1.88), indicating sharper money on the under. A 130-132 point total is relatively low, suggesting a defensive battle or slower pace. With both teams likely playing tight in a competitive game, the under has value.
Totals set around 130.5–132.5 suggest a slow, defense-oriented game. Merrimack’s pace and zone tendencies plus Siena’s historically inconsistent offense point to a game landing below the low 130s.
Totals lines are set around 130.5 to 132.5 with slight variations in odds; historical NCAA trends in similar matchups lean towards lower-scoring games, favoring the under.
The total is set at 130.5-132.5 points depending on the book. NCAA basketball games in this point range typically suggest moderate-paced, defensive-minded teams or evenly matched offenses. The slight preference for Under reflects typical betting market patterns where totals in the 130-133 range lean slightly defensive, though this is a modest lean with moderate confidence given the lack of specific team data.
The total ranges from 130.5 to 132.5 across books, with the under consistently getting slightly worse odds (1.95-1.97), suggesting modest public lean toward the over. However, mid-major conference games in February often feature tighter defensive efforts as teams fight for tournament positioning. The 130.5 line at most books with under juice suggests sharp money may be leaning low. Both teams likely to grind this out in a half-court battle.
The totals line varies between 130.5 and 132.5 with balanced odds. Given the slight variation and average scoring trends in NCAA Basketball for mid-tier teams, there is a slight lean towards the under due to potentially tighter defensive play.
Totals cluster 130.5–132.5 with slightly better pricing on the under; for mid-major matchups like this, the safer lean is under, given a modest defensive/tempo expectation and bookmaker line movement.