Wisconsin Badgers
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Spread
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -16.5 / Wisconsin Badgers +16.562%
consensus
Notre Dame Fighting Irish covers
13 models · avg conf 67%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish covers
With a spread of -16.5 in favor of Notre Dame, their strong performance as the home team, along with a historical tendency to dominate at home, suggests they will cover the spread against Wisconsin.
Notre Dame is favored by 16.5 points, which is a substantial margin. The home field advantage combined with the large spread suggests Notre Dame's superiority is expected to translate to a comfortable victory margin. However, large spreads carry inherent risk of not being covered due to lack of competitive motivation.
Notre Dame is favored by -16.5 points with odds of 1.87, which implies confidence in their ability to win by a substantial margin. Given their favored status on the moneyline, it's likely they can cover the spread against Wisconsin.
ND is favored by 16.5 points at home. While a Wisconsin cover is possible, the statistical bias favors the home team to win by more than two touchdowns given the current spread.
Notre Dame is favored by 16.5 points, and given their moneyline dominance, they are likely to cover the spread against a weaker Wisconsin team.
Notre Dame is listed at -16.5, indicating a large projected gap. Home-field and favorite status favor Notre Dame covering, but confidence is tempered by risk of starters being rested in a blowout and typical variance against large spreads.
While Notre Dame should win comfortably, covering 16.5 points is challenging. Wisconsin's traditional run-heavy, clock-controlling style can keep games closer than expected. However, Notre Dame's talent advantage and home crowd should eventually wear down the Badgers, leading to a late-game cover.
Slight book shading toward Notre Dame -16.5 (1.87 vs 1.95) plus home field indicates a modest edge to win by 17+ despite the large number.
Wisconsin Badgers covers
While Notre Dame is heavily favored to win, covering a -16.5 point spread against a typically resilient and defensively-minded team like Wisconsin is a significant challenge. The slightly more favorable odds (1.95) for Wisconsin to cover (+16.5) suggest a belief that they can keep the game within this margin, even in a loss.
The spread is set at 16.5 points in favor of Notre Dame, suggesting a significant expected margin of victory. However, given the higher payout for Wisconsin covering the spread, there is a moderate chance they could keep the game closer than expected.
A 16.5-point spread is substantial in NCAA Football. While Notre Dame is expected to win, Wisconsin is a historically competitive program that can keep the final score within this large margin, making them a good value pick to cover.
While Notre Dame is heavily favored, a 16.5-point spread is substantial in college football. The slight juice favoring Wisconsin (+16.5 at 1.95 vs -16.5 at 1.87) suggests some market hesitation about Notre Dame covering such a large number. Wisconsin has historically been competitive in big games, and 16.5 points provides significant cushion even in a loss. The low total (46.5) also suggests a defensive game that could keep the margin closer.
While Notre Dame should win comfortably, 16.5 points is a large spread for a Big Ten vs Independent matchup. Wisconsin historically plays disciplined, physical football and tends to keep games closer than expected. Early September games often see rust from both teams, and Wisconsin's ground-and-pound style can control clock and limit possessions, making it harder for Notre Dame to cover such a large number.
Moneyline
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1.1 / Wisconsin Badgers +7.6100%
consensus
Notre Dame Fighting Irish wins
13 models · avg conf 91%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish wins
The moneyline odds heavily favor Notre Dame at 1.1 versus Wisconsin's 7.6, indicating the market expects a dominant Notre Dame victory. This represents approximately a 91% implied probability for Notre Dame to win outright. The lopsided odds suggest a significant talent/situation gap between these teams.
The moneyline odds of 1.1 for Notre Dame indicate they are overwhelming favorites, with an implied win probability of over 90%. This suggests a highly confident expectation for them to win the game outright.
The moneyline odds of 1.1 imply a ~91% probability of victory for Notre Dame, establishing them as the overwhelming favorite to win the game outright.
The moneyline odds of 1.1 for Notre Dame reflect extremely heavy favorite status. The 16.5-point spread combined with low moneyline odds indicates the betting market has strong conviction in a Notre Dame victory. Wisconsin's 7.6 odds suggest minimal expectation of an upset.
Decimal moneyline 1.10 implies ~91% market probability; Notre Dame is a heavy favorite at home against Wisconsin, so the simplest outcome is a Notre Dame win.
ND has the clear favorite status (1.1) and the home-field edge. The implied probability is very high around 90%+ for a win against Wisconsin.
Notre Dame is heavily favored at 1.1 odds with a 16.5-point spread, indicating strong market confidence. Home field advantage at Notre Dame Stadium in an early September matchup further solidifies their position against a Wisconsin team that appears overmatched on paper.
The moneyline odds heavily favor Notre Dame at 1.1 compared to Wisconsin's 7.6, indicating a strong market belief in Notre Dame's likelihood to win. This suggests Notre Dame is in superior form or has a significant home advantage.
Notre Dame is a heavy favorite with 1.1 odds, implying a strong likelihood of victory over Wisconsin, who are significant underdogs at 7.6.
The moneyline odds of 1.1 for Notre Dame imply approximately 91% probability. Playing at home in South Bend gives Notre Dame a significant advantage. The Irish are clearly viewed as heavy favorites, and the odds reflect a substantial talent gap. Wisconsin's 7.6 odds suggest bookmakers see little chance of an upset.
Market implies ~91% win probability before vig (ND 1.10) and a -16.5 spread at home supports a strong win expectation.
Notre Dame is heavily favored with odds of 1.1, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win. The low payout for a Notre Dame win reflects their perceived strength relative to Wisconsin.
Notre Dame is heavily favored with a moneyline of 1.1, indicating strong public and expert confidence in their ability to win. Their home advantage and overall team strength further support this prediction.
Over/Under
O/U 46.577%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 63%
Over
The totals line is set at 46.5 with balanced odds of 1.87 for over and 1.95 for under. Considering Notre Dame's potential to score heavily as indicated by the spread and moneyline, there is a slight lean towards the game going over 46.5 total points.
The total is set at 46.5 with near-even odds; expecting a high-scoring game due to Notre Dame's offensive strength potentially pushing the score over.
Over 46.5 is the shaded side (1.87 vs 1.95). The -16.5 spread implies ND scoring advantage; if they pull away, pace and garbage-time points can push it over.
Under
The total is set at 46.5. Given Wisconsin's tendency towards lower scoring games and a strong Notre Dame defense, the prediction leans towards the total being under, despite both teams having capable offenses.
The odds for the Under 46.5 are slightly more favorable (1.95), indicating a market lean towards a lower-scoring affair. Both Notre Dame and Wisconsin often emphasize strong defense and run-heavy offenses, which can lead to longer possessions and fewer overall points, making the under a plausible outcome.
The total is set at 46.5 points, and given Notre Dame's strong defensive reputation and the potential for Wisconsin to struggle offensively, the game might result in fewer points than expected.
The total is set at 46.5 points, which is relatively modest for a college football game. Wisconsin's defensive reputation as a Big Ten team and Notre Dame's likely conservative game management when ahead by significant margins suggests a lower-scoring game. The slight edge in under odds (1.95 vs 1.87) reflects some market uncertainty, but the under appears more probable.
The 46.5 total is relatively low for college football, and the odds slightly favor the under (1.95 vs 1.87). Combined with the large spread, this suggests oddsmakers expect Notre Dame to control the game defensively and manage the clock. Wisconsin likely playing from behind may struggle to score, and if Notre Dame builds a lead, they may run the ball to drain clock rather than run up the score. Both teams could lean on defense and running game.
Total set at 46.5 with a big favorite. Games with large spreads often see clock management, running plays and starters pulled late, which suppresses scoring — leaning under though there is upside risk from garbage-time scoring.
The 46.5 total suggests a moderately-paced game. Wisconsin's ball-control offense and physical defense typically produce lower-scoring affairs. Notre Dame's defensive unit should limit the Badgers' scoring opportunities, while the Irish may control the clock with a lead, reducing overall possessions.
The total of 46.5 seems slightly inflated. Wisconsin traditionally runs a ball-control offense that shortens games and limits total possessions. Early season matchups between power programs often feature conservative playcalling and defensive struggles as offenses find their rhythm. Both programs typically field strong defenses, which should keep scoring in check.
Defensive strengths and potential pace in early-season non-conference play suggest a lower-scoring game, though ND/Wisconsin have the capability to push it higher if both offenses click.
The large spread suggests a dominant defensive performance by Notre Dame is anticipated. Combined with Wisconsin's traditional focus on a run-heavy, ball-control offense, the pace of the game may be slow, favoring a lower total score.