IUPUI Jaguars
Wright St Raiders
Spread
Wright St Raiders -12.5 / IUPUI Jaguars +12.585%
consensus
Wright St Raiders covers
13 models · avg conf 66%
Wright St Raiders covers
Given the Raiders' recent form and their ability to dominate weaker opponents, they are likely to cover the -11.5 spread.
Wright St Raiders at -11.5 have a reasonable chance to cover the spread given their likely superior roster and home advantage. However, double-digit spreads can be tricky if the game tempo slows down.
The spread of -11.5 is large but justifiable given the mismatch. Wright St's high-powered offense, especially at home, should be able to exploit IUPUI's defensive vulnerabilities. The high game total suggests a fast pace, which typically benefits the superior offensive team in covering a large spread.
The -11.5 spread is substantial but not extreme. Wright St's home advantage and the betting market's confidence (consistent odds around 1.91-1.94) suggest they should win by more than 11.5 points. However, the moderate confidence reflects that large spreads carry inherent risk.
The -11.5 spread is sizable but justified given the disparity between these two programs. IUPUI has ranked near the bottom of the Horizon League in defensive efficiency in recent seasons, often struggling to contain high-scoring offenses like Wright State's. The Raiders' up-tempo style at home should allow them to pull away in the second half.
Despite the significant -11.5 point spread, the fact that Wright St is such a strong favorite suggests they have the capability to not just win, but win convincingly. Historically, dominant teams against weaker opposition often cover large spreads, especially when playing at home.
Wright State expected to win by margin exceeding 11.5 given home court advantage and higher scoring potential; IUPUI as the underdog likely to fall short.
Wright State has a history of covering large spreads at home against lower-tier opponents like IUPUI, with efficient offense likely to exceed the -11.5 line.
The 11.5-point spread is significant but not excessive for college basketball. Wright State at home should have enough firepower to cover against IUPUI. The consistent odds across multiple books (1.91-1.94) suggest market confidence in this line, with no clear value on either side, but home dominance in conference play typically supports the favorite covering.
An 11.5-point spread is sizable but consistent across books, indicating market conviction. Home-team favorite and implied dominance in the line make Wright St the more likely side to cover, though the margin still carries risk.
At -11.5, Wright State’s pace and scoring efficiency should create separation; IUPUI’s turnover issues can fuel a double-digit margin, though backdoor risk keeps confidence moderate.
IUPUI Jaguars covers
While Wright St Raiders are likely to win, the spread of -11.5 is substantial. IUPUI Jaguars could potentially cover given the high spread, especially if they keep the game competitive.
While Wright State should win outright, 11.5 points is a large spread in college basketball. IUPUI, despite being the weaker team, often plays closer games against conference opponents. Double-digit spreads in mid-major basketball are notoriously difficult to cover, and the Jaguars should keep this within the number even in a loss.
Moneyline
Wright St Raiders +1.12 / IUPUI Jaguars +5.75100%
consensus
Wright St Raiders wins
13 models · avg conf 81%
Wright St Raiders wins
Wright St is a significant home favorite, as indicated by the -11.5 point spread. In a matchup against a historically weaker conference opponent like IUPUI, the probability of an outright win is extremely high. The Raiders possess a much stronger offensive and defensive profile.
Wright State is a traditionally strong program in the Horizon League with a significant talent advantage over IUPUI. Playing at the Nutter Center gives them a distinct home-court edge against a Jaguars program that has historically struggled in conference road games.
The Wright St Raiders are heavily favored with a -11.5 point spread, indicating they are expected to win this game outright with high probability against the IUPUI Jaguars.
Wright State is heavily favored with a -11.5 spread, indicating strong home advantage and superior team performance in recent Horizon League matchups against weaker IUPUI.
Wright St Raiders are heavily favored with a -11.5 spread, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to dominate IUPUI Jaguars. Historical performance in NCAA Basketball often shows favorites of this magnitude winning outright.
Wright State’s strong offense and home-court edge vs an IUPUI team that has consistently struggled on both ends makes the Raiders clear favorites.
Wright St is priced as a clear home favorite (11.5-point line). The market is signaling a substantive talent/role advantage and home-court edge late in the season, making them the likeliest straight-up winner.
Wright State is favored by 11.5 points at home, indicating they are significantly stronger. Home court advantage in college basketball is substantial, and the betting market clearly views Wright State as the superior team in this matchup.
The 11.5-point spread indicates Wright State is a significant favorite. As the home team with a double-digit spread advantage, the Raiders are clearly expected to win this Horizon League matchup. IUPUI has historically struggled in conference play, and Wright State typically performs well at home.
Wright St Raiders are favored by a significant margin of 11.5 points, indicating a strong likelihood of winning. Historical performance and home court advantage further boost their chances.
The Wright St Raiders have a strong home-court advantage and have performed well against lower-ranked teams like IUPUI in previous matchups.
Wright St is favored by 11.5 points as the home team, indicating they are the stronger team in this matchup. Home court advantage combined with the significant spread suggests Wright St has a clear competitive edge over IUPUI.
Home favorite with stronger typical season performance and the ability to win outright; favorable matchup against IUPUI.
Over/Under
O/U 161.562%
consensus
Over
13 models · avg conf 61%
Over
Both teams have shown the ability to score heavily in past games, and the total set at 163.5 suggests a high-scoring affair which is likely to be met.
A total of 163.5 is very high, but it reflects the expected game script. Wright St plays at a fast tempo and is one of the top offensive teams in their conference. IUPUI's defense has historically struggled, which should lead to easy scoring opportunities for the Raiders. This matchup strongly suggests a high-scoring affair, making the over a probable outcome.
A total of 163.5 is high, but NCAA Basketball games involving a strong favorite against a weaker opponent can result in high-scoring games if the favorite pushes the pace. Confidence is moderate due to variability in defensive efforts.
A total of 163.5 points is high for an NCAA Basketball game, implying expectations of a fast-paced contest or strong offensive efficiency from at least one side. Given Wright St's status as a heavy favorite, they are likely to contribute a large portion of points, and even a moderate offensive showing from IUPUI could push the game over this elevated total.
The total of 163.5 is high, reflecting Wright State's fast pace and IUPUI's defensive liabilities. Wright State consistently ranks as one of the higher-scoring teams in the Horizon League. While the number is steep, IUPUI's lack of defensive stops and potential garbage-time points suggest this game could exceed the projected total.
Both teams play at a fast pace, and recent games suggest high-scoring affairs, pushing totals over 163.5 with Wright State's offensive firepower.
Projected pace and scoring by both teams, line set at 163.5; two mid-major offenses can combine for a total above that if pace is up.
The total of 163.5 is moderate for college basketball. With Wright State expected to score freely as a heavy favorite at home, and needing to maintain offensive pressure to cover the spread, the over has slight value. IUPUI will need to keep pace offensively to stay competitive, which should push the total higher than a typical defensive battle.
Under
The total is set high at 163.5. Both teams may not consistently score highly enough to reach this total, considering potential defensive strategies and pace of play.
163.5 is on the higher side for a college game between conference-level mid-majors. Big favorites often produce lower overall pace and fewer neutral-possession scoring runs, so lean to the under while acknowledging modest uncertainty.
The total is set at 163.5 points, which appears to be a mid-range scoring expectation. Without detailed team pace-of-play and defensive data available, this is a near-toss-up. A slight lean toward under is based on the moderate total suggesting this may not be a high-scoring game, though confidence is low and this could easily go either direction.
163.5 is a high bar; while Wright State plays fast, IUPUI’s limited scoring and possible late-game pace slowdown slightly favor the under.
The total of 163.5 is moderate for college basketball. Horizon League games tend to be more methodical, and with IUPUI likely struggling offensively against Wright State's home defense, combined with potential late-game clock management if Wright State builds a lead, the under presents slight value here.