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MLS 2/23/2026 at 02:15 AM

Colorado Rapids

@

Seattle Sounders FC

Spread

Seattle Sounders FC -1 / Colorado Rapids +1

92%

consensus

Seattle Sounders FC covers

12 models · avg conf 67%

Seattle Sounders FC covers (92%) Colorado Rapids covers (8%)
11 models · avg 67% avg 55% · 1 model

Seattle Sounders FC covers

Given the odds for the spread (-1), Seattle is expected to win by at least a goal. Their strong home record supports this expectation.

The primary spread for Seattle Sounders FC is -1, with odds around 1.78-1.79. Given Seattle's strong favoritism on the moneyline, they are expected to win comfortably, likely by two goals or more, thus covering the -1 spread. The presence of a -1.5 spread at 2.21 further supports expectations of a multi-goal victory.

GPT-4o
75%

The spread of -1 for Seattle Sounders FC suggests they are expected to win by at least one goal. Given their strong odds, they are likely to cover this spread.

Seattle frequently appears at -1 or -1.5 in the posted lines; combined with home advantage and expected healthier offense, they are likely to win by at least one goal.

Seattle is favored by -1 to -1.5 goal spread across most books with consistent pricing (1.78-1.79 for -1, 2.21 for -1.5). The tight spread suggests a competitive match, but the consistency of Seattle's spread favoritism combined with strong moneyline odds indicates the market expects Seattle to win by a narrow margin, making the -1 spread a slight value play.

Grok 3
70%

Seattle Sounders FC are favored to cover the -1 spread with odds around 1.79, suggesting a strong expectation of winning by at least one goal. Their dominance in moneyline odds supports this likelihood, though the spread odds indicate some risk.

GLM-5
60%

The -1 spread at 1.78-1.79 odds suggests oddsmakers expect Seattle to win by 1-2 goals. Seattle's home advantage and Colorado's road struggles support covering the spread, though MLS matches can be unpredictable with late goals affecting margins.

Grok 4
60%

Most spreads are Seattle -1 at odds around 1.78-1.79, slightly favoring Seattle to win by 2+ goals over Colorado +1 at 2.07-2.08.

Seattle -1 at odds of 1.78-1.79 suggests bookmakers see roughly a 55-56% chance of the Sounders winning by 2+ goals. While this is tighter than the moneyline, Seattle's home advantage and the quality gap suggested by the moneyline odds support them covering. The -1.5 spread at 2.21 is riskier, but the standard -1 spread offers reasonable value given Seattle's expected dominance.

Most spreads center on Seattle -1 (with -1.5 available at juicier odds), indicating bookmakers expect Seattle to win by at least one and reasonably often by two. Moderate confidence because a one-goal result is still plausible.

GPT-5
55%

Seattle -1 at 1.78–1.79 with -1.5 at 2.21 implies a meaningful chance to win by 2+; push protection on -1 makes the home side the preferred angle.

Colorado Rapids covers

While Seattle is favored to win, the -1 spread at 1.78-1.79 odds (56% implied probability) suggests uncertainty about winning by multiple goals. Colorado +1 at 2.07-2.08 offers value as they only need to keep it close or win outright. MLS home favorites often win by single goals, making the +1 cushion attractive.

Moneyline

Seattle Sounders FC +1.47 / Colorado Rapids +5.5

100%

consensus

Seattle Sounders FC wins

13 models · avg conf 80%

Seattle Sounders FC wins (100%) Colorado Rapids wins (0%)
13 models · avg 80% avg 0% · 0 models

Seattle Sounders FC wins

Seattle Sounders FC are overwhelming favorites, with moneyline odds consistently averaging around 1.46 across all bookmakers, indicating a very high probability of a home win against the Colorado Rapids (average odds 5.83).

Grok 3
85%

Seattle Sounders FC are heavily favored with consistent moneyline odds averaging around 1.46, while Colorado Rapids have odds averaging near 5.8, indicating a significant disparity in perceived team strength and likelihood of winning.

Seattle Sounders FC has consistently lower odds, indicating they are favored to win. Their home advantage further strengthens this prediction.

GPT-4o
85%

Seattle Sounders FC has consistently lower odds indicating they are strong favorites. Their home advantage and recent form likely contribute to this.

The betting market is in strong agreement, with average odds around 1.45 for Seattle Sounders FC. This implies a roughly 69% probability of a home victory, making them the clear and heavy favorite against a Colorado side with odds consistently above 5.50.

The moneyline odds heavily favor Seattle (avg 1.45) over Colorado (avg 5.85), indicating approximately 68-70% implied probability for a Seattle win. As the home team with such strong market backing, Seattle is the clear favorite.

Seattle is a clear moneyline favorite across multiple listings (roughly 1.42–1.49) against a Colorado side priced around 5–6; home-field advantage and stronger early-season form support a Sounders win.

Seattle is heavily favored across all sportsbooks with consistent odds ranging from 1.42-1.49, implying approximately 67-70% implied win probability. Colorado's odds consistently range from 5.5-6.0, reflecting significant underdog status. The market consensus strongly favors Seattle, likely due to home field advantage and superior squad quality.

GLM-5
75%

Seattle is heavily favored at 1.42-1.49 odds (implied probability ~70%), reflecting their strong home form at Lumen Field. Colorado Rapids' away odds of 5.5-6.0 indicate they're significant underdogs. Seattle historically dominates this matchup at home with solid defensive organization.

Consensus moneyline across books strongly favors Seattle (~1.42–1.49) implying a high implied probability. Home advantage and consistent heavy-favorite pricing point to a Seattle win.

Grok 4
75%

Seattle is heavily favored across all moneyline odds (1.42-1.49 vs. 5.5-6 for Colorado), indicating strong home advantage and team form.

The odds heavily favor Seattle (1.42-1.49) against Colorado (5.5-6.0), implying roughly 68-70% win probability for the home side. Seattle historically performs well at home in Lumen Field, and the consensus across all sportsbooks is remarkably consistent, indicating strong market confidence in the Sounders. The implied probability gap of approximately 50+ percentage points between the teams is significant.

GPT-5
69%

Market has Seattle at 1.42–1.49 (≈67–70% implied) versus Colorado 5.5–6.0 (≈17–18%). Strong and consistent favorite pricing at home.

Over/Under

O/U 3

58%

consensus

Under

12 models · avg conf 60%

Over (42%) Under (58%)
5 models · avg 62% avg 60% · 7 models

Over

The odds for the over (3 goals) are relatively favorable, and both teams have shown potential for scoring, suggesting a higher total score is likely.

GPT-4o
65%

The totals are set around 3 goals, and the over for 2.5 goals has low odds, suggesting a higher scoring game is anticipated. Seattle's strong offense may contribute to a goal-heavy match.

Grok 3
60%

The Over 3 goals line at odds of 1.95 appears balanced with Under 3 at 1.87, but additional lines like Over 2.5 at 1.56 suggest a tendency toward higher-scoring games. Given Seattle's favored status, a potential for a lopsided score increases the likelihood of hitting the over.

The 2.5 goal line heavily favors the over (around 1.56) and MLS matches often feature multiple goals, especially with Seattle’s attack and Rapids’ susceptible defense; a 3+ total is plausible.

The totals line is set at 3 goals with Over at 1.95 and Under at 1.87, suggesting slight lean toward under. However, with Seattle heavily favored at home and likely to attack, combined with the potential for Colorado to concede multiple goals while potentially grabbing one themselves, the Over 2.5 at 1.56 offers better probability. The 3-goal line being nearly even suggests a close call, but attacking intent from Seattle edges toward over.

Under

GLM-5
65%

Under 3 at 1.87 and under 3.5 at 1.57 are both favored, indicating market expectation for a lower-scoring affair. Seattle's controlled home style and Colorado's limited attacking potency on the road suggest 2-3 total goals is most likely outcome.

Over 3 goals is priced at 1.95 while Under 3 is at 1.87, indicating slight preference for unders. The Over 3.5 (2.32) and Under 3.5 (1.57) pairing, plus the Over 2.5 (1.56) vs Under 2.5 (2.28) pairing, suggest bookmakers expect a lower-scoring match. MLS games typically feature 2.5-3 goals on average, and the consistent under pricing suggests an expectation of a tightly contested, defensive match.

The market is relatively balanced but slightly favors under across different totals: Under 3 (1.87), Under 3.5 (1.57), and Under 2.5 (2.28). The consensus around 3 goals with near-even odds (Over 3 at 1.95, Under 3 at 1.87) suggests a tight, defensive match. Given the spread concern about goal differential, a lower-scoring 2-0 or 2-1 result is more likely than a high-scoring affair.

The betting market shows strong signals for approximately 3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is heavily favored (1.56), while Under 3.5 goals is also heavily favored (1.57), indicating that exactly 3 goals is the most probable outcome. For the Over/Under 3 line, the odds for Under 3 (1.87) are slightly better than Over 3 (1.95). While a push on 3 goals is highly likely, this marginal difference suggests that if the total is not exactly 3, it is slightly more probable to be under (0-2 goals) than over (4+ goals). Confidence is moderate due to the high probability of a push.

Totals cluster around 3.0 with near-even pricing; that implies expected combined goals near 2.5–3.0. Given likely Seattle control of the match and MLS scoring variance, Under 3 looks marginally safer than Over 3.

GPT-5
56%

Totals show a slight lean under: Under 3 at 1.87 vs Over 3 at 1.95 and Under 3.5 at 1.57. Market projects around 3 goals with a modest under bias.

Grok 4
55%

Predominant totals lines show Under 3 at 1.87 (slightly favored over Over 3 at 1.95), with some Under 2.5 and 3.5 also leaning under.

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