Wagner Seahawks
Mercyhurst Lakers
Spread
Mercyhurst Lakers -5.5 / Wagner Seahawks +5.569%
consensus
Mercyhurst Lakers covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
Mercyhurst Lakers covers
Given the -5.5 spread favoring Mercyhurst, their home advantage, and recent form, they are likely to cover the spread.
Mercyhurst is listed as favorites by 5.5 points across all quotes. With home-court advantage and a stable line, they are favored to win by 6 or more, thus covering the spread.
The spread has remained steady at -5.5 across all listed odds, showing market stability. The slight variation in juice (1.91-1.94) suggests books are comfortable with this number. Home teams in lower-major conferences like the NEC tend to perform well against moderate spreads.
While the odds for covering the -5.5 spread are balanced for both teams (around 1.91-1.94), the consistent favorite status of Mercyhurst, coupled with home-court advantage, suggests they are likely to win by more than the 5.5 points.
The consistent spread of -5.5 for Mercyhurst suggests that they are expected to win by a comfortable margin. If they are indeed the superior team and playing at home, they should cover the spread.
Consistent -5.5 spread suggests Mercyhurst will win by more than 5.5 points, based on stable odds and home team strength.
Mercyhurst Lakers are consistently favored by 5.5 points across all books with even odds (1.91-1.94), suggesting the spread is fairly priced. The home team advantage and market consensus indicate a moderate lean toward Mercyhurst covering the spread, though the even odds reflect legitimate competition.
The spread of -5.5 for Mercyhurst Lakers is consistent across all provided odds, with balanced odds around 1.91-1.94. This suggests a moderate but achievable margin of victory for the home team, supported by their favored status.
The market sets Mercyhurst at -5.5 repeatedly; that margin is moderate and achievable for the favored home team given the consistent market lean, though variance in college lines keeps confidence modest.
Wagner Seahawks covers
While Mercyhurst is favored, 5.5 points is a modest spread in college basketball. The total lack of line movement at -5.5 across all sportsbooks suggests this opened sharp and may have limited value. Wagner getting consistent 5.5 points with the hook provides cushion. In closely matched NCAA games, the underdog often covers even when losing outright.
With a relatively low total (132.5–133), points are at a premium, making Wagner +5.5 more valuable; consistent 5.5 indicates a tight margin more often.
While Mercyhurst is favored, the projected low total score (around 133) suggests a game with fewer possessions. In a lower-scoring environment, a 5.5-point spread becomes more significant and harder for the favorite to cover. This scenario often provides value to the underdog, making Wagner +5.5 the more probable outcome against the spread.
While Mercyhurst should win, 5.5 points is a significant spread for a matchup between two lower-tier programs. The line is identical across all sportsbooks at -5.5 (1.91-1.94), showing no movement which suggests balanced action. Wagner as a road underdog getting points in what could be a grind-it-out low-scoring affair has value. Close games are common in mid-major matchups.
Moneyline
Mercyhurst Lakers +1.42 / Wagner Seahawks +3100%
consensus
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
13 models · avg conf 70%
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
Mercyhurst is consistently listed as a -5.5 point favorite across all betting lines, indicating they are the clear favorite to win the game outright.
Mercyhurst has been performing well at home, and the spread indicates they are favored by 5.5 points, suggesting confidence in their ability to win.
Mercyhurst is a 5.5-point home favorite with consistent odds across multiple books, indicating strong market confidence. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball typically provides 3-4 points, and the stable spread line suggests sharp money agrees with this assessment.
Mercyhurst is favored with a -5.5 spread across multiple books, indicating strong home advantage in this NCAA matchup.
The betting market has consistently established the Mercyhurst Lakers as a -5.5 point favorite across all available odds. This indicates a clear expectation from oddsmakers that they are the superior team, especially with the advantage of playing at home. A 5.5-point spread implies a strong probability of an outright win.
Mercyhurst is favored by 5.5 points consistently across multiple betting lines, indicating a general belief in their superiority over Wagner. Home court advantage further strengthens their position.
The Lakers are favored by 5.5 points at home, indicating oddsmakers see them as the clearly superior team. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the consistent spread across all books suggests strong confidence in Mercyhurst winning outright.
The consistent -5.5 spread favoring Mercyhurst across all sportsbooks indicates strong market consensus that the Lakers are the superior team. Home court advantage combined with the betting market alignment suggests Mercyhurst is favored to win outright.
Consistent -5.5 favorite on the spread with near-even moneyline odds around 1.9 indicates Mercyhurst is favored to win. Home court advantage further supports the likelihood of a Mercyhurst victory.
Mercyhurst Lakers are favored with a consistent -5.5 spread across multiple betting lines, indicating bookmakers' belief in their superior performance. As the home team, they likely have an edge in familiarity and crowd support.
Mercyhurst is the clear home favorite across multiple books (consistent -5.5 spread). Home-court edge and consensus market pricing point to a straight win.
Mercyhurst is favored at home with a consistent -5.5 spread across all books. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the betting market shows clear confidence in the Lakers with no line movement, suggesting sharp money agrees with the opening number.
Market has Mercyhurst -5.5 across shops, implying a solid favorite at home. Spread-equivalent suggests a clear win probability edge.
Over/Under
O/U 133.577%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 59%
Over
The total has been set around 133, and both teams have shown the ability to score effectively, suggesting that the game will likely go over the total.
Slight shading toward the over at 132.5 (over 1.87 vs under 1.95) suggests a marginal lean to the over around this number.
The totals around 133 are very evenly split in the market, offering no strong edge. In absence of team-specific pace data, there is a slight lean to the over due to typical NCAA scoring, but edge is minimal.
Under
The market shows a distinct lean towards a lower-scoring game. The odds on the Under 132.5 line are significantly higher (1.95) compared to the Over (1.87), indicating that bettors are more willing to back the under. This pricing suggests that the true total is likely below 133, making the under the statistically stronger play.
The total sits at 132.5-133, which is relatively low for college basketball, indicating both teams play slower-paced or defensive-oriented styles. One book showing Under 132.5 at 1.95 (higher juice) suggests slight market lean toward the under. The slight variance in totals (132.5 vs 133) with heavier juice on under at some books indicates sharper action on the under.
The total line shows a slight adjustment from 133 down to 132.5 in some instances. Crucially, when the line is 132.5, the 'Under' consistently offers slightly better odds (1.95 vs 1.87 for 'Over'), indicating a market lean towards a lower-scoring game.
Books cluster totals around 132.5–133 with slightly juicier prices on the under in some books, suggesting a market tilt toward a lower-scoring game—favoring the under.
Totals line hovers around 133 with slight variations to 132.5; patterns indicate defensive playstyles leading to lower-scoring game.
The totals line fluctuates slightly between 132.5 and 133, which is relatively low for NCAA basketball, potentially indicating expectations of a lower-scoring game. This suggests a tendency towards an 'under' outcome.
The total is set around 132.5-133 points with slightly better odds on the Under (1.93-1.95 vs 1.87-1.93 for Over). This modest total suggests oddsmakers expect a slower-paced game. NCAA basketball matchups between these programs typically feature defensive-oriented play, supporting an Under lean.
The total has shown slight downward movement from 133 to 132.5 at some books, with the under receiving slightly worse odds (1.95 vs 1.87 on the 132.5 line), indicating sharper action on the under. NEC games typically feature slower pace and lower scoring averages.
The total of 132.5-133 is relatively low, suggesting both teams play at slower paces or struggle offensively. One book has Under 132.5 at 1.95 (worse odds) compared to Over at 1.87, indicating slight market lean toward the under. Lower-tier programs often feature inconsistent shooting and defensive-minded play, especially in road environments where Wagner may slow the tempo.
The totals line fluctuates slightly between 132.5 and 133, with slightly better odds for 'under' at 132.5 (1.95). This indicates a potential for a lower-scoring game, possibly due to strong defensive play or conservative strategies by both teams.