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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 12:00 AM

Longwood Lancers

@

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Spread

Presbyterian Blue Hose -2.5 / Longwood Lancers +2.5

62%

consensus

Presbyterian Blue Hose covers

13 models · avg conf 57%

Presbyterian Blue Hose covers (62%) Longwood Lancers covers (38%)
8 models · avg 57% avg 55% · 5 models

Presbyterian Blue Hose covers

Grok 4
60%

The spreads favor Presbyterian by 2-2.5 points across multiple lines, suggesting they are likely to win by more than the spread in a close matchup.

With a spread of -2, the Blue Hose are favored at home, and they have historically performed well in close matchups at their venue.

The dominant spread line features Presbyterian -2 with solid but not overwhelming odds, and home-court advantage increases likelihood of covering a two-point spread if Presbyterian wins outright.

Presbyterian Blue Hose is favored by 2-2.5 points across all betting lines. While the spread is tight, the consistency of the line and home court advantage suggest Presbyterian should cover. The fact that odds are nearly even (1.91-1.98 for favorites) indicates tight market expectations, reducing confidence.

Grok 3
55%

Presbyterian Blue Hose are favored by -2 to -2.5 across multiple books. The odds suggest a slight edge for them to cover the small spread, especially with home advantage.

GPT-4o
55%

The odds indicate a close matchup, but with Presbyterian favored by a slightly higher spread and odds (up to -2.5), they are more likely to cover the spread at home.

GLM-5
55%

The spread has tightened around -2 to -2.5, with some books moving toward -2.5 on Presbyterian. The slight line movement toward the home favorite suggests sharp money may be on Presbyterian. In a close matchup between evenly-matched teams, home court advantage often proves decisive in covering narrow spreads.

Spreads clustered at -2 to -2.5 indicate a very tight game but a small edge to the home side. The margin is small so this is a low-to-moderate confidence lean; risk of a push on -2 exists and -2.5 increases variance.

Longwood Lancers covers

While Presbyterian is favored, the spread is very tight at -2 with even odds. When the line shifts to Presbyterian -2.5 (1.98) and Longwood +2.5 (1.85), the implied probability for Longwood to cover +2.5 is higher. This suggests that Longwood is expected to keep the game very close, making them the favorable pick against the spread.

The spread is very tight at -2 to -2.5, indicating an extremely close game. In such narrow spreads, the underdog often provides value. Longwood at +2 or +2.5 offers cushion in what should be a competitive contest. The even odds (1.91-1.94) suggest the market sees this as nearly a toss-up.

The spread is very narrow, suggesting a game that could be decided by a single possession. The odds for Longwood at +2.5 (1.85) are lower than the standard, indicating that bookmakers are trying to encourage bets on the favorite and see value in the underdog keeping the game within that margin. This suggests Longwood covering is a strong possibility.

GPT-5
53%

Where -2.5 is offered, juice leans toward Longwood +2.5 (lower payout on the dog), signaling market interest in the points and a likely one-possession game.

The tight 2-point spread suggests an extremely competitive matchup. One book offering Longwood +2.5 at 1.85 (juiced) indicates sharp money may favor the Lancers. In close low-major games, the small spread gives the underdog value. The line hasn't moved despite action, suggesting the market sees this as a toss-up where taking the points is advantageous.

Moneyline

Presbyterian Blue Hose +1.68 / Longwood Lancers +2.27

100%

consensus

Presbyterian Blue Hose wins

13 models · avg conf 61%

Presbyterian Blue Hose wins (100%) Longwood Lancers wins (0%)
13 models · avg 61% avg 0% · 0 models

Presbyterian Blue Hose wins

Presbyterian is consistently listed as the favorite with a spread of -2 or -2.5 across multiple bookmakers, indicating they are expected to win the game outright.

The Blue Hose have home-court advantage and have shown better performance metrics in recent games compared to the Lancers.

Grok 4
65%

Presbyterian is the home favorite with spreads consistently around -2 to -2.5, indicating a slight edge over Longwood.

Across markets Presbyterian is consistently listed as the home favorite around -2 with near-even money, suggesting the market expects Presbyterian to win.

Presbyterian is favored at home with a consistent -2 to -2.5 point spread across all sportsbooks. The home court advantage combined with the market consensus suggests Presbyterian should win this matchup. However, the modest spread indicates this is a relatively close contest.

GPT-4o
60%

The consistent favoring of Presbyterian Blue Hose by 2 to 2.5 points in the spread suggests they are slightly stronger. As they are the home team, they may have a slight advantage.

Grok 3
60%

Presbyterian is favored across most betting lines with a consistent -2 spread, indicating slight market confidence in their ability to win at home.

The betting market consistently establishes the Presbyterian Blue Hose as the home favorite, with the spread consistently set at -2 or -2.5. This indicates they are the expected winner of the contest, benefiting from home-court advantage in what is projected to be a close game.

Presbyterian is favored at home with a consistent -2 to -2.5 point spread across all books. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the market consensus suggests Presbyterian has a slight edge in this matchup.

GPT-5
58%

Consensus spread sits around Presbyterian -2 across books, indicating a slight home edge; symmetrical pricing suggests modest but real favoritism at home.

Presbyterian is favored by 2-2.5 points at home, indicating oddsmakers see them as the slightly better team. Home court advantage in low-major NCAA basketball is significant, and the consistent -2 line across books suggests confidence in Presbyterian winning outright.

Market consensus shows the home team as a slight favorite (around -2). Home-court edge and consistently priced spreads favor Presbyterian in a close matchup, so lean to the home moneyline with modest confidence.

GLM-5
58%

Presbyterian is a slight home favorite (-2 to -2.5) across all bookmakers, indicating market confidence in their home advantage. Home court in NCAA basketball typically provides a 3-4 point edge, and the consistent line suggests Presbyterian has the edge in this Big South conference matchup.

Over/Under

O/U 140.5

69%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 58%

Over (31%) Under (69%)
4 models · avg 55% avg 58% · 9 models

Over

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and the total set at 139 seems achievable given their offensive capabilities.

The total is primarily set at 139 with even odds. When the line slightly drops to 138.5, the 'Over' has slightly lower odds (1.87) compared to the 'Under' (1.95), which, after adjusting for vigorish, implies a slight market preference for the game to go 'Over' this slightly lower total.

Implied totals hover around 138.5–139, and while historical pace varies, the matchup and scoring environments suggest a modest tilt toward the over rather than a low-scoring defensive struggle.

GPT-5
55%

Several books juice the Over at 138.5, and a tight spread increases late-game fouling/possession intensity—both support a slight lean to the Over around 138.5–139.

Under

The odds movement and pricing provide a clear signal. The line has options at both 139 and 138.5, and the odds for Under 138.5 are less favorable (1.95) than the over (1.87). This 'juice' on the under implies that it is the more likely outcome, suggesting a defensive battle or a slower-paced game.

GPT-4o
65%

The totals show variance between 138.5 and 139, with better odds for under 138.5, suggesting the bookmakers anticipate a score under this threshold in a close and potentially defensive game.

The total is set at 138.5-139, which is relatively low for college basketball, suggesting both teams play defensive-oriented styles or have slower tempos. The odds slightly favor the under (1.93-1.95 vs 1.87-1.91 for over), indicating sharp money movement toward the under. Low-scoring, defensive games are common in mid-major matchups.

The total is set at 138.5-139 points across sportsbooks. The Under consistently shows slightly better odds (1.93-1.95 vs 1.87-1.91 for Over), suggesting professional bettors slightly favor lower scoring. NCAA basketball between these two programs historically trends toward defensive play. The modest scoring line also suggests a defensive-minded matchup.

Grok 4
55%

Totals lines are around 138.5-139 with slight variations; patterns suggest a defensive game, pushing towards under.

The total of 138.5-139 is modest for college basketball. Multiple books showing Under 138.5 at 1.95 (less juice than the over at 1.87) suggests slight market lean toward the under. Both Big South programs typically play at moderate tempos, and tight conference games often result in lower-scoring, possession-conscious basketball down the stretch.

Grok 3
52%

The total line fluctuates between 138.5 and 139 with slightly better odds for the under at 138.5 (1.95). This suggests a tight, lower-scoring game may be expected.

Totals are consistently around 138.5–139, a moderate number that suggests a controlled pace. Given the closeness of the contest and market balance, lean under with low confidence.

GLM-5
52%

The total has seen slight downward movement from 139 to 138.5 on several books, with under odds typically shorter (1.95) than over odds (1.87). This line movement suggests the market anticipates a lower-scoring, defensive battle typical of Big South conference games between similarly-matched opponents.

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