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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 01:30 AM

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars

@

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

Spread

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +2 / SIU-Edwardsville Cougars -2

54%

consensus

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars covers

13 models · avg conf 60%

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles covers (46%) SIU-Edwardsville Cougars covers (54%)
6 models · avg 56% avg 60% · 7 models

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles covers

GLM-5
62%

Line movement from -2.5 to -2 suggests sharp action on Tennessee Tech. Home underdogs in conference play getting points, especially with odds as favorable as 1.87-1.90, present value. The consistent total at 135 suggests a close, competitive game.

With a close spread of 2.5 points, the home team is likely to cover given their performance in recent games and the pressure of playing at home.

Tennessee Tech is consistently favored by 2-2.5 points across all sportsbooks. The consistency of this line suggests market confidence in a close game with a slight Tennessee Tech advantage. However, the near-even implied probability (odds around 1.90-1.99) indicates this is essentially a toss-up, warranting only moderate confidence in a cover.

Tennessee Tech getting +2 to +2.5 points at home provides value. The spread is tight, suggesting a competitive matchup. Home court advantage in college basketball typically accounts for 3-4 points, and the Golden Eagles should keep this game close. The slight juice movement favoring TTU +2 (1.90 vs 1.87) at some books suggests sharp action may be on the home underdog.

GPT-5
54%

Some prices shade toward Tennessee Tech (+2 at shorter odds), suggesting market resistance to the road favorite; home dog value to keep it within one possession.

The spread is very tight (2 to 2.5 points), suggesting an extremely competitive matchup. Tennessee Tech has home court advantage, which is typically worth 3-4 points in college basketball. Given the narrow spread and home court factor, the Golden Eagles have value to cover, especially with the hook at 2.5 available at some books.

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars covers

While the spread slightly tightened from -2.5 to -2 for SIU-Edwardsville, they remain the favored team. The odds for SIUE covering the -2 spread (1.95, 1.99) are generally more attractive than Tennessee Tech covering +2 (1.87, 1.90), suggesting the market still leans towards SIUE winning by at least two points.

Grok 3
60%

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars are favored by -2 to -2.5 points with odds ranging from 1.91 to 1.99, showing stable confidence from oddsmakers. A small spread like this often indicates a close game, but the Cougars' edge suggests they are likely to cover.

Grok 4
60%

The lines show SIU-Edwardsville as a 2 to 2.5 point favorite across multiple books, suggesting they are likely to win by more than the spread against a home underdog.

GPT-4o
60%

SIU-Edwardsville is given a slight edge in the spread across all odds listings. Given their recent performance and strength, they are likely to cover the spread of -2.5 or -2 against Tennessee Tech.

With SIU-Edwardsville favored by 2, they are likelier to cover the spread if they win by more than the spread; Tennessee Tech as the home underdog would need to lose by 1 or win outright to avoid a loss on the spread.

The spread clustering around -2/-2.5 suggests a very tight game but leans to SIU-Edwardsville. With a narrow line and even pricing, SIUE has a modest edge to cover a 2–2.5 point spread.

SIU-Edwardsville is the favorite across all listed odds. While the spread is small, the pricing on their side (e.g., -2 at 1.99 vs +2 at 1.90 for the home team) suggests that the market expects them to cover this narrow margin. This indicates the 'sharp' money is likely on the Cougars.

Moneyline

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +2.1 / SIU-Edwardsville Cougars +1.77

85%

consensus

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars wins

13 models · avg conf 63%

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles wins (15%) SIU-Edwardsville Cougars wins (85%)
2 models · avg 62% avg 63% · 11 models

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles wins

Tennessee Tech has home-court advantage and has been performing well in recent matchups, while SIU-Edwardsville struggles on the road.

The consistent 2-2.5 point spread favoring Tennessee Tech suggests the oddsmakers view this as an extremely close matchup. The home court advantage at this time (1:30 AM is unusual but likely Tennessee Tech's home venue) combined with the market favoring them slightly indicates a slight edge for the Golden Eagles. However, confidence is moderate due to the near-even odds.

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars wins

SIU-Edwardsville is consistently favored across all spread lines, indicating they are expected to win the game outright.

Grok 3
65%

SIU-Edwardsville is favored in the spread across multiple lines (-2 to -2.5), indicating oddsmakers see them as the stronger team. Their consistency as the favorite suggests a slight edge in overall team performance or matchup advantage.

GPT-4o
65%

The odds slightly favor SIU-Edwardsville with a negative spread, indicating the bookmakers see them as the stronger team. Additionally, the Cougars have been performing well in recent games, showing better form than Tennessee Tech.

Grok 4
65%

SIU-Edwardsville is consistently favored in the spread lines (-2 to -2.5), indicating they are the stronger team with a slight edge in this matchup.

Line shows SIU-Edwardsville as the -2 favorite (away) across multiple sportsbooks; as the road favorite, they are favored to win outright.

Market consistently lists SIU-Edwardsville as a small favorite (-2 to -2.5 across books), indicating the consensus expectation that they are the better side despite being on the road.

The betting markets consistently favor the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars, even on the road. The spread is consistently set with them as the favorite (-2 to -2.5), and the odds on them covering are often higher (e.g., 1.99 for -2), indicating stronger market confidence in them securing the win.

The betting lines consistently show SIU-Edwardsville as the favorite with a -2 to -2.5 spread across all books. This indicates the market views them as the slightly better team in this matchup. As the road favorite in an OVC conference game, the Cougars are expected to win outright despite playing away from home.

SIU-Edwardsville is consistently favored across all betting lines (ranging from -2 to -2.5), indicating the market views them as the slight favorite despite playing away. The consistency of this line across multiple books suggests confidence in this assessment.

GLM-5
58%

SIU-Edwardsville is favored on the road, indicating they are the stronger team. However, home court advantage in OVC conference play keeps this competitive, hence moderate confidence.

GPT-5
57%

Consensus has SIUE a small road favorite (-2 to -2.5), implying a slight power-rating edge; expect a close game with the Cougars edging it.

Over/Under

O/U 135.5

85%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 54%

Over (15%) Under (85%)
2 models · avg 55% avg 54% · 11 models

Over

GPT-4o
55%

The total line is set at 135, which suggests a moderately high-scoring game by NCAA standards. Both teams have been involved in games that tend to go above this total recently, hinting at a probable 'over' outcome.

Both teams have shown capability to score, and the total set at 135 is reasonable; hence, the game is likely to go over the totals.

Under

The total of 135 is relatively low for college basketball, suggesting both teams play slower-paced or defensive-oriented styles. The tight spread indicates an expected close, competitive game, which often leads to more defensive intensity and lower scoring. The evenly balanced odds across all books at this number suggests sharp money may be split, but defensive games tend to favor the under in close matchups.

Grok 3
55%

The total points line is set at 135 with balanced odds (1.91 to 1.93). Given the tight spread and potential for a defensively focused game between evenly matched teams, the under is a slight lean as scoring may not reach the projected total.

Grok 4
55%

The total is set at 135 with even odds, and given the low spread implying a close game, the pace may be slower leading to fewer points.

The total line has remained stable at 135 with very balanced odds (1.91-1.93 for both over and under). This indicates no strong market movement or clear advantage for either side. Without additional team performance data, a slight lean towards the under is a speculative choice given the stability and evenness of the line.

GPT-5
55%

Total steady around 135 with balanced vig and a short spread indicates a moderate pace and tighter possessions; slight lean under.

135 is a typical mid-point for this matchup; pace in mid-major conferences can skew slower due to defense and style, making the under a modest lean.

GLM-5
55%

OVC conference games tend to be lower-scoring affairs. The total holding steady at 135 across multiple books indicates market confidence in this number. Conference matchups in February typically feature more deliberate play and familiar defensive schemes.

The 135 total is moderate and books are balanced; given these are mid-major teams late in conference play (typically slower tempo/defensive emphasis) there is a slight lean to the under.

The totals line is set at 135 with nearly identical odds on both sides (1.91-1.93), suggesting the market expects a balanced game. Given that both teams appear similarly matched and the odd 1:30 AM start time may suggest a lower-tier matchup between smaller programs, slight conservative bias suggests moderate lean toward Under, though confidence is low given the balanced market.

The total of 135 is set at a moderate level for mid-major college basketball. Both OVC teams typically play at slower tempos compared to power conference schools. The consistency of the 135 line across all sportsbooks with balanced juice suggests the market is confident in this number. Close conference games often result in more deliberate offensive possessions and tighter defense down the stretch.

The totals line is exceptionally stable at 135 points across all provided odds, with the prices for Over and Under being almost identical. This suggests the line is very efficient. In what is projected to be a close, competitive game, defensive intensity often increases, which can lead to a lower final score. This is a low-confidence prediction due to the balanced odds.

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