Cal Poly Mustangs
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Spread
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -10.5 / Cal Poly Mustangs +10.577%
consensus
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors covers
13 models · avg conf 68%
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors covers
The spread is consistently set between -11.5 to -12.5 points across multiple sportsbooks, indicating consensus that Hawai'i should win by 12+ points. The tight odds on both sides (1.87-1.90 for favorites, 1.95-1.99 for underdogs) suggest the market confidence is relatively balanced on the cover, but the moneyline strongly favors Hawai'i winning decisively. Home court advantage and market consensus support the spread cover.
Despite the large spread ranging from -11.5 to -12.5, Hawai'i's dominant moneyline odds suggest they are expected to win convincingly. While covering large spreads can be challenging, the implied strength difference makes it probable that Hawai'i will exceed the margin, especially against a weaker opponent like Cal Poly. The most common spread observed is Hawai'i -12.
Given the spread of -12.5 for Hawai'i and their strong performance at home, they are likely to cover the spread against Cal Poly.
Hawai'i is consistently listed at -12 to -12.5 with sub-2.0 odds for the spread. In typical scenarios, a double-digit favorite (-12) covers more often than not when facing a lower-tier opponent.
The spread is consistently around -12 for Hawai'i, with slight variations between -11.5 and -12.5. The odds for Hawai'i covering are generally favorable (around 1.87-1.9), indicating confidence in their ability to win by a significant margin. I predict Hawai'i will cover the -12 spread.
Consensus spreads cluster around -11.5 to -12.5 for Hawai'i. That sizable but consistent line suggests a meaningful talent/tempo gap. While large spreads carry variance, the market signal supports Hawai'i covering more often than not.
The spread has settled around -12, showing market confidence in Hawai'i. Cal Poly traditionally struggles as one of the weaker Big West programs, and the travel factor compounds their disadvantage. However, laying double digits in conference play carries risk, hence moderate confidence.
Multiple books shade -11.5/-12 toward Hawai'i (lower payout on the favorite side), suggesting a modest edge to cover at home.
The consensus spread is around -12 for Hawai'i, with odds slightly favoring the home team to cover (e.g., 1.87 vs. 1.95), suggesting Hawai'i's superior matchup against Cal Poly will lead to a win by more than 12 points.
The spread ranges from -11.5 to -12.5 across books, with the best value at -11.5 (1.83). Hawai'i typically performs well at home in the SimpliFi Arena, and Cal Poly's road struggles in conference play suggest they may not keep this competitive. The home-court advantage in Hawai'i is particularly pronounced due to travel fatigue affecting visiting teams. Taking the -11.5 line offers slight edge.
Cal Poly Mustangs covers
The spread is quite large at 12.5 points. While Hawai'i is the superior team, covering a double-digit spread is always a difficult task. There is value in betting that Cal Poly can keep the final margin within 12 points, even in a loss.
While Hawai'i should win outright, the 11.5-12.5 point spread is significant. The betting market shows slight movement and uncertainty with spreads ranging from -11.5 to -12.5. The slightly better odds on Cal Poly covering (+12) at 1.95-1.99 suggest the market expects a competitive margin. Large spreads in college basketball often see underdogs covering even in losses.
While Hawai'i is favored, a spread of -12 to -12.5 is quite substantial. Given the variability in college basketball and the possibility of a closer game, Cal Poly covering the spread is a reasonable possibility.
Moneyline
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +1.15 / Cal Poly Mustangs +5.75100%
consensus
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors wins
13 models · avg conf 88%
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors wins
The moneyline odds of 1.11 for Hawai'i clearly indicate they are overwhelmingly favored to win this game, reflecting a significant disparity in team strength against Cal Poly's odds of 6.9.
Hawaii is the clear favorite with moneyline around 1.11 (roughly a 90% implied win probability) across multiple lines. Cal Poly is a long shot (approx. 6.9). Home-court and favorable matchup support a Hawaii win.
Hawai'i is heavily favored at 1.11 odds, reflecting their significant advantage as the stronger program. Home court at Stan Sheriff Center is one of the toughest venues in the Big West, and Cal Poly faces the notorious travel disadvantage of flying to the islands.
Hawai'i is heavily favored on the moneyline at 1.11 across multiple books, implying a strong likelihood of victory over Cal Poly, who are underdogs at 6.9.
The moneyline odds are heavily in favor of Hawai'i (1.11), implying a high probability of a win. As the home team against a significant underdog, they are the clear choice to win the game outright.
Market strongly favors Hawai'i (decimal ~1.11) implying a very high win probability; large spread and home-court advantage indicate the books expect Hawai'i to win outright.
Strong moneyline odds heavily favor Hawai'i at 1.11 (-910 implied), indicating the market views them as a significant favorite. Cal Poly's 6.9 odds suggest low win probability. Home court advantage combined with these odds suggests Hawai'i is the clear superior team in this matchup.
The moneyline odds heavily favor Hawai'i at 1.11 compared to Cal Poly at 6.9, indicating a strong market belief in Hawai'i's likelihood of winning. This suggests Hawai'i has a significant advantage in team strength or home court performance.
Hawai'i is heavily favored by the odds with a moneyline of 1.11, indicating a strong likelihood of winning. Additionally, the spread is consistently set at double digits in their favor, suggesting a clear advantage over Cal Poly.
The moneyline of 1.11 for Hawai'i indicates roughly 90% implied probability. As the home team with a significant spread advantage, Hawai'i is the clear favorite. Cal Poly has historically struggled in Big West play and traveling to Hawai'i presents unique challenges with long travel and time zone adjustments.
The moneyline odds of 1.11 for Hawai'i indicate a heavily favored home team with an implied probability of approximately 90%. The stark contrast with Cal Poly's 6.9 odds suggests a significant talent/performance gap. Home court advantage in Hawai'i is also substantial due to travel factors.
Hawai'i has a strong home-court advantage and favorable odds, indicating they are likely to win against Cal Poly.
Market implies ~90% win probability at 1.11 ML and Hawai'i’s strong home-court/travel edge vs. Cal Poly.
Over/Under
O/U 161.562%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 59%
Over
The total points line is set high, but both teams have shown the capability to score effectively, suggesting that the game will likely go over the total.
Total lines are high (158.5–159.5). Multiple books offering the same high total suggests expected up‑tempo play and scoring. Given Hawai'i's offensive profile and the likelihood Cal Poly concedes points, lean to the over with moderate confidence due to variance and potential defensive adjustments.
The total is set around 158.5 with near-even odds. While pace can vary, a moderately high-scoring game is plausible given the matchup and typical NCAA pace in this context.
The total line is consistently at 158.5, with odds slightly favoring over (e.g., 1.87 vs. 1.95), indicating expectations of a high-scoring game based on team paces and defensive patterns.
The total is set at a high 158.5, indicating that oddsmakers expect a fast-paced, high-scoring contest. Hawai'i's offense is likely to score heavily at home, and they should be able to dictate a pace that pushes the game over this total.
Under
Across the various totals lines (158.5, 159.5), the odds for the Under are consistently slightly higher (e.g., 1.95, 1.97) compared to the Over (e.g., 1.87, 1.88). This suggests the market or bookmakers perceive a slightly higher probability or value in the game staying under the posted total.
The total is set high at 158.5 to 159.5 points. Historically, games involving these teams may not always reach such high scores, and the odds slightly favor the under. This suggests a potential for a lower-scoring game than expected.
Total is set at 158.5-159.5 points. While the odds are relatively balanced (1.87-1.88 over vs 1.95-1.97 under), the slight edge goes to Under. Cal Poly as an away team facing a dominant home favorite may struggle offensively, and defensive adjustments by Hawai'i could suppress scoring. The early morning tip-off time (4:59 AM) may also affect pace and scoring efficiency.
The totals line fluctuates between 158.5 and 159.5, with slightly better odds for the under (up to 1.97). Given the defensive tendencies often seen in college basketball and the lack of significant variation in the line, I lean towards the under 158.5 as a safer prediction.
Total of 158.5–159.5 is high for this matchup; with a double-digit spread, blowout script and slower late pace favor the under (plus better price at 159.5).
The total is set at 158.5-159.5 points, which is moderate for college basketball. The under is consistently priced slightly better (1.95-1.97) across multiple books, indicating market preference. The 4:59 AM event time suggests this is a Hawai'i home game where pace tends to be slower. Without more context, the slight market lean toward the under and reasonable total make it a marginal play.
The total of 158.5-159.5 is relatively high for Big West conference play. Hawai'i tends to play at a controlled pace at home, and Cal Poly lacks the offensive firepower to push tempo. Conference games often tighten up defensively. Slight lean to the under.
The total sits at 158.5-159.5 across books. Cal Poly typically plays at a slower pace and their offensive efficiency drops on the road. Hawai'i's home games tend to feature solid defense. With potential fatigue from travel affecting Cal Poly's shooting, the under presents modest value. The slight juice on the under (1.95-1.97) suggests market sentiment leans this direction as well.