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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 02:00 AM

Tulane Green Wave

@

North Texas Mean Green

Spread

North Texas Mean Green -6.5 / Tulane Green Wave +6.5

77%

consensus

North Texas Mean Green covers

13 models · avg conf 65%

North Texas Mean Green covers (77%) Tulane Green Wave covers (23%)
10 models · avg 65% avg 56% · 3 models

North Texas Mean Green covers

NTX is favored by 5.5 with near-even spread odds (~1.91). Given their favorite status and home court, they should win by at least 6 to cover the spread in most scenarios.

Given the spread of -5.5 for North Texas, their recent form and ability to defend at home suggests they are likely to cover the spread in this matchup.

Given North Texas's strong moneyline favoritism and a consistent spread of -5.5 across multiple bookmakers, they are expected to win by at least 6 points. This spread is common for a favorite of this magnitude in NCAA basketball.

North Texas is consistently favored at -5.5 across all sportsbooks with tight odds (1.91-1.94), suggesting this is a well-balanced line. The uniform spread across multiple books indicates confidence in this number. North Texas as the home team with consistent line support suggests they should cover, though the tight odds indicate this is a competitive matchup.

Grok 3
65%

North Texas Mean Green are favored by -5.5 across multiple betting lines with odds around 1.91-1.94. This consistency suggests they are expected to win by at least 6 points. However, Tulane could keep it close if their defense performs, hence moderate confidence.

GPT-4o
65%

North Texas is consistently favored by -5.5 across various odds, and given their strong moneyline odds, they are likely to cover the spread. However, Tulane's potential competitiveness makes this prediction slightly less confident.

The spread has remained stable at -5.5 for the home favorite, North Texas. This consistency, combined with the strong moneyline odds, suggests the market expects North Texas to win by a margin of at least two possessions. As the home team, they are positioned well to cover this spread.

Grok 4
65%

Consistent spread of -5.5 across multiple lines suggests North Texas should cover as the home favorite, with balanced odds implying moderate edge.

GLM-5
58%

The spread has held steady at -5.5 across multiple listings, indicating a stable market opinion on the margin between these teams. North Texas typically plays a disciplined, defensive style at home that allows them to control game flow and maintain leads, making them a solid candidate to cover the number against Tulane.

North Texas is listed uniformly at -5.5 across books. That margin is enough for a favored home team to cover in a matchup where the market consensus places them clearly ahead, though the spread is mid-single digits so upset/variability risk keeps confidence moderate.

Tulane Green Wave covers

While North Texas is favored to win, the 5.5-point spread is relatively modest for college basketball. The uniform odds at 1.91-1.94 across books suggest balanced action. Tulane getting 5.5 points provides value, especially if the game is competitive. Home favorites in college basketball often win but don't always cover moderate spreads.

GPT-5
55%

Low total (131.5–133.5) and North Texas’ slow pace increase the chance of a tight margin; Tulane +5.5 more likely to stay within two possessions.

While North Texas should win, the 5.5-point spread is a key number in college basketball. Tulane getting 5.5 points offers value as road underdogs in conference play often keep games competitive. The uniform -5.5 line across all sportsbooks with standard -110 juice suggests the market views this as a fair line, making the underdog plus points slightly more attractive for value.

Moneyline

North Texas Mean Green +1.35 / Tulane Green Wave +3.3

100%

consensus

North Texas Mean Green wins

13 models · avg conf 74%

North Texas Mean Green wins (100%) Tulane Green Wave wins (0%)
13 models · avg 74% avg 0% · 0 models

North Texas Mean Green wins

North Texas is a clear favorite with moneyline odds of 1.36, indicating a high probability of winning the game outright against Tulane (3.2).

North Texas is the heavy favorite on the moneyline at 1.36, implying a win probability of approximately 73.5%. As the home team with such strong market backing, they are the most likely team to win the game outright.

North Texas has a strong home court advantage and has performed well against similar opponents in the past. The moneyline odds favor them significantly.

GPT-4o
75%

Given that North Texas is favored with a moneyline of 1.36, they are heavily expected to win. The odds suggest a strong probability of a home win, indicating that bookmakers see them as the superior team.

Grok 3
75%

North Texas Mean Green are favored with a moneyline of 1.36 compared to Tulane Green Wave's 3.2, indicating a strong market belief in their victory. As the home team with a consistent spread advantage, they are likely to have better recent form or matchup advantages.

North Texas is the clear favorite in the listed markets (moneyline around 1.36) with a spread of -5.5. Tulane is listed as a sizable underdog (~3.2). The combination of favorite status and home-court advantage supports NTX as the likely winner.

Grok 4
75%

North Texas is the clear favorite with moneyline odds of 1.36, indicating strong market expectation of a home win against Tulane.

The moneyline odds heavily favor North Texas (1.36 vs 3.2), indicating strong market confidence in a home win. The -5.5 spread consensus across all books suggests North Texas is expected to win by a comfortable margin. However, confidence is moderate rather than high due to lack of current season context and the relatively early morning game time which could affect performance.

The moneyline odds heavily favor North Texas at 1.36 vs 3.2, indicating approximately 73% implied probability of a home win. The consistent -5.5 spread across all books reinforces strong confidence in North Texas as the superior team in this matchup.

North Texas is a clear favorite at home with moneyline odds of 1.36 implying roughly 73% win probability. The 5.5-point spread across all books consistently reflects strong confidence in North Texas. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the market consensus strongly favors the Mean Green.

GLM-5
72%

North Texas is the home favorite with a -5.5 spread, translating to solid moneyline odds of 1.36. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is significant, and the consistent spread line suggests the books strongly favor the Mean Green to win outright against a Tulane side traveling on the road.

GPT-5
68%

Market implies ~73% win probability (1.36 ML, -5.5 spread). At home, North Texas’ defense-first profile gives them a solid edge.

Consistent market pricing strongly favors North Texas (moneyline ~1.36 across books). Home advantage plus a unanimous -5.5 spread indicates sportsbooks view North Texas as the clear favorite.

Over/Under

O/U 137.5

92%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 62%

Over (8%) Under (92%)
1 model · avg 60% avg 62% · 12 models

Over

There is a slight market lean toward Over in the higher total options (e.g., 133.5 at ~1.88). A modestly higher-scoring game is plausible given the matchup, though the line variability adds uncertainty.

Under

The betting lines show significant resistance as the total increases. The odds for the under become more expensive (e.g., 1.97) at the 133.5 line, while the over becomes cheaper. This pattern indicates that the market sentiment favors a lower-scoring game, making the 'under' the more probable outcome, especially considering North Texas's traditionally strong defensive and slower-paced style of play.

Both teams have shown tendencies to play lower-scoring games, and the total points line suggests a cautious approach to scoring, favoring the under.

The total lines fluctuate between 131.5 and 133.5. Notably, when the line is set at 133.5, the odds for the 'Under' (1.95, 1.97) are slightly more favorable than the 'Over' (1.87, 1.88), suggesting a market lean towards a lower-scoring game, especially at the higher end of the total range.

The total ranges from 131.5-133.5 across books, with slight movement toward the under (odds of 1.91-1.97 on under vs 1.87-1.91 on over). This suggests sharp money favoring the under. A 132-point total is relatively low for college basketball, but the line movement and better odds on the under indicate defensive play or slower tempo expected.

GLM-5
62%

There is line disagreement on the total, ranging from 131.5 to 133.5. North Texas is historically known for a slow tempo and stout defense, often leading to lower-scoring affairs. The value appears on the Under, particularly with lines at 133.5 offering better odds (1.95/1.97), suggesting the market anticipates a defensive grind.

Grok 3
60%

The totals line varies between 131.5 and 133.5 with odds slightly favoring the under at higher lines (1.95-1.97). Given the potential for a defensively focused game and the spread suggesting a possible blowout where North Texas controls pace, the under seems slightly more likely.

Books cluster totals between 131.5 and 133.5, a relatively modest figure. Given the favorite is projected to control tempo (home team -5.5) and sportsbooks set a conservative total, the market signal and tempo argument tilt toward the under.

Grok 4
60%

Totals lines vary from 131.5 to 133.5 with slight leans toward under in some odds (e.g., 1.97 for under 133.5), pointing to a potential low-scoring defensive matchup.

GPT-4o
60%

The line fluctuation around 132-133.5 suggests a close game in terms of scoring. Historically, games involving these teams lean towards lower scoring, making the 'under' a slightly more likely outcome.

GPT-5
60%

Totals clustered around 132–133.5 suggest a grind; North Texas’ tempo and defense favor a game landing in the high 120s/low 130s.

The totals range from 131.5 to 133.5 across books, with slightly worse odds on the over (1.87-1.93) compared to the under (1.91-1.97). The marginal preference for unders and the mid-low total of ~132 suggests teams may play at a moderate pace or possess solid defensive capabilities. This is a weak signal, making confidence moderate at best.

The total varies between 131.5-133.5 across books, indicating some market uncertainty. The lower end (131.5) and middle consensus around 132 suggests books are slightly cautious. Conference games late in the season tend to feature tighter defense and slower pace. Taking the under at 133.5 (1.95 odds) offers the best value with enhanced juice, suggesting slight market lean toward under.

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