Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
Spread
San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 / Sporting Kansas City +0.592%
consensus
San Jose Earthquakes covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
San Jose Earthquakes covers
Given the Earthquakes' stronger performance at home and the spread of -0.5, they are expected to cover the spread.
The consistent spread of San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 means they need to win the match outright to cover. This aligns directly with their strong moneyline favoritism, making a home cover the most probable outcome.
The -0.5 spread for San Jose is consistently offered at nearly identical odds (1.85-1.91) across all sportsbooks, indicating balanced betting but market belief in a slight home advantage. The spread is tight, reflecting expected competitive balance, but San Jose's home status and superior moneyline odds suggest they should cover the minimal spread.
San Jose Earthquakes are favored at -0.5 with odds around 1.91, suggesting they are expected to win by at least one goal. Their home advantage and consistent favoritism in the odds support this prediction.
The spread consistently favors San Jose Earthquakes at -0.5 with equal odds to Sporting Kansas City +0.5, suggesting that San Jose has a good chance to cover given their home advantage and implied strength.
With a spread of -0.5, San Jose simply needs to win the game to cover. This aligns with the moneyline prediction. The odds for this outcome are around 1.91, indicating the market views it as a highly plausible scenario.
San Jose -0.5 is offered at even odds (around 1.91), and as the home favorite, they are expected to win by at least one goal to cover against Sporting Kansas City +0.5.
San Jose often covers a -0.5 spread when favored at home in MLS. The lineup of odds (roughly -0.5 at around 1.91) suggests they are expected to win by at least one goal more often than not in this matchup.
San Jose is favored at -0.5 goals (1.91 odds), meaning they need to win outright to cover. Given their moneyline favoritism and the relatively modest spread, backing the home side makes sense. The -0.5 spread essentially mirrors the moneyline with slightly better odds, and home field advantage in MLS is significant.
Consistent -0.5 lines for San Jose imply they only need a win to cash; narrow spread reflects a moderate edge for the home side. Odds are balanced but lean toward San Jose covering by winning outright.
Asian handicap -0.5 on San Jose is around 1.85–1.91, aligning with their moneyline edge; backing the home side to win and cover.
The -0.5 spread at consistent odds of 1.85-1.91 essentially mirrors the moneyline, requiring San Jose to win outright. Given San Jose's home advantage and the market's clear stance on their superiority, they should cover this spread. However, MLS matches can be unpredictable, and a draw would result in a loss, hence moderate confidence.
Sporting Kansas City covers
The spread is set at -0.5 for San Jose with even odds (1.91/1.91 or 1.85/1.86), essentially making this a pick'em for the spread. Sporting Kansas City at +0.5 only needs to avoid losing to cover. Given MLS's high rate of draws and SKC's potential to grind out results on the road, the half-goal cushion provides value for the underdog.
Moneyline
San Jose Earthquakes +1.83 / Sporting Kansas City +3.65100%
consensus
San Jose Earthquakes wins
13 models · avg conf 68%
San Jose Earthquakes wins
San Jose Earthquakes are consistently priced as clear favorites across all moneyline odds, with significantly lower odds (averaging around 1.86) compared to Sporting Kansas City (averaging around 3.55), indicating a strong implied probability of a home win.
San Jose Earthquakes are consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (ranging from 1.79 to 1.91), indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win at home against Sporting Kansas City, whose odds range from 3.3 to 3.95.
San Jose Earthquakes have favorable odds and home advantage, making them more likely to win against Sporting Kansas City.
Consistent moneyline odds heavily favor San Jose as the home team, with average odds around 1.85-1.91 (approximately 54-55% implied probability). This is a significant advantage over Kansas City's 3.3-3.95 odds. Home field advantage in MLS is meaningful, and the market consensus strongly supports San Jose.
San Jose Earthquakes are the home team and are consistently favored with lower odds across multiple lines, indicating a stronger likelihood of winning.
The betting odds consistently favor the San Jose Earthquakes as the home team. Their average moneyline price is approximately 1.85, which implies a win probability of over 54%, making them the clear favorite to win the match outright.
San Jose is consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (ranging 1.79-1.91), implying a higher probability of winning compared to Sporting Kansas City (3.3-3.95).
The consensus odds strongly favor San Jose at home with an average moneyline of approximately 1.85, implying a 54% win probability. This represents clear home favoritism in what appears to be a competitive MLS matchup. The consistent pricing across all books suggests sharp market agreement on San Jose's edge.
Market consensus strongly favors San Jose (multiple books ~1.8–1.91). Home team is the clear favorite on the moneyline across listings, indicating bookmakers see them as likeliest to win.
San Jose is a clear home favorite with odds averaging around 1.86 across bookmakers, implying approximately 54% win probability. Home advantage in MLS is significant, and Sporting Kansas City's away odds ranging from 3.3 to 3.95 indicate they are substantial underdogs. The consistent pricing across multiple books reinforces confidence in San Jose's superiority.
The odds consistently favor San Jose as home favorites across all bookmakers (ranging from 1.79-1.91), implying approximately 52-56% win probability. Home field advantage in MLS is significant, and the market consensus clearly points to San Jose. However, both teams have historically been lower-tier MLS sides, so confidence is moderate.
Across multiple markets, San Jose is consistently favored with moneyline odds around 1.8–1.9, and the spread line shows -0.5 as a common option. Home field advantage and the general market sentiment favor San Jose over Sporting Kansas City.
Markets make San Jose a solid home favorite (1.79–1.91) versus SKC (3.3–3.95), indicating higher win probability with home edge.
Over/Under
O/U 3.2577%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 63%
Over
The odds for over 3.25 and 3.5 suggest a higher-scoring game, coupled with both teams' offense capabilities.
The totals line is predominantly set at 3.25 with odds for over at 1.93, indicating a slight lean towards a higher-scoring game. Additionally, some lines at 3.5 offer higher odds for over (2.1-2.23), suggesting potential for goals in this matchup.
The total line sits between 3.25 and 3.5 goals, which is relatively high for MLS, suggesting bookmakers anticipate an open, attacking match. San Jose Earthquakes historically play high-scoring games at home with both scoring and conceding. The Over 3.25 at 1.93 offers slight value, and Sporting KC's defensive vulnerabilities on the road could contribute to multiple goals.
Under
Multiple total lines are offered (3.25 and 3.5). While the high line suggests an expectation of goals, the odds are skewed towards the under. The odds for Under 3.5 goals are particularly low (averaging around 1.64), signaling strong market confidence that the game will finish with three or fewer total goals.
Books repeatedly set totals at 3.25–3.5 with the under consistently shorter-priced, signaling bookmakers expect fewer than ~3–4 goals. Market pricing and typical MLS scoring distributions favor the under.
The market shows strong preference for the under, with Under 3.5 priced at 1.62-1.66 (heavy juice on under) and Under 3.25 at 1.89. The total of 3.25-3.5 goals suggests books expect a relatively tight, defensive contest. The heavy under pricing and the fact that San Jose is only a modest favorite indicates an expectation of a low-scoring affair, typical of competitive MLS matches.
The 'Under 3.5' goal line is notably favored across multiple bookmakers, with average odds around 1.64. Even at 'Under 3.25', the market leans towards the under (1.89), suggesting the market anticipates a match with three goals or fewer.
Totals are split between 3.25 and 3.5 across different books. The Under shows consistent odds around 1.89 vs Over at 1.93 (3.25 line) and Under 1.62-1.66 vs Over 2.1-2.23 (3.5 line). The slightly higher Over odds suggest slight market lean toward scoring, but the tight odds indicate uncertainty. Mid-season MLS matches typically trend toward modest scoring; Under provides slight edge with better risk-reward.
Totals are shaded under: Under 3.25 slightly favored (1.89) and Under 3.5 heavily juiced (1.62–1.66), implying an expectation near 3.1–3.3 goals.
While there are lines for both over 3.25 and over 3.5, the odds for under 3.5 are more favorable, suggesting the market anticipates fewer goals in this matchup.
The 3.25 goal line is a typical MLS marker where both teams can contribute but defenses are usually disciplined. The under is slightly favored on most book lines (1.89–1.93) and a tighter, defensively focused game is plausible between two strong MLS teams.
The totals line is set at 3.25-3.5 goals with the under slightly favored (1.89 for under 3.25, 1.62-1.66 for under 3.5). Both San Jose and SKC have historically struggled offensively and early-season MLS matches tend to see teams still finding their rhythm. The bookmakers' pricing suggests under is the sharper side, particularly at the 3.5 line.
The most common line is 3.25 with Under at slightly better odds (1.89 vs. 1.93 for Over), and 3.5 lines favor Under strongly (1.62-1.66), suggesting a lower-scoring game overall.