Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals
Spread
69%
consensus
Washington Capitals covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
Washington Capitals covers
Given the Capitals' home advantage and overall stronger team performance, they are likely to cover the spread.
Given the Capitals' strong moneyline odds and home advantage, they are likely to cover any reasonable spread. The Flyers' inconsistency away from home further supports this.
Assuming standard NHL puck line of -1.5, Capitals' offensive strength should cover against a rebuilding Flyers team.
Given the Capitals are significant moneyline favorites, they are expected to win by a comfortable margin, likely covering a standard -1.5 puck line.
Given the Capitals' favored status and home advantage, they are likely to cover a typical NHL spread of -1.5 goals, though this depends on their offensive output and defensive stability.
Washington's moneyline odds of 1.49 suggest the sportsbook expects a relatively comfortable home victory, likely by 1-2 goals. The spread would typically favor Washington at -1.5 or similar. Home teams in divisional matchups tend to have slight advantages in late February when division standings are competitive.
As the home favorite, Washington would typically cover a -1.5 spread if they win by at least 2 goals; home teams tend to cover at a higher rate when favored.
Given the lopsided moneyline, the expectation is for a comfortable Capitals win. Covering the standard -1.5 puck line is a likely outcome for a strong home favorite, as they possess the offensive capability to win by multiple goals.
Assuming a standard puck line of -1.5 for the home favorite, the Capitals are predicted to cover. The short moneyline price suggests an expected blowout or comfortable win, likely resulting in a multi-goal margin, potentially including an empty-net goal.
Philadelphia Flyers covers
While Washington is favored to win outright, the moneyline differential suggests a puck line around -1.5 for the Capitals. NHL games are often decided by one goal, and the Flyers at +2.6 moneyline odds show they're competitive enough to keep this close. Philadelphia should cover the spread even in a loss.
With a strong favorite, the standard -1.5 puck line often covers less than 50% due to frequent one-goal games; Flyers +1.5 is slightly more likely to cash.
A favorite at 1.49 often wins by a single goal rather than by multiple goals. The puck-line (−1.5) is difficult to cover consistently; expect the Capitals to win but likely by one, so the Flyers (+1.5) are more likely to cover.
With such heavy favoritism on Washington, the puck line likely sits at -1.5 for the Caps. Philadelphia, while expected to lose, often keeps divisional games competitive. The Flyers have potential to keep this within a goal or steal an outright win as a value play. Taking the underdog to cover in a Metropolitan Division matchup offers value.
Moneyline
Washington Capitals +1.48 / Philadelphia Flyers +2.7100%
consensus
Washington Capitals wins
13 models · avg conf 73%
Washington Capitals wins
The betting odds strongly favor the Washington Capitals at 1.49, indicating a high probability of them winning the game outright according to bookmakers.
Capitals are strong favorites at 1.49 odds, with home advantage and historical edge over Flyers.
The Washington Capitals have lower odds (1.49) compared to the Philadelphia Flyers (2.6), indicating they are the favorites. Assuming recent team performance and home advantage, they are likely to win.
The Capitals have been performing well this season and have a strong home record. The betting odds reflect their higher chance of winning against the Flyers.
The Capitals have a favorable moneyline at 1.49, indicating they are the stronger team. Historically, they perform well at home, and their recent form suggests they are likely to win.
The betting odds heavily favor the Washington Capitals at 1.49, implying a 67.1% win probability. As the home team against a divisional rival, this strong market indicator points to a Capitals victory.
The Capitals are the clear favorite at 1.49 (implied probability ≈ 67%). Home-ice and the market price indicate the Capitals are expected to control the game; while upsets are possible in the NHL, the line favors Washington reliably.
The odds of 1.49 imply a roughly 67% win probability for the Capitals. As the home favorite with a significant odds gap, they are the clear mathematical pick, though hockey's inherent variance keeps confidence below 80%.
The Capitals are significant home favorites with odds of 1.49 (-204 in American odds), indicating the betting market expects them to win roughly 67% of the time. As the home team with strong implied probability, Washington should secure the victory against Philadelphia.
Capitals are the home favorite with moneyline odds of 1.49, implying roughly a 66-70% win probability. Flyers are long-shot underdogs at 2.60.
The Capitals are heavily favored at 1.49 odds (implied probability ~67%), indicating strong home ice advantage and likely superior form. The Flyers at 2.6 odds suggest bookmakers see them as significant underdogs. Washington typically performs well at Capital One Arena, and the odds reflect a clear edge for the home team.
Washington is favored at 1.49 odds, indicating market confidence in a home win. The Capitals have historically been a strong franchise, and home ice advantage in February typically favors established teams. However, the Flyers' 2.6 odds suggest competitive value, indicating this isn't a dominant matchup.
Decimal odds of 1.49 imply roughly a 64% chance after removing vig; market clearly favors the home side.
Over/Under
69%
consensus
Over
13 models · avg conf 59%
Over
Both teams have shown tendencies to engage in high-scoring games, and the overall offensive output suggests the total will go over.
Metropolitan Division matchups between Washington and Philadelphia historically tend to be physical, competitive games with offensive firepower on both sides. The moderate favorite status (not a defensive slugfest line) suggests both teams will generate scoring chances, favoring the over.
NHL games between competitive teams often see high-scoring outcomes. Assuming a typical over/under line of 5.5 or 6 goals, the game could trend over due to offensive potential on both sides.
Both teams have potent offenses; recent trends suggest games exceeding typical 6.5 total.
Both teams have shown a tendency to engage in high-scoring games, and the Capitals especially have a potent offense. This suggests a likelihood of the total goals going over the set line.
NHL games on average trend toward 5-6 total goals, and with two capable offenses and no clear defensive edge, an over is plausible.
Without a specific total line provided, we assume a standard NHL line (approx. 6.0 or 6.5). The market expectation of a Capitals dominance suggests offensive pressure. If Washington scores 4+ goals, the game has a high probability of going over.
Washington-Philadelphia divisional matchups historically feature competitive, moderate-to-high scoring games. Late February hockey typically sees increased pace and offensive output. Without specific season trend data, divisional rivalry games tend to produce 5.5-6.5 combined goals. This prediction carries moderate confidence due to lack of specific team scoring data.
The Capitals are expected to control the game's offense. In a divisional matchup that can sometimes feature more penalties and power plays, the favored home team is likely to score enough to push the game total over the standard line, which is typically set around 6.5 goals.
Under
NHL games often skew low-scoring when goaltending and defensive structure dominate. Given the moderate confidence in a Capitals win and tendency for one-goal margins, the under is the safer lean absent specific injury/lineup info.
Divisional matchups between Metro teams tend to be tightly contested with familiar goaltending and defensive systems. Both teams typically play more conservatively against rivals. Assuming a standard total around 6-6.5 goals, the under offers slight value given the expected competitive, lower-scoring nature of this rivalry game.
A favored home team controlling pace and limiting the underdog’s scoring tends to nudge toward an under, despite empty-net variance late.
Without a specific over/under line or any additional data on team offensive/defensive trends, predicting the total is highly speculative. This prediction is made with very low confidence, leaning slightly 'under' based on a general expectation of a more controlled game by the favorite, but acknowledging the lack of specific information.