Minnesota United FC
Austin FC
Spread
Austin FC -0.5 / Minnesota United FC +0.569%
consensus
Austin FC covers
13 models · avg conf 60%
Austin FC covers
The spread shows Austin FC at -0.25 with favorable odds around 2.04–2.28, suggesting market expects the home team to win or at least not lose by more than 0.25 goals.
Austin FC is favored with a -0.25 spread in most lines (odds around 2.04-2.05), suggesting they are expected to win by at least a narrow margin. The slight edge as the home team supports their ability to cover this small spread.
Given Austin FC is the moneyline favorite, covering the -0.25 spread (meaning they win outright) is a logical extension. The odds for Austin -0.25 are around 2.04-2.05, suggesting they are expected to win, even if narrowly.
The spread of -0.25 for Austin FC indicates they are slightly favored. The odds for Austin to cover the spread (-0.25) are around 2.05, which suggests a moderate likelihood of them covering.
With a slightly favorable spread of -0.25, Austin FC is likely to cover at home, especially given their overall home advantage in similar matchups.
Austin FC is favored at -0.25 to -0.5 goals depending on the book. The -0.25 spread (most common) suggests a very tight matchup with a slight home advantage. Austin's consistent spread favoritism and home field advantage make them slight cover favorites, though the small spread indicates Minnesota will be competitive.
Lines are razor-thin (Austin -0.25 / -0.5 in some books), implying a tight match. Given Austin is the market favorite and they have home advantage, they are slightly more likely to cover the small spread.
Austin FC -0.25 spread at odds of 2.04-2.05 offers value on the home side. This Asian handicap provides partial protection (half stake returned on a draw). The market has been consistent with Austin as -0.25 to -0.5 favorites. Given MLS home win rates historically hover around 45-50%, backing the home side to cover the slight spread is justified.
With Austin FC as the slight favorite to win outright, they are likely to cover the common -0.25 spread, despite some lines favoring the away cover.
Minnesota United FC covers
The odds for Minnesota United FC to cover the spread (+0.25 and +0.5) are significantly favored by the market. For example, Minnesota +0.5 at 1.56 implies a high probability that they will not lose the match, making them a strong pick to cover.
The spread is minimal (-0.25 to -0.5 for Austin), and Minnesota gets 0.25-0.5 goals. Given the tight moneyline odds suggesting a close match, taking Minnesota with the cushion provides value. The away spread at 1.56-1.81 odds offers decent protection, as even a draw or 1-goal loss would cover the +0.25/+0.5 spread.
Asian line shows Austin -0.25 at plus money (~2.04) vs Minnesota +0.25 ~1.80, implying market tilt toward Minnesota covering via draw or narrow result.
The Asian handicap of Minnesota United +0.25 at odds of 1.80-1.81 offers solid value. This line suggests bookmakers see a very close match. With Minnesota getting a quarter-goal head start, they only need to avoid losing by a full goal to cover (push on a 1-goal loss, win on draw or win). MLS away teams frequently compete closely, and Minnesota United has historically been competitive on the road. The juice slightly favors Minnesota's side of the spread.
Moneyline
Austin FC +2.36 / Minnesota United FC +3100%
consensus
Austin FC wins
13 models · avg conf 62%
Austin FC wins
Across the majority of listed odds, Austin FC is the favorite with lower decimal odds than Minnesota United FC, indicating higher implied probability of winning the match.
Austin FC is consistently priced as the favorite across all provided moneyline odds, indicating market confidence in them to secure a home victory. Their odds are notably lower than Minnesota United FC's.
Austin FC is favored at home with slightly better odds overall. The consistency in their odds being lower than Minnesota's suggests a higher likelihood of winning.
Austin FC is consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (ranging from 2.25 to 2.36) compared to Minnesota United FC (ranging from 2.85 to 3.15). This indicates a stronger market belief in Austin FC's likelihood to win at home.
Austin FC has shown strong home performance historically, and the odds suggest they have a better chance of winning compared to Minnesota United FC.
Austin FC is favored across all sportsbooks with consistent odds ranging from 2.25-2.36, implying approximately a 43-44% implied win probability. The home field advantage in MLS is significant, and the consistent favoring suggests market confidence in Austin's ability to win. Minnesota United is a slight underdog at 2.85-3.15 odds (33-35% implied probability).
Market consensus shows Austin as the favorite across multiple books (Austin ~2.25–2.36 vs Minnesota ~2.85–3.15). The consistent lower decimals for Austin indicate the market gives them the edge at home.
Austin FC is consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (averaging around 2.35), suggesting a higher probability of victory over Minnesota United FC.
Austin FC is the consistent home favorite across all available betting lines. While the odds are not overwhelmingly in their favor, suggesting a competitive match, they represent the most probable single outcome according to the market.
Austin FC enters as the home favorite with consistent odds around 2.35-2.36, implying approximately 42-43% win probability. Home advantage in MLS is significant, typically worth 0.3-0.4 goals. Minnesota United's odds drifting to 3.00+ suggests market skepticism about their chances. The lack of a draw option in standard moneyline and Austin's status as consistent favorites across all bookmakers supports a home victory.
Austin FC has home field advantage and the odds favor them moderately (2.25-2.36 vs 2.85-3.15). The market consistently prices Austin as favorites, suggesting they have approximately a 42-44% implied win probability versus Minnesota's 32-35%. Home advantage in MLS is significant, making Austin the lean.
Odds across books slightly favor Austin (≈2.25–2.36 vs 2.85–3.15), indicating a modest home edge; draw risk keeps confidence moderate.
Austin FC is the home favorite with moneyline odds around 2.25-2.36 (implied probability ~42-44%) versus Minnesota United at 2.85-3.15 (implied ~32-35%). The odds suggest a relatively close match with a slight lean toward the home side. Austin FC's home advantage at Q2 Stadium, known for its strong atmosphere, provides a marginal edge. The draw is also a significant possibility in this matchup, but Austin FC has the better value as the slight favorite.
Over/Under
O/U 2.577%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 59%
Over
The odds for Over 2.5 goals (ranging from 1.88 to 2.00) are slightly more favorable than Under 2.5 (1.77 to 1.87) in most lines, indicating a marginal expectation for a higher-scoring game. Given the offensive tendencies in MLS matches, Over 2.5 seems a reasonable prediction.
The odds for the over 2.5 goals are close to even, suggesting a balanced expectation for goals. However, the slight edge in the line for the over across multiple bookies indicates a potential for a higher-scoring game.
The odds for over 2.5 goals are close to even, indicating a potential for a high-scoring game, especially considering both teams' attacking capabilities.
Under
Most books set the line at 2.5 with slightly shorter odds on the under (under often listed ~1.77–1.87 vs over ~1.95–2.00), indicating the market leans toward a lower-scoring affair. The tight expected margin also supports an under result.
Several lines price Under 2.5 around 1.83–1.87 versus Over 2.5 around 1.86–1.96, indicating a modest edge for a 2-goal or fewer outcome in this matchup.
The odds for Under 2.5 goals are consistently lower (averaging ~1.83) than the odds for the Over. This indicates that bookmakers anticipate a tight, defensive game with fewer than three total goals scored, which aligns with the close spread.
Under 2.5 consistently shorter (≈1.77–1.87) than Over across books, signaling a lower-scoring expectation.
The 'Under 2.5' total consistently has slightly lower odds (ranging from 1.77 to 1.87) compared to the 'Over 2.5' (ranging from 1.88 to 2.00) across most listings, indicating the market expects a lower-scoring affair.
The Over/Under is consistently set at 2.5 goals with slight underdog pricing for the Under (1.77-1.87 vs 1.88-2.0 for Over). MLS matches frequently feature defensive play, especially early-season contests. The modest total and slight market lean toward Under suggests a lower-scoring affair is anticipated, though this is a close call.
The totals line is set at 2.5 goals with relatively balanced odds (Over 1.88-2.00, Under 1.77-1.87), but the under has slightly better odds across most books. The tight spread and moneyline suggest a competitive, potentially defensive match. Both teams will likely play cautiously, especially early season in February, favoring a lower-scoring affair.
Betting lines show a consistent lean towards under 2.5 goals, with average under odds lower (1.838) than over (1.95), indicating lower total scoring expected.
The totals line of 2.5 goals shows the under slightly favored at 1.77-1.87 versus the over at 1.88-2.00. Early season MLS matches (February 2026 would be season opener territory) typically see tighter, more conservative play as teams work into form. Both teams may prioritize defensive organization early in the campaign. The slight edge in odds toward the under reflects bookmaker sentiment that this could be a low-scoring affair, likely 2 goals or fewer.
The 2.5 goal total line shows balanced odds with slight lean toward under (1.86-1.87). Early season MLS matches in February often see teams still building chemistry and fitness, leading to more cautious, lower-scoring affairs. The consistent pricing on under 2.5 across multiple books suggests market expects a tighter, more defensive contest.