Niagara Purple Eagles
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers
Spread
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers -7 / Niagara Purple Eagles +769%
consensus
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers covers
13 models · avg conf 63%
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers covers
Mt. St. Mary's is listed at -7 in every line, indicating strong market consensus they cover if they win by margin; home court adds to the likelihood.
The Mountaineers have consistently performed well at home, and covering a 7-point spread is plausible against a weaker opponent like Niagara.
Mt. St. Mary's -7 spread is stable across different odds with balanced pricing (1.91-1.94), suggesting they are likely to win by more than 7 points. Home advantage in NCAA basketball often plays a significant role.
Mt. St. Mary's -7 is consistently lined across all books, suggesting sportsbooks are comfortable with this number. The home court advantage and consistent market positioning support a cover, but the specific 7-point spread is moderate enough that Niagara could stay competitive or pull the upset. Confidence is moderate due to the volatility of college basketball.
While the -7 spread is significant, the consistent favoritism for Mt. St. Mary's suggests they are expected to control the game. As the home team and a solid favorite, they have a reasonable chance to cover this spread, assuming their offensive and defensive strengths align with the bookmakers' assessment.
A 7-point spread is significant but not huge at this level; given the home favorite status and market consensus around -7, Mt. St. Mary's has a reasonable chance to cover if they control tempo and defend well.
The spread has held firm at -7 across all books, showing no line movement toward the underdog. However, 7 points is a significant number in college basketball and represents a challenging cover. Mt. St. Mary's should have enough offensive advantage to cover, but confidence is moderate given the margin.
The spread has held steady at -7 with nearly identical odds for both sides (e.g., 1.91 vs 1.91). This suggests a sharp, well-set line. In such cases, a slight lean towards the home team to perform to expectations is a reasonable position.
The spread is stable at -7 across multiple lines with even odds, suggesting Mt. St. Mary's has the edge to cover by winning by more than 7 points, based on their defensive strength against Niagara's offense.
Niagara Purple Eagles covers
While Mt. St. Mary's is favored, the consistent spread of -7 suggests a competitive matchup. Niagara Purple Eagles have a reasonable chance to cover the spread, especially if they can keep the game close.
The 7-point spread is a key number in basketball. The uniform odds (1.91-1.94) suggest no sharp money movement either way. In low-scoring college games (total around 129-131), 7 points represents a significant margin. Niagara as a conference opponent likely keeps it competitive enough to stay within the number.
While Mt. St. Mary's should win, 7 points is a hefty spread for a mid-major conference game. Niagara, despite being the underdog, typically plays competitive games within the MAAC. The identical pricing at 1.91-1.94 across books shows balanced action, suggesting the market sees this as close to a coin flip. Conference games tend to be tighter, favoring the dog to cover.
With a relatively low total (~129-131), points are at a premium; +7 for Niagara has slightly better value in a slower-paced matchup.
Moneyline
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers +1.33 / Niagara Purple Eagles +3.4100%
consensus
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers wins
13 models · avg conf 73%
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers wins
Mt. St. Mary's is consistently listed as a -7 point favorite across all betting lines, indicating a strong expectation from oddsmakers that they will win the game outright.
The Mountaineers are consistently established as 7-point home favorites across all provided betting lines. This significant spread indicates a strong market expectation for an outright win.
The consistent -7 spread favoring the home team indicates Mt. St. Mary's is a strong favorite to win outright, likely due to home court advantage and superior matchup in the MAAC conference.
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers are favored by 7 points across multiple spreads, indicating confidence from oddsmakers in their ability to win outright. Additionally, being the home team often provides an advantage.
Mt. St. Mary's has home court advantage and a stronger overall performance in recent games, making them the likely winner.
The Mountaineers are the consistent spread favorite (-7) across all market lines, plus home-court advantage implies a higher likelihood of winning the game.
The 7-point spread indicates Mt. St. Mary's is a solid home favorite. As the home team with a meaningful spread advantage, the Mountaineers are expected to control this MAAC conference matchup. Home court advantage in mid-major conferences is significant, and the consistent -7 line across all books suggests sharp confidence in Mt. St. Mary's.
Mt. St. Mary's is a consistent 7-point home favorite across all bookmakers, indicating strong market confidence. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball typically provides 3-4 points, suggesting the Mountaineers are the superior team. The stable spread line with no movement toward Niagara supports this assessment.
Mt. St. Mary's is favored with a consistent -7 spread across multiple betting lines, indicating stronger market confidence in their ability to win at home.
Mt. St. Mary's is favored at -7 across all sportsbooks, indicating market confidence in a home win. The consistent spread across multiple books suggests this reflects true perceived value. However, moderate confidence reflects the relatively modest 7-point margin in college basketball where upsets occur regularly.
Mt. St. Mary's is favored by 7 points at home, indicating they are the stronger team. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is significant, and the consistent -7 spread across multiple books shows market consensus on their superiority.
Market has Mt. St. Mary’s around a 7-point home favorite, implying a clear win probability edge.
Market consistently prices Mt. St. Mary's as a clear favorite (-7), indicating the books view them as the stronger side at home. Home-court edge and implied quality gap favor a straight win.
Over/Under
O/U 129.592%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 63%
Over
There is a notable pricing difference on the 129-point total line, with the Over priced higher (1.95/1.97) than the Under (1.87/1.88). This 'juice' indicates that more money or market sentiment is on the Over, suggesting it is the more likely outcome at that number.
Under
The total line has seen a downward adjustment from 131 to 129. Additionally, the 'Under 129' is being offered at slightly lower odds (e.g., 1.87, 1.88) compared to the 'Over 129' (e.g., 1.95, 1.97), indicating a market lean towards a lower-scoring game.
The totals are set at 129 and 131, with odds slightly favoring the under. NCAA games can be defensively oriented, and the adjustments in the odds suggest expectations for a lower-scoring game.
Both teams have shown tendencies to struggle offensively in past matchups, suggesting the total may not exceed 131 points.
Total lines cluster around 129-131. Both teams are mid-major programs with slower paces and generally lower scoring, making the under a plausible bias amid line variation.
The total has moved from 131 to 129 at some books, with the Under 129 offering shorter odds (1.87-1.88 vs 1.95-1.97 for Over). This line movement toward a lower total and the favorable under odds indicate market expectation for a defensive, slower-paced game typical of MAAC conference play.
The total has slight movement from 131 to 129 at some books, with Under odds slightly more favorable (1.87-1.88) compared to Over (1.95-1.97), suggesting sharp money on the Under. A projected total around 129-131 indicates a defensive, slower-paced game typical of mid-major NCAA basketball matchups.
Books opened totals around 129–131, which imply a lower-scoring game. Mid-major matchups like this often feature slower pace and defensive emphasis, supporting the under.
The totals line fluctuates between 129 and 131, with slightly better odds for under at 129 (1.88 vs 1.97 for over). This suggests a potential for a lower-scoring game, possibly due to defensive playstyles.
Totals lines vary between 129 and 131, but lower lines show under favored (e.g., 1.87-1.88 odds), indicating a pattern of betting action on under, possibly due to both teams' recent trends in low-scoring games.
Multiple books lean under at 129 (under juiced), and 131 is widely available—signals an overall market tilt to the under.
The totals range from 129-131 across books, suggesting a defensive or slower-paced matchup expected. Mid-major NCAA basketball games often trend toward slightly lower-scoring affairs. However, the relative flatness of odds and narrow range between over/under suggests no strong consensus, warranting only modest confidence. The slight edge to under reflects typical mid-major game patterns.
The total varies between 129-131 across books, with slight juice favoring the under at 129 (1.87 vs 1.95). This suggests bookmakers expect a lower-scoring affair. Both teams play in the MAAC, which features moderate-paced offenses. Late February conference games often feature stronger defensive intensity as teams position for tournament seeding. The under 129 offering better value reinforces this lean.