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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 03:00 AM

UC Davis Aggies

@

CSU Fullerton Titans

Spread

CSU Fullerton Titans -1.5 / UC Davis Aggies +1.5

62%

consensus

CSU Fullerton Titans covers

13 models · avg conf 58%

CSU Fullerton Titans covers (62%) UC Davis Aggies covers (38%)
8 models · avg 58% avg 54% · 5 models

CSU Fullerton Titans covers

With the spread set at CSU Fullerton -1, the home team is likely to cover with their recent performance and the advantage of playing at home.

With CSU Fullerton listed at -1 and similar odds across multiple books, the home team is favored to win by more than 1 point in typical scenarios, making them likely to cover the spread.

GPT-4o
60%

The spread is consistently set at CSU Fullerton Titans -1, suggesting confidence in their ability to cover by a small margin.

With CSU Fullerton Titans being the home team and a -1 favorite, the expectation is for them to secure a victory. Covering a -1 spread means winning by 2 or more points, which is a reasonable outcome for a favored home team in a tight contest.

The -1 line implies a toss-up but favors the home side. Expect Fullerton to cover a single-point spread more often given home advantage and neutral market pricing, but margin is small so confidence is moderate.

GPT-5
54%

With a -1 spread and balanced odds, if Fullerton wins they likely cover. Small home-court advantage and end-game fouling dynamics marginally favor the home -1 over the road +1.

Grok 3
52%

With a consistent spread of -1 for CSU Fullerton Titans across various odds, they are expected to win by a narrow margin. The odds (1.91-1.94) suggest a tight game, but home court advantage tips the scale slightly.

Grok 4
52%

Consistent -1 spread for Titans suggests they are expected to win by a small margin; home court advantage tips the scale slightly.

UC Davis Aggies covers

In a game projected to be extremely close, taking the underdog with the point is the statistically favorable play. UC Davis covers if they win outright or lose by a single point, providing two paths to a winning bet against a minimal spread.

At -1, CSU Fullerton needs to win by 2+ points to cover. The extremely tight spread suggests oddsmakers view these teams as nearly equal. UC Davis as the underdog may play with extra motivation as a visitor. The minimal 1-point spread makes this essentially a coin flip, with slight lean toward the underdog covering.

With only a 1-point spread and uniform odds across all books (1.91-1.94), this is essentially a pick'em game. UC Davis has historically been competitive on the road in conference play and tends to keep games close. The Aggies getting a point in what projects as a coin-flip game provides slight value on the visitors to cover.

The 1-point spread is razor thin and represents a virtual toss-up. The odds are nearly even (1.91-1.94), indicating bookmakers see this as highly competitive. In such tight spreads, taking the underdog with the extra point often provides value. UC Davis getting a point in what's essentially a coin-flip game offers slightly better positioning.

GLM-5
52%

The razor-thin 1-point spread suggests oddsmakers actually rate UC Davis slightly higher on a neutral court. Road teams getting points in tight conference games often provide value. UC Davis should keep this within 1 point or win outright.

Moneyline

CSU Fullerton Titans +1.85 / UC Davis Aggies +1.98

100%

consensus

CSU Fullerton Titans wins

13 models · avg conf 58%

CSU Fullerton Titans wins (100%) UC Davis Aggies wins (0%)
13 models · avg 58% avg 0% · 0 models

CSU Fullerton Titans wins

GPT-4o
65%

CSU Fullerton Titans have a slight edge due to being the home team, and the spread indicates a close matchup with a slight favor towards them.

The CSU Fullerton Titans are listed with a -1 spread, indicating they are the slight favorites in this matchup. This implies the oddsmakers expect them to win the game outright, even if by a narrow margin, likely factoring in home-court advantage.

Books list Fullerton as a very slim favorite at home (-1). Home-court edge plus market consensus across books suggests Fullerton is slightly more likely to win, though outcome should be close.

CSU Fullerton has home-court advantage and a slight edge in the betting spread, indicating they are favored to win.

Market shows CSU Fullerton as the home favorite with a -1 spread and near-even money (approx. 1.91). Home-court advantage and consistent line suggests Titans are the likely winner.

GPT-5
56%

Market has a near pick’em with the home side -1 at near even juice across multiple listings, implying a slight home-court edge. In a coin-flip matchup, default to the home team.

Grok 3
55%

CSU Fullerton Titans are slightly favored in the spread across multiple betting lines, indicating a marginal edge as the home team. Historical performance in close matchups and home advantage play a role.

CSU Fullerton is favored at -1 spread, indicating slight home court advantage. However, the minimal spread suggests this is an evenly matched contest. The home team typically has slight edge in basketball, but confidence is modest given the razor-thin margin.

The betting lines indicate this is essentially a pick'em, with the spread at just one point. In such a tightly contested matchup, the minimal home-court advantage is often the deciding factor, giving a slight edge to the Titans.

CSU Fullerton has home court advantage and is favored by 1 point across all books. The consistent -1 spread suggests the Titans are slight favorites, but this is essentially a pick'em game. Home court in college basketball typically provides a 3-4 point advantage, making them the marginal favorite.

GLM-5
55%

Home court advantage in college basketball typically provides a 3-4 point edge. As slight 1-point favorites at home, Fullerton should have enough to secure a close victory in this Big West conference matchup between evenly matched teams.

Grok 4
55%

Titans are slight home favorites with a -1 spread across multiple books, indicating a narrow edge in a close matchup.

CSU Fullerton is installed as a slight 1-point home favorite, indicating oddsmakers give them a marginal edge. Home court advantage in the Big West Conference is meaningful, and the Titans typically perform well at Titan Gym. The tight spread suggests a virtual toss-up, but home advantage tips the scale slightly toward Fullerton.

Over/Under

O/U 155.5

77%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 54%

Over (23%) Under (77%)
3 models · avg 54% avg 54% · 10 models

Over

Market total of 153 is relatively high for a conference matchup; both teams in this league typically produce above-average pace and inconsistent defense. Balanced odds suggest books expect scoring, so lean to the over with moderate confidence.

Both teams have shown the ability to score effectively, and with a total set at 153, there is a reasonable chance that they will exceed this number given their offensive capabilities.

Grok 4
50%

Totals line at 153 is balanced with even odds, but Big West teams often play at a pace leading to higher scores; patterns show slight vigorish on over in some books.

Under

Grok 3
60%

The total points line of 153 is relatively high for a matchup between these teams, which often play defensively in conference games. Consistent odds (1.91-1.93) for both over and under indicate uncertainty, but recent trends suggest lower-scoring games.

The total of 153 points suggests a moderate-paced game (average ~76.5 points per team). The consistently uniform odds across multiple books at 153 with no movement indicates sharp money hasn't pushed this line. In tightly contested games where neither team is heavily favored, defenses often tighten and possessions become more deliberate, favoring the under. Conference games between evenly matched teams tend to play under more frequently.

GPT-4o
55%

Despite the totals line being high at 153, previous matchups between similar teams have tended to be lower scoring, suggesting a potential for the under.

The total is set at 153 with nearly even odds for both over and under. Given the extremely tight spread (-1), it suggests a highly competitive game. Close NCAA basketball games often feature more deliberate possessions and intensified defensive efforts, which can lead to a slightly lower overall score, pushing the game 'under' the projected total.

The total of 153 suggests oddsmakers expect a moderately-paced Big West contest. Both CSU Fullerton and UC Davis typically play methodical half-court basketball with an emphasis on defense. Late-season conference games often trend lower-scoring as teams are familiar with each other's tendencies. The under has slight value given typical Big West game flow.

Pace between CSU Fullerton and UC Davis tends to be moderate and defenses are often solid in this matchup, making a total under 153 a plausible outcome.

GPT-5
53%

Total at 153 is elevated for a Big West matchup. In a tight, near pick’em game, possessions can compress and scoring variance dampens until late fouling; slight value to the under.

A total of 153 is relatively high for a college basketball game. In what is expected to be a close, hard-fought contest, defensive possessions are often more deliberate, which can lead to a slightly slower pace and a final score that falls just short of the total.

GLM-5
51%

Big West conference games tend to be lower-scoring affairs with familiar opponents. A 153 total is moderate, and tight spreads often correlate with defensive, grind-it-out games. Expect a final score in the 72-70 range.

The 153-point total is set at perfect equilibrium (1.91/1.91 odds). Without additional context on team pacing and defensive styles, the prediction leans slightly under based on typical mid-major conference game trends toward grind-it-out basketball. However, confidence is very low due to the balanced odds suggesting genuine uncertainty about game pace and scoring.

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TBD