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NBA 2/20/2026 at 03:40 AM

Denver Nuggets

@

Los Angeles Clippers

Spread

Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 / Denver Nuggets -4.5

77%

consensus

Denver Nuggets covers

13 models · avg conf 65%

Los Angeles Clippers covers (23%) Denver Nuggets covers (77%)
3 models · avg 55% avg 65% · 10 models

Los Angeles Clippers covers

The spread has moved from 3.5 to predominantly 4-4.5 points, showing some late money on the Clippers. At home with 4.5 points, the Clippers have cushion in what should be a competitive game. Denver should win, but the Clippers can keep it within a possession or two at home.

GLM-5
56%

The spread has drifted from +3.5 to +4.5, suggesting oddsmakers are adjusting to Denver's strength. However, home underdogs in the NBA cover at a strong rate, especially when getting 4+ points. The Clippers at home should keep this competitive within the number.

The spread varies between 3.5 and 4.5 points across books, showing some disagreement on the margin. The Clippers at +4.5 (available at multiple books) offers value as this matchup historically stays competitive. Home teams in NBA typically get 2-3 points of value, and the Clippers have enough talent to keep this close even if they don't win outright. The slight variation in spreads suggests bookmakers aren't fully confident in Denver covering the larger numbers.

Denver Nuggets covers

Most lines show the Nuggets favored by around 4 points (e.g., -4.5, -4, -3.5). As the away team, the Nuggets are expected to cover the spread in these scenarios more often than not.

With the Nuggets favored by a spread of -3.5 to -4.5, they are likely to cover the spread based on their consistent performance and ability to win by more than the spread margin in recent games.

GPT-4o
70%

The spread is consistently set around -4 to -4.5 for the Nuggets, with odds close to 1.91. This suggests a reasonable expectation that Denver will win by more than the spread, reflecting their perceived strength.

With the Denver Nuggets being strong moneyline favorites, they are expected to win by a comfortable margin. The spread consistently places them between -3.5 and -4.5 points, which is a reasonable hurdle for a team favored to win on the road against a good opponent. The slightly lower odds for Nuggets covering in some instances suggest a market expectation for them to beat this margin.

Grok 3
65%

The spread for Denver Nuggets ranges from -3.5 to -4.5, with odds slightly favoring them to cover in most lines (1.87 to 1.95). This suggests they are expected to win by a margin of at least 4 points, supported by their perceived superiority in this matchup.

Denver is favored to cover spreads ranging from -3.5 to -4.5 points across multiple sportsbooks, with fairly balanced odds (1.87-1.95). The consistent -3.5 to -4.5 point spreads indicate market confidence in Denver winning by more than a field goal. Their superior odds suggest they have the talent to win decisively on the road.

The spread has shown movement from an initial -3.5 to -4.5 in favor of the Denver Nuggets. This trend indicates that the majority of betting action is on Denver to win by a significant margin, suggesting market confidence that they will cover the spread.

Bookmakers have moved the spread into the -4 range at multiple books, suggesting sharper action on Denver. With Denver priced as a multi-point favorite and Clippers only getting home-court value, Denver is the more likely team to cover, though the margin is modest and susceptible to variance.

GPT-5
56%

Denver -4/-4.5 is juiced at multiple books (e.g., -4 at 1.87 vs +4 at 1.95), indicating a modest edge for the away favorite to cover.

Grok 4
55%

Consensus spread is around -4 for Nuggets, with stable odds. Patterns suggest Nuggets cover the -4 to -4.5 spread, given their favoritism and potential to win by margin.

Moneyline

Los Angeles Clippers +2.55 / Denver Nuggets +1.56

100%

consensus

Denver Nuggets wins

13 models · avg conf 71%

Los Angeles Clippers wins (0%) Denver Nuggets wins (100%)
0 models · avg 0% avg 71% · 13 models

Denver Nuggets wins

The Denver Nuggets are consistently listed as clear favorites across all moneyline odds (ranging from 1.54 to 1.61), indicating a significantly higher implied probability of winning the game outright compared to the Los Angeles Clippers (odds ranging from 2.32 to 2.55).

The Denver Nuggets are consistently priced as the clear favorite across all provided betting lines, with average odds around 1.56, implying a ~64% win probability. The market stability and consensus point towards a Nuggets victory, even on the road.

Grok 3
75%

The Denver Nuggets are consistently favored across all moneyline odds (ranging from 1.54 to 1.61), indicating strong bookmaker confidence in their victory. The Clippers' odds (2.32 to 2.55) suggest they are underdogs, likely due to recent form, injuries, or matchup disadvantages.

GPT-4o
75%

The Denver Nuggets are consistently favored across all sportsbooks, indicating strong market confidence. Their odds are lower, suggesting a higher probability of winning based on potential team strength and performance.

The Denver Nuggets have a lower moneyline, indicating that they are favored to win. They have shown strong performance in previous matchups, and recent betting trends also support their victory.

Denver is consistently favored across all books with odds around 1.54-1.61, indicating strong market consensus. The Nuggets are the away team but clear favorites, suggesting superior team strength. The market implies roughly 62-65% win probability for Denver.

Across the provided odds, the Nuggets are consistently listed as the favorite with lower moneyline odds than the Clippers, indicating a higher probability of winning according to the bookmakers.

Denver Nuggets are consistent favorites across all sportsbooks with odds ranging from 1.54-1.61, indicating strong market consensus. The Clippers' odds (2.32-2.55) suggest Denver is favored despite playing away. As the defending NBA champion (as of 2026), Denver's depth and experience likely gives them the edge on the road.

The Nuggets are clear favorites across all bookmakers with moneyline odds ranging from 1.54-1.61, implying approximately 62-65% win probability. Denver has historically been strong on the road and the consistent odds across multiple books suggest sharp money agrees on the Nuggets winning outright. The Clippers' home court advantage is not enough to offset Denver's superior roster depth and Jokic-led offense.

Consensus market prices show Denver as a clear favorite across multiple sportsbooks (ML ~1.56–1.61) and the spread consistently favors Denver by ~3.5–4.5 points, indicating the market views Denver as the stronger team.

Grok 4
65%

Nuggets are consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (1.54 to 1.61), implying a strong edge over the Clippers, who are underdogs at 2.32 to 2.55. Historical Nuggets strength in matchups supports this.

GPT-5
64%

Market makes Denver a road favorite at -4/-4.5 with ML 1.54–1.61 (≈62–65% implied), and several books show slight shading toward Denver.

GLM-5
63%

Denver is the clear favorite across all bookmakers with odds consolidating around 1.54-1.56. The line movement from Clippers at 2.32 to 2.55 indicates strengthening confidence in Denver. As road favorites with a superior roster built around Jokic, Denver should secure the win.

Over/Under

O/U 226.5

54%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 56%

Over (46%) Under (54%)
6 models · avg 58% avg 56% · 7 models

Over

The totals have been set around 225.5 to 226, and both teams have displayed offensive capabilities that suggest the game could exceed these totals, especially if they maintain a fast pace.

Grok 3
60%

The totals line is tight, ranging from 225.5 to 226.5, with odds slightly favoring the over in several instances (1.91 to 1.95). Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, particularly Denver, there is a slight edge towards the combined score exceeding 226 points.

The total line is tightly contested, hovering around 225.5 to 226.5 points with very balanced odds for both Over and Under, indicating no strong market lean. However, given the offensive firepower of both the Clippers and the Nuggets, and the potential for a competitive, high-scoring NBA game, a slight lean towards the Over is made, though with moderate confidence due to the balanced odds.

Total lines cluster around 225.5–226.5, and both franchises typically produce above-average offensive outputs in recent seasons. The market is balanced, but the offensive talent profile favors a slight lean to the over, while acknowledging game-to-game variance and unknown injury/news risk.

The totals line is very stable around 226, with odds that are nearly identical for the over and under. This indicates an accurately set line by the bookmakers. However, given the high offensive potential of both teams, there is a slight value in expecting a higher-scoring affair that pushes the total just over the mark.

Grok 4
52%

Totals line hovers at 226 with near-even odds, but slight variations favor over in some books. Both teams' offensive styles in NBA often push scores above this threshold.

Under

GPT-4o
60%

The totals odds are quite balanced, but there is a slight lean towards the under in some lines. Given the small variations and market's expectation of a competitive game, the under is slightly more favorable.

The 226 (or 226.5) total line appears frequently, with several books showing nearer to 226 and a slight lean toward under in some markets. Given typical pace and defensive focus in Nuggets-Clippers matchups, under is a reasonable modest edge.

Totals cluster around 225.5-226 points with slightly better odds for Under (1.87-1.95 vs 1.87-1.95). The even odds suggest market uncertainty, but slight lean toward Under. Both teams have strong defensive capabilities, and this matchup typically features competitive defense. The 3:40 AM time slot may also affect pace of play and scoring efficiency.

The total has stabilized at 226 across most books with relatively balanced juice. Both teams typically play in competitive, half-court settings in playoff-intensity matchups. The slight movement toward under 226.5 at some books and the defensive capabilities of both squads suggest a grind-it-out game that stays under 226.

The total is set at 225.5-226.5 across books, with slight juice favoring the under at several sportsbooks (1.87 vs 1.95 at some books). Both teams feature strong defensive capabilities when engaged, and playoff-caliber matchups between these squads tend to be more deliberate. The Clippers typically slow pace against elite teams, and Denver's half-court offense can grind possessions. The market lean toward under suggests sharps see a tighter, lower-scoring contest.

GPT-5
54%

Consensus total sits around 226 with several books slightly favoring the under (e.g., U226 at 1.87–1.88), suggesting a small lean to the under.

GLM-5
54%

The total has held steady around 225.5-226.5 with balanced odds. February games can be more defensive as teams gear up for playoff pushes. Both teams have capable defenses, and the slight lean is toward the under in what projects as a competitive, methodical game.

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