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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 03:00 AM

UC Irvine Anteaters

@

Long Beach St 49ers

Spread

Long Beach St 49ers +5.5 / UC Irvine Anteaters -5.5

69%

consensus

UC Irvine Anteaters covers

13 models · avg conf 68%

Long Beach St 49ers covers (31%) UC Irvine Anteaters covers (69%)
4 models · avg 57% avg 68% · 9 models

Long Beach St 49ers covers

The spread shows line movement from 6.5 down to 5.5-6 points, suggesting some sharp money on Long Beach St. With UC Irvine favored by roughly a touchdown in basketball, this is a moderate spread. Long Beach St at home with 6 points provides value, as college basketball home dogs often cover in Big West conference games.

GLM-5
56%

Long Beach St getting 5.5-6.5 points at home offers value. Home court advantage in college basketball typically accounts for 3-4 points, meaning the true spread on a neutral court would be around 2-3 points. The market has pushed the spread from -5.5 to -6.5 at some books, suggesting some sharp action on UC Irvine, but home underdogs in conference games covering at a higher rate. The +6.5 line at 1.91 odds presents the best value.

GPT-5
56%

With lines clustered at +6 to +6.5 for Long Beach St and some plus-money on UC Irvine -5.5/-6.5, there’s resistance at that number. Home court plus a likely two-possession game leans to Long Beach St covering.

There's notable line movement with spreads varying from 5.5 to 6.5 across books, suggesting some uncertainty about the margin. The best value appears at Long Beach St +6.5 (1.91). Home court advantage in college basketball typically adds 3-4 points, and the 49ers getting nearly a touchdown at home in a conference matchup provides solid cover potential. The juice on LBSU +5.5 (1.87-1.90) suggests sharp money may be on the home side.

UC Irvine Anteaters covers

UC Irvine is favored by -5.5 to -6.5 points. Given their strong moneyline odds, they are expected to win by a comfortable margin. The market, while balancing action, still implies a strong performance from the Anteaters, making them likely to cover the modest spread.

UC Irvine is favored by roughly 6 points in consistent lines; they typically cover the spread when favored by this margin.

The betting market consistently favors UC Irvine to cover a spread of -5.5 to -6.5. The odds movement, particularly the juice increasing on the UC Irvine side (e.g., -6.5 at 1.98), indicates that bettors expect them to win by a comfortable margin of 7 or more points.

Given UC Irvine's consistent ability to perform well on the road and the spread favoring them, they are expected to cover the spread.

GPT-4o
70%

The spread is consistently set around -5.5 to -6.5 in favor of UC Irvine, slightly favoring them to cover. Given their track record against comparable teams, they are likely to cover this spread.

UC Irvine is favored by a consistent 5.5-6.5 point spread across sportsbooks. The tight odds clustering (mostly -5.5 to -6.5) suggests this is a well-established line. Given Irvine's moneyline favoritism and the moderate spread size, covering a 5.5-6.5 point advantage appears likely for the away team.

Consensus spread ~-6 for UC Irvine suggests they should win by a single-digit margin; stable market lines and implied ML pricing support UCI covering a 5.5–6.5 spread.

Grok 4
60%

Consensus spread lines show UC Irvine favored by 5.5 to 6.5 points with even odds, suggesting they are likely to cover as the stronger team in this matchup.

Grok 3
60%

UC Irvine Anteaters are favored by -5.5 to -6.5 across multiple lines with odds around 1.91-1.99. The consistency of the spread suggests they are expected to win by a comfortable margin, though the slight variation in spread (5.5 to 6.5) introduces moderate uncertainty.

Moneyline

Long Beach St 49ers +3.03 / UC Irvine Anteaters +1.41

100%

consensus

UC Irvine Anteaters wins

13 models · avg conf 77%

Long Beach St 49ers wins (0%) UC Irvine Anteaters wins (100%)
0 models · avg 0% avg 77% · 13 models

UC Irvine Anteaters wins

UC Irvine is a strong favorite, indicated by their consistently low moneyline odds (1.31-1.34) across all listed bookmakers, while Long Beach St 49ers are significant underdogs (3.35-3.55).

UC Irvine is the consistent and strong favorite across all provided moneyline odds (averaging around 1.32), which implies a high probability of them winning the game outright.

GPT-4o
85%

The moneyline odds heavily favor UC Irvine at 1.31, indicating a strong expectation for them to win. Additionally, their consistent performance and higher ranking in the conference strengthen this prediction.

UC Irvine is the clear favorite in the listed odds (moneyline around 1.31) and are expected to win outright.

The moneyline heavily favors UC Irvine at 1.31-1.34 odds compared to Long Beach St at 3.35-3.55, indicating the market expects a clear Anteaters victory. This implies approximately 75% win probability for UC Irvine.

UC Irvine has stronger overall performance metrics and historical success against Long Beach St, making them the favorites.

Grok 3
75%

The moneyline odds heavily favor UC Irvine Anteaters (1.31-1.34) over Long Beach St 49ers (3.35-3.55), indicating strong market belief in their likelihood to win. This suggests UC Irvine has a superior team performance or matchup advantage.

Grok 4
75%

UC Irvine is heavily favored in the moneyline odds (around 1.31-1.34), implying a strong probability of victory over Long Beach St, who are underdogs at 3.35-3.55.

GLM-5
74%

UC Irvine is a substantial road favorite (-5.5 to -6.5) with moneyline odds of 1.31-1.34, implying approximately 75% win probability. Historically, UC Irvine has been one of the stronger programs in the Big West Conference with a reputation for disciplined play and strong coaching. Road favorites of this magnitude in conference play typically win at a high rate.

UC Irvine is a consistent 6-point favorite across all books with moneyline odds around 1.31-1.34, indicating strong market confidence. The Anteaters have historically been the stronger Big West program and the implied probability (~75%) suggests they should win outright. Road favorites of this magnitude in conference play typically perform well.

UC Irvine is a clear favorite across all sportsbooks with consistent moneyline odds of 1.31-1.34, implying approximately 75-76% implied probability. Long Beach St's underdog odds of 3.35-3.55 suggest significant respect for Irvine's strength. The consensus across multiple books indicates Irvine should win this matchup.

Market consistently favors UC Irvine (~-300 ML) and the spread sits around 5.5–6.5 in their favor, indicating a clear quality edge; book pricing shows consensus belief UCI is the better team.

GPT-5
68%

Multiple books have UC Irvine -5.5 to -6.5 and ML ~1.31–1.34 (≈74–76% implied). Consistent favoritism even on the road signals a stronger team profile; market consensus points to UC Irvine winning outright.

Over/Under

O/U 144.5

77%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 58%

Over (23%) Under (77%)
3 models · avg 57% avg 58% · 10 models

Over

GPT-4o
65%

The totals are set around 140.5 to 141.5. Considering both teams' offensive capabilities and recent high-scoring games, there is a reasonable expectation for the total points to exceed this line.

Grok 3
55%

The total points line is set at 140.5-141.5 with balanced odds (1.91-1.93). Given the small range and lack of significant movement, there’s a slight lean toward 'over' based on typical scoring trends in NCAA Basketball games involving competitive teams, though confidence remains low due to lack of specific team data.

Grok 4
52%

Totals lines are centered around 140.5-141.5 with balanced odds, but slight variations and even vig lean towards a higher-scoring game in NCAA basketball context.

Under

Both teams have shown a tendency to play defensively in recent games, suggesting a lower scoring affair than the projected total.

Line around 141.5 with mid-major teams often playing at a slower pace, suggesting a modestly lower-scoring game.

Total near 140.5–141.5 is moderate; given UCI's historical tendency toward defensive, lower-tempo games and the likelihood both teams emphasize half-court sets in a conference matchup, the under is preferred.

The totals line is tightly set between 140.5 and 141.5, with very balanced odds for both over and under. While there's no strong market signal, UC Irvine's tendency towards strong defense and controlling the pace as a favorite could lead to a game with fewer possessions and limited scoring opportunities for Long Beach St, pushing the total slightly under the line.

GLM-5
58%

The total of 140.5-141.5 aligns with UC Irvine's historically defensive-minded style under their coaching staff. Big West conference games tend to be lower-scoring affairs. The total has held steady at 141.5 across most books with some offering 140.5, indicating the market expects a moderate-paced game. UC Irvine's methodical offensive approach and defensive focus typically keeps totals in check.

The total has slight movement between 140.5 and 141.5, settling mostly at 141.5. Both teams typically play in the Big West conference known for defensive, lower-scoring games. The narrow total range and balanced odds suggest a low-scoring affair, with under being the slight value play.

The total is set between 140.5-141.5, relatively modest for college basketball. Both Big West teams tend to play slower-paced, defensive-oriented games. Conference matchups late in the season often feature tighter, more deliberate play as teams know each other's tendencies. The consistency of the line around 141 with standard juice suggests the market is comfortable here, but conference road games often trend lower scoring.

Totals are clustered around 140.5-141.5 points with nearly even odds (1.91-1.93 on both sides). This suggests the market is genuinely split. However, the 3:00 AM tip time is unusual and may indicate a non-traditional game format or lower pace. The slightly defensive nature of the matchup (moderate spread, lower moneyline odds) and early morning timing slightly favors Under, but this is a weak lean.

The totals line is very stable between 140.5 and 141.5 with evenly balanced odds. This suggests the line is sharp. As the strong road favorite, UC Irvine is likely to dictate the pace and focus on defensive execution, which slightly favors a lower-scoring game.

GPT-5
55%

Totals sit 140.5–141.5 with balanced juice. UC Irvine’s profile typically leans defense/tempo control; on the road as a favorite, game script favors a slightly lower-scoring outcome.

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