Utah Jazz
Memphis Grizzlies
Spread
Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 / Utah Jazz +3.577%
consensus
Memphis Grizzlies covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
Memphis Grizzlies covers
With a -4.5 spread and their home advantage, the Grizzlies are likely to cover the spread given their ability to perform well at home.
With the Grizzlies favored on the moneyline, and a consistent spread of -4.5, they are expected to win by more than a single possession. Playing at home, the Grizzlies have a good chance to cover this spread, especially if their offense is clicking.
Memphis is listed as -4.5 with sportsbook odds around 1.91–1.95, suggesting the market expects a 5-point or greater win for the Grizzlies. Home-court and typical Grizzlies performance in covering moderate spreads supports the home-side spread cover.
The spread is set at -4.5 for Memphis, which reflects a moderate confidence in their ability to win by at least 5 points. Given their favored status and home advantage, they are likely to cover.
The -4.5 spread for Memphis is consistently priced across all books (1.91-1.95 odds), suggesting the market has accurately assessed the talent gap. Memphis's home court advantage combined with being favored to win makes covering a 4.5-point spread realistic, though not guaranteed.
The spread of -4.5 for the Memphis Grizzlies is consistent across all lines, with odds slightly favoring them at 1.95 in some instances. This suggests a moderate expectation that they will win by more than 4.5 points, though the confidence is tempered due to the closeness of the odds.
The line at -4.5 is within a single-possession range and favors the home team. Given Memphis' favoritism, presumed better offensive efficiency at home and Utah's occasional inconsistency, Memphis is more likely to cover the 4.5-point spread.
Consistent -4.5 spread favors Grizzlies; their defensive strength and home court likely allow them to win by 5+ points, covering the spread despite slight odds variations.
Memphis -4.5 is a moderate spread for a home favorite. The Grizzlies' uptempo pace and physicality tend to wear down opponents at home, often leading to larger margins in the 4th quarter. However, the 4.5-point spread is tight enough that this is a closer call. The consistent line across books at -4.5 suggests sharp money hasn't moved it, indicating fair value. Memphis's depth advantage should help them pull away late.
The -4.5 spread is relatively modest for a home favorite, suggesting Memphis only needs to win by 5+ points. With home court advantage and being the clearly superior team per the odds, Memphis should cover this small spread in a competitive matchup.
Utah Jazz covers
The spread of 4.5 points is relatively small, and the odds for both teams to cover are nearly identical. This suggests the market expects a close game. In such scenarios, taking the points with the underdog, the Utah Jazz, provides a solid cushion as they can lose the game by up to 4 points and still cover.
While Memphis is favored to win, the 4.5-point spread is relatively narrow for a home favorite with such strong moneyline odds. Utah getting 4.5 points provides value as the line movement shows slight hesitation (odds moving from 1.91 to 1.95 on Memphis -4.5). In close NBA games, the underdog often covers even in losses. The small spread suggests a competitive game where Utah can stay within the number.
Line sits at +4.5 with some books shading Utah (1.87), suggesting a slight edge for Jazz to keep it within two possessions even if Memphis wins.
Moneyline
Memphis Grizzlies +1.65 / Utah Jazz +2.3100%
consensus
Memphis Grizzlies wins
13 models · avg conf 71%
Memphis Grizzlies wins
The Memphis Grizzlies are consistently priced as strong favorites across all provided moneyline odds (1.54-1.59), indicating a high probability of an outright win against the Utah Jazz.
The Memphis Grizzlies are consistently favored across all provided moneyline odds (ranging from 1.54 to 1.59), indicating strong market confidence in their victory. Their implied win probability is approximately 61-65%, suggesting they are the likely winners based on oddsmaker assessments.
The odds favor Memphis Grizzlies with a lower payout, indicating the bookmakers see them as the stronger team. Additionally, home-court advantage tends to be significant in the NBA.
The Grizzlies have the home-court advantage and have shown better overall performance metrics against the Jazz in recent matchups.
The Grizzlies are the consistent favorites across all provided betting lines and have the home-court advantage. The market consensus, reflected in the average odds of approximately 1.56, indicates they are the most probable winner of this contest.
Memphis is a clear favorite at home with odds around 1.54-1.59 across all books. The Grizzlies typically play well at FedExForum with their high-energy style. The consistent pricing across sportsbooks indicates strong market confidence in Memphis winning outright. Utah has been in a rebuilding phase and struggles on the road against playoff-caliber teams.
Grizzlies are the home team with consistent moneyline odds around 1.54–1.59, indicating a clear favorite status. Historical matchup dynamics and home-court advantage further support Memphis as the likely winner over Utah.
Memphis is consistently listed as the clear favorite across books (ML ~1.54–1.59) and is playing at home. The price reflects a meaningful edge; home-court + roster continuity/quality favors Memphis to win straight-up.
Consistent odds across all sportsbooks heavily favor Memphis (1.54-1.59) over Utah (2.42-2.56), indicating strong market confidence in a Grizzlies victory. The implied win probability of ~65% for Memphis reflects their home court advantage and likely superior roster strength at this point in the 2025-26 season.
The Grizzlies are solid home favorites with odds of 1.54-1.59, indicating approximately 65% implied probability. The consistent moneyline across multiple books suggests sharp money on Memphis. Home court advantage in the NBA is significant, and the market clearly favors the Grizzlies to win outright.
Grizzlies are favored across multiple odds sets with lower moneyline values (around 1.54-1.59), indicating strong home advantage and better recent form against Jazz.
Memphis is a solid home favorite with odds ranging from 1.54-1.59, indicating approximately 63-65% implied probability. Home court advantage in the NBA typically provides a 3-4 point edge, and the market consistently favors the Grizzlies across all listed books.
Market has Memphis ~1.54–1.59 (≈62–65% implied) at home with a -4.5 spread; consensus lean to Grizzlies straight up.
Over/Under
O/U 24169%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 58%
Over
Both teams have exhibited high-scoring games recently, and the total points line indicates a high-scoring matchup. The over is favored based on their offensive capabilities.
The total lines are set quite high (241.5-242.5), suggesting expectations for a high-scoring NBA game. The odds at 242.5 are even (1.91 for both over and under), implying a strong belief in significant offensive output from both teams, making the 'Over' a plausible outcome.
The totals line fluctuates between 241.5 and 242.5, with slightly better odds for the 'over' at 1.95 in some cases. Given the high total and the offensive potential of both teams in the NBA context, there is a slight lean towards the combined score exceeding the line.
Totals line around 241.5-242.5 with slight over bias in odds; both teams have high-scoring offenses, and recent matchups suggest combined points exceeding this threshold.
Under
The total is set at a very high line of over 241.5. Reaching such a high score requires exceptional offensive performances from both teams simultaneously. Historically, it is difficult for games to consistently exceed such lofty totals. The slight pricing advantage for the under (1.87 vs 1.95) also suggests a market inclination that the line may be slightly inflated.
The totals line is quite high, suggesting an expectation for a high-scoring game. However, NBA games often fluctuate, and such a high line might be set to attract 'over' bets. A close matchup could lead to more defensive play, favoring the 'under'.
Line sits around 241.5–242.5 with Under having a slight implied edge based on the odds (Under 241.5 at ~1.87). Given typical pace and defensive emphasis of these teams, a slightly lower-than-average total is plausible.
The total has slight movement from 241.5 to 242.5 across books, with under odds improving from 1.87 to 1.91, indicating market respect for the under. The relatively low total of 241.5-242.5 suggests books expect a defensive-minded or slower-paced game. With no clear sharp money pushing the over despite attractive odds of 1.91-1.95, the under appears to have slight value in what projects as a controlled, half-court game.
The totals are set between 241.5-242.5 points with slightly better odds on the under (1.87-1.91) compared to over (1.91-1.95). This marginal edge suggests moderate expectation of a lower-scoring affair, possibly due to Memphis's defensive capabilities or both teams' pace of play. However, the confidence is moderate given the tight odds indicate market uncertainty.
Total 241.5–242.5 is high; under is slightly juiced at 241.5, indicating a modest market lean to the under.
Totals cluster around 241.5–242.5. Leaning under because the favorite controlling pace/clock at home and typically stronger defensive matchups can suppress scoring. The line is high, so modest confidence against reaching that combined scoring level.
The total sits at 241.5-242.5 which is relatively high. While Memphis plays at a fast pace, the slight edge to the under (1.87 vs 1.95 at some books) suggests books are seeing under action. Utah's rebuilding roster may struggle to keep up offensively, potentially dragging total scoring down. The half-point difference between books creates slight uncertainty, but the under pricing indicates market lean toward fewer points.
The total of 241.5-242.5 is extremely high for an NBA game. Bookmakers are offering slightly better odds on the Under (1.87) compared to Over (1.95) on some lines, indicating a lean toward the Under. Such high totals often regress toward more typical scoring ranges.