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NBA 2/20/2026 at 12:11 AM Live

Houston Rockets

@

Charlotte Hornets

Spread

Charlotte Hornets -3.5 / Houston Rockets +3.5

85%

consensus

Houston Rockets covers

13 models · avg conf 61%

Charlotte Hornets covers (15%) Houston Rockets covers (85%)
2 models · avg 54% avg 61% · 11 models

Charlotte Hornets covers

The spread is tight at 2.5 points with relatively balanced odds (1.87-1.99). While Houston is favored, Charlotte getting 2.5 points at home provides decent value. Small spreads in NBA games often favor the home underdog, and the line hasn't moved significantly, suggesting sharp action on both sides. Charlotte can stay competitive enough to cover.

The spread is tight at 2.5 points across all books with nearly even juice (1.91/1.91 at most), indicating a close game expectation. Charlotte at home getting 2.5 points offers value in what projects as a competitive matchup. Home court advantage and the tight spread suggest the Hornets can keep this within the number even if they don't win outright.

Houston Rockets covers

Spread is commonly set at Rockets -2.5; given the favorite status and typical margin expectations in this matchup, Rockets are likely to cover the spread as the away team.

GPT-4o
70%

Houston is favored to cover a spread of -2.5 across the board, suggesting they are expected to not only win but also do so by more than 2.5 points. The consistency in the spread odds further supports this prediction.

Grok 3
65%

Houston Rockets are favored to cover the -2.5 spread with odds generally around 1.91. The consistency of the spread across multiple lines and the slight edge in odds for Houston suggests they are likely to win by at least 3 points.

Houston Rockets -2.5 is the consistent spread across virtually all sportsbooks. The market is giving Houston a clear edge of 2.5 points. The odds are nearly uniform at 1.90-1.91 on both sides, indicating a balanced book but a directional lean toward Houston covering. Charlotte would need to overcome the home court disadvantage plus the spread.

The Rockets, favored by 2.5 points, are expected to cover the spread based on their overall performance and matchup advantages against the Hornets.

The spread is consistently set at Houston Rockets -2.5. Given that the Rockets are favored to win outright, covering a small 2.5-point spread by winning by 3 points or more is a reasonable expectation if they perform to their favored status. While some odds were tight, the overall market points to the Rockets as the stronger team.

Grok 4
60%

Rockets are favored by -2.5 points in all spreads with balanced odds (around 1.87-1.93), suggesting they are likely to win by more than 2.5 points.

The spread is a narrow -2.5 in favor of Houston. Given the market lean and small margin, the Rockets are the more likely side to cover, though variance on a single-game spread is significant.

GPT-5
56%

Spread sits mostly at Rockets -2.5 with some books shading toward Houston (e.g., Hornets +2.5 up to 1.99). The small number correlates with the ML edge; slight value on the away side to cover.

The spread is small at -2.5 for the Rockets. As the clear moneyline favorites, it is probable they will win by at least one possession (3 points) to cover this spread. The odds for both sides of the spread are nearly even, but the value aligns with the favored team in a close contest.

GLM-5
52%

The spread has held firm at Houston -2.5 throughout the odds updates, indicating that while the Rockets are favored, the market expects a competitive game. In a tight contest where the total has trended downward, backing the road favorite to cover a small number is a slight lean based on the consistent line setting.

Moneyline

Charlotte Hornets +1.57 / Houston Rockets +2.35

100%

consensus

Houston Rockets wins

13 models · avg conf 67%

Charlotte Hornets wins (0%) Houston Rockets wins (100%)
0 models · avg 0% avg 67% · 13 models

Houston Rockets wins

The Rockets are consistently priced as the favorite across the majority of listed books (lower decimal odds around 1.69–1.74) indicating higher expected win probability against the Hornets.

GPT-4o
75%

The Rockets are consistently favored across multiple betting lines with odds around 1.69 to 1.74, indicating strong market confidence in their likelihood of winning. Additionally, the Rockets' recent performance and home court advantage contribute to this prediction.

The Houston Rockets are consistently priced as the clear favorite across all moneyline offerings, with odds ranging from 1.69 to 1.74, indicating a strong market expectation for them to win outright against the Charlotte Hornets.

Grok 3
70%

The Houston Rockets are consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (ranging from 1.69 to 1.74), indicating strong market belief in their likelihood to win. The odds suggest they have a significant edge over the Charlotte Hornets.

Houston is consistently favored across all books with odds around 1.69-1.74, indicating approximately 60% implied probability. The road favorite status and consistent line positioning suggests the market has strong confidence in the Rockets despite playing away.

The Rockets have a lower moneyline, indicating they are favored to win. Their form and recent matchups suggest they have a better chance of securing a victory.

Houston Rockets are favored across all sportsbooks with consistent odds around 1.69-1.74, implying approximately 58-59% implied probability. The Hornets' odds of 2.12-2.22 suggest around 45-47% implied probability. The market consensus heavily favors Houston, and the consistency across multiple books strengthens this signal.

Market consistently prices Houston as the favorite (ML ~1.7 and spread -2.5 across books), indicating the betting consensus expects the Rockets to win a close game.

The Houston Rockets are the consistent favorites across all provided betting lines. Their moneyline odds, consistently in the 1.69-1.74 range, imply a significantly higher probability of winning compared to the Hornets. The market consensus strongly points to a Rockets victory.

Grok 4
65%

Rockets are consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (1.69-1.74), implying a 58-60% win probability, while Hornets are underdogs at 2.12-2.22.

The Rockets are consistent favorites across all bookmakers with moneyline odds ranging from 1.69-1.74, implying approximately 58-59% win probability. The market consensus strongly favors Houston, and the line stability suggests sharp money agrees with this assessment. Houston has been the stronger team and is expected to win outright on the road.

GPT-5
62%

Consensus market makes Houston a modest favorite (ML ~1.69–1.74, ~58–59% implied). Pricing is consistent across books, indicating a stable edge despite Houston being on the road.

GLM-5
60%

The betting market consistently lists the Houston Rockets as favorites across all provided odds snapshots (ranging from 1.69 to 1.74). The stability of these odds suggests a clear market consensus that the Rockets have the superior talent and form heading into this matchup.

Over/Under

O/U 222.5

54%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 58%

Over (46%) Under (54%)
6 models · avg 58% avg 58% · 7 models

Over

GPT-4o
65%

The totals are set around 215 to 216 points with odds fairly even for both over and under. However, given the offensive capabilities of both teams and typical scoring trends in the NBA, there is a slight inclination towards the total score exceeding the set line.

Totals cluster around 214.5–216.0. A modest lean to the Over is justified by the market level and the expectation of an up-tempo, offense-oriented matchup that typically produces points.

Total lines cluster around 215–216 with slight lean in the bookmakers toward the Over in several options; both teams have capable offenses and pace, making the Over plausible though the edge is modest.

Both teams have shown tendencies to score high, and the total is relatively low. Historical data suggests that games involving these teams often surpass the 215.5 mark.

Grok 4
55%

Totals line hovers around 215-216 with near-even odds (1.87-1.95), but slight variations lean toward over in some books, consistent with NBA scoring trends.

GPT-5
53%

Totals cluster 215.5–216 with mild over juice at several books (e.g., O215.5 1.87–1.91). Market lean suggests a slight preference to the over, though variance keeps confidence modest.

Under

GLM-5
65%

There is a distinct downward trend in the total points line visible in the data. The line opened/shifted between 215.5 and 216, but the most recent data points show a drop to 214.5. This line movement towards a lower number indicates sharp money or market expectations for a slower-paced, lower-scoring affair.

The total has moved from 216 down to 214.5-215.5 across various books, indicating money coming in on the under. The slight line movement downward and the fact that most recent odds show under slightly favored (1.93-1.95 vs 1.87-1.91 on over) suggests defensive intensity or slower pace expected. The tightening total indicates sharps leaning under.

The totals line is set relatively low, hovering between 214.5 and 216. This indicates that oddsmakers anticipate a game that is either slower-paced or features strong defensive play. In a game projected to be close, defensive intensity often increases, making the under the more likely outcome.

Totals are set around 214.5-216 across sportsbooks, with slight variations. The Under consistently has slightly better odds (1.87-1.95 vs 1.89-1.93 for Over), suggesting oddsmakers and sharp bettors slightly favor the Under. This indicates expectations for a moderately paced game without explosive scoring, particularly with Houston's defensive capabilities.

Grok 3
55%

The totals line varies slightly between 214.5 and 216, with odds fairly balanced (around 1.87 to 1.95). Given the slight downward trend in some lines (e.g., 214.5) and balanced odds, there is a marginal lean towards the under, though confidence is lower due to variability.

The total line is primarily set around 215.5 to 216 points. Several betting lines show a slight lean towards the 'Under' with slightly more favorable odds in some instances, suggesting the market anticipates a moderately lower-scoring game or a failure to consistently hit the higher end of the projected total.

The total varies between 214.5-216 across books, with slight juice movement favoring the under at some books (1.95 under vs 1.87 over at one book). Both teams have defensive capabilities, and the moderate total suggests books expect a controlled pace. The slight lean toward under in the juice across multiple books indicates sharper money may be taking the under.

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