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MLS 2/22/2026 at 12:30 AM

Real Salt Lake

@

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Spread

Vancouver Whitecaps FC -0.5 / Real Salt Lake +0.5

77%

consensus

Vancouver Whitecaps FC covers

13 models · avg conf 66%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC covers (77%) Real Salt Lake covers (23%)
10 models · avg 66% avg 57% · 3 models

Vancouver Whitecaps FC covers

With Vancouver Whitecaps FC being strong moneyline favorites, they are expected to win by at least one goal. The most common spread is Vancouver -0.75, with odds around 1.81-1.82. The presence of a Vancouver -0.5 spread at even lower odds (1.59) further reinforces the expectation of a straight win, making it highly probable they will cover the -0.75 spread by winning outright.

The spread of -0.75 for Vancouver suggests they are expected to win by at least one goal. Historical performance at home supports this prediction.

GPT-4o
70%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC is favored with a -0.75 spread at odds around 1.81-1.82. This indicates a moderate expectation that Vancouver can win by at least one goal. The market shows consistency in these odds, supporting a prediction that they will cover the spread.

Vancouver is consistently favored at -0.5 to -0.75 goals. The -0.75 spread has better odds (1.81-1.82) than the -0.5 spread (1.59), suggesting Vancouver should win by at least a goal. Home teams in MLS typically perform well, and the betting market's consensus supports Vancouver covering this spread.

Grok 3
65%

With a spread of -0.75 for Vancouver Whitecaps FC at odds around 1.81, and considering their favored status, they are likely to win by at least one goal. However, the confidence is moderate due to the possibility of a close game.

Grok 4
65%

Consistent spreads show Vancouver at -0.75 with favorable odds (1.81-1.82), suggesting they are expected to win by at least one goal; patterns indicate home dominance.

Vancouver is favored by -0.75. A win by 1 goal or more covers the spread; home advantage and stronger form versus RSL make a 1-goal margin plausible, supporting a Vancouver cover.

Books are posting Vancouver around -0.5 to -0.75. The line implies the market expects a one-goal home win or better; given the ML bias and home advantage, Vancouver is most likely to cover, though -0.75 carries some push/half-loss risk if the margin is only 1.

GLM-5
58%

Vancouver -0.75 spread at 1.81-1.82 odds aligns with their moneyline favoritism. The spread requires a 2-goal win for full cover, which is reasonable given the odds disparity. The alternative -0.5 line at 1.59 shows bookmakers expect Vancouver to win by at least one goal.

GPT-5
57%

Asian handicap -0.75 at ~1.81–1.82 signals expectation of a 1+ goal win with fair chance to extend to 2. Market implies Vancouver more likely to earn at least a half-win on this line.

Real Salt Lake covers

Vancouver is favored by -0.5 to -0.75 goals, which is a relatively narrow spread. While they're expected to win, MLS games are often tight, and Real Salt Lake getting +0.75 at 2.02-2.03 odds provides value. RSL can cover by losing by just one goal or drawing/winning, which offers a reasonable margin of safety against a narrow favorite spread.

Real Salt Lake is consistently offered at a +0.75 spread with attractive odds (around 2.03). This bet wins if RSL wins, draws, or loses by a single goal. While Vancouver is favored, an underdog keeping the game close offers good value.

While Vancouver is favored, the -0.75 spread at odds around 1.81-1.82 is aggressive for an MLS match. Real Salt Lake +0.75 at 2.02-2.03 offers value as MLS away teams frequently keep games close. The alternative -0.5 line at 1.59 suggests bookmakers see this as closer to a half-goal spread scenario. RSL covering with a draw or one-goal loss is reasonable.

Moneyline

Vancouver Whitecaps FC +1.65 / Real Salt Lake +4.65

100%

consensus

Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins

13 models · avg conf 74%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins (100%) Real Salt Lake wins (0%)
13 models · avg 74% avg 0% · 0 models

Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins

Vancouver Whitecaps FC are the clear and consistent favorites across all moneyline odds, ranging from 1.56 to 1.65. Real Salt Lake's odds are significantly higher (4.4 to 5.3), indicating they are substantial underdogs. The market strongly expects a home win for Vancouver.

Vancouver is the consistent and strong favorite across all provided moneyline odds, with an average price around 1.61. This implies a high probability of a home victory, which the market clearly expects.

Vancouver is heavily favored with odds ranging from 1.56-1.65 across all books, implying approximately 62-64% win probability. Real Salt Lake's odds of 4.4-5.3 indicate they're significant underdogs. Home field advantage combined with the market's strong consensus makes Vancouver the clear favorite.

Vancouver is favored in multiple betting lines, indicating strong confidence from bookmakers. They typically perform well at home.

Grok 4
75%

Vancouver is heavily favored across multiple moneyline odds (1.56-1.65), indicating strong market consensus for a home win against Real Salt Lake's higher odds (4.4-5.3).

Grok 3
75%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC are heavily favored across multiple betting lines with odds averaging around 1.61, indicating strong market confidence in their victory. Real Salt Lake's odds averaging around 4.7 suggest they are significant underdogs, likely due to form or historical matchups.

GPT-4o
75%

The betting odds consistently favor Vancouver Whitecaps FC across multiple lines, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win. The lower odds for Vancouver suggest higher probability of victory compared to Real Salt Lake.

Market heavily favors Vancouver (consensus ML ~1.61–1.65, implied win probability ~60–62%). Multiple books list them as clear favorites at home, so the safest outright pick is Vancouver to win.

Vancouver is heavily favored with consistent moneyline odds ranging from 1.56-1.65, implying a 60-64% implied win probability. Real Salt Lake's odds of 4.4-5.3 suggest significant underdog status. Home field advantage in MLS is meaningful, and the market consensus strongly favors Vancouver.

Vancouver is the home favorite with decimal odds around 1.61–1.65, implying roughly a 60–65% implied win probability. Real Salt Lake is priced around 4.4–4.8, indicating a lower expected chance.

GLM-5
68%

Strong home favoritism reflected across all bookmakers with odds consistently between 1.56-1.65. The significant gap to Real Salt Lake (4.4-5.3) indicates market confidence in Vancouver's home advantage. No draw option shown suggests two-way market where Vancouver is heavily backed.

The odds heavily favor Vancouver at home with moneyline prices ranging from 1.56-1.65 across all books, implying approximately 60-64% win probability. Home advantage in MLS is significant, and the consistent pricing across multiple sportsbooks indicates strong market confidence in Vancouver. Real Salt Lake's odds of 4.4-5.3 suggest only about 19-23% implied probability.

GPT-5
65%

Consistent market favoring Vancouver (1.56–1.65 implies ~60–64%); RSL priced 4.4–5.3 across books. Home side clearly rated stronger.

Over/Under

O/U 3

54%

consensus

Over

13 models · avg conf 67%

Over (54%) Under (46%)
7 models · avg 67% avg 61% · 6 models

Over

The 'Over 2.5' goals line is heavily favored, with odds consistently low (1.57-1.58), while 'Under 2.5' is priced much higher (2.23-2.32). This indicates a strong market expectation of 3 or more goals in the match. Although the 'Over 3' line is closer to even money, the strong consensus for 'Over 2.5' suggests a high likelihood of a higher-scoring game.

The betting lines heavily favor a high-scoring match. The odds for Over 2.5 goals are very low (around 1.57), and the Over 3 line is also priced favorably, indicating a strong market consensus that at least three goals will be scored.

The over/under lines indicate a tendency for high-scoring games. Both teams have shown the capability to score multiple goals in recent matchups.

Totals markets cluster around 2.5–3 with strong juice on Over 2.5 (odds ~1.57–1.58), indicating books expect multiple goals. Given the offensive profiles implied by the market and the favored home team, Over 2.5 is the lean.

Grok 4
60%

Totals lines vary between 2.5 and 3, but over is slightly favored (e.g., Over 2.5 at 1.57-1.58), pointing to a higher-scoring game based on team matchups and odd patterns.

GPT-5
60%

Over 2.5 heavily juiced (1.57–1.58) and Over 3 near even (1.95) suggest an expectation around 3 goals. Strong home favorite profile points to a higher-scoring game.

The market offers Over 2.5 at 1.57-1.58 and Over 3 at 1.95-2.00. MLS matches typically feature goals, and early-season February matches often see defensive organization still coming together. The Over 2.5 at short odds suggests high confidence in at least 3 goals. With Vancouver expected to attack at home and RSL needing to be somewhat open to compete, Over 2.5/3 goals is the lean.

Under

The totals market shows Under 3 at 1.83-1.87 and Under 2.5 at 2.23-2.32, with books setting the line conservatively. The betting odds suggest a relatively low-scoring affair, likely around 2-3 total goals. Given the tighter spreads and Vancouver's favoritism indicating potential control of the match rather than a shootout, the under appears to be the more prudent play, particularly Under 3.

Under bets consistently offer better value (1.83-1.87 on Under 3, 2.23-2.32 on Under 2.5) compared to Over bets (1.95-2.0 on Over 3, 1.57-1.58 on Over 2.5). This pricing pattern suggests the market expects a lower-scoring match. Early season MLS matches often feature tighter defensive play and fewer goals.

Grok 3
60%

The totals line fluctuates between 2.5 and 3, with slightly better odds for Under at both levels (averaging 1.87 for Under 3 and 2.23 for Under 2.5). This suggests a low-scoring game, possibly due to defensive strengths or recent trends, though confidence remains moderate.

GPT-4o
60%

While there's some variation, the odds for under 3 goals hover around 1.83-1.87, which suggests a slightly higher probability for a lower-scoring game. Additionally, totals of 2.5 and 3 show more favorable odds for the under, indicating a market expectation of a tighter match.

The totals market around 3 goals is fairly balanced, and MLS early-season matchups often trend lower scoring. The under has a slight edge given balanced odds and plausible defensive discipline from both sides.

GLM-5
55%

The Under 3 line at 1.83-1.87 offers slight value compared to Over 3 at 1.95-2.0. The 2.5 goal line shows Over favored at 1.57-1.58, suggesting expectations of 2-3 goals. MLS early-season matches tend to be tighter, and the odds structure points toward a moderate-scoring affair.

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