Texas State Bobcats
South Alabama Jaguars
Spread
South Alabama Jaguars -3.5 / Texas State Bobcats +3.569%
consensus
South Alabama Jaguars covers
13 models · avg conf 60%
South Alabama Jaguars covers
South Alabama is consistently favored at -2.5, with slightly lower odds (1.87-1.90) for them to cover compared to Texas State (1.95-1.99) to cover their spread. This suggests the market leans towards South Alabama winning by at least 3 points.
South Alabama Jaguars at -2.5 have favorable odds (ranging from 1.87 to 1.9), suggesting bookmakers expect them to win by at least a small margin. The tight spread indicates a close game, but home advantage may help them cover.
The spread is tight, but South Alabama's home performance suggests they will cover the -2.5 spread.
The -2.5 spread for South Alabama appears stable across books, and as the home team, they have an edge to cover against Texas State, who has slightly higher odds on +2.5 suggesting value but not enough to sway.
Jaguars are favored by 2.5 points. Home advantage and being the favorite typically translate to a higher probability of covering 3+ margin, though close games are possible.
The spread of -2.5 for South Alabama indicates they are expected to win by at least 3 points. Given the home advantage and the slight odds favoring South Alabama, they have a reasonable chance of covering the spread.
A 2.5-point line is a small margin; given home advantage and the repeated lines indicating bookmaker confidence, the Jaguars are the safer play to cover a short spread.
South Alabama Jaguars are favored to cover the -2.5 spread at home. The spread has remained consistent across all sportsbooks, suggesting it's well-balanced. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball typically provides 2-3 points of value, which aligns with this spread. However, the tightness of the line indicates this is a close matchup.
Multiple books shade South Alabama -2.5 (1.87–1.90) vs Texas State +2.5 (1.95–1.99), indicating a slight market lean to the favorite covering a small number.
Texas State Bobcats covers
The spread of 2.5 points suggests a one-possession game. For an underdog in such a tight matchup, getting points offers significant value. The Texas State Bobcats are positioned to keep the game within a single basket, making them a strong pick to cover.
The odds show consistent 'shade' towards the favorite (South Alabama priced at lower decimal odds 1.87 vs 1.95 for the dog). This suggests oddsmakers are trying to entice action on Texas State. With a standard home-court advantage worth roughly 3 points, a -2.5 line implies Texas State is actually the slightly stronger team on a neutral floor. Taking the points with the better payout offers significant value.
The 2.5-point spread is very tight, and the odds favor Texas State slightly (1.95-1.99 vs 1.87-1.90). This pricing suggests sharp money may be on the Bobcats. In close Sun Belt matchups, the underdog often covers small spreads. The slightly better odds on Texas State indicate market inefficiency favoring the away team.
Texas State at +2.5 offers value in what projects as a closely contested conference game. The tight spread of only 2.5 points suggests these teams are nearly evenly matched. Road underdogs of less than 3 points in conference play historically cover at a reasonable rate, and the slight juice differential (-105 to -110 equivalent) on Texas State indicates some market lean toward the Bobcats covering.
Moneyline
South Alabama Jaguars +1.53 / Texas State Bobcats +2.55100%
consensus
South Alabama Jaguars wins
13 models · avg conf 63%
South Alabama Jaguars wins
The consistent -2.5 spread for South Alabama across all listed odds indicates they are the favored team and expected to win the game outright as the home team.
The betting odds slightly favor South Alabama Jaguars with a consistent spread of -2.5 across different bookmakers. This suggests a consensus that South Alabama has a higher likelihood of winning, reinforced by their home court advantage.
South Alabama Jaguars are favored across multiple sportsbooks with a consistent -2.5 spread, indicating a slight edge in perceived team strength and home court advantage.
South Alabama has home court advantage and has shown better form in recent matchups against Texas State.
South Alabama is the home favorite with a -2.5 spread across multiple lines, indicating they are expected to win outright based on consistent odds favoring them slightly.
Home favorite with a spread of -2.5 and moneyline around -114 implies a modest edge. The home court advantage plus the slight favorite status makes the Jaguars the likely winner.
South Alabama is the consistent 2.5-point home favorite across markets. Home-court edge in a Sun Belt matchup and market consensus favor the Jaguars to win straight-up.
South Alabama is the home team and a slight favorite with a -2.5 point spread. In a game projected by oddsmakers to be extremely close, the home-court advantage is a significant factor and likely provides the edge needed for an outright win.
South Alabama is favored by 2.5 points at home, indicating oddsmakers view them as the stronger team in this matchup. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, typically worth 3-4 points. The Jaguars being favored even with that factored in suggests they have a slight edge in this Sun Belt Conference matchup.
South Alabama is favored at -2.5 points across all sportsbooks, indicating market confidence in the home team. However, the modest spread suggests a competitive matchup. The consistency of the -2.5 line across multiple books implies this is an efficiently priced game with limited edge.
South Alabama is favored at home with a -2.5 spread across all books. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the consistent line across multiple sportsbooks suggests market confidence in the Jaguars. However, the small spread indicates a closely matched game.
As the home favorite in a conference matchup, South Alabama holds the slight edge. The -2.5 spread indicates a close contest, but home-court advantage in NCAA basketball typically provides the necessary buffer for the outright win in tight games.
Consensus spread of -2.5 with shorter odds on the favorite implies a modest home edge; -2.5 typically converts to a mid-to-high 50s ML win probability.
Over/Under
O/U 137.554%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 57%
Over
The odds for Over 139 (1.87-1.88) are consistently slightly lower than for Under 139 (1.95-1.97). This indicates the market perceives a marginally higher probability of the game's total points exceeding 139.
The market indicates Over 139 as the more favored side via odds around 1.87-1.88, suggesting a tendency toward a higher-scoring game than Under.
Both teams have offensive capabilities that could push the score above the total, particularly if the game pace is fast.
The total points line is set at 139, and the odds slightly favor the over. Considering typical scoring patterns in NCAA basketball and the odds distribution, there is a moderate chance that the total score will exceed 139 points.
The total line at 139 is consistent, and NCAA basketball games between these teams often trend over due to fast-paced play, with odds balanced but slight lean towards over in vig patterns.
Over 139 is consistently priced shorter (1.87–1.88) than the under (1.95–1.97), signaling a small market preference for an over outcome around this mid-range total.
Under
The odds for the under are consistently higher (juiced) across multiple lines (1.95-1.97) compared to the over (1.87-1.88). This indicates a market lean and suggests that oddsmakers anticipate a tighter, more defensive contest, making the under the statistically more probable outcome.
The under is priced at 1.95-1.97 compared to 1.87-1.88 for the over, indicating bookmakers are willing to pay more for under bettors. A total of 139 is relatively moderate for college basketball. The pricing suggests respect for defensive capabilities or concerns about offensive efficiency. Conference rivalry games often trend lower scoring due to familiarity and defensive intensity.
The totals line of 139 is consistent across sportsbooks with slightly better odds for under (up to 1.97). This suggests a potential for a lower-scoring game, possibly due to strong defensive play or slower pace in conference matchups.
The 139 total sits near mid-major averages; leaning under due to expected slower pace and defensive emphasis in this conference matchup and the modest confidence suggested by tight spread.
The total of 139 points suggests oddsmakers expect a moderate-paced game. The juice is slightly higher on the under across multiple books (1.95-1.97 vs 1.87-1.88), indicating sharper money may be leaning under. Conference games late in the season often feature tighter defensive efforts as teams are familiar with each other's tendencies, supporting a lower-scoring outcome.
Similar to the spread, the total is shaded heavily towards the Over (1.87) compared to the Under (1.95/1.97). This discrepancy indicates the books are protecting against Over money, but offering value on the Under. Conference games in late February often feature familiar opponents and higher defensive intensity, supporting the Under play at a generous price.
The totals line is set at 139 with slightly better odds on the Under (1.95-1.99 vs 1.87-1.88). This minimal preference for Under combined with the moderate total point projection suggests a defensive-oriented or controlled-pace game is expected. The consistency of the 139 line across books indicates no significant sharp action on either side.