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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 12:00 AM

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

@

Chicago St Cougars

Spread

Chicago St Cougars +2.5 / Fairleigh Dickinson Knights -2.5

54%

consensus

Chicago St Cougars covers

13 models · avg conf 57%

Chicago St Cougars covers (54%) Fairleigh Dickinson Knights covers (46%)
7 models · avg 57% avg 57% · 6 models

Chicago St Cougars covers

The spread is close, but the Cougars' home advantage and ability to perform well in close games suggest they will cover the spread.

The spread has moved slightly in favor of Fairleigh Dickinson to -2.5, but the odds for Chicago St Cougars +2.5 have decreased (1.87), suggesting the market sees more value and likelihood in Chicago St keeping the game close or covering the spread. Despite FDU being the favorite, a tight spread indicates a potentially close contest.

The spread ranges from 2 to 2.5 points in Chicago St's favor across all books, suggesting tight market consensus. While this is a close matchup, home court advantage typically provides the marginal edge needed to cover a small spread in college basketball. However, the modest odds (1.87-1.95) reflect the uncertainty.

GLM-5
55%

Chicago St getting 2-2.5 points at home provides value. Home underdogs of 2-3 points in college basketball cover at a solid rate, as home court advantage often keeps games closer than expected. The movement to +2.5 at some books suggests sharp money may be on the home dog.

Chicago St is the home underdog receiving points in what is expected to be a very close game. The line movement to +2.5 provides extra value. Home-court advantage is often enough to keep a game within a single possession, making the home underdog a strong play to cover a small spread.

With such a tight spread (2-2.5 points), this is essentially a pick'em game. Chicago St has home court advantage which is typically worth 2-3 points in college basketball. The spread movement from -2 to -2.5 suggests some money on FDU, but the home advantage makes Chicago St +2.5 attractive for covering even in a loss.

Chicago State getting +2 to +2.5 points at home provides value. Low-major home court advantages can be significant, and Chicago State should be competitive enough to keep this within 2 points. The consistent spread across books at just 2 points suggests a near toss-up, making the home underdog with points the slight lean. Best value at +2.5 (1.87).

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights covers

GPT-4o
60%

With the most favorable odds at -2.5 (1.95) for the Knights, the market seems to lean towards them covering a small spread, indicating confidence in their ability to secure a win by a modest margin.

With Knights commonly favored by 2 or 2.5 points, they are the more likely side to cover the spread.

Lines cluster at -2/-2.5 for FDU with nearly even juice; that consistent short favorite suggests FDU is expected to cover a small spread in a close matchup.

Grok 3
55%

The spread lines range from -2 to -2.5 for Fairleigh Dickinson Knights with competitive odds. This suggests the market slightly leans toward the Knights covering the spread, though the small margin indicates a close game.

Grok 4
55%

With spreads ranging from -2 to -2.5 and slight movement towards -2.5, Knights are expected to win by more than 2 points in a close but winnable game.

GPT-5
53%

True line clusters around -2 with some resistance at -2.5; small edge to FDU to cover, but the thin spread keeps confidence modest.

Moneyline

Chicago St Cougars +2.25 / Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +1.69

85%

consensus

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights wins

13 models · avg conf 61%

Chicago St Cougars wins (15%) Fairleigh Dickinson Knights wins (85%)
2 models · avg 59% avg 61% · 11 models

Chicago St Cougars wins

Chicago St Cougars have home court advantage and a slight edge in recent performance metrics compared to Fairleigh Dickinson Knights.

Chicago St is favored at home with a 2-2.5 point spread across multiple sportsbooks, indicating market confidence in their ability to win. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is significant, and the consistency of the spread suggests this is a relatively even matchup with slight edge to the home team.

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights wins

Fairleigh Dickinson is consistently favored on the spread, indicating they are perceived as the stronger team and are expected to win the game outright.

GPT-4o
65%

The odds are closely matched, suggesting a competitive game. However, the Knights' slight edge in betting odds implies a better recent performance or matchup advantage.

Market consensus shows FDU as a small favorite across books (-2 to -2.5) and the lines are consistently leaning to the Knights, indicating a modest edge on the road.

Grok 3
60%

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights are slightly favored in the spread across multiple lines, indicating a marginal edge in expected performance. Their consistency as the favorite suggests a higher likelihood of winning outright.

Grok 4
60%

Knights are favored by 2-2.5 points on the road, suggesting they are the stronger team in this matchup despite Chicago St being at home.

Knights are consistently listed as the favorite across the majority of spread lines (-2 to -2.5), indicating an edge in expected outcomes.

The betting market consistently establishes Fairleigh Dickinson as a 2 to 2.5-point favorite, even as the away team. This indicates that oddsmakers and early bettors perceive them as the slightly superior team in this matchup.

The Knights are favored across all betting lines at -2 to -2.5, indicating the market expects them to win. As the away team with a slight edge, they show marginally better form in the eyes of oddsmakers.

The Knights are favored by 2-2.5 points across all books, indicating oddsmakers see them as the slightly better team. FDU typically has more competitive recruiting and program stability compared to Chicago State, who has historically struggled in Division I. The road favorite status suggests confidence in FDU's ability to win outright.

GLM-5
58%

FDU being installed as a road favorite (-2 to -2.5) indicates they are the stronger team. Road favorites in college basketball typically have a tangible talent advantage to overcome home court advantage (worth ~3 points). The consistent spread across multiple books supports FDU's edge.

GPT-5
57%

Multiple books make FDU a small favorite (-2 to -2.5), implying a slight win-probability edge. Market consensus leans Knights in a close game.

Over/Under

O/U 133.5

77%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 55%

Over (23%) Under (77%)
3 models · avg 57% avg 55% · 10 models

Over

The total line has remained at 134.5, but the odds for the Over have slightly decreased (from 1.91/1.93 to 1.87), while the Under odds have increased. This indicates a slight market lean towards the Over. Fairleigh Dickinson typically plays an up-tempo style, which can lead to higher scoring games, and Chicago St's defense can sometimes be exploited.

The line is near 134.5 with balanced Over/Under odds; typical NCAA pace suggests a slight tilt toward scoring enough to exceed 134.5, though the edge is modest.

Grok 4
52%

Total line at 134.5 with some odds favoring over (lower payout on over in certain books), indicating potential for higher-scoring game between mid-major teams.

Under

The total of 134.5 is relatively low for college basketball, suggesting both teams play slower-paced or defensive-oriented styles. The odds shifting toward under (1.93-1.95) across books indicates sharper money on the under. In tight, competitive games with small spreads, defensive intensity often increases, favoring the under.

Total set at 134.5 with some books offering better odds on the under (1.95) implies a market lean toward a lower-scoring game—pace/defense expectation and bookmaker pricing favor the under.

GPT-4o
55%

The odds for the under are slightly less favorable (1.95) at a spread of -2.5, suggesting that there may be a belief in a lower-scoring game, possibly due to defensive strengths or slower-paced play.

Both teams tend to play defensively, and the total of 134.5 is relatively high for their scoring averages, leading to a prediction of under.

GPT-5
55%

Total is 134.5 with some under-side shading, suggesting a mid-slower pace and modest offensive efficiency; slight lean to a lower score.

A total of 134.5 is moderate for low-major basketball. Both programs typically play at slower tempos with limited offensive firepower. Games involving these mid-to-low tier programs often feature inconsistent shooting and defensive struggles that limit scoring. The under at 1.95 odds offers slight value given the typical pace of play from both teams.

Grok 3
52%

The totals line is set at 134.5 across all books with balanced odds. Given the close spread and potential for a defensively focused game between evenly matched teams, the under seems slightly more likely.

The total is set at 134.5 points with fairly balanced odds across sportsbooks. The slightly better odds on the Under (1.93-1.95 vs 1.87-1.91 on Over) suggests modest market lean toward lower-scoring play. Without team-specific scoring data, this appears to be a moderately paced matchup, making the Under a marginal play.

GLM-5
52%

The total of 134.5 is moderate for NCAA basketball. Both teams likely play at controlled tempos. The slight lean toward better odds on the under at some books (1.95 vs 1.87 on over) suggests the market expects a lower-scoring, defensive battle in this conference matchup.

While most odds are evenly split, some books show the juice favoring the under (1.95 on the under vs 1.87 on the over). This subtle market pressure suggests that more money or sharper bettors are leaning towards a lower-scoring game, making the under the slightly more probable outcome.

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