NC State Wolfpack
Virginia Cavaliers
Spread
Virginia Cavaliers -3.5 / NC State Wolfpack +3.554%
consensus
Virginia Cavaliers covers
13 models · avg conf 63%
Virginia Cavaliers covers
Virginia at -3.5 implies a win by 4+ is likely; home advantage further supports the cover against a solid NC State squad.
With a spread of -3.5, the Cavaliers are likely to cover given their recent offensive output and NC State's struggles on the road.
The spread of -3.5 for Virginia implies bookmakers expect them to win by more than a field goal. Given their odds and home advantage, they are likely to cover the spread.
Virginia Cavaliers are favored by -3.5 points with odds of 1.95. Given the moderate spread and home advantage, they are likely to cover, though it may be close based on historical competitiveness in ACC matchups.
Virginia's -3.5 spread reflects moderate home-field advantage. The odds are relatively balanced (1.95 vs 1.87), indicating sharp consensus around this line. Virginia should win, but covering a 3.5-point spread is less certain than outright victory. Home-field advantage and favoritism support the spread cover, though NC State is competitive enough to keep it close.
Virginia as a short home favorite (‑3.5) should be able to cover in a close game — bookmakers expect a one-possession margin, and home advantage tilts it slightly toward Virginia covering.
Virginia is favored by -3.5 points, and as the home team, they are likely to cover in a game expected to be decided by a field goal or more. The repeated odds suggest consistent bookmaker confidence in the line.
NC State Wolfpack covers
While Virginia is favored, the odds for NC State Wolfpack +3.5 are 1.87, which is slightly more favorable than Virginia Cavaliers -3.5 at 1.95. This suggests the market believes NC State is more likely to keep the game close and cover the spread, even if Virginia wins. It indicates a potential for a tight contest where Virginia might win by a field goal or less.
The spread is set at a critical number (-3.5). The odds for NC State to cover (+3.5 at 1.87) are more favorable (implying a higher probability) than for Virginia to cover (-3.5 at 1.95). This suggests the market expects a close game, likely decided by 3 points or less, making the underdog plus the points the value play.
The 3.5-point spread is relatively tight for a home favorite, suggesting a competitive game. NC State getting 3.5 points provides value as this lands on a key number in football. The slight edge in odds for Virginia (-3.5 at 1.95 vs NC State +3.5 at 1.87) shows some public lean toward the favorite, but competitive ACC matchups often stay within a field goal. Taking the points with the underdog in what projects as a close game.
At +3.5, NC State is slightly favored to cover based on price shading (1.87 vs 1.95), implying a close game where the points matter.
The spread sits at a key number of 3.5. In conference matchups between relatively even teams, the underdog often provides value. The odds for NC State (+3.5) are shorter (1.87) than the favorite (1.95), suggesting the bookmakers are protecting against a tight finish where a field goal difference covers the spread for the away team.
NC State getting 3.5 points offers value in what projects to be a close ACC matchup. The spread is tight, indicating oddsmakers expect a competitive game. NC State has historically been competitive on the road in conference play, and 3.5 points provides enough cushion in a game that could easily come down to a field goal. Early season games often produce tighter margins than expected.
Moneyline
Virginia Cavaliers +1.62 / NC State Wolfpack +2.34100%
consensus
Virginia Cavaliers wins
13 models · avg conf 66%
Virginia Cavaliers wins
The odds favor Virginia at 1.62, suggesting they are more likely to win. As the home team, they may have an advantage, supported by their historical performance at home.
Virginia has a strong home-field advantage and has shown consistent performance in recent matchups against NC State.
Virginia is favored on the spread (-3.5) and hold home-field advantage; NC State is capable but the moneyline favors Virginia.
The Virginia Cavaliers are favored with moneyline odds of 1.62, indicating a higher implied probability of winning the game outright compared to the NC State Wolfpack at 2.34. The bookmakers see Virginia as the stronger team at home.
Virginia is favored at 1.62 odds (implied probability ~62%), indicating moderate home favorite status. The moneyline suggests oddsmakers see Virginia as the more likely winner, though NC State at 2.34 shows this isn't a mismatch. Home field advantage in college football is significant, especially for a season opener.
Virginia Cavaliers are favored with a moneyline of 1.62 compared to NC State Wolfpack's 2.34, indicating a higher implied probability of winning. Assuming recent team performance and home advantage, Virginia appears to have the edge.
Virginia is the home favorite with moneyline odds of 1.62 compared to NC State's 2.34, indicating a higher implied probability of winning. Home field advantage in NCAA Football often tips close matchups.
Virginia is the clear favorite based on the moneyline odds (1.62), implying a win probability of approximately 61.7%. Combined with home-field advantage, they are the most likely team to win the game outright.
Virginia is favored at -1.62 odds (implied ~61.5% win probability), indicating oddsmakers view them as the stronger team with home-field advantage. The -3.5 point spread supports Virginia's favorability, though the moderate odds suggest this is a competitive matchup rather than a dominant performance expected.
Market strongly favors Virginia at home (ML 1.62) and the spread (-3.5) implies a narrow favorite; home-field plus bookmaker pricing points to Virginia as the likely winner.
Virginia is established as the favorite with odds of 1.62, implying a roughly 61.7% win probability. As the home team in a matchup with a moderate spread, they are positioned to secure the outright victory in this season opener.
Market-implied (vig-adjusted) probability ~59% for Virginia at 1.62 suggests a modest edge for the home side.
Virginia is favored at home with 1.62 odds (implied probability ~62%). The home-field advantage in college football is significant, and the oddsmakers clearly see Virginia as the better team in this matchup. The 3.5-point spread suggests a competitive game, but Virginia should secure the win at Scott Stadium.
Over/Under
O/U 54.569%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 56%
Over
Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score, and the combined offensive capabilities suggest a high-scoring game that could exceed the total of 54.5.
Line is 54.5 with slight tilt toward the over; both teams have capable offenses and a mid-40s to mid-50s total is plausible in a high-scoring opener.
The 54.5 total suggests oddsmakers expect a moderately high-scoring game. Season openers in college football can be unpredictable, but both ACC programs typically feature competent offenses. The slight edge toward the over (1.95) compared to under (1.87) shows minor market preference. With potential defensive inconsistencies early in the season and offensive playmakers on both sides, a combined 55+ points is achievable.
The total points line is set at 54.5 with balanced odds (1.95 for over, 1.87 for under). Both teams have shown offensive potential in past seasons, and conference games often trend towards higher scores, making 'over' a slight lean.
Under
The total is set at 54.5, and the under has slightly better odds at 1.87. This suggests an expectation of a lower-scoring game, possibly due to strong defenses or weather conditions.
The under has slightly better odds (1.87 vs 1.95 for over), implying a lean towards lower scoring. ACC matchups like this can feature strong defenses, keeping the total under 54.5.
The total is set at 54.5. The odds are shaded towards the Under (1.87 vs 1.95), indicating the book expects a more defensive struggle or potential early-season offensive rust typical of late August season openers.
The totals line at 54.5 suggests moderate-to-low scoring is expected. With Virginia favored but not dominant, a defensive-minded matchup seems likely. The slight odds advantage for Under (1.87 vs 1.95) indicates sharper money leans toward lower scoring. However, confidence is modest as college football matchups can be unpredictable regarding scoring totals.
The odds for Under 54.5 are 1.87, slightly better than Over 54.5 at 1.95. This minor difference suggests a slight lean from the bookmakers towards a lower-scoring game. In early season NCAA Football, especially with potentially less established offenses, the under can often be a safer bet if implied by the odds.
The total is set relatively high at 54.5. The odds are slightly juiced towards the under (1.87) compared to the over (1.95). This indicates that the market leans towards the final score being lower than 54.5, which is common in early-season games before offenses are fully in sync.
The total of 54.5 is relatively high for an early-season ACC matchup. Week 1 games often feature sloppy offensive execution, timing issues, and conservative playcalling as teams work out the kinks. The slight juice favoring the under (1.87 vs 1.95) suggests sharp money may be leaning that direction. Both teams may still be establishing their offensive identities this early in the season.
54.5 is borderline; early-season matchup and typically conservative/close ACC contests suggest a slight lean to the under, though uncertainty is moderate.
Under 54.5 is juiced (1.87 vs 1.95), indicating a small market lean to the under after adjusting for vig.