Brentford
Burnley
Spread
Burnley +0.5 / Brentford -0.5100%
consensus
Brentford covers
13 models · avg conf 68%
Brentford covers
Given Brentford is favored to win outright, they are expected to win by at least one goal, thus covering the -0.5 spread. The odds for Brentford -0.5 (1.78) are also lower than Burnley +0.5 (1.93).
The spread favors Brentford at -0.5 with lower odds, indicating a higher probability that they will cover the spread. As favorites, they are expected to win by at least one goal.
Brentford at -0.5 (1.78) suggests they are expected to win by at least one goal. Given their favorable moneyline odds and the narrow spread, there is a reasonable likelihood they will cover, especially against a less favored Burnley side.
The spread for Brentford is -0.5, which requires them to win the match outright to cover. This prediction aligns directly with the moneyline analysis. Given Brentford's status as the strong favorite, they are the most likely team to win and therefore cover this spread.
With Brentford favored to win, they are likely to cover the spread of -0.5, especially considering their recent away performances.
The spread shows Brentford at -0.5. If Brentford wins, they cover the spread. Given their favored status and odds, they are likely to win by at least one goal.
The spread line of Brentford -0.5 essentially mirrors the moneyline scenario, requiring Brentford to win outright. Given the strong moneyline odds in their favor, backing the away side to cover the -0.5 handicap aligns with the probability of a Brentford victory.
Brentford at -0.5 carries odds of 1.78, slightly favored in the spread market. This aligns with moneyline predictions and suggests Brentford should win or draw. The tight spread reflects competitive match expectations, but Brentford's superior odds suggest they edge the prediction for covering the -0.5 spread.
Brentford is favored at -0.5 (1.78), meaning they need to win outright. Given their strong moneyline odds and the fact that the spread essentially mirrors the moneyline (win/lose only), Brentford covering aligns with their overall favoritism. The spread odds of 1.78 suggest approximately 56% implied probability of covering.
Brentford -0.5 at 1.78 odds represents good value given the significant moneyline disparity. The spread essentially mirrors the moneyline in this case (no draw protection). Brentford's attacking quality with their established Premier League players should be enough to secure a win by at least one goal against a defensively vulnerable promoted side at home.
Brentford is favored at -0.5, and with their attacking prowess, they are likely to win outright, covering the spread against a potentially defensive Burnley side.
Bookmakers list Brentford at -0.5 (shorter juice), meaning the market expects a narrow away win. The small half-goal line signals a likely one-goal margin which favors Brentford to cover.
Brentford -0.5 at ~1.78 implies ~56% to win outright; matches the moneyline edge, so Brentford to cover -0.5.
Moneyline
Burnley +4.2 / Brentford +1.82100%
consensus
Brentford wins
13 models · avg conf 72%
Brentford wins
Brentford is a clear favorite according to all moneyline odds, with significantly lower payouts (average 1.817) compared to Burnley (average 4.13), indicating a high probability of an away win.
Brentford's odds are significantly lower, indicating they are the favorites. Additionally, their recent form in the Premier League suggests they are more likely to win against Burnley.
Brentford is heavily favored across multiple moneyline odds (1.79-1.83) compared to Burnley's odds (4.0-4.3), indicating strong market confidence in Brentford's ability to win. Historical trends in the Premier League often show favorites with odds below 2.0 winning outright at a high rate.
Brentford is the consistent and significant favorite across all provided betting lines, with average odds around 1.81. This implies a statistical winning probability of approximately 55%, making them the clear choice over Burnley, whose odds suggest they are a major underdog.
Brentford has a stronger current form and better overall performance compared to Burnley. The odds reflect Brentford's favor as they are significantly lower.
Brentford is heavily favored with odds ranging from 1.79-1.83 compared to Burnley's 4.0-4.3. This indicates the market sees Brentford as significantly more likely to win, with implied probability around 54-56% vs Burnley's 23-25%. The odds consistency across multiple books reinforces this assessment.
Brentford's odds consistently range from 1.79-1.83 across multiple books, indicating strong market consensus. The 4.0-4.3 odds for Burnley suggest significant underdog status. Brentford has established themselves as a competitive Premier League side, while Burnley faces typical home advantage limitations against a well-organized visiting team.
Brentford is consistently listed as the favorite across the available moneyline lines (approx 1.79–1.83) while Burnley is around 4.0+, indicating Brentford is the expected winner.
Brentford is a strong favorite with odds consistently around 1.80-1.83, indicating a significant market edge over Burnley (4.0-4.3). The substantial gap in odds suggests Brentford has a much higher probability of securing an away victory.
The odds heavily favor Brentford (1.79-1.83) compared to Burnley (4.0-4.3), indicating bookmakers see Brentford as clear favorites. This suggests an implied probability of approximately 55% for Brentford. Brentford has established themselves as a solid mid-table Premier League side with superior quality, while Burnley (assuming promoted) typically struggles in their first season back in the top flight.
Brentford is the clear favorite based on the moneyline odds (around 1.8 vs. Burnley's 4+), indicating stronger recent form and matchup advantages in the EPL.
Market consensus strongly favours Brentford (decimal ~1.79–1.83 implies ~55–56% implied probability). Multiple books price Burnley long (≈4.0–4.3), indicating Brentford is the clear favorite to win.
Market averages put Brentford around 1.80–1.83 (~55% implied) vs Burnley ~4.0–4.3 (~24%), and multiple books align on Brentford as clear away favorite.
Over/Under
O/U 2.562%
consensus
Over
13 models · avg conf 57%
Over
Both teams have shown potential for scoring, and the odds for over 2.5 goals indicate a balanced expectation for offensive output.
The totals line at 2.5 with odds around 1.85-1.89 for over indicates a slight lean towards a higher-scoring game. Premier League matches involving mid-table or lower-table teams like Burnley often see defensive vulnerabilities, increasing the chance of over 2.5 goals.
Lines for 2.5 are close to even, suggesting a balanced expectation. Attacking potential from Brentford and Burnley implies a reasonable chance of 3+ goals, though a 2-1 or 1-1 result remains plausible.
The odds for the total goals are almost perfectly even (e.g., 1.85 Over, 1.85 Under), indicating the market has no strong opinion. However, in matchups with a clear favorite, the potential for the stronger team to score multiple goals to secure the win often pushes the total over the 2.5 line. This is a low-confidence pick due to the market indecision.
The totals line is evenly split (1.85-1.89) suggesting bookmakers see this as a coin flip. However, Brentford typically plays an attacking style and Burnley at home will need to push forward. Burnley's likely defensive struggles as a promoted team combined with Brentford's offensive capabilities suggests the over 2.5 goals is marginally more likely. The tight odds reflect genuine uncertainty here.
The over/under is set at 2.5 with even odds, but Brentford's games often feature goals, and Burnley's home matches can open up, pushing towards over.
Totals are balanced at 2.5 with even pricing, but Brentford’s tendency toward open, attacking games and a narrow expected margin make a slight lean to Over 2.5 reasonable.
Totals 2.5 priced near even suggests a fair line; with EPL scoring baseline near 2.7–2.8 and an away favorite dynamic, slight value lean to over 2.5.
Under
The odds for Over and Under 2.5 are very close (average 1.87 for Over, 1.865 for Under), but with a slight edge leaning towards the Under. A narrow victory for the favored team (e.g., 1-0 or 2-0) is a plausible outcome, keeping the total below 2.5 goals.
The odds for both over and under are close, but considering the playing style of both teams and their recent goal-scoring records, a low-scoring game is more likely.
Totals are essentially balanced across books (1.85-1.89 on both sides), indicating market uncertainty. However, the slight consistency in Under odds and typical defensive organization from both Premier League teams suggests a marginal lean toward lower-scoring outcomes. This is a weak confidence prediction due to even market pricing.
The totals market is nearly perfectly balanced with odds of 1.85-1.89 for both over and under 2.5 goals, indicating no clear market consensus. However, matches involving Burnley (historically a defensive, relegation-battling side) tend toward lower scoring. The tight odds suggest a coin flip, but slight edge to under given Burnley's typical playing style and the importance of the match.
The totals market is very tight with odds nearly even at 1.85/1.85 and a slight subsequent lean towards the Under (1.88 vs 1.89). Matches involving heavy underdogs like Burnley often trend towards lower scores if the underdog prioritizes defense, suggesting a cautious approach favoring the Under.