Missouri Tigers
Arkansas Razorbacks
Spread
Arkansas Razorbacks -10.5 / Missouri Tigers +10.562%
consensus
Arkansas Razorbacks covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
Arkansas Razorbacks covers
Arkansas has consistently performed well against the spread at home, and with a 10.5 point spread, they are likely to win by a significant margin based on their offensive and defensive metrics.
Arkansas's offensive firepower and home court advantage should allow them to win by more than 10.5 points against a Missouri team with defensive inconsistencies.
Arkansas Razorbacks at -10.5 have a reasonable chance to cover the spread given their home advantage and potential superior roster depth. However, Missouri Tigers could keep it competitive, so confidence is moderate.
A double-digit spread suggests Arkansas should control the game; if they execute typical home-game advantages (tempo control, fewer turnovers) they can cover -10.5. Confidence tempered by variance in college basketball and potential in-game swings.
Arkansas is a strong favorite at -10.5, suggesting a dominant performance is anticipated. While covering a double-digit spread in college basketball can be challenging, the magnitude of the spread and home-court advantage point towards Arkansas having the capability to win by a comfortable margin.
Arkansas is favored by 10.5 and has the edge in defense and tempo at home. Missouri's offense can stall at times, making a double-digit Arkansas win plausible, though a backdoor cover isn't impossible.
The 10.5-point spread is substantial. Arkansas would need to win by 11+ points to cover. While home teams often benefit from crowd support and familiarity, double-digit spreads are challenging to cover consistently. The market has priced this fairly, but Arkansas's home advantage and apparent superiority slightly favors them covering.
Arkansas’ projected superiority plus home floor suggests a double-digit margin, though the high total adds volatility.
Missouri Tigers covers
10.5 points is a large spread in college basketball, especially in SEC conference play where teams are familiar with each other. Missouri as a conference opponent should keep it competitive. Historical data shows large spreads in conference games often result in closer-than-expected outcomes. The even odds (1.91) on both sides suggest the book sees this as a toss-up for spread purposes.
While Arkansas is the better team, 10.5 points is a significant number for a rivalry game (Battle Line Rivalry). Rivalry games often produce closer margins than talent disparities suggest. Missouri will likely treat this as their Super Bowl, and the intensity of the rivalry should prevent a blowout, allowing the Tigers to cover the double-digit spread.
Although Arkansas is favored, a 10.5 point spread is significant. Missouri Tigers might cover the spread if they play competitively, keeping the game closer than expected. Betting lines suggest this could be a possibility.
While Arkansas should win, 10.5 points is a large spread in conference play. Missouri typically plays competitively in rivalry games regardless of record disparities. Double-digit spreads in SEC basketball are difficult to cover consistently, and Missouri has the defensive capability to keep this within the number even in a loss.
A spread of 10.5 points is substantial in a conference rivalry game. While Arkansas is the heavy favorite, underdogs often play with extra motivation and can keep the final score closer than expected. Missouri has enough potential to lose by 10 or fewer points, thus covering the spread.
Moneyline
Arkansas Razorbacks +1.17 / Missouri Tigers +5.4100%
consensus
Arkansas Razorbacks wins
13 models · avg conf 78%
Arkansas Razorbacks wins
The Arkansas Razorbacks are favored by a significant -10.5 on the spread, indicating they are widely expected to win this game outright against the Missouri Tigers.
The provided spread of -10.5 indicates that oddsmakers view the Arkansas Razorbacks as the significantly stronger team, especially at home. A spread this large implies a very high probability of an outright win. This prediction is based entirely on the current betting line, as specific team data for a game in the distant future is not available.
Arkansas is the home favorite with a strong recent record in SEC matchups, while Missouri has struggled on the road.
As 10.5-point home favorites, the oddsmakers show strong respect for Arkansas's talent gap and home-court advantage at Bud Walton Arena. In college basketball, home favorites of this magnitude in conference play win outright at a very high rate.
Arkansas is favored by 10.5 points at home, indicating a significant talent/form advantage. Home court advantage in college basketball is substantial, typically worth 3-4 points. The sportsbooks clearly view Arkansas as the superior team in this matchup.
A -10.5 home spread implies a strong market edge and high SU win probability; home-court advantage favors Arkansas.
A 10.5-point home favorite implies market expectation Arkansas is clearly the better team. Home-court edge and the size of the spread point to Arkansas winning straight-up barring late injuries or an upset.
Arkansas Razorbacks are favored with a significant spread of -10.5, indicating strong market confidence in their performance at home against Missouri Tigers. Historical trends in NCAA Basketball often favor home teams in such matchups.
Arkansas Razorbacks are favored with a -10.5 spread, indicating they are expected to win. Playing at home typically provides an advantage in college basketball, and their current form suggests they are stronger than the Missouri Tigers.
The Razorbacks have a strong home-court advantage and a better overall record compared to the Tigers. Historical performance in similar matchups supports the Razorbacks winning at home.
Arkansas is a significant 10.5-point favorite at home, indicating clear superiority in this matchup. Home court advantage in Bud Walton Arena is substantial for the Razorbacks, and the line suggests oddsmakers see a considerable talent gap. Arkansas should control this SEC rivalry game.
Arkansas is favored at home with a 10.5-point spread, indicating market confidence in their victory. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the double-digit spread suggests a substantial skill gap. However, Missouri as a conference rival cannot be entirely discounted.
Arkansas has home-court advantage and typically stronger defense against Missouri's offense; the spread implies Arkansas is the favorite, and recent form suggests they are likely to win outright.
Over/Under
O/U 161.562%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 59%
Over
Both teams have shown a tendency to score high in recent games, and with a total set at 161.5, it is reasonable to expect a fast-paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities.
Both teams play at a fast pace, and recent games for each have frequently exceeded similar totals, suggesting a high-scoring affair.
A total of 161.5 points suggests a high-scoring game. Both teams have the potential for strong offensive outputs in NCAA Basketball, and recent trends show games involving Arkansas often exceed projected totals.
Both teams run a faster pace and Missouri's scoring is capable; odds suggest a high-scoring affair, with typical games around or above 160-165; slight lean to the over given tempo and scoring potential.
161.5 is a relatively high total for college hoops. If Arkansas and Missouri run at a faster pace or both have above-average offenses, game flow favors the over. Confidence moderate because conference play defenses and late-game tempo could push the total lower.
Under
A total of 161.5 points is exceptionally high for an NCAA Basketball game. While Arkansas is expected to score well, both teams would need to maintain a very high offensive efficiency and a fast pace throughout the game to exceed this total, making the under a more likely outcome.
161.5 is a moderate total for college basketball. SEC games tend to feature strong defense and more physical play. Conference rivalries often result in tighter, more defensive-minded games. With both teams likely familiar with each other's systems, defensive adjustments should limit scoring opportunities. The even 1.91 odds suggest equilibrium, but conference play trends slightly toward unders.
The total of 161.5 points is high for a college basketball game. Both teams may play a strategic game focused on defense, which could lead to a lower scoring match than anticipated.
The total of 161.5 is exceptionally high for a college basketball game. Reaching this total requires both teams to play at a very fast pace and maintain high offensive efficiency for the entire game. It is more common for the pace to slow or for one team to have a poor shooting night, making the under a more probable outcome at such a high line.
A total of 161.5 is relatively high for SEC basketball. Both programs typically emphasize defensive principles, and rivalry games often feature tighter, more physical play that slows pace. Late-season conference matchups tend to be grind-it-out affairs with increased familiarity between teams limiting easy scoring opportunities.
The total is set at 161.5 points, which is moderate for college basketball. Without specific season scoring data for both teams, this represents a slight lean toward under based on typical SEC defensive emphasis and the likelihood that a 10.5-point spread indicates a slower, more controlled game rather than a high-scoring shootout. Confidence is modest due to limited contextual data.
161.5 is lofty; if Arkansas controls, late pace may slow and Missouri’s offense may not sustain enough to clear the number.
The total of 161.5 is relatively high for an SEC matchup late in the season. As conference play intensifies near tournament time, defenses typically tighten up. Rivalry games also tend to be more physical and grinding, which favors a slower pace and fewer possessions.