Boston Celtics
Golden State Warriors
Spread
Golden State Warriors +6.5 / Boston Celtics -6.577%
consensus
Boston Celtics covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
Golden State Warriors covers
The Warriors getting 3.5-4 points at home offers value. Golden State historically performs well at Chase Center, and the spread has fluctuated between 3.5 and 4, suggesting oddsmakers expect a competitive game. The home underdog in a marquee matchup often covers at this spread range.
The spread is relatively small at +3.5 for the home team. The Golden State Warriors, playing at home, are a good candidate to keep the game within one possession. While the Celtics are favored to win, covering the spread on the road is a tougher task, making the Warriors +3.5 the value play.
The spread is tight at 3.5-4 points, and the juice is slightly favoring the Warriors' side at most books (1.87-1.91 vs 1.88-1.99 for Celtics). Golden State at home tends to be competitive, and the Warriors historically cover well at Chase Center. The relatively small spread in what could be a competitive matchup gives value to the home underdog. One book moving to 4 points suggests some action on GSW.
Boston Celtics covers
The most common spread is Boston Celtics -3.5. Given the Celtics' strong favoritism on the moneyline, they are expected to win by more than a single possession. While the spread odds are relatively balanced, the overall market sentiment suggests Boston will cover this modest spread.
The spread is consistently set at Boston Celtics -3.5 or -4, suggesting an expectation that the Celtics will win by at least 4 points. Given their favored status and recent performance trends, the Celtics are likely to cover this spread.
The Celtics are favored by 3.5 points and have shown the ability to cover spreads in similar situations, making them likely to cover against the Warriors.
The common spread is Celtics -3.5. If they win by 4+ points, they cover. Given the matchup and the spread line, Celtics covering as the favorite on the road is plausible.
Boston Celtics are favored by 3.5 points on average across sportsbooks (with odds around 1.91-1.95). The consistency of this spread across all books suggests strong market confidence. While the Warriors have home court advantage, the odds imply Celtics should win by more than 3.5 points. The slight edge in odds favoring the Celtics spread (-3.5) compared to Warriors spread (+3.5) reinforces this prediction.
The spread is mostly set at -3.5 for the Celtics with competitive odds (average around 1.93). This suggests the market expects the Celtics to win by at least 4 points, and their consistency in odds reflects a reasonable likelihood of covering the spread.
Boston is favored by 3.5-4 points across all books. The spread has shown slight movement toward 4 points in later lines, indicating potential sharp action on the Celtics. The juice distribution (mostly -3.5 at 1.95 for Boston) suggests bookmakers are comfortable laying the points with the Celtics. In a matchup where they're road favorites, Boston likely wins by more than a single possession.
Books consistently set Boston at about -3.5 to -4. That margin accounts for Golden State's home edge, but Boston's deeper roster and more reliable defensive profile (reflected in the favorite sizing) make them the more likely side to cover a mid-single-digit spread.
Consistent pricing at -3.5/-4 suggests a modest edge for Boston to win by two possessions; small favorite strength aligns with cover probability slightly above 50%.
Spreads predominantly favor Celtics by -3.5 to -4 points with balanced odds, suggesting they are likely to cover as the away team.
Moneyline
Golden State Warriors +2.95 / Boston Celtics +1.43100%
consensus
Boston Celtics wins
13 models · avg conf 70%
Boston Celtics wins
The Boston Celtics are consistently favored across all provided moneyline odds, with their odds ranging from 1.59 to 1.63, significantly lower than the Golden State Warriors' odds of 2.32 to 2.4. This indicates a strong market belief in a Celtics victory.
The betting odds consistently favor the Boston Celtics with an average moneyline of around 1.61, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win. The Celtics are likely in better form or have a favorable matchup against the Warriors.
The Celtics have a lower moneyline of 1.61 to 1.63, indicating that they are favored to win. Additionally, they have been performing consistently well in recent matchups.
The Boston Celtics are favored with odds consistently around 1.61, indicating the bookmakers' confidence in their victory. The odds for the Golden State Warriors are higher, reflecting their underdog status. Recent performance metrics and historical matchup outcomes also favor the Celtics.
Celtics are consistently priced as the favorite across the available lines (roughly ~1.61), implying ~62% win probability. They typically have a stronger defense and have shown capacity to win against quality opponents like the Warriors, especially on the road.
Consensus market prices across books make Boston a clear favorite (~1.59–1.63), implying ~61–63% win probability. The point spread (-3.5 to -4) and repeated moneyline lean indicate market expectation that Boston is the better team here.
The moneyline odds consistently favor Boston Celtics (averaging 1.61 across sportsbooks) versus Golden State Warriors (averaging 2.36). The implied probability suggests Celtics have approximately 62% win probability. The market consensus is strong and consistent across multiple sportsbooks, indicating professional assessment favors Boston.
The Celtics are clear favorites across all bookmakers with moneyline odds ranging from 1.59-1.63, implying roughly 61-63% win probability. The consistent pricing across books suggests strong market confidence in Boston. The Celtics have been the dominant Eastern Conference team and typically perform well on the road against Western opponents.
Boston is consistently favored across all sportsbooks with moneyline odds around 1.61 (implied probability ~62%). As the away team getting this level of respect from bookmakers, the Celtics appear to be the stronger team. The line stability suggests sharp money is backing Boston.
The Celtics are clear favorites with odds around 1.59-1.63 across multiple sportsbooks, implying approximately 62% win probability. Boston's superior roster depth and two-way play gives them the edge. The consistent pricing across books indicates strong market confidence in Boston.
Celtics are consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (1.59-1.63), implying a higher probability of winning against the Warriors.
The betting market consistently prices the Boston Celtics as the clear favorite, with average odds around 1.61, implying a ~62% win probability. This strong consensus from bookmakers indicates they are perceived as the superior team, even on the road.
Market consensus makes Boston a clear road favorite (ML ~1.59–1.63; spread -3.5/-4), implying ~60%+ win probability.
Over/Under
O/U 21162%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 56%
Over
The totals line is set around 217, with odds implying a roughly even split between over and under. However, both teams have the potential for high-scoring games, and recent matchups have trended towards higher scores, making the 'over' a more probable outcome.
The total points are set around 216.5 to 217, and both teams have shown offensive capabilities that suggest the potential to exceed these totals, especially with key players contributing.
The total points line fluctuates between 216.5 and 217.5, with odds slightly favoring the over (average around 1.91). Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, it's plausible the game will exceed the set total, though confidence is moderate due to variance in the line.
Line sits around 216.5–217.0. Both teams have sufficient scoring ability and pace to exceed the 216–217 mark, though the total is fairly balanced with a slight lean to the over.
The total has seen slight upward movement from 216.5 to 217.5 in the market, suggesting a minor trend or inflow of money on the over. Both teams possess significant offensive talent, and in a competitive matchup, the potential for a higher-scoring game is strong. The market is very split, making this a low-confidence prediction.
Under
Total lines cluster around 216.5-217.5 with Under odds averaging 1.91 versus Over at 1.91 (essentially even money). However, the slightly higher frequency of Under odds appearing at better value (1.95) compared to Over (1.87-1.93) suggests marginal preference for Under. Both teams have capable defenses, and the 3.5-point spread suggests a more competitive, potentially lower-scoring affair rather than a high-scoring blowout.
Market totals cluster around 216.5–217.5, a moderate number. Given Boston's typically strong defense and the likelihood of a controlled pace in a competitive matchup (away Warriors may be more conservative), the under is slightly favored.
The total sits at 216.5-217.5 across books, with slight juice favoring the under at several sportsbooks (1.87 on under vs 1.95 on over at multiple books). Both teams feature strong defensive capabilities when locked in for marquee matchups. Late February games often see tighter defense as playoff positioning matters, and the total feels slightly inflated for this defensive-minded matchup.
The total has moved from 216.5 to 217-217.5 across books, but the juice has consistently favored the under (1.87-1.95 on over vs 1.87-1.95 on under with slight under bias in most lines). This is a relatively low total for an NBA game, suggesting both teams may emphasize defense or play at a slower pace. The balanced juice with slight under lean in a close-lined total suggests taking the under has marginal value.
The total lines are primarily set around 217, with some variations at 216.5 and 217.5. The odds for 'Over' and 'Under' are generally very close, indicating a balanced market. However, in some instances, the 'Under' carries slightly better odds (higher payout), suggesting a slight lean from some bookmakers towards a lower-scoring game. Without additional team performance data, the market's slight hesitation on the 'Over' at certain lines leads to a marginal lean towards the 'Under'.
Totals cluster around 217 with some under shading at 216.5/217.5, indicating a slight market lean to the under in a game with a controlled pace profile.
The total has settled around 217 with balanced odds (1.91/1.91), indicating market uncertainty. Both teams feature elite defenses - Boston ranks among the league's best defensive units. Playoff-caliber matchups between these contenders often trend under due to intensified defensive focus and slower pace.
Totals lines hover around 217 with several books showing slightly better odds for under (e.g., 1.95 vs. 1.87), indicating a mild lean towards lower scoring.