Toronto FC
FC Dallas
Spread
FC Dallas -0.25 / Toronto FC +0.2562%
consensus
FC Dallas covers
13 models · avg conf 60%
FC Dallas covers
The prevalent spread is FC Dallas -0.25. As the home favorite, Dallas only needs to win to cover; a draw or Toronto win would fail to cover, aligning with the implied advantage from the moneyline.
The spread of -0.25 suggests a close game, but FC Dallas playing at home generally increases their chances to cover the spread.
FC Dallas is consistently favored at -0.25 goals (or -0.5 at some books), indicating a slight home advantage. The spread odds of 2.05 for Dallas to cover suggest reasonable value. Given the moneyline consensus favoring Dallas, they are more likely to either win or draw, covering the minimal spread requirement.
With spreads mostly at -0.25 for FC Dallas at odds of 2.05, the market suggests a slight edge for the home team to win by at least a goal. However, the tight spread indicates a close game, reducing confidence.
The spread is set at -0.25 for FC Dallas, and the odds suggest a reasonable likelihood of them covering this spread at home against a Toronto FC team that has struggled on the road.
The spread is mostly -0.25 for FC Dallas with odds around 2.05, suggesting a slight edge for the home team to cover, especially given their favoritism in moneyline odds.
Small negative spreads (-0.25 to -0.5) show a narrow favorite — market implies a close game. Given the home-moneyline lean and modest spread, FC Dallas is more likely to cover the slim handicap, though a draw would reduce upside on -0.25.
The -0.25 spread at 2.05 offers value on FC Dallas. This Asian handicap means a win covers fully, while a draw results in a half-push. Given Dallas's home advantage and Toronto's historical road difficulties, backing the home side to cover the slight handicap is justified.
Toronto FC covers
Despite FC Dallas being the moneyline favorite, the spread odds heavily favor Toronto FC covering a positive spread. For Toronto FC +0.25, the odds are 1.8, and for Toronto FC +0.5, the odds are even lower at 1.58. This indicates bookmakers expect a very close game, with Toronto FC likely to either win, draw, or lose by a single goal, thus covering the spread.
The spread lines are very tight (-0.25 for Dallas, +0.25 for Toronto). The odds for Toronto FC to cover the +0.25 spread are significantly lower (1.8) than for FC Dallas to cover -0.25 (2.05). This indicates the market believes a Toronto win or a draw is more probable than an outright Dallas victory, making the +0.25 cushion a value play.
Toronto FC at +0.25/+0.5 offers solid value. The Asian handicap of +0.25 means you win if Toronto draws or wins, and get half stake back if they lose by exactly 1 goal. Given the tight moneyline odds suggesting an evenly matched contest, Toronto getting goals is the safer play. The 1.8 odds on Toronto +0.25 represents better value than Dallas -0.25 at 2.05.
Asian handicap pricing favors Toronto +0.25 (1.80) over Dallas -0.25 (2.05), suggesting draw resistance and value on the away side to cover.
The spread of -0.25 for FC Dallas (Asian handicap) at 2.05 odds versus Toronto FC +0.25 at 1.80 suggests bookmakers expect a close game. The better value appears to be on Toronto FC +0.25, as the shorter odds indicate the market believes Toronto can keep it close or draw. MLS away teams often perform better than odds suggest, and a draw would result in a push/partial win for the +0.25 side.
Moneyline
FC Dallas +2.22 / Toronto FC +3.08100%
consensus
FC Dallas wins
13 models · avg conf 62%
FC Dallas wins
FC Dallas has a slight advantage with better odds on the moneyline and home-field advantage, which typically boosts performance.
FC Dallas is consistently listed as the favorite across the majority of the provided lines (decimal odds around 2.30) versus Toronto FC (approx. 2.80–3.10). This implies market expectation of a Dallas win, reinforced by home-field advantage.
FC Dallas is consistently listed as the moneyline favorite across various bookmakers, with average odds around 2.3 compared to Toronto FC's average of 2.89. This, combined with home-field advantage, suggests FC Dallas is the more likely winner.
FC Dallas has consistently lower moneyline odds (averaging around 2.3) compared to Toronto FC (around 2.9), indicating they are slight favorites at home with a higher implied probability of winning.
FC Dallas is playing at home, where they generally perform better. The odds slightly favor them, indicating a better chance of winning compared to Toronto FC, whose odds are higher.
FC Dallas has consistently lower odds across multiple moneyline listings (averaging around 2.3), indicating bookmakers favor them slightly over Toronto FC (averaging around 2.9). Home advantage in MLS also plays a significant role.
Consensus moneyline across books puts FC Dallas as the slight favorite (ML ~2.2–2.35 vs Toronto ~2.8–3.1). Lines are volatile but consistently favor the home side, indicating a modest edge for Dallas.
FC Dallas is consistently priced as the favorite across all provided odds, ranging from 2.2 to 2.35. In MLS, home-field advantage is a significant factor, and the market clearly gives the edge to FC Dallas in what is expected to be a competitive match.
FC Dallas is favored across all sportsbooks with consistent odds ranging from 2.2 to 2.35, implying approximately 43-45% win probability. This slight home advantage is typical for MLS matchups. Toronto FC's odds (2.8-3.1) suggest around 32-36% win probability, indicating the market views Dallas as the stronger team in this matchup.
FC Dallas has home field advantage and the market consistently prices them as favorites (2.2-2.35 range vs 2.8-3.1 for Toronto). The implied probability favors Dallas around 43-45% vs Toronto's 32-36%. However, the relatively close odds suggest a competitive match with no clear dominant team.
FC Dallas holds home advantage with odds averaging around 2.30, suggesting they are slight favorites. MLS home teams historically perform well, and the consistent pricing across books indicates market confidence in Dallas. Toronto FC's higher odds (2.85-3.10) reflect their underdog status and typical road struggles in MLS.
Home side priced shorter across books (~2.23–2.35 vs 2.80–3.10), indicating a modest edge at home.
FC Dallas is favored across all bookmakers with odds ranging from 2.2-2.35, implying roughly 43-45% win probability. Home advantage in MLS is significant, and the consistent pricing across books suggests FC Dallas has the edge. Toronto FC odds of 2.8-3.1 indicate they're clear underdogs. However, the relatively close odds suggest this is a competitive matchup.
Over/Under
O/U 2.7562%
consensus
Over
13 models · avg conf 62%
Over
The market shows a strong lean towards the over. While the 2.75 goal line is more evenly priced, the odds on the 2.5 goal line are heavily skewed, with the Over priced at 1.73-1.77 versus the Under at around 2.00. This suggests a high market confidence that at least three goals will be scored in the match.
The odds for the over 2.75 goals are relatively favorable, and recent matchups between these teams have often resulted in high-scoring games, suggesting a strong possibility for a total score above 2.75.
The 'Over 2.5' goals market consistently has lower odds (averaging around 1.75) compared to the 'Under 2.5' (averaging around 2.00). This suggests the market expects at least three goals to be scored in the match.
MLS matches involving two capable attacking teams often yield 3+ goals. The Over 2.75 line is priced at 1.98, with Under 2.75 at 1.85, suggesting a modest lean to higher scoring but not a strong edge. Given offensive potential, Over 2.75 is a reasonable lean.
Both teams have shown tendencies to score, and the odds for over 2.75 are favorable, indicating a potential for a high-scoring match.
The totals line varies between 2.5 and 2.75, with 'over' odds slightly more favorable (around 1.73-1.98). This suggests a potential for a higher-scoring game, possibly due to defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, though confidence remains moderate.
Totals lines vary between 2.5 and 2.75 with over odds slightly better (e.g., 1.98 vs 1.85), pointing to a mild expectation of higher scoring in this MLS matchup.
The totals line is set at 2.5-2.75 goals with Over 2.5 priced at 1.73-1.77 (favorable) and Over 2.75 at 1.98. FC Dallas typically plays in an attacking style at home, and early-season MLS matches often see goals as defenses settle. The pricing on Over 2.5 being shorter suggests bookmakers lean toward higher-scoring, making Over 2.75 at near even odds reasonable value.
Under
Multiple books set the total at 2.75 with the under priced (lower payout), signaling market expectation of a low-scoring affair. Despite a couple of 2.5 lines favoring the over, the prevailing market lines point toward under 2.75.
The market is split between 2.5 and 2.75 goal totals, with Under 2.5 priced at 1.99-2.0 (best value) and Under 2.75 at 1.85. The slightly juiced Under lines suggest sharp money favors fewer goals. MLS matches between evenly matched teams often feature cautious play. With neither team heavily favored, expect a tight, defensive-minded contest that stays under 3 total goals.
The totals are set at either 2.5 or 2.75 goals depending on the sportsbook. Under odds consistently offer slightly better value (1.85-2.0) compared to Over odds (1.73-1.98). In MLS, matches featuring these two teams typically feature moderate scoring. The consensus pricing favoring Under suggests oddsmakers expect a lower-scoring affair, likely 1-2 goals total.
Market centers around 2.6 expected goals: Under 2.75 is slightly favored (1.85) while Over 2.5 is juiced, pointing to a lean under 2.75.
The total line sits at 2.75 with under priced at 1.85, suggesting slight lean toward lower scoring. February MLS matches can see teams still building fitness and chemistry. Both sides may prioritize defensive organization early in the season, supporting a more cautious, lower-scoring affair.