Fulham
Sunderland
Spread
Sunderland 0 / Fulham 069%
consensus
Sunderland covers
13 models · avg conf 56%
Sunderland covers
With Sunderland favored at -0.5, they are expected to win by at least one goal, and they have the home advantage which typically boosts performance.
The spread odds suggest Sunderland is slightly favored to cover at -0.5 with a higher return compared to Fulham's +0.5. This implies a stronger belief in Sunderland's ability to win by at least one goal.
The common spread line shows Sunderland -0.5 with favorable odds, indicating the home team is expected to win by at least one goal in several markets.
Many books show a 0 or -0.5 line (draw/no-bet or minimal home favorite), indicating expectation of a close game. Given the slight market preference for Sunderland and home ground edge, Sunderland is more likely to cover a small spread.
On the 0 (DNB) line Sunderland is priced shorter, indicating a modest edge to avoid defeat; push on draw, win covers.
With most spread lines at Sunderland 0 (around 1.88), the market suggests a close match but slightly favors Sunderland to at least draw. Given the home advantage, they are more likely to cover.
The spread market is set at 0 (draw no bet) across most bookmakers, with Sunderland priced more favorably at 1.87-1.88 compared to Fulham's 1.94-1.98. This suggests bookmakers slightly favor Sunderland to avoid defeat. The -0.5 handicap at 2.5 odds further supports Sunderland's narrow advantage.
The spread lines show Sunderland at 0 (-0.5 in one instance) with odds around 1.88 for a push, while Fulham at 0 sits around 1.94-1.98. The slight variation suggests a virtual pick'em with minimal home-field advantage. Given Sunderland's home status and marginally better odds positioning, there's a slight lean toward Sunderland covering, but this is nearly a true even matchup.
Consensus spreads show Sunderland as a slight favorite (e.g., -0.5 or pk), and home advantage suggests they are likely to cover in a tight game.
Fulham covers
The odds for Fulham +0.5 are consistently very low (around 1.47), indicating a strong market expectation that Fulham will either win or draw the match, thereby covering the +0.5 spread. This is the clearest signal among the given lines.
Fulham is offered at +0.5 goals. In a game where the moneyline is nearly even and a draw is a strong possibility, taking the points with the away team provides a significant advantage. Fulham covers this spread with either a win or a draw.
Most books are offering a 0-goal spread (push protection) with Fulham getting slightly better odds (1.94-1.98) compared to Sunderland (1.87-1.88). When one book offers Sunderland -0.5 at 2.5 odds, it suggests the market is hesitant about Sunderland's ability to win outright. Taking Fulham at 0 (or +0.5 where available) provides better value with draw protection.
The spread lines are telling - Sunderland -0.5 at 2.5 odds is poor value, while Fulham +0.5 at 1.47 offers much better implied probability. The 0 line (draw no bet) shows similar pricing (1.87-1.98 range). This suggests bookmakers expect a very close match, likely a draw or one-goal margin. Fulham +0.5 covers with a win or draw, making it the safer play in what appears to be an evenly matched contest.
Moneyline
Sunderland +2.71 / Fulham +2.7192%
consensus
Sunderland wins
13 models · avg conf 55%
Sunderland wins
Sunderland is represented as the slight favorite in the majority of moneyline listings (lower decimal odds around 2.6) compared with Fulham.
Sunderland has slightly better odds on Moneyline across various lines, indicating a stronger likelihood of winning at home.
Sunderland shows slightly better average odds (around 2.60) compared to Fulham (around 2.69) across multiple moneyline listings, indicating a marginal favoritism by the market. Home advantage may also play a role.
Market lines are extremely tight but slightly favor the home side across multiple books (Sunderland ~2.59–2.65 vs Fulham ~2.60–2.75). Home advantage and the consensus lean toward Sunderland justify a mild edge.
Sunderland moneyline odds average around 2.60 across all sportsbooks, implying ~38% implied probability, while Fulham averages ~2.68, implying ~37%. The odds are extremely tight and nearly a pick'em, but Sunderland's home field advantage and marginally lower odds across most books give them a slight edge. However, the confidence is modest given how evenly matched the books view these teams.
The odds are slightly more favorable for Sunderland across multiple lines, indicating a marginal expectation of them winning. As the home team, they may have a slight advantage.
Sunderland is the home team with slightly better average odds (around 2.60) compared to Fulham (around 2.68), indicating a mild favorite status in a close matchup.
Across books Sunderland is a slight home favorite (pk: 1.87–1.88 vs 1.94–1.98; ML mostly shorter for Sunderland). Near coin-flip with small home edge.
The odds across all bookmakers consistently favor Sunderland slightly (2.58-2.65 vs 2.6-2.8 for Fulham), indicating the market views this as nearly a coin flip but with a slight home advantage. Sunderland playing at home at the Stadium of Light provides a marginal edge. The implied probabilities suggest Sunderland at roughly 38% vs Fulham at 36%, with the draw being significant. Taking the home side in this tight matchup.
The moneyline odds are extremely tight (Sunderland ~2.60 vs Fulham ~2.68 average), indicating a near coin-flip match. Sunderland has a slight edge as the home team with marginally better odds across all books. The market suggests approximately 38% implied probability for Sunderland vs 37% for Fulham, giving Sunderland a razor-thin advantage at home.
Sunderland holds a slight edge as the home team with average odds around 2.60 vs Fulham's 2.69. The close odds indicate a very evenly matched contest, but home advantage in the Premier League typically provides a marginal boost. The draw is also a significant possibility given the tight pricing.
The moneyline odds are extremely close, indicating a match that is essentially a toss-up. Sunderland holds a very slight edge across multiple sportsbooks, likely due to home-field advantage. This is a low-confidence pick in what is projected to be a very tight contest.
Fulham wins
While the moneyline odds are very tight, the market heavily favors Fulham to either win or draw, as indicated by the very low odds for Fulham +0.5 on the spread (1.47). This suggests Fulham is less likely to lose outright, making their moneyline a valuable pick if they secure a win or the draw is not considered for this market.
Over/Under
O/U 2.2585%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 65%
Over
Most frequent totals lines point to Over 2.25 as the more likely outcome (lower odds around 1.87–1.88), suggesting the match will produce more than 2.25 goals.
The odds for over 2.5 goals show a favorable return, and both teams have shown tendencies to score, suggesting a high-scoring match.
Under
The betting lines for Totals consistently favor Under 2.5 goals, with odds around 1.66-1.67, compared to Over 2.5 at 2.1-2.18. This strong market preference suggests a low-scoring match is highly anticipated.
The market consistently and strongly favors the under, with odds for Under 2.5 goals priced around 1.66. This implies a roughly 60% probability of the game having two or fewer goals. The tight moneyline further supports the expectation of a cautious, low-scoring match.
The odds for Under 2.5 and Under 2.25 are consistently lower (around 1.66-1.98) compared to Over, suggesting the market expects a low-scoring game. A defensive matchup is likely.
The odds for the under 2.5 goals are consistently lower than the over, indicating a market expectation of fewer goals. Both teams might adopt a cautious approach, leading to a lower-scoring game.
Totals markets shade under 2.5 strongly (U2.5 ~1.66–1.67; O2.5 ~2.10–2.18). Implied mean ~2.3 goals favors under 2.5.
The under is consistently favored across all books with odds ranging from 1.66-1.98, while overs are priced at 1.87-2.18. The market is heavily leaning toward under 2.25-2.5 goals. Given this is a closely matched fixture between two evenly-paired teams, expect a tight, cautious match with defensive solidity. The betting market's clear preference for the under, combined with the competitive nature suggested by the moneyline odds, indicates a likely low-scoring affair.
Totals are consistently priced around 2.25–2.5 with lower odds on the under across books, implying the market expects a lower-scoring affair. The conservative line and typical close-match dynamics support an under pick.
The totals market strongly favors the under, with Under 2.5 priced at 1.66-1.67 across books and Under 2.25 at 1.94-1.98. This indicates bookmakers expect a low-scoring affair. The tight, competitive nature suggested by the moneyline odds typically produces cagey matches. Both teams likely to be cautious in what projects as an evenly-matched Premier League fixture, supporting 2 goals or fewer.
Under 2.5 goals is heavily favored by oddsmakers at 1.66-1.67, while Over 2.5 sits at 2.1-2.18. The 2.25 goal line shows more balanced odds around 1.88-1.94, suggesting expectations of a tight, low-scoring affair typical of closely matched Premier League fixtures.
Betting lines consistently favor the under (e.g., Under 2.5 at 1.66), pointing to a low-scoring affair based on team defensive patterns.
Over 2.5 goals averages odds around 2.14, implying ~47% probability, while Under 2.5 averages 1.67, implying ~60% probability. The consistent pricing across books favoring the Under suggests this matchup is expected to be relatively low-scoring. The Under 2.25 lines (1.88-1.98) also show balanced lean toward lower scoring. Under is the more backed outcome with better implied probability.