Tennessee Volunteers
Vanderbilt Commodores
Spread
Vanderbilt Commodores -3.5 / Tennessee Volunteers +3.577%
consensus
Vanderbilt Commodores covers
13 models · avg conf 58%
Vanderbilt Commodores covers
Given the spread of -3.5, Vanderbilt's home performance and their ability to keep games close favor them to cover the spread.
Vanderbilt's -3.5 spread suggests confidence in their ability to win by at least 4 points. Given their recent form and home advantage, they are likely to cover the spread.
Given Vanderbilt is favored by -3.5 points, the betting line suggests they are expected to win by at least 4 points, thus covering the spread on their home court.
Vanderbilt -3.5 aligns with their home court advantage and defensive improvements, likely covering against a Tennessee team with inconsistent scoring.
Vanderbilt is favored by 3.5 at home. If they win, they are expected to win by at least 4 points to cover. Tennessee would need to stay within 3 points or win outright to avoid a cover against them.
With a short number (-3.5) and home-court edge, if Vanderbilt wins outright they often cover; the line suggests a slight but real home advantage.
Vanderbilt -3.5 indicates oddsmakers expect a close game, but their home advantage and potential defensive matchups against Tennessee could allow them to cover the narrow spread.
Vanderbilt's -3.5 home spread is modest, indicating a close contest. The spread suggests Vanderbilt should win by approximately 4 points. Home court advantage and the betting line positioning favor Vanderbilt covering, though this is a tightly matched rivalry game with high variance.
A 3.5-point line is narrow and could swing either way, but Vanderbilt’s home advantage and the fact they’re favored suggest they’re likeliest to cover a single-score spread, though this is a modest edge given Tennessee’s defensive pedigree.
The 3.5-point spread reflects oddsmakers' respect for Vanderbilt this season. SEC home teams typically perform well against the spread in rivalry games. However, Tennessee's physical defensive style under Rick Barnes often keeps games close, making this a tighter cover.
Tennessee Volunteers covers
As Tennessee is predicted to win outright, they will also cover the +3.5 spread. Their defense is known to travel well, and in a rivalry game, it's likely to be a close contest. Getting 3.5 points with the team that is arguably better on paper provides significant value.
Tennessee gets 3.5 points in what projects to be a competitive SEC rivalry game. Historically, Tennessee has been the stronger program in this matchup. The 3.5-point spread is relatively small, and Tennessee's ability to compete on the road in conference play suggests they can keep this within a possession or pull off the upset.
Tennessee-Vanderbilt rivalry games tend to be closely contested regardless of venue. A 3.5-point spread in a heated in-state rivalry often favors the underdog. Tennessee typically brings high intensity to this matchup, and the Volunteers have the athleticism and defensive capability to keep this within one possession.
Moneyline
Vanderbilt Commodores +1.54 / Tennessee Volunteers +2.5492%
consensus
Vanderbilt Commodores wins
13 models · avg conf 62%
Vanderbilt Commodores wins
Vanderbilt is set as a -3.5 favorite at home, which strongly indicates the oddsmakers expect them to win the game outright.
Vanderbilt has a strong home-court advantage and has shown better performance in recent matchups against Tennessee.
Vanderbilt is favored at home, indicated by the spread, and they have a strong home court advantage historically in matchups against Tennessee.
Vanderbilt is favored on the spread and playing at home, with a strong recent record against SEC rivals; Tennessee has struggled on the road.
The market makes Vanderbilt a small home favorite at -3.5, implying a modest win probability edge bolstered by home-court advantage in a rivalry spot.
Vanderbilt is favored at home with a -3.5 spread, indicating bookmakers expect them to win. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, typically worth 3-4 points. The Commodores should have the edge in this SEC matchup playing at Memorial Gymnasium.
Vanderbilt is listed as the home favorite (-3.5) with similar implied odds to a Tennessee upset. Home court advantage and matchup advantages against Tennessee suggest Vanderbilt is likelier to win outright despite the close spread.
Vanderbilt being favored by 3.5 at home against traditionally stronger Tennessee suggests the Commodores are having a strong season. Home court advantage at Memorial Gymnasium, with its unique floor configuration, gives Vanderbilt an edge in this SEC rivalry matchup.
Vanderbilt is favored at home with a -3.5 spread, suggesting a slight edge. Home court advantage in NCAA Basketball often plays a significant role, especially in rivalry games like this.
Vanderbilt is installed as a small home favorite (-3.5), indicating oddsmakers expect them to be the better team; home-court edge and matchup advantages (likely more consistent scoring and fewer turnovers) make them the safer straight-up pick.
Vanderbilt is favored at home with a -3.5 spread, suggesting oddsmakers view them as the stronger team. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the equal odds (1.91) indicate this is a competitive matchup but slight edge to the home team.
Vanderbilt is favored at home by 3.5 points, indicating oddsmakers see them as the stronger team in this matchup. Home court advantage in SEC play is significant, and Memorial Gymnasium is historically a difficult venue for opponents. The line suggests a competitive game but gives the edge to the Commodores.
Tennessee Volunteers wins
Despite being the road team, Tennessee has consistently been the stronger program with a superior defensive identity under coach Rick Barnes. Vanderbilt being a home favorite is likely due to the unique Memorial Gymnasium environment, but Tennessee's talent and physicality give them a strong chance to win the game outright.
Over/Under
O/U 148.585%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 57%
Over
Both teams have capable offenses that tend to score well, suggesting a higher likelihood of surpassing the total points of 148.5.
With a spread indicating a competitive game where the home favorite is expected to perform well, there's a slight inclination towards a more offensive contest, pushing the total score over 148.5 points. However, without specific team statistics for 2026, this is a speculative pick.
Under
Both teams are in the SEC, often known for strong defensive play. A total of 148.5 seems slightly high for a rivalry game where intensity might lead to tighter defense and fewer scoring opportunities.
The total of 148.5 seems high for a game involving a top defensive team like Tennessee. Rivalry games, especially in the SEC, tend to be more physical and lower-scoring. Tennessee will look to control the pace and impose its defensive will, which typically leads to games falling under the total.
148.5 implies ~74 points per team. Rivalry/league games against disciplined defensive teams (Tennessee historically) tend to slow pace; unless Vanderbilt pushes a high-tempo game, the matchup projects slightly lower scoring, favoring the under.
148.5 is a moderate total for college basketball. SEC games, particularly rivalry matchups, tend to be defensive-minded and physical. Vanderbilt's Memorial Gymnasium is known for its unique atmosphere that can disrupt offensive rhythm. Expect a competitive, defensive-focused game that stays under the total.
SEC matchups often feature disciplined defense and slower-paced sequences. With two competitive teams, the game could stay under 148.5, though late scoring bursts or foul trouble could push it higher.
Tennessee's program identity is built on elite defense and grinding pace, typically producing lower-scoring games. SEC rivalry games also tend to be more intense and physical, limiting transition opportunities. The 148.5 total is achievable but the defensive nature of both programs suggests a slower-paced affair.
Both teams have shown tendencies to play defensively in recent matchups, and while the total is set at 148.5, defensive intensity may keep the score lower.
SEC rivalry games often feature increased defensive intensity and slower pace due to the stakes involved. Tennessee traditionally plays strong defense, and late-season conference matchups tend to be grind-it-out affairs. The 148.5 total is relatively high for a rivalry game where both teams will likely focus on limiting easy baskets.
Both teams emphasize defense in conference play, and recent matchups have trended under; 148.5 seems high given pace of play.
148.5 is relatively high; rivalry intensity and potential half-court possessions point slightly toward a game landing in the mid-140s.
The 148.5 total is positioned near the midpoint. SEC basketball games, particularly rivalry matchups like Vanderbilt-Tennessee, tend toward defensive intensity and deliberate pacing. The even odds suggest uncertainty, but slight lean to under based on typical defensive nature of rivalry games and February conference play patterns.