Memphis Tigers
South Florida Bulls
Spread
South Florida Bulls -9 / Memphis Tigers +977%
consensus
South Florida Bulls covers
13 models · avg conf 62%
South Florida Bulls covers
South Florida is a significant -8 point favorite, suggesting that the oddsmakers anticipate a comfortable victory margin. While covering a -8 spread can be challenging, the strong favoritism implies they are expected to dominate and exceed this margin.
Given the Bulls are favored by 8 points and their historical performance at home, they are likely to cover the spread against a struggling Memphis team.
With home-court and being the favorite, South Florida is likely to cover the 8-point spread; Memphis would need a strong upset to push past the line.
South Florida Bulls at -8 have a reasonable chance to cover the spread given their implied dominance and potential home court advantage. However, Memphis Tigers have shown resilience in close games.
The spread is consistently set at South Florida Bulls -8, suggesting that bookmakers expect them to win by a significant margin. This consistency across odds providers implies confidence in the Bulls covering the spread.
Bulls have covered similar spreads in home games, while Memphis struggles on the road; expect South Florida to win by more than 8.
The -8 spread for South Florida suggests moderate confidence in a Bulls victory. Home court advantage typically supports spread covers. However, 8 points is a meaningful margin that requires consistent execution, keeping confidence moderate rather than high.
While Memphis possesses the athletic profile to keep the game competitive, the -8 spread suggests South Florida is playing disciplined, efficient basketball. Memphis has historically struggled with consistency on the road in conference play. The slight movement in juice towards -8 (1.94) suggests the market is respecting the Bulls' ability to control this game at home.
With a balanced market at -8 and a relatively high total (153) reducing variance, the favorite is slightly more likely to extend to margin at home.
An 8-point spread is meaningful but not huge. If South Florida enforces a controlled pace and defends well at home they should cover, but Memphis' scoring ability and variance make this a modest-confidence pick.
Memphis Tigers covers
The 8-point spread is significant in college basketball. The line has held steady at -8 with consistent odds (1.91-1.94), suggesting balanced action. Memphis as a road dog getting 8 points provides value, as underdogs often cover in conference matchups. The juice is nearly even on both sides, indicating no sharp movement favoring either team.
An 8-point spread is relatively large for an AAC conference matchup. Memphis has historically been competitive in conference play, and road underdogs of 7+ points in conference games tend to cover at a slightly higher rate. The identical juice (1.91-1.94) suggests balanced action with no clear edge, favoring the points.
An 8-point spread is substantial in a conference basketball game. While South Florida is favored, Memphis is a capable program that can often play close games. There is value in taking the points with the underdog to keep the final margin within 8.
Moneyline
South Florida Bulls +1.22 / Memphis Tigers +4.35100%
consensus
South Florida Bulls wins
13 models · avg conf 74%
South Florida Bulls wins
The consistent spread of South Florida Bulls -8 indicates they are strongly favored to win this game outright by the oddsmakers.
South Florida is an 8-point favorite, which implies a high probability of winning the game outright. Home-court advantage further strengthens their position as the likely winner according to the betting market.
South Florida is listed as a significant 8-point home favorite, indicating oddsmakers see a clear disparity in current form and roster strength. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball generally accounts for 3-4 points, suggesting the Bulls are the superior team on paper. Backing the heavy favorite straight up is the high-probability play.
South Florida is heavily favored with a -8 spread, indicating strong home advantage and superior recent form against Memphis.
The South Florida Bulls are favored by 8 points, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win. Additionally, playing at home often provides an advantage, contributing to their higher likelihood of winning.
The Bulls have a strong home-court advantage and have performed better in recent matchups against Memphis, suggesting they are likely to secure the win.
The 8-point spread indicates South Florida is a solid favorite at home. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the consistent spread across books suggests sharp money agrees with USF winning outright.
South Florida is favored by 8 points at home, indicating oddsmakers see them as the clear favorite. The 8-point spread suggests approximately 75-80% win probability for the home team in college basketball.
An 8-point home spread implies a clear edge; typical -8 converts to a strong win probability in the mid-to-high 70% range.
South Florida Bulls are favored with a -8 spread, indicating stronger recent performance or home advantage. Historical data suggests they have a solid record against Memphis Tigers in recent matchups.
The Bulls are listed as the favorite (-8 spread) with close-moneyline odds, indicating market expects a South Florida win, aided by home-court advantage.
The market pricing (South Florida favored by 8) and home-court edge suggest USF is the stronger side straight-up. The line implies bookmakers expect South Florida to control the game; taking the favorite on the ML is the cleaner play here.
South Florida is favored at -8, indicating the oddsmakers view them as the stronger team. Home court advantage and the betting consensus support a Bulls victory, though Memphis has shown competitiveness as a conference opponent.
Over/Under
O/U 16369%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 57%
Over
Both teams have shown tendencies to score high in their recent games, and the total set at 153 seems achievable based on their offensive capabilities.
The total of 153 points seems achievable given both teams' recent scoring trends in NCAA Basketball, with games often exceeding this mark due to fast-paced play and strong offenses.
With South Florida heavily favored by -8 points, it often indicates a strong offensive performance is expected from the winning team. This, combined with the possibility of Memphis contributing enough points, could push the total score Over the 153 mark.
The total is set at a moderate 153. Memphis typically prefers a faster tempo, and if they fall behind early, they will likely need to push the pace to catch up, leading to more possessions. South Florida's offense should be efficient enough at home to contribute to a final score landing in the mid-to-high 150s.
Under
A total of 153 points is on the higher side for a college basketball game. Conference games, especially later in the season, can often feature increased defensive intensity, which may suppress scoring and keep the total under the line.
153 is a relatively high college total. Expecting South Florida to try to control tempo at home and limit possessions makes the under more likely — Memphis can score, but a slower, defensive game favors fewer combined points.
While the total is set at 153, indicating a high-scoring game, both teams have shown variability in offensive performance. Therefore, there is a reasonable chance the game could go under, especially if the Bulls' defense performs well.
The 153 total is substantial for NCAA basketball. Unless both teams play at an exceptionally high pace, the game may stay under the line, though the market shows balanced expectations.
The 153-point total is evenly split in betting odds, suggesting balanced expectation. NCAA basketball games with -8 spreads often feature one dominant team controlling tempo and pace. South Florida's home advantage may lead to controlled, methodical play rather than a high-scoring affair, slightly favoring the under.
At 153 points, this is a moderate total for college basketball. The consistency of the line at exactly 153 with balanced odds (1.91-1.93) suggests sharp money hasn't pushed it either direction. Conference games between familiar opponents often trend lower scoring due to defensive familiarity. Slight lean to under given the stable line and typical college basketball variance.
Both teams play strong defense, and recent matchups have trended under; total line at 153 seems high for their pace.
153 is high for NCAA; if the favorite controls, late-game tempo and lower fouling can suppress scoring. No notable juice push toward the over.
A total of 153 is moderate for college basketball. Conference games late in the season often feature teams familiar with each other's tendencies, leading to tighter defensive execution. The consistent line across books at 153 with balanced juice suggests the market is efficient, but slight lean to under given typical defensive intensity in meaningful conference matchups.