Monmouth Hawks
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
Spread
UNC Wilmington Seahawks -7.5 / Monmouth Hawks +7.577%
consensus
UNC Wilmington Seahawks covers
13 models · avg conf 63%
UNC Wilmington Seahawks covers
Given the spread of -8, UNC Wilmington is expected to cover as they typically perform well at home and have a higher scoring margin.
UNC Wilmington is favored by 8 points at home. With home-court advantage and typical mid-major depth, they should be able to win by 8 or more.
UNC Wilmington at -8 is a reasonable spread to cover given their likely dominance at home. However, Monmouth has the potential to keep it close if their defense holds, hence moderate confidence.
UNC Wilmington is favored by 8 points at home. Consistent -8 spreads across multiple sportsbooks suggests market agreement on this line. However, moderate confidence reflects that Monmouth could be competitive enough to cover as an away underdog, particularly in a Colonial Athletic Association matchup.
The spread is set at -8 for UNC Wilmington, suggesting a strong possibility they will cover. Their recent performance against similar opponents shows they can win by a margin greater than 8 points.
UNC Wilmington's offensive efficiency and home court advantage should allow them to cover the -8 spread against a Monmouth team that has been inconsistent defensively.
An 8-point home favorite suggests a clear edge; if Wilmington controls pace and leverages home advantage they can cover. The market is tight but leans toward Wilmington handling a mid-single-digit margin.
The line has shown slight movement towards UNC Wilmington, ticking up from -8 to -8.5 on some boards, suggesting respect for the home team's ability to pull away. While laying 8+ points in conference play carries risk, Monmouth's struggles on the road likely justify the Seahawks covering the number.
While covering an 8-point spread can be challenging in college basketball, the consistent -8 spread across multiple oddsmakers and the home-court advantage for a strong favorite suggest UNC Wilmington has the capability to win by more than 8 points.
While 8 points is a considerable spread, strong home teams in the CAA often perform well. UNC Wilmington has a solid home-court advantage, and the line indicates the market expects a comfortable victory. This is a slight lean towards the favorite covering.
Monmouth Hawks covers
The 8-point spread with balanced odds (1.91-1.94) suggests sharp money on both sides. In CAA conference matchups, 8 points is a substantial margin that can be difficult to cover in competitive games. Monmouth as an underdog may keep it closer than expected, making them a value play to cover even if they lose.
Eight points is sizable for a conference matchup; UNCW likely controls but Monmouth’s pace and shot-making keep it within two to three possessions.
An 8-point spread is substantial in mid-major basketball. Monmouth, while likely to lose outright, has shown competitiveness in CAA road games. Conference matchups tend to be tighter than expected, and 8 points provides value for the underdog Hawks to cover even in a loss.
Moneyline
UNC Wilmington Seahawks +1.27 / Monmouth Hawks +3.9100%
consensus
UNC Wilmington Seahawks wins
13 models · avg conf 75%
UNC Wilmington Seahawks wins
UNC Wilmington is a significant 8-point favorite on their home court, indicating a strong expectation for them to win the game outright.
UNC Wilmington is established as a significant 8-point home favorite. Teams favored by this margin, especially on their home court in conference play, win the game outright a very high percentage of the time.
UNC Wilmington is a significant home favorite (-8 to -8.5 spread) with a moneyline price of 1.22, implying a high probability of victory. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball, combined with the substantial spread indicates a clear mismatch in talent and form between the two CAA opponents.
UNC Wilmington is favored by a significant spread (-8), indicating stronger team performance and home advantage. Historical trends in NCAA basketball often favor the home team in such matchups.
UNC Wilmington has a stronger overall record and home-court advantage, making them more likely to win.
UNC Wilmington is favored by the spread, indicating they are expected to win. Historical performance and home-court advantage further support their likelihood of winning.
UNC Wilmington is the home favorite with a -8 spread, indicating strong favoritism based on recent form and conference performance; Monmouth has struggled on the road.
UNC Wilmington is favored by 8 on the spread and is the home team; the consistent market pricing across books indicates consensus that Wilmington is the stronger side. Home-court edge and favorite status make them the likely straight-up winner.
UNC Wilmington is favored by 8 points at home, indicating a significant advantage. Home court in college basketball typically provides a 3-4 point edge, suggesting the Seahawks are viewed as the stronger team by approximately 11-12 points on a neutral court. This spread indicates clear superiority.
The 8-point spread indicates UNC Wilmington is a solid favorite at home. In CAA conference play, home court advantage is significant, and the Seahawks typically perform well at Trask Coliseum. The line suggests oddsmakers expect a comfortable UNCW victory.
UNCW has been a top-tier CAA program with a strong home-court edge and steadier defense; Monmouth is improved but less consistent on the road.
The -8 spread indicates a significant home court advantage for UNC Wilmington. As the home team with an 8-point line, they are favored to win. However, the relatively even odds (1.91 on both sides) suggest this is a competitive matchup, preventing higher confidence.
Home court and a favorable spread indicate UNC Wilmington holds the edge; Monmouth has shown variability, making the home team the likely winner.
Over/Under
O/U 144.562%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 56%
Over
Both teams have shown the capability to score high in previous matchups, suggesting that the total points will surpass 139.
The total of 139 points seems achievable given the offensive capabilities of both teams in NCAA basketball. Close spreads often correlate with higher-scoring games, though this prediction carries moderate uncertainty.
Both teams have shown tendencies to participate in high-scoring games, and the set total of 139 seems achievable given their offensive capabilities.
Both teams play at a fast pace, with recent games trending over; combined scoring averages suggest exceeding 139 points.
Line is 139 in a mid-major matchup where both teams can reach around 70 points. Pace and scoring opportunities suggest a slight leaning toward the over.
Under
The total of 139 is relatively low for college basketball, suggesting a defensive-oriented or slower-paced game is expected. Both teams likely emphasize defense or control tempo. With balanced odds at 1.91-1.93, oddsmakers expect a tight defensive battle. Conference rivalry games often feature increased defensive intensity, favoring the under.
A 139 total is relatively high for many college matchups. Conference games late in the season often feature slower pace and tighter defense. Without evidence of a shootout-oriented matchup, the safer lean is under.
UNCW tends to limit tempo and defend well; projected score range near 134–138 favors the under at 139.
With UNC Wilmington favored to win comfortably, they may control the pace of the game and leverage their defense. If Monmouth struggles to score against a superior opponent, and UNC Wilmington potentially eases up late with a large lead, the game could stay under the 139 total.
The 139-point total sits at a moderate level. Without specific team pace and scoring efficiency data available, this is a slight lean under, as mid-level totals in NCAA basketball often trend slightly under when accounting for defensive intensity and game flow variance. Low confidence reflects genuine uncertainty.
The total has hovered between 139 and 139.5. UNC Wilmington typically relies on defensive efficiency and controlling the tempo at home. In a matchup where the home team is expected to lead comfortably, the pace often slows down in the second half, limiting total possessions and keeping the score under the threshold.
A total of 139 suggests a moderate-paced game. Both CAA teams typically play deliberate half-court offense. Late-season conference games often feature tighter defensive schemes as teams are more familiar with opponents' tendencies, favoring the under slightly.
The total of 139 is a neutral line with balanced odds, indicating market uncertainty. In conference games with a significant spread, the pace can sometimes slow down if the favorite builds a large lead, leading to a final score that falls just short of the total. This is a low-confidence prediction.