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NCAA Basketball 2/19/2026 at 11:00 PM

New Hampshire Wildcats

@

UMass Lowell River Hawks

Spread

UMass Lowell River Hawks -5 / New Hampshire Wildcats +5

85%

consensus

UMass Lowell River Hawks covers

13 models · avg conf 63%

UMass Lowell River Hawks covers (85%) New Hampshire Wildcats covers (15%)
11 models · avg 63% avg 56% · 2 models

UMass Lowell River Hawks covers

With UMass Lowell favored by 4.5 points, their strong home performance and recent form suggest they will cover the spread.

UMass Lowell at -4.5 aligns with their moneyline favoritism and home court advantage. The spread is moderate rather than large, suggesting the market views New Hampshire as competitive but likely to lose. Home teams in NCAA basketball tend to cover modest spreads more often than not, particularly in conference play. The 1.91 odds on both sides indicate balanced market perception.

Grok 4
65%

With a -4.5 spread, UMass Lowell's defensive strength and home court should allow them to win by more than 4.5 points against a weaker New Hampshire team.

The -4.5 spread for UMass Lowell aligns with their strong moneyline favoritism. If they are expected to win outright, covering a relatively modest spread at home is a reasonable expectation given their perceived advantage.

GPT-4o
65%

The spread of -4.5 for UMass Lowell suggests they are expected to win by more than 4.5 points. Given their favored status in the moneyline, it's reasonable to predict they will cover the spread, especially if they have a strong home court advantage.

UMass Lowell by -4.5 is a modest spread for a home favorite. If UML wins, they’re likely to win by more than 4.5 given typical home-court effectiveness in this conference matchup.

The -4.5 line indicates the market expects a close UMass Lowell victory by a handful of points. Given the home favorite status and the moderate spread, the River Hawks are more likely to cover than not, though margin is small so confidence is moderate.

Grok 3
60%

UMass Lowell is favored by -4.5 points, suggesting they are expected to win by a small but significant margin. Given their home advantage and the balanced odds (1.91), they have a reasonable chance to cover, though the spread indicates a competitive game.

The spread of -4.5 is a key number, but it is a manageable margin for a home favorite. The implied strength from the moneyline suggests UMass Lowell has the offensive capability to win by at least two possessions.

GLM-5
58%

The spread is set at -4.5 for the home team. In conference matchups where the home team has a distinct offensive efficiency advantage, they often cover moderate spreads. While New Hampshire can be scrappy, UMass Lowell's ability to control the tempo at home should allow them to win by a margin of 6-10 points.

GPT-5
55%

With a -4.5 line near a median margin of ~5 and a small favorite at home, wins often correlate with covers; lean to UMass Lowell to finish a two-possession result.

New Hampshire Wildcats covers

While UMass Lowell is favored to win, the 4.5-point spread is relatively modest given their strong moneyline odds. New Hampshire at +4.5 offers value as conference matchups in America East tend to be competitive. The Wildcats can stay within a possession or two even if they lose outright. The even juice (1.91) on both sides suggests a tight spread, making the underdog plus the points attractive.

While UMass Lowell should win, the 4.5-point spread is slightly inflated for a rivalry game between regional opponents. New Hampshire typically plays UMass Lowell competitively given the geographic proximity and familiarity. Conference games in late February tend to be tighter as teams know each other well. Taking the points with UNH offers value.

Moneyline

UMass Lowell River Hawks +1.48 / New Hampshire Wildcats +2.8

100%

consensus

UMass Lowell River Hawks wins

13 models · avg conf 72%

UMass Lowell River Hawks wins (100%) New Hampshire Wildcats wins (0%)
13 models · avg 72% avg 0% · 0 models

UMass Lowell River Hawks wins

UMass Lowell is a significant favorite based on the moneyline odds (1.45), indicating a high implied probability of victory in this matchup.

Grok 3
75%

UMass Lowell is favored with a moneyline of 1.45, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win at home. Their implied win probability is approximately 69%, and as the home team in NCAA Basketball, they likely have an edge in familiarity and crowd support.

Grok 4
75%

UMass Lowell is heavily favored on the moneyline at 1.45, indicating strong home advantage and better recent form in conference matchups.

UMass Lowell is the strong home favorite, with moneyline odds of 1.45 implying a win probability of approximately 69%. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is a significant factor that supports the favorite winning outright.

GPT-4o
75%

UMass Lowell has been given stronger odds by the bookmakers, indicating they are favored to win. The lower moneyline odds suggest higher confidence in their victory, likely due to better recent performance or a stronger overall record.

UMass Lowell has a better winning percentage and home court advantage, which usually translates to a higher likelihood of winning.

The moneyline odds of 1.45 suggest UMass Lowell is a strong favorite at home with an implied probability of ~69%. The significant odds differential indicates the market views them as clearly superior in this matchup. Home court advantage in college basketball is substantial, and the betting market confidence supports a River Hawks victory.

GLM-5
72%

UMass Lowell enters as the clear favorite with 1.45 odds, implying a roughly 69% win probability. Historically, the River Hawks have performed better in America East conference play, and home-court advantage in a late-season February game further solidifies their edge over the Wildcats.

UMass Lowell is the clear favorite in the posted moneyline (1.45 -> ~69% implied). Home court and the sizable market edge in the price favor the River Hawks to win straight up.

Home court advantage and the favorite status reflected by 1.45 odds imply UML is likely to win. The line suggests UML should have the edge in matchup and form.

The moneyline odds (1.45 vs 2.80) indicate UMass Lowell is a clear favorite at home. The implied probability of ~69% for UMass Lowell reflects their home court advantage and likely superior record in America East conference play. Home court advantage is significant in college basketball, particularly in conference matchups.

UMass Lowell is favored at 1.45 odds, indicating market confidence in a home victory. The -4.5 spread suggests a clear home court advantage. However, the odds are not overwhelming, suggesting this is a competitive matchup within the same conference (likely America East). The moderate confidence reflects the competitive nature of these non-major conference matchups.

GPT-5
66%

Market makes UMass Lowell a solid home favorite (~66–69% implied). Home court plus the matchup profile (stronger offense) points to the River Hawks to win outright.

Over/Under

O/U 150

54%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 58%

Over (46%) Under (54%)
6 models · avg 56% avg 58% · 7 models

Over

Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities that could push the total above 147.5, especially given recent scoring trends.

The total line of 147.5 is relatively high for a college game, indicating that oddsmakers expect a fast-paced, high-scoring affair. If the game script follows the favorite winning and covering, it's likely the final score will exceed this total.

Line at 147.5 is within a typical mid-major pace range. If both teams push for offense and pace remains reasonably up-tempo, the game should hover around or exceed 148 points.

GLM-5
55%

The total is set at 147.5. UMass Lowell typically plays at a faster pace, and late-season college basketball games often see slightly higher scoring as players are acclimated to the system. New Hampshire's defense may struggle to contain the River Hawks' offense, leading to a game that hits the high 140s or low 150s.

GPT-5
54%

Total at 147.5 implies moderate-to-high pace/efficiency; UMass Lowell home games tend to be faster, and a competitive spread increases late-game fouling—slight lean to the over.

The betting market shows no strong lean for either over or under, with identical odds for both. Without additional team-specific statistics on offensive/defensive efficiency or pace of play, this is a speculative pick. However, a total of 147.5 suggests the potential for a moderately high-scoring game.

Under

A total of 147.5 is moderate for college basketball. Conference rivalry games between UMass Lowell and New Hampshire typically feature strong defensive efforts and slower paces. Both teams likely emphasize half-court execution in late-season conference play. The even odds suggest market uncertainty, but defensive intensity in important conference games tends to favor the under.

Grok 4
60%

Both teams have shown tendencies for lower-scoring games recently, and the 147.5 total seems high given their defensive efficiencies.

GPT-4o
60%

The total line is set at 147.5, which indicates expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. However, if both teams have strong defenses or tend to play lower-scoring games, the total might go under. Given the odds are even, there's no clear indication, but an under prediction could be safer if defenses are solid.

The total is 147.5 (about 74 each). With a close expected game (4–6 point margin) and typical college variances, a slightly below-median scoring pace is plausible. Bookmakers often price short favorites into totals; lean under with modest confidence.

A total of 147.5 is moderate for college basketball. Late-season conference games often feature slower pace as teams prioritize defensive execution. Both America East programs typically play methodical half-court offense. Additionally, the familiarity factor in rivalry games often leads to more conservative play and lower-scoring contests.

Grok 3
55%

The total line of 147.5 points is relatively high for an NCAA Basketball game between mid-tier teams. With evenly matched odds (1.91), I lean slightly towards the under, as conference matchups like this can often be defensively focused, especially if the game is close.

At 147.5 points, this total suggests a moderately-paced game. Without specific tempo and defensive data for these America East Conference teams, the prediction leans slightly under based on the typical pace of mid-major conference play and the competitive nature of the matchup (suggesting neither team will run away and allow high-scoring games). However, confidence is low due to limited information - evenly-priced totals often reflect genuine uncertainty.

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