Philadelphia Union
D.C. United
Spread
D.C. United +0.25 / Philadelphia Union -0.25100%
consensus
Philadelphia Union covers
13 models · avg conf 67%
Philadelphia Union covers
The spread for Philadelphia Union is -0.5, which is equivalent to them winning the game outright. Given the strong confidence in a Union victory based on the moneyline analysis, they are the logical pick to cover this spread. The odds for both sides of the spread are nearly identical, but the underlying probability favors the Union.
Given that Philadelphia Union is the clear moneyline favorite, they are expected to win the match. For them to cover the -0.5 spread, they simply need to win by any margin. The odds for Philadelphia Union -0.5 are consistently around 1.90, aligning with their favorite status.
The -0.5 spread for Philadelphia Union is available at roughly -110 to -125 across bookmakers, while DC United +0.5 is at roughly +110 to +115. This pattern indicates Union covering the spread is the more likely outcome.
The spread is set at -0.5 for Philadelphia Union (1.87-1.92 odds) and +0.5 for D.C. United (1.84-1.92 odds). This is essentially a draw no bet scenario. Given Philadelphia's favoritism on the moneyline and the tight spread, backing Philadelphia at -0.5 offers value. The near-even odds on the spread suggest the market expects a competitive match, but Philadelphia's quality should see them win outright.
The odds suggest Philadelphia Union is favored to win by at least half a goal. Given their form and D.C. United's recent struggles, it's likely they will cover the spread.
With Philadelphia Union favored at -0.5 spread across multiple lines (odds averaging 1.89), the market suggests they are expected to win by at least one goal, aligning with their moneyline favoritism.
The spread is consistently set at Philadelphia Union -0.5 with odds indicating balanced risk for both outcomes. Given Philadelphia Union's favored status on the moneyline, they are likely to cover the spread.
Multiple books list Philadelphia at -0.5 with roughly even juice (~1.9), meaning the market expects the Union to win outright rather than just draw—makes -0.5 the logical cover pick given the consistent lines.
With Philadelphia Union at -0.5 and favored to win, they are likely to cover the spread by securing a victory, while D.C. United's +0.5 would require at least a draw.
Philadelphia Union at -0.5 spread shows consistent -0.5 to +0.5 odds (1.90-1.92 for Union covering -0.5). The slight favoring of the Union in spread betting combined with their moneyline odds suggests they can either win outright or keep the match very tight. The -0.5 spread indicates only a slight advantage expected, making this a toss-up but with slight edge to the visitors.
Philadelphia Union is favored at -0.5 goals with odds around 1.87-1.91, essentially meaning they need to win outright. The spread line being set at just -0.5 rather than -1 indicates bookmakers expect a competitive match but still favor Philadelphia to win. The balanced juice on both sides (around 1.90) suggests this is a fairly priced line. Given Philadelphia's quality advantage and the relatively tight spread, backing the Union to cover seems reasonable value.
The 0.5 goal spread essentially requires Philadelphia to win outright. Given their moneyline favoritism and the consistent -0.5 odds at 1.87-1.91, the market expects Philadelphia to win by at least one goal. However, this is a tighter call as one-goal margins are common in MLS.
Union -0.5 is near even money (≈1.87–1.91), aligning with the moneyline edge; backing the stronger side to win outright and cover -0.5.
Moneyline
D.C. United +3.25 / Philadelphia Union +2.07100%
consensus
Philadelphia Union wins
13 models · avg conf 72%
Philadelphia Union wins
The betting market is in strong consensus, with all provided odds consistently pricing Philadelphia Union as the heavy favorite. Their average moneyline odds of approximately 1.88 suggest a significantly higher implied probability of winning compared to D.C. United's average of ~3.83.
Philadelphia Union is a consistent favorite across all moneyline odds, with significantly lower odds (averaging around 1.89) compared to D.C. United (averaging around 3.83). This indicates a strong implied probability of a Philadelphia Union victory.
Philadelphia Union has consistently lower odds, indicating stronger market confidence in their ability to win. Their recent performance and head-to-head history against D.C. United also favor them.
Philadelphia Union is consistently favored across all moneyline odds with an average of approximately 1.88 compared to D.C. United's average of 3.80, indicating a strong market belief in their likelihood to win.
Philadelphia Union is favored across all moneyline offerings, with odds consistently lower than D.C. United. This indicates a higher probability of Philadelphia Union winning, supported by better form and possibly stronger squad depth.
Philadelphia Union are clear favorites with consistent odds around 1.83-1.91 across all books, while D.C. United are significant underdogs at 3.65-4.00. The market shows strong consensus favoring the away team, suggesting Philadelphia has superior form and quality. Despite home advantage for D.C. United, the odds imply approximately 52-55% win probability for Philadelphia versus 25-27% for D.C.
Consistent market pricing strongly favors Philadelphia (decimal ~1.83–1.91 across books). Average implied probability ≈53% vs D.C.'s ≈26%, indicating a clear market edge for Union to win despite the match being away.
Across the provided odds, Philadelphia Union is consistently priced as the favorite. The moneyline and spread show Union as the favored side, with DC United as the underdog.
The odds strongly favor Philadelphia Union across all bookmakers, with moneyline odds ranging from 1.83-1.91 compared to D.C. United's 3.65-4.00. This implies approximately 52-55% implied probability for Philadelphia. The Union have historically been the stronger MLS franchise with better organization and player development. The consistent odds across multiple books suggest sharp money agrees Philadelphia is the clear favorite even on the road.
Philadelphia Union are clear favorites with odds consistently around 1.83-1.91 across multiple books, indicating strong market confidence. D.C. United odds ranging from 3.65-4.00 show they are significant underdogs at home. Philadelphia has been the stronger MLS side in recent seasons.
Philadelphia Union is consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (1.83 to 1.91), indicating a higher implied probability of winning compared to D.C. United's underdog status (3.65 to 4).
Philadelphia Union odds average around 1.87-1.91 across all sportsbooks, implying approximately 53-55% implied probability of winning. Despite D.C. United being favored at home (3.65-4.00 odds = 25-27% implied probability), the Union's consistent odds across multiple books suggest market confidence in their ability to win on the road. The home field advantage is present but not overwhelming in this matchup.
Consensus pricing has Union as clear road favorites (≈1.83–1.91 vs D.C. 3.65–4.00), indicating >52% implied win chance; historical consistency favors Union, though away status limits confidence.
Over/Under
O/U 2.592%
consensus
Over
13 models · avg conf 61%
Over
The odds for 'Over 2.5' goals are consistently lower (averaging ~1.81) than the odds for 'Under 2.5' (averaging ~1.99). This indicates that the market expects a higher-scoring game, making the 'Over' the more probable outcome.
The odds for Over 2.5 goals average around 1.81, slightly favored over Under 2.5 at 2.00, suggesting a moderate expectation for a higher-scoring game, possibly due to offensive strengths or defensive vulnerabilities in recent team performances.
The over 2.5 goals market has slightly lower odds than the under, suggesting bookmaker expectation of a higher-scoring game. Both teams have the potential to contribute to the goal tally, supporting an over prediction.
Over 2.5 is consistently priced as the slight favorite in several lines (around 1.78–1.83), suggesting the expectation of a 2–3 goal game common in MLS matchups.
The betting odds for over 2.5 goals are relatively lower, suggesting that there is a belief in a high-scoring match. Both teams have shown tendencies to participate in matches with multiple goals.
Over 2.5 is juiced at multiple books (≈1.77–1.83), implying a >55% likelihood; market expects a match with goals given D.C.’s tendency to allow chances and Union’s capable attack.
The odds for Over 2.5 goals (averaging around 1.81) are slightly lower than for Under 2.5 goals (averaging around 1.99), suggesting a marginal lean towards a higher-scoring game by the bookmakers. While not a strong lean, a favored team like Philadelphia Union is capable of scoring multiple goals, potentially contributing significantly to the 'over' if D.C. United can also find the net at home.
Totals markets favor Over 2.5 (lower prices around 1.77–1.83 vs Under ~1.94–2.01), implying books see a slightly better-than-even chance of 3+ goals. Given the market consensus and typical MLS scoring variability, Over 2.5 is the lean.
The totals line is set at 2.5 goals with Over priced at 1.77-1.83 (shorter odds) and Under at 1.94-2.01 (longer odds). The market is leaning toward the Over, suggesting bookmakers expect scoring. MLS matches typically feature decent goal-scoring, and with Philadelphia likely pushing for a win as favorites and D.C. potentially attacking at home, a 2-1 or 3-1 result favoring Philadelphia seems plausible, clearing the 2.5 threshold.
The Over 2.5 is priced at 1.77-1.83 across books while Under 2.5 sits at 1.94-2.01, indicating slight market lean toward the over. MLS matches historically trend toward higher scoring, and early season games often see defensive lapses as teams work into form. However, the relatively close pricing suggests this is essentially a coin flip, so confidence is moderate. Philadelphia typically plays an organized style that can produce goals while D.C. at home will push forward.
Over 2.5 goals has lower odds (1.77 to 1.83) in most lines, suggesting a slight edge for a higher-scoring game based on the betting market patterns.
Over 2.5 is priced consistently lower (1.77-1.83) compared to Under (1.94-2.01), suggesting bookmakers lean toward a moderate-scoring affair. Philadelphia's attacking quality and D.C. United's defensive vulnerabilities at home support the over, though MLS early-season matches can be unpredictable.
Under
Over 2.5 goals averages 1.79-1.83 odds (35-36% implied probability), while Under 2.5 averages 1.94-2.01 odds (49-51% implied probability). The higher odds consistently favoring the Under suggests sportsbooks and sharp bettors expect a defensive-minded match with fewer than 2.5 total goals. This is typical for early-season MLS play and a road match featuring two Northeast Division rivals.