Montana Grizzlies
Idaho State Bengals
Spread
Idaho State Bengals +1.5 / Montana Grizzlies -1.562%
consensus
Montana Grizzlies covers
13 models · avg conf 56%
Idaho State Bengals covers
Idaho State is the home team and a +1.5 underdog. A small spread like this often presents value for the home team, as they only need to win or lose by a single point to cover. Home-court advantage can be a significant factor in NCAA basketball, especially in close matchups.
The spread is narrow, but Idaho State's recent form suggests they can cover the 1.5 point spread at home.
With a spread as narrow as 1.5 points, this is nearly a pick'em. In such tight contests, the home-court advantage is often a decisive factor. I predict Idaho State will leverage their home environment to either win the game outright or lose by a single point, thus covering the +1.5 spread.
The 1.5-point spread is extremely narrow, essentially a pick'em. Home court advantage in college basketball is typically worth 3-4 points. Idaho State getting 1.5 points at home provides value, and they should keep it close enough to cover even in a potential loss.
Idaho State at home with only a 1.5-point spread is attractive. Home court advantage in the Big Sky Conference is significant, and 1.5 points is essentially a pick'em game. The Bengals playing in Pocatello should keep this within a possession, and the hook on a spread this tight provides value on the home underdog.
Montana Grizzlies covers
Montana Grizzlies are favored by -1.5, and given their historical performance and current form, they are likely to cover the spread.
Montana to win by at least 2 points would cover the -1.5 spread; Idaho State's home edge may keep it tight, but the Grizzlies should secure the margin.
Montana at -1.5 is a slim edge; given Montana's typical talent/consistency advantage in conference play, they are slightly more likely to cover a 1–2 point spread. Home-court for Idaho State makes this competitive, so confidence is moderate rather than high.
Montana Grizzlies at -1.5 is a narrow spread, suggesting a close game. However, their favored status and consistent odds at 1.91-1.94 imply they are likely to cover the small margin.
Montana Grizzlies at -1.5 is a minimal spread, reflecting a competitive matchup. The away team being favored by bookmakers indicates they likely have advantages in key statistical categories or head-to-head matchups. However, the tight line suggests Idaho State has a strong chance to cover as the home team.
Montana as the away favorite with a -1.5 spread is likely to cover in a close matchup, based on consistent odds across books.
Consistent -1.5 with near-even juice indicates Montana slightly superior; if they win, likelihood of clearing the short number is decent.
The tight 1.5-point spread suggests a single-possession game. While home underdogs in conference play are often valuable, the fact that Montana is favored on the road signals respect for their ability to manage the game. I lean towards Montana covering the small number in what projects to be a competitive, low-margin affair.
Moneyline
Idaho State Bengals +2.05 / Montana Grizzlies +1.892%
consensus
Montana Grizzlies wins
13 models · avg conf 61%
Idaho State Bengals wins
Idaho State has home court advantage and has performed well against similar opponents in recent matchups.
Montana Grizzlies wins
The Montana Grizzlies are favored with a -1.5 spread, indicating the oddsmakers expect them to win the game outright. While the spread is small, they are still the projected winner.
The odds suggest a slightly higher confidence in Montana Grizzlies. Historically, they have a stronger record against Idaho State and are favored in the spread.
Line shows Montana as a slight favorite (-1.5) and books are consistent — indicates market view that Montana is the better team. Historically Montana has been the stronger Big Sky program, and a small road favorite suggests they should win a close game.
Montana is favored at -1.5 across all books, indicating they're the expected winner. The tight spread suggests a close game, but the market consensus consistently favors the Grizzlies on the road.
Montana is the stronger program in this Big Sky matchup and is favored to win despite Idaho State's home-court edge; roster depth and recent form suggest the Grizzlies pull out a close win.
Montana Grizzlies are favored with a -1.5 spread across multiple betting lines, indicating a slight edge in team performance or public perception. Historical matchups in NCAA Basketball often favor the away team when spreads are tight.
Montana is favored as the away team with a -1.5 spread, suggesting they are perceived as the stronger team. However, the slight nature of the line indicates this is a closely matched contest. The away team being favored suggests Montana has better overall metrics or recent form.
Montana is favored by 1.5 points, indicating oddsmakers see them as the slightly better team. The Grizzlies typically have strong road performances in Big Sky Conference play and possess more consistent offensive production. The tight spread suggests a competitive game, but Montana's edge in overall team quality gives them the slight advantage.
Montana is favored on the spread, indicating a slight edge in team strength and recent form against Idaho State.
Montana is listed as the road favorite (-1.5), indicating oddsmakers view them as the superior team. In conference matchups like this Big Sky battle, road favorites generally have a strong win rate, suggesting Montana's talent level is sufficient to overcome Idaho State's home-court advantage.
Market has Montana -1.5 on the road across books, implying a small but real power-rating edge despite Idaho State’s home court.
The betting market has established Montana as a slight favorite, even on the road. Factoring in home-court advantage for Idaho State, this implies the Grizzlies are considered the superior team. In a matchup this close, I'll lean towards the team the oddsmakers have identified as being slightly better.
Over/Under
O/U 149.592%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 54%
Over
Both teams have shown offensive strength in recent games, making the over on 151 a favorable bet.
Under
The total of 151 is set relatively low, suggesting both teams play defensive-minded basketball or have lower-paced offenses. The tight spread indicates a competitive, likely defensive battle. Big Sky Conference games often trend toward lower scoring, and the market's balanced odds suggest uncertainty that favors the under in close conference matchups.
Big Sky games often skew to slower, more defensively oriented pace; expected total around or slightly below 151 given defensive focus from both teams.
The total is set at 151. Without specific team offensive and defensive metrics or recent scoring trends, it's challenging to make a high-confidence prediction. However, in conference play, games can sometimes be more defensively oriented, leading to slightly lower scores. We lean slightly towards the under.
The total set at 151 points suggests a high-scoring game, but both teams have shown tendencies to play defensively in recent matchups, indicating the possibility of an under.
A total of 151 is relatively high for a Big Sky conference game, particularly involving an Idaho State team that historically plays at a slower tempo. Conference games in February often feature tighter defense and more deliberate offensive sets, suggesting value on the under.
Big Sky Conference games, especially in February conference play, tend to feature tighter defensive efforts as teams compete for tournament positioning. Idaho State's home games often play at a slower pace, and a total of 151 is relatively high for this matchup. Both teams are likely to grind in a close, low-possession game down the stretch.
Total set high at 151 in a matchup that tends to feature moderate pace; with a tight spread, possessions may be more deliberate, creating a small lean to the under.
The total line of 151 points is relatively high for NCAA Basketball, especially for teams like Idaho State and Montana, which often play in lower-scoring games. Consistent odds of 1.91-1.93 for both over and under suggest no strong lean, but historical trends lean slightly toward under in conference matchups.
The total is set at a relatively high 151 for a college basketball game. Games projected to be this close often feature heightened defensive intensity and slower, more deliberate possessions in the crucial final minutes, which can suppress the final score. This could lead to the total falling just short of the line.
Total set at 151 (balanced books) — slightly high for a Big Sky conference matchup where pace can be moderate and defenses matter late in conference play. Given the small edge to Montana and tendency for tighter, lower-scoring games in rivalry/conference settings, lean under with modest confidence.
The 151-point total is set at an even split with symmetric odds (1.91 on both sides), indicating uncertainty. Given this is an NCAA basketball game between Mountain West/Big Sky conference teams, and considering typical defensive conference play, there's a slight lean toward defensive efficiency keeping the total under 151. However, this prediction has low confidence due to the balanced market consensus.
The 151 total is high for these teams' defensive styles, with even odds suggesting a lean towards lower-scoring Big Sky conference games.