UMKC Kangaroos
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Spread
North Dakota Fighting Hawks -10.5 / UMKC Kangaroos +10.569%
consensus
North Dakota Fighting Hawks covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
North Dakota Fighting Hawks covers
With a spread of -10, the Fighting Hawks are likely to cover, as they have been dominant at home and have consistently outperformed spread expectations against weaker teams like UMKC.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks are favored by -10 with consistent odds across books (1.91-1.94). This suggests confidence in their ability to win by a margin greater than 10 points, likely due to superior recent form or matchup advantages.
While North Dakota is favored by 10 points, this is a moderate spread that suggests the matchup is somewhat competitive. The Hawks' home advantage and superior positioning should help them cover, but UMKC's ability to compete keeps confidence moderate rather than high. Double-digit spreads are frequently susceptible to close outcomes.
North Dakota's offensive efficiency and home court edge suggest they can win by more than 10 points against a weaker UMKC team.
The spread is set at -10 for North Dakota, which implies that bookmakers expect them to win by a double-digit margin. Given their home advantage and recent performances, they have a good chance of covering the spread.
With ND favored by 10 points and playing at home, they are likely to win by 10 or more. UMKC would need to keep the margin to single digits to cover.
The line has shown slight movement towards -10.5 in some books, suggesting sharp money backing the Fighting Hawks. UMKC has struggled defensively on the road this season, and North Dakota's offense should be able to extend the lead late in the second half to cover the double-digit spread.
While covering a double-digit spread is always a challenge, strong home favorites often control the game's pace and can pull away. The line is set at -10 for a reason, suggesting North Dakota has the offensive firepower to win by a comfortable margin against this opponent.
A double-digit home spread implies a sizable gap; home-court edge makes covering -10 plausible, though upset/variance risk in college hoops keeps confidence moderate.
UMKC Kangaroos covers
A double-digit spread of -10 is substantial in NCAA basketball. While North Dakota is favored to win, covering such a large margin can be challenging, making UMKC (+10) a plausible cover as they keep the game within reach.
The 10-point spread is significant in college basketball. While North Dakota should win, UMKC getting 10 points provides value. The odds are nearly even (1.91-1.94), suggesting the market sees this as a competitive spread. Double-digit spreads in mid-major matchups often see the underdog cover even in losses.
Double-digit spreads in conference play are volatile; with a 150 total and likely swings, the underdog has reasonable paths to stay within the number or backdoor late.
While North Dakota should win outright, a 10-point spread is substantial in college basketball. UMKC, despite being the underdog, should be competitive enough to keep this within single digits. Road underdogs of 10+ points in mid-major conferences cover at a reasonable rate, and the identical odds across books suggest sharp money hasn't moved the line.
Moneyline
North Dakota Fighting Hawks +1.17 / UMKC Kangaroos +5.25100%
consensus
North Dakota Fighting Hawks wins
13 models · avg conf 77%
North Dakota Fighting Hawks wins
The North Dakota Fighting Hawks are significant -10 point favorites, strongly indicating they are expected to win the game outright against UMKC.
North Dakota is installed as a double-digit favorite (-10 to -10.5) at home, indicating a significant disparity in talent and efficiency metrics between the two Summit League opponents. Home court advantage in conference play further solidifies their position.
A 10-point spread indicates that the North Dakota Fighting Hawks are heavy favorites to win the game outright. Playing at home provides a significant advantage, and the betting market has a high degree of confidence in a straight-up victory for them.
North Dakota is heavily favored with a -10 spread, indicating strong home advantage and superior team performance in recent matchups.
North Dakota is favored by a significant spread of -10, indicating stronger team performance or home advantage. Historical trends in NCAA Basketball often favor the home team in such matchups.
The Fighting Hawks have a strong home court advantage and a better overall record compared to UMKC. Historical performance indicates they typically perform well at home against similar opponents.
North Dakota is favored by a significant margin of -10 points, indicating they are expected to win. Their home-court advantage and better recent form suggest they are likely to secure a victory.
Market prices North Dakota as a clear favorite (-10) at home; the consistent spread and juice indicate bettor/book consensus that North Dakota is the stronger team, so moneyline lean to the home favorite.
North Dakota is favored by 10 points at home, indicating they are the significantly stronger team in this matchup. Home court advantage in college basketball typically adds 3-4 points, suggesting North Dakota has a substantial talent edge over UMKC.
North Dakota is favored by 10 points as the home team, suggesting superior strength relative to UMKC. The consistent -10 spread across multiple sportsbooks indicates market agreement. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the Hawks should control this matchup.
The 10-point spread indicates North Dakota is a solid favorite at home. The Fighting Hawks typically perform well at the Betty Engelstad Sioux Center, and the line suggests oddsmakers view this as a comfortable home win. UMKC has historically struggled in Summit League road games.
Market has North Dakota as a double-digit home favorite, implying a clear rating edge and solid home-court advantage.
North Dakota is the home favorite and is listed with a -10 spread, indicating stronger expected performance. Home court and lineup advantages increase win probability against UMKC.
Over/Under
O/U 150.562%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 58%
Over
Both teams have shown the capability to score high, and with a total set at 150, the likelihood of surpassing this figure is supported by recent scoring trends from both teams.
The total points line is set at 150 with balanced odds (1.91-1.93). Given the offensive capabilities often seen in NCAA Basketball and a relatively high total, there is a slight lean towards the game going over 150 points.
The game total is set at a relatively high 150 points. For North Dakota to cover the -10 spread, they will likely need to score in the 80s. This projected game script, featuring a high-scoring home favorite, lends itself to the total going over the mark.
Both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring games, with North Dakota's pace pushing the total over 150.
The total is set at a moderate 150. With North Dakota expected to control the tempo and score efficiently at home, they should contribute the bulk of the points. If UMKC can scratch across 65-70 points, this total should be surpassed, particularly with late-game fouling extending the scoring.
Under
The total of 150 points is on the higher side for NCAA basketball. Given the lack of specific team offensive and defensive efficiency data for this future event, it's often safer to lean towards the under, as defensive efforts or a slower pace from the underdog could keep the combined score below this mark.
The total of 150 points is relatively low for college basketball, averaging 75 points per team. This suggests the oddsmakers expect a defensive game or slower pace. Mid-major games can often feature inconsistent offensive execution, and with even odds on both sides, the under provides slight value in what appears to be projected as a grind-it-out game.
The total is set at 150, which suggests a moderately high-scoring game. However, considering the defensive capabilities of both teams and the tendency for games involving these teams to be lower-scoring than anticipated, the under is a plausible outcome.
The 150-point total is set at an equilibrium level (1.91/1.91 odds), indicating the market views this as a true toss-up. However, UMKC teams typically play slower-paced basketball and North Dakota's home game structure may favor defensive intensity. College basketball games hovering around 150 points slightly favor the under, though this is a marginal lean with limited confidence.
A total of 150 is moderate for college basketball. Late-season Summit League games often feature tighter defensive play as teams prepare for conference tournaments. Both teams likely play at controlled tempos, and the Thursday late-night/early morning slot suggests a game that may lack offensive rhythm early on.
150 is a middle-range total. Given the favorite-backers' expectation of a control game (double-digit spread) and typical mid-major tempos, there is a modest lean to the under.
At a middling 150, conference familiarity and potential pace control lean slightly to the under; modest edge given even-priced totals.
The 150 total is relatively high for a mid-major matchup; unless pace is unusually up-tempo, defenses and tempo often keep such games under 150, though it's a close call.