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NHL 2/26/2026 at 03:00 AM

Vegas Golden Knights

@

Los Angeles Kings

Spread

54%

consensus

Vegas Golden Knights covers

13 models · avg conf 61%

Los Angeles Kings covers (46%) Vegas Golden Knights covers (54%)
6 models · avg 55% avg 61% · 7 models

Los Angeles Kings covers

Given the Kings' home advantage and the historical performance against the Golden Knights, they are likely to cover the spread, especially if they maintain their scoring rate.

Home-ice and being the favorite suggests the Kings are likely to cover a typical NHL spread (e.g., -1.5) against a strong Knights squad that can keep games close.

With tight moneyline odds suggesting a close game, the Kings playing at home should have enough edge to cover a standard NHL puck line (-1.5). Division rivals typically play competitive games, but home teams in near pick'em situations often find ways to win by multiple goals.

Grok 3
55%

Assuming a standard NHL spread of -1.5 for the home team, the Kings are likely to cover due to their favored status and potential for a multi-goal win on home ice.

Close pricing indicates a one-goal game; given the Kings are favored at home they have the best chance to cover a typical puck-line, but the margin is small so confidence is low–moderate.

With nearly even moneyline odds, the spread will likely be tight (typically -1.5 or similar). The Kings' home-ice advantage provides modest support for covering, but the Golden Knights' competitive strength makes this highly uncertain. Confidence is low given the evenly-matched nature of these divisional opponents.

Vegas Golden Knights covers

Given the very close moneyline odds, the game is anticipated to be a tight contest. In such scenarios, the underdog (Vegas Golden Knights) covering the standard +1.5 puck line is often a strong bet, as it only requires them to lose by a single goal or win outright. A slight favorite covering -1.5 is more challenging in a projected close game.

Assuming a standard puck line of +1.5 for the Vegas Golden Knights. Given that the moneyline odds suggest a very close game, there is a high probability it will be decided by a single goal. Taking the underdog with a +1.5 goal cushion is the higher value play, as they can cover even in a one-goal loss.

GPT-5
60%

Assuming the standard NHL puck line (-1.5 for the favorite), near coin-flip games often land by one; VGK +1.5 is more likely to cover.

GPT-4o
60%

Vegas Golden Knights have been strong on the road recently and have covered the spread in similar matchups. Their overall form suggests they are likely to cover the spread against the Kings.

Grok 4
60%

Assuming standard NHL puck line of +1.5 for underdog, Knights' defensive play should cover easily.

GLM-5
60%

NHL games are frequently decided by a single goal. With the Kings as slight favorites, a one-goal victory is the most likely outcome, meaning Vegas would cover the puck line (+1.5). The close moneyline odds indicate this game should be tight throughout.

With the standard NHL puckline of -1.5/+1.5, Vegas at +1.5 offers value given how evenly matched these teams appear based on the moneyline odds. The Golden Knights are a resilient road team and Pacific Division games between these rivals historically tend to be decided by 1-2 goals. Taking the points with Vegas provides insurance in what projects as a tight game.

Moneyline

Los Angeles Kings +1.93 / Vegas Golden Knights +1.88

85%

consensus

Los Angeles Kings wins

13 models · avg conf 58%

Los Angeles Kings wins (85%) Vegas Golden Knights wins (15%)
11 models · avg 58% avg 55% · 2 models

Los Angeles Kings wins

The Kings have been performing well at home and have a stronger head-to-head record against the Golden Knights in recent matchups. Their current form suggests they have a better chance to win this game.

The Los Angeles Kings are slightly favored by the bookmakers with odds of 1.85 compared to the Vegas Golden Knights at 1.94. This indicates a perceived marginal advantage, likely bolstered by home-ice advantage, suggesting they have a slightly higher probability of winning the game outright.

Kings are slight favorites at 1.85 vs 1.94 for the Vegas Golden Knights, and they benefit from home-ice advantage. The combination implies a modest win probability edge for LA.

Grok 3
60%

The Kings have a slight edge with odds of 1.85 compared to 1.94 for the Golden Knights, indicating bookmakers favor them at home. Home ice advantage in the NHL often plays a significant role.

The Kings have a slight edge in the moneyline odds (1.85 vs 1.94), indicating the market favors them at home. In a Pacific Division rivalry, home ice advantage is significant. The odds suggest a relatively even matchup with a marginal lean toward LA.

GPT-5
55%

Market makes LA a slight favorite (home ice + shorter price at 1.85); in a tight matchup, small edge to the Kings.

GLM-5
55%

The odds list the Kings as slight home favorites (1.85). Home-ice advantage in tight matchups like this often proves decisive. The Kings have historically been strong at home, and the odds suggest a near even matchup where the home team gets the edge.

The betting odds are extremely close, indicating a toss-up. The slight edge is given to the Los Angeles Kings, primarily due to home-ice advantage. In a matchup this tight, playing at home is often the deciding factor.

Kings are the slight moneyline favorite (1.85 vs 1.94) and have the home-ice edge; matchup appears tight so confidence is modest.

The Kings have home ice advantage and the odds slightly favor them (1.85 vs 1.94). The tight line suggests a competitive matchup, but home teams in the NHL typically win around 54% of games. LA tends to perform well at Crypto.com Arena, and late February games carry playoff positioning implications where home ice becomes more valuable.

The Kings have slightly better odds (1.85 vs 1.94), suggesting marginal market preference. However, this is a closely matched rivalry matchup. The Kings' home-ice advantage and the slightly shorter odds give them a slight edge, though the confidence is low given the competitive nature of this Vegas-LA matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights wins

GPT-4o
55%

The odds are slightly more favorable for the Golden Knights, suggesting a close matchup. Recent performance trends and head-to-head records indicate a slight edge for Vegas in this fixture.

Grok 4
55%

Knights have a slight underdog edge in odds but strong recent form against Kings; expect road upset.

Over/Under

54%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 58%

Over (46%) Under (54%)
6 models · avg 56% avg 58% · 7 models

Over

GPT-4o
65%

Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities in recent games, and their encounters typically result in high-scoring games. Thus, expectations lean towards the total score going over.

Kings-Golden Knights games are typically high-scoring affairs given both teams' offensive capabilities and the rivalry intensity. With relatively balanced odds suggesting an open, competitive game rather than a defensive struggle, expect both teams to generate scoring chances. Pacific Division matchups between these teams often exceed totals.

Both teams boast potent offenses and have trended toward higher-scoring games; a 5+ goal night is plausible, favoring the over.

Both teams have shown tendencies to score goals in recent games. The matchup may lead to a higher-scoring affair, pushing the total over the expected line.

Grok 3
50%

NHL games between competitive teams like the Kings and Golden Knights often see high-scoring outcomes. Without specific totals odds provided, a typical line of 5.5 or 6 goals leans toward 'over' based on recent offensive trends in the league.

Vegas-LA matchups historically feature competitive, skilled offensive play, suggesting moderate scoring potential. However, without current team season scoring averages, recent form, or injury reports available, this prediction carries low confidence. These teams' rivalry games can vary significantly between high-scoring affairs and defensive battles.

Under

Grok 4
65%

Both teams play tight defense in rivalry games; historical matchups average under 6 goals.

Assuming a standard total of 6.5 goals. Games between these two Pacific Division rivals are typically intense, physical, and defensively structured. The Kings often employ a defense-first system, and playoff-style intensity in divisional games tends to suppress scoring, making the under a likely outcome.

A tight, evenly-matched game with strong defensive structure and goaltending tendencies typically leans toward fewer total goals; expect a lower-scoring outcome.

GLM-5
58%

Matchups between these two Pacific Division rivals tend to be physically intense and defensively sound. The tight odds suggest a low-scoring, one-goal game, which aligns with a trend towards the 'Under' in closely matched contests.

Both the Kings and Golden Knights typically play structured, defensively responsible hockey. Late-season Pacific Division matchups between playoff-contending teams tend to be lower-scoring affairs with goalies performing at a high level. Assuming a standard total around 5.5-6 goals, the under has value given both teams' defensive capabilities and the rivalry intensity that often leads to tighter checking.

Without specific totals odds, this prediction is more speculative. However, both the Kings and Golden Knights are generally known for strong defensive play and capable goaltending. Close moneyline odds often suggest a tightly contested, grind-it-out game where goals might be at a premium. Assuming a standard NHL total line (e.g., 6.0 or 6.5), the defensive nature of these teams leans towards an 'under' outcome.

GPT-5
53%

Rival divisional game with strong two-way structures; expect tighter pace and goaltending to keep goals down versus a typical NHL total.

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TBD