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NCAA Basketball 2/19/2026 at 11:00 PM

Florida Int'l Golden Panthers

@

Liberty Flames

Spread

Liberty Flames -10 / Florida Int'l Golden Panthers +10

85%

consensus

Liberty Flames covers

13 models · avg conf 69%

Liberty Flames covers (85%) Florida Int'l Golden Panthers covers (15%)
11 models · avg 69% avg 60% · 2 models

Liberty Flames covers

With a spread of -10.5, Liberty's strong home advantage and historical performance against lower-tier teams indicate they are likely to cover the spread.

The consistent 10.5-point spread across multiple sportsbooks indicates this is a well-established line. Liberty's moneyline pricing (1.13) is low enough to suggest not only a win, but a comfortable victory. The spread represents a significant gap, but market consensus points to Liberty covering at home.

Given Liberty's strong favoritism reflected in the moneyline, they are expected to win comfortably. While covering a -10.5 spread can be challenging, their overall superiority should allow them to win by 11 points or more.

Liberty is listed at -10.5 with positive momentum and home advantage; expect Liberty to win by more than 10.5 points, though FIU could stay within range in a competitive game.

Liberty listed around -10.5 across books. Home-court edge and the market consistently favoring a double-digit margin suggest Liberty is likely to cover, though 10.5 is a significant gap so confidence is not extreme.

GPT-4o
70%

Liberty Flames are favored by 10.5 points. Given their strong odds and historical performance, they are likely to cover the spread, especially at home.

Grok 3
70%

Liberty Flames are favored by -10.5 across multiple odds sets (1.83 to 1.94), showing consistent bookmaker confidence in their ability to win by a double-digit margin. While the odds for Florida Int'l to cover (+10.5) are slightly more favorable at 1.98 in one set, the overall trend leans toward Liberty covering the spread.

Grok 4
70%

Liberty's -10.5 spread is consistent across lines, with odds around even; their offensive strength and home court should allow them to win by more than 10.5 points.

GLM-5
62%

Liberty -10.5 is a substantial spread but justified given the mismatch. Liberty's disciplined, defensive-minded approach typically allows them to control games against weaker opponents and extend leads. However, 10.5 points is a significant number, and FIU may keep it respectable if Liberty's offense goes cold.

GPT-5
58%

Consensus line sits at -10.5 with some books shading toward Liberty, suggesting likelihood of a double-digit win at home.

The 10.5-point spread is consistent across all books, suggesting sharp agreement on the line. Liberty typically plays up-tempo and can run away with games at home against weaker opponents. The slight edge to DraftKings line (-10.5 at 1.83) suggests some money may be on Liberty. However, double-digit spreads are always risky in college basketball, keeping confidence moderate.

Florida Int'l Golden Panthers covers

The spread is large at 10.5 points. The variation in odds, particularly the line offering better payout (1.98) for Florida Int'l to cover, suggests that the market sees value in the underdog keeping the game closer than the spread indicates. It's a significant margin for the favorite to cover.

While Liberty is expected to win, the 10.5-point spread is substantial in college basketball. The odds are relatively balanced (1.91-1.98 across books), suggesting no strong market lean. FIU getting double digits provides value, as college basketball games often stay within single-digit margins even in mismatches. Taking the points with the underdog.

Moneyline

Liberty Flames +1.17 / Florida Int'l Golden Panthers +5.4

100%

consensus

Liberty Flames wins

13 models · avg conf 87%

Liberty Flames wins (100%) Florida Int'l Golden Panthers wins (0%)
13 models · avg 87% avg 0% · 0 models

Liberty Flames wins

Liberty is a heavy favorite with overwhelming moneyline odds of 1.13, indicating a very high probability of an outright win against Florida Int'l.

The moneyline odds of 1.13 strongly indicate that Liberty is the overwhelming favorite to win the game outright. This implies an approximate 88.5% win probability, making them the most likely victor.

Grok 4
90%

Liberty is a heavy favorite with moneyline odds at 1.13, indicating strong team performance and home advantage against a weaker FIU squad.

Consistent heavy market pricing toward Liberty (ML ~1.13) implies a high implied win probability; home favorite and sizable spread indicate clear matchup edge.

Liberty is heavily favored with moneyline odds of 1.13, indicating strong market confidence. The 10.5-point spread combined with the sharp moneyline odds suggests Liberty is the significantly stronger team. FIU's 6.2 moneyline odds reflect their underdog status, likely struggling against a superior opponent.

GLM-5
88%

Liberty is heavily favored at 1.13 odds, reflecting an 88% implied probability. Liberty has historically been a strong mid-major program with consistent coaching and defensive identity, while FIU has struggled in Conference USA play. The significant talent and coaching gap supports Liberty winning outright.

GPT-5
86%

Liberty is a heavy home favorite with a 1.13 ML (≈88% implied) and multiple markets aligning on a double-digit spread.

The Liberty Flames have a strong home record and are favored heavily in the betting odds, suggesting they are expected to dominate this matchup.

Liberty Flames are heavily favored with moneyline odds of 1.13 vs 6.2, indicating approximately 88% implied probability of victory. The market consensus strongly favors a home win, and as a home team with a double-digit spread, Liberty should control this game.

Grok 3
85%

The moneyline odds heavily favor Liberty Flames at 1.13 compared to Florida Int'l Golden Panthers at 6.2, indicating a strong market belief in Liberty's dominance. This suggests Liberty has a significant edge in team quality or recent performance.

GPT-4o
85%

Liberty Flames are strong favorites with a moneyline of 1.13, suggesting a high probability of winning based on implied odds and likely superior performance metrics.

Liberty is a significant home favorite with moneyline odds of 1.13, indicating roughly 88% implied probability. Liberty has been a dominant program in recent years with strong home court advantage at Liberty Arena. FIU has historically struggled in Conference USA/conference play and on the road against quality opponents.

Liberty is a clear favorite across the given lines (moneyline around 1.13), implying an implied win probability near 88%. Home court and greater overall depth/efficiency support a win.

Over/Under

O/U 152.5

77%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 59%

Over (23%) Under (77%)
3 models · avg 63% avg 59% · 10 models

Over

Both teams have shown the capacity to score, and with the total set at 153, there is potential for a higher-scoring game, particularly if Liberty's offense performs well.

Total lines sit around 153 to 153.5. With typical NCAA pace and offensive efficiency for these teams, the Over has a modest edge, but the bet is close to even.

Grok 4
60%

Totals line at 153 with slight variations; both teams have shown high-scoring tendencies in recent matchups, pushing towards over despite even odds.

Under

The totals hover around 153-153.5 points, suggesting a moderately-paced game. Given that Liberty is a significant favorite, they may employ a controlled, defensive approach rather than run-and-gun offense. FIU's weaker offensive capabilities and the likely scenario of Liberty controlling tempo supports an Under prediction, though this is the least certain of the three picks.

Totals clustered around 153–153.5. Given a strong favorite likely to control tempo and game flow, plus the possibility of a defensive emphasis, the lower-scoring outcome (under) is more likely than a shootout.

The total is set at a relatively high 153-153.5 points. The slight edge in odds for the Under (1.95 vs 1.87) in the latest line suggests a marginal market lean towards a lower-scoring game, possibly due to defensive strength or a slower pace.

GPT-4o
60%

The total is set at 153 to 153.5. While both teams can score, the high spread suggests Liberty's defense might limit Florida Int'l's scoring, making the under more probable.

Grok 3
60%

The totals line is set at 153 to 153.5 with odds slightly favoring the under in one set (1.95 for under 153.5 vs. 1.87 for over). Given the slight variation in lines and odds, and considering potential defensive strengths in college basketball matchups, the under seems marginally more likely.

GLM-5
58%

The total of 153 is moderate for college basketball. Liberty's program identity under coach Ritchie McKay has emphasized defense and slower tempo, which tends to suppress scoring. FIU's offensive struggles against quality defenses also point toward a lower-scoring affair. Slight lean to the under.

The total of 153-153.5 suggests a moderate-paced game. Slight market movement toward the under is evident with better odds on under 153.5 (1.95) at one book. In games with large spreads, the favorite often controls tempo and the underdog may struggle to score efficiently, leading to lower-scoring affairs. Lean toward under in this spot.

GPT-5
55%

Total is 153–153.5; despite some over juicing at 153.5, Liberty’s typical pace control at home points to a lean under this high number.

The total is relatively high for a college basketball game. In matchups with a heavy favorite, the pace can often slow down if the leading team builds a comfortable margin. The odds movement on the 153.5 line, favoring the under (1.95 vs 1.87), suggests a slight market sentiment that the game will not reach this high total.

The total of 153-153.5 is moderate for college basketball. Liberty tends to play strong defense and control tempo when holding large leads. FIU's offensive limitations could struggle against Liberty's defensive schemes. The slight juice favoring the under at FanDuel (1.95) suggests mild market lean toward the under. Late-season conference games often trend toward more disciplined, lower-scoring affairs.

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