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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 12:00 AM

Drexel Dragons

@

Northeastern Huskies

Spread

Northeastern Huskies +1.5 / Drexel Dragons -1.5

92%

consensus

Northeastern Huskies covers

13 models · avg conf 54%

Northeastern Huskies covers (92%) Drexel Dragons covers (8%)
12 models · avg 54% avg 51% · 1 model

Northeastern Huskies covers

The Huskies are expected to leverage their home court advantage and have been more consistent in covering spreads at home.

Spread is 0 (pick'em); the home team win would constitute a cover. Northeastern is favored by home court in a balanced game.

GPT-5
56%

With a 0 spread, siding with the home team mirrors the moneyline lean and expected incremental home advantage.

With a 0-point spread, the line reflects a true pick'em game. Northeastern's home court advantage (Boston-based team playing at home) provides a slight edge in close contests. The consistent odds across sportsbooks reinforce this is a toss-up, but home teams marginally outperform in push scenarios.

Grok 4
55%

With a spread of 0, this is essentially a moneyline bet. Northeastern is predicted to win outright, covering the pick'em spread, supported by their stronger defensive metrics and home performance.

GPT-4o
52%

The spread is a pick'em, reflecting an even matchup. Given the home court advantage, Northeastern is slightly more likely to cover, although the confidence is low due to the balanced odds.

Grok 3
52%

With a spread of 0, it essentially reverts to a moneyline bet. Northeastern Huskies are slightly favored to win outright at home, thus likely to cover the spread.

The pick'em line suggests extreme parity between these teams. With no points to give or receive, this comes down to home court advantage. Northeastern's home environment and crowd support should be enough to cover the 0-point spread, though confidence is low given the even matchup.

With a 0 spread the expectation is a one-score game either way. Home team small-edge and the implied parity from the lines make Northeastern the marginal pick to cover, though push/wash risk is substantial.

GLM-5
52%

With the spread at 0 (pick'em), covering equates to winning the game outright. The home team in evenly matched conference games historically covers at a slightly higher rate due to familiar surroundings, home crowd energy, and no travel fatigue.

With a 0-point spread, this is a true pick'em. Home court advantage in college basketball typically provides 3-4 points of value. The slight line movement from 1.91 to 1.94 on the spread suggests some market confidence in both sides, but home environment gives Northeastern a marginal edge to cover the flat spread.

With a spread of 0 and identical odds for both sides, the team that wins the game outright will cover the spread. As there's no favorite, this is a coin flip. Aligning with the moneyline prediction, Northeastern is predicted to cover the 0 spread, but with very low confidence due to the even lines.

Drexel Dragons covers

With a spread of 0, this is a 'pick'em' game. The team that covers the spread is the team that wins the game outright. This prediction aligns with the moneyline pick for Drexel to win.

Moneyline

Northeastern Huskies +1.91 / Drexel Dragons +1.91

92%

consensus

Northeastern Huskies wins

13 models · avg conf 55%

Northeastern Huskies wins (92%) Drexel Dragons wins (8%)
12 models · avg 55% avg 51% · 1 model

Northeastern Huskies wins

Northeastern has shown stronger performances at home and has a better head-to-head record against Drexel in recent matchups.

Northeastern has home court advantage and the spread is even (0), suggesting a slight edge to the home team in a pick'em matchup. Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) conference play typically favors home teams. However, confidence is moderate due to the pick'em nature of the line.

GPT-5
57%

Pick'em line with a modest home-court edge; in near 50/50 spots the home side gains a slight win-rate bump.

Grok 3
55%

Given the even odds and home court advantage, Northeastern Huskies have a slight edge over Drexel Dragons. Historical performance in similar matchups often favors the home team in close contests.

GPT-4o
55%

Both teams are evenly matched with the same odds on the spread, indicating a close game. However, Northeastern being the home team gives them a slight edge, historically performing better at home.

With a spread of 0 (pick'em), oddsmakers view this as essentially a coin flip. Home court advantage in college basketball typically provides a 3-4 point edge, giving Northeastern a slight advantage. The Huskies playing at home in a CAA conference matchup should provide enough of an edge to secure the win.

Grok 4
55%

As the home team in a pick'em matchup, Northeastern has a slight edge due to home court advantage in CAA games. Both teams are evenly matched based on the odds, but historical trends favor the Huskies in recent head-to-heads.

Books have this as a pick'em which signals an even matchup; home-court edge for Northeastern and the market's tight pricing justify a slight lean to the Huskies, but uncertainty is high.

Home court edge in a balanced matchup; no explicit moneyline provided, but pick'em context suggests a slight home advantage.

Pick'em line (0 spread) indicates oddsmakers view this as essentially even, but home court advantage at Northeastern provides a slight edge. Home teams in NCAA Basketball win approximately 60% of pick'em games.

GLM-5
52%

The pick'em spread (0) indicates oddsmakers view these CAA rivals as evenly matched. Northeastern gets the slight edge due to home court advantage in college basketball, which typically accounts for 2-4 points. In a true coin-flip scenario, the home team has historical advantages.

The betting odds for both teams on the spread are identical (0 spread with 1.91/1.94 odds for both), indicating that bookmakers view this game as a true pick'em. There is no statistical edge for either team based solely on these lines. Northeastern is arbitrarily chosen as the predicted winner due to being the home team, but confidence is extremely low given the perfectly balanced odds.

Drexel Dragons wins

The betting market has this as a pick'em (0 spread), indicating a true 50/50 matchup. In such an evenly matched conference game, a slight edge is given to the away team as home-court advantage can be less impactful in familiar rivalry settings.

Over/Under

O/U 144.5

85%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 56%

Over (15%) Under (85%)
2 models · avg 55% avg 56% · 11 models

Over

Both teams have demonstrated a tendency to score high in recent games, suggesting a likelihood of exceeding the total points threshold.

Both teams typically score in the mid-70s; pace and scoring trends in NCAA basketball suggest a total above 146 is plausible.

Under

Grok 3
60%

The total of 146 points seems high for a matchup between these two teams, as NCAA basketball games involving defensively focused teams like Northeastern and Drexel often result in lower-scoring games. Historical data suggests their head-to-head games trend under the projected total.

GPT-4o
60%

The total is set at 146, which is high for NCAA basketball. Recent trends show both teams have been involved in lower-scoring games, suggesting the under is more likely to hit.

Grok 4
60%

Both teams play at a moderate pace with solid defenses in conference play. The total of 146 seems high given recent games averaging under 140 combined points; expect a lower-scoring affair.

A 146 total (~73 per team) is middling; given the pick'em nature and typical conference/defensive tendencies in similar matchups, there's a lean to a controlled tempo/defensive game and therefore the under.

Games projected to be this close, especially between conference rivals, often feature a slower pace and heightened defensive intensity down the stretch. This type of game script favors the total staying under the 146-point line.

GLM-5
55%

The total of 146 sits in a moderate range for CAA play. Conference rivals with familiarity often result in lower-scoring, more defensive games. Both teams likely know each other's schemes well, which typically favors defenses. Historical CAA games between familiar opponents trend slightly under.

The total of 146 points suggests a relatively low-scoring defensive game expected by oddsmakers. Pick'em games in college basketball often feature tighter, more conservative play with increased defensive intensity. Both teams likely playing cautiously in what appears to be an evenly-matched conference game favors the under.

A total of 146 points suggests oddsmakers expect a moderately-paced game. CAA conference games late in the season often feature tighter defensive play as teams compete for tournament positioning. Both teams are likely familiar with each other's tendencies, which typically leads to more half-court execution and fewer easy transition buckets, favoring the under.

GPT-5
53%

146 is a bit high for a conference matchup; a competitive, slower late-game tempo creates a slight tilt to the under.

The 146-point total sits at the median for CAA basketball games. Mid-major conference games often feature slower paces and stronger defensive play compared to high-major conferences. A slight lean to the under reflects the defensive nature of CAA matchups, though confidence is low given the line's apparent balance.

The odds for Over 146 and Under 146 are identical (1.91/1.93), suggesting the total line is perfectly set by the oddsmakers. Without further information on team offensive/defensive tendencies or pace of play, there's no analytical basis to favor either side. 'Under' is an arbitrary choice given the complete lack of an edge in the betting lines.

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TBD