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NCAA Basketball 2/21/2026 at 12:00 AM

Canisius Golden Griffins

@

Rider Broncs

Spread

Rider Broncs -1.5 / Canisius Golden Griffins +1.5

77%

consensus

Rider Broncs covers

13 models · avg conf 59%

Rider Broncs covers (77%) Canisius Golden Griffins covers (23%)
10 models · avg 59% avg 52% · 3 models

Rider Broncs covers

Rider is favored by 1.5 points; covering requires winning by at least 2. The home favorite status and consistent -1.5 line across sportsbooks suggest Rider should cover in a typical MAAC matchup.

Rider is favored by a small margin and has consistently covered the spread at home, especially against teams with a similar record.

GPT-4o
60%

The spread is narrow at -1.5, suggesting a close game, but the home team advantage and consistent odds across different bookmakers support Rider Broncs covering the spread.

With Rider Broncs consistently listed as -1.5 favorites, the expectation is for them to win by at least 2 points. While a tight spread, the market has set this line with Rider covering in mind.

Grok 4
60%

Rider -1.5 is a narrow spread, and as the home team, they are likely to win by a small margin. Canisius has struggled on the road in recent seasons.

The spread is very small (-1.5), so Rider only needs a narrow win to cover. Given the home advantage and how markets price tight conference matchups, Rider is the more likely side to cover, though margin is slim.

The -1.5 spread for Rider Broncs is minimal, suggesting this will be a tightly contested game. Home teams in NCAA basketball have a slight statistical edge, and the small spread implies oddsmakers expect Rider to win by approximately 1-2 points. The prediction leans toward home coverage, but confidence is low due to the extremely tight margin.

Grok 3
55%

With a tight spread of -1.5 for Rider Broncs and odds nearly even, the home team is likely to cover due to their slight favoritism and potential for a narrow victory.

GPT-5
55%

With a -1.5 line, a Rider win likely correlates with a cover; small home-court boost in a tight game tips it toward the Broncs.

GLM-5
55%

The spread is set at -1.5, suggesting the oddsmakers view the teams as nearly even, with the standard home-court advantage providing the differential. Canisius has historically struggled on the road in conference play. Rider should be able to win by a possession, covering the small number.

Canisius Golden Griffins covers

The -1.5 spread is extremely tight, essentially a pick'em game. The consistent odds across multiple books (1.91-1.94) suggest balanced action. In such narrow spreads, the underdog often provides value, especially with home court already factored in. Canisius getting 1.5 points offers a cushion in what projects to be a close game.

With a spread of only 1.5 points, this is essentially a pick'em game. Canisius getting points in what projects as a tight contest offers slight value. Low-scoring MAAC games often come down to final possessions, and having the extra cushion with the underdog is marginally preferable in such close matchups.

In a game with a spread as small as 1.5 points, it is essentially a toss-up. Taking the points with the underdog, the Canisius Golden Griffins, offers a slight value advantage as they can lose the game by a single point and still cover the spread.

Moneyline

Rider Broncs +1.8 / Canisius Golden Griffins +2.05

100%

consensus

Rider Broncs wins

13 models · avg conf 61%

Rider Broncs wins (100%) Canisius Golden Griffins wins (0%)
13 models · avg 61% avg 0% · 0 models

Rider Broncs wins

GPT-4o
65%

Rider Broncs are slightly favored by the spread, indicating that oddsmakers expect them to win. Historical performance and home-court advantage likely contribute to this edge.

Rider has home-court advantage and has performed well against similar opponents in recent matchups.

The Rider Broncs are favored with a -1.5 point spread, consistently across the provided odds. This indicates the oddsmakers expect Rider to win the game outright, albeit by a very small margin, likely factoring in home-court advantage.

Grok 4
65%

Rider is the home team with a slight edge in the spread, indicating favoritism. Historical MAAC matchups show Rider performing well at home against similar opponents.

The spread line shows Rider as the home favorite (-1.5) across bookmakers with similar odds, indicating market expectation Rider will win. Home-court advantage and MAAC familiarity favor Rider in this matchup.

Rider is the home side and the market has them as a slight favorite (-1.5). Home-court edge and a tight line favor backing the home team in what projects to be a close game; no clear market signal of an upset.

GLM-5
62%

Rider is at home and favored, albeit by a small margin. In conference play (MAAC), home court advantage is significant. The short spread indicates a competitive game, but home teams generally have the edge in tightly rated conference matchups.

Grok 3
60%

Rider Broncs are favored slightly with a -1.5 spread, indicating a marginal edge as the home team. Home court advantage in NCAA Basketball often plays a role in close matchups.

Rider is favored at home with a -1.5 spread, indicating slight confidence from oddsmakers. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is meaningful, and the tight odds suggest a competitive matchup. However, the narrow margin indicates this is a close contest.

GPT-5
57%

Market makes Rider a slight favorite (-1.5) in a near coin flip; lean to the home side with small home-court edge in a low-total MAAC matchup.

Rider is favored at home with a -1.5 spread, indicating oddsmakers see them as slight favorites. Home court advantage in college basketball typically provides a 3-4 point edge, which combined with the spread suggests Rider has a modest advantage.

The betting market has established the Rider Broncs as slight favorites, primarily due to home-court advantage. A -1.5 point spread indicates the teams are considered very evenly matched, but the edge typically goes to the home team in such tight matchups.

Rider is favored by 1.5 points at home, indicating oddsmakers see them as slight favorites. Home court advantage in MAAC conference play typically provides a meaningful edge. The tight spread suggests a competitive matchup, but the home team gets the nod.

Over/Under

O/U 133.5

85%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 54%

Over (15%) Under (85%)
2 models · avg 55% avg 54% · 11 models

Over

Both teams have shown the capability to score and have average defensive records, suggesting a higher scoring game.

Grok 4
55%

Both teams have shown tendencies for higher-scoring games in conference play, with averages pushing towards 135+ points combined. The line at 133 suggests potential for over.

Under

133 is a mid-range total; without strong pace indicators, lower-scoring outcomes are plausible given typical MAAC defensive effort and pace. Slight edge to under unless the game speeds up unexpectedly.

The total of 133 is relatively low for college basketball, suggesting oddsmakers expect a defensive battle or slower pace. The tight spread indicates evenly matched teams, which often leads to more cautious, grind-it-out games. The consistent total across books with balanced odds (1.91-1.93) shows sharp money on both sides, but low-scoring expectations favor the under in close MAAC conference matchups.

GPT-4o
55%

The set total of 133 is relatively modest for college basketball. Considering historical scoring trends and defensive capabilities, there is a slight tilt towards the game staying under the set total.

The total of 133 points suggests oddsmakers expect a moderate-paced game averaging around 66.5 points per team. MAAC conference games late in the season often feature tighter defensive schemes as teams jockey for tournament positioning. Both teams likely to play conservatively in a close contest, favoring the under.

The total of 133 is relatively low for an NCAA basketball game, suggesting that oddsmakers anticipate a slow-paced, defensive-oriented contest. In what is expected to be a close conference game, defensive intensity often increases, making the under a more probable outcome.

133 is a moderate total for a mid-major conference game. Late-season conference matchups often feature slower pace and tighter defense; market pricing implies a lower-scoring, close contest, so lean under.

GPT-5
54%

Total at 133 suggests a slower, half-court pace and modest offensive efficiency; slight lean under despite late-game foul risk.

The total of 133 points appears to be set at a neutral midpoint with balanced odds (1.91-1.93 on both sides). Without specific team pace, defensive efficiency, or recent scoring trend data, this prediction is marginal. A slight lean toward Under is based on typical mid-majors (both Rider and Canisius) trending toward defensive-oriented, lower-scoring conference games, but confidence is minimal.

Grok 3
52%

The total line of 133 is moderate for NCAA Basketball. Given the close matchup and potential for a defensive game between evenly matched teams, the under is a slight lean.

GLM-5
52%

The total of 133 is moderate for a MAAC game. Late-season conference matchups often feature increased defensive intensity and familiarity between opponents, which can suppress scoring percentages. Expect a grind-it-out game where every possession matters.

The totals odds for Over 133 and Under 133 are perfectly balanced (1.91/1.91 and 1.93/1.93), indicating no strong market consensus. Given the tight spread suggesting a closely contested game, a more defensive or deliberate pace is a plausible outcome, leading to a lean towards the Under.

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