Ohio State Buckeyes
Texas Longhorns
Spread
Texas Longhorns -2.5 / Ohio State Buckeyes +2.577%
consensus
Texas Longhorns covers
13 models · avg conf 60%
Texas Longhorns covers
Given the spread of -2.5 for the Longhorns, their home field advantage and ability to perform well against the spread in similar matchups support the prediction that they will cover.
Texas -2.5 suggests a win by at least 3 points. With home-field and a likely stronger offense, Texas covering the spread is plausible even if the game is close.
The spread is set at -2.5 in favor of Texas, suggesting they are expected to win by at least 3 points. Given Texas's slight edge and home advantage, they are likely to cover the spread.
Texas Longhorns are favored by -2.5 points with odds of 1.87, suggesting moderate confidence in their ability to win by at least a field goal. Their home advantage and recent performance trends support this prediction.
With Texas favored by -2.5 points, and also being the moneyline favorite at home, it's reasonable to expect them to win by at least a field goal. The odds for Texas -2.5 are 1.87, aligning with a predicted victory.
Texas at -2.5 suggests a close contest. The spread is relatively tight, indicating competitive teams. However, home field advantage and favorable odds imply Texas should cover the modest spread more often than not, though this is a narrow margin of victory prediction.
The spread sits at Texas -2.5. This line suggests the oddsmakers view the teams as nearly even on a neutral field, granting Texas the standard home-field advantage edge. In a game likely decided by a late field goal, laying less than a field goal is a favorable position for the home side.
Texas is favored by -2.5 with odds of 1.87. Given their home advantage and consistent spread odds across listings, they are likely to win by more than 2.5 points, though it's a close call.
A -2.5 spread is narrow; given home advantage and market favoring Texas, they are marginally more likely to cover. Confidence is modest due to early-season variance and matchup uncertainty.
The -2.5 is under the key number of 3 and slightly shaded toward Texas (1.87 vs 1.95), pointing to a Texas win by a field goal.
Ohio State Buckeyes covers
The 2.5-point spread is extremely tight, essentially a pick'em game. The better odds on Ohio State +2.5 (1.95 vs 1.87) suggest slight sharp money movement toward the Buckeyes. In matchups between elite programs, the small spread combined with the underdog getting nearly a field goal makes Ohio State +2.5 the value play. These games often come down to a single possession.
The spread of -2.5 is very narrow, indicating a projected close game. In such contests, taking the points with a high-caliber underdog like Ohio State is often the smarter play. A common outcome is the favorite winning by a small margin (1 or 2 points), which would result in the underdog covering. The odds are also slightly more favorable for the Buckeyes to cover.
The tight 2.5-point spread indicates oddsmakers view this as essentially a coin-flip game. Ohio State +2.5 offers value as the Buckeyes have historically performed well in marquee non-conference road games. Getting points with an elite program in a game projected this close provides a small edge. The slight juice difference (1.95 vs 1.87) suggests books expect action on Texas.
Moneyline
Texas Longhorns +1.73 / Ohio State Buckeyes +2.14100%
consensus
Texas Longhorns wins
13 models · avg conf 63%
Texas Longhorns wins
The Longhorns are favored with a lower moneyline, indicating strong public backing and solid performance metrics heading into this matchup. Their home advantage and recent form suggest a higher likelihood of winning.
The Texas Longhorns are favored on the moneyline at 1.73 compared to Ohio State's 2.14, indicating oddsmakers see them as having a stronger probability of winning at home.
Texas Longhorns are favored by the oddsmakers with a moneyline of 1.73, indicating a higher probability of winning. Their home advantage and recent form contribute to their favorability.
Texas Longhorns are favored with odds of 1.73 compared to Ohio State Buckeyes at 2.14, indicating a higher implied probability of winning. Home field advantage likely contributes to this edge.
Texas is favored on the moneyline at 1.73, implying about 58% win probability. As the home team with a strong program history, they have an edge over Ohio State in this matchup.
Texas is listed as the favorite both on the moneyline and the spread, with home-field advantage and a favorable matchup implied by the odds.
Texas is favored at home with odds of 1.73 (-137 American), implying approximately 58% win probability. Home field advantage in college football is significant, and the betting market shows clear favoritism toward the Longhorns. However, Ohio State's status as a blue-chip program keeps this from being a high-confidence pick.
Texas is favored at -2.5 spread with moneyline odds of 1.73 (57.8% implied probability), indicating market consensus for a home team win. The odds reflect Texas as the stronger team in this matchup, likely due to home field advantage and perceived roster strength.
As the home favorite with odds of 1.73, Texas is slightly favored in what is expected to be a tightly contested matchup between two elite programs. Home-field advantage in a high-stakes non-conference game often tips the scale in close games.
Texas is the betting favorite and has a significant home-field advantage. In a matchup between two elite programs, the home environment in a major non-conference game is often the deciding factor. The odds (1.73) imply a 57.8% probability of a Texas win, which aligns with this analysis.
Texas is listed as the small favorite (ML 1.73, spread -2.5) and will have home-field advantage. Market pricing implies Texas is the slightly stronger side; expect a tight win in a neutral-to-slight Texas outcome.
Texas is favored at home with implied probability of ~58% (1.73 odds). Home field advantage in college football is significant, typically worth 2.5-3 points. The odds reflect Texas as a slight favorite, and playing in Austin gives them an edge in what projects as a closely contested matchup between two elite programs.
Market-implied probability (vig-adjusted ~55%) and home-field edge align with Texas as a slight favorite at 1.73.
Over/Under
O/U 47.554%
consensus
Over
13 models · avg conf 58%
Over
Both teams have shown the capability to score high in recent games. The total set at 47.5 seems achievable given their offensive strengths, making the over a reasonable expectation.
A total of 47.5 seems low for two perennial offensive powerhouses. Both Ohio State and Texas consistently recruit elite offensive talent and field high-scoring teams. Even with strong defenses, the offensive firepower on both sides should be sufficient to surpass this total. A final score such as 28-24 would comfortably hit the over.
47.5 is a mid-range total for two Power Five programs. Both teams typically operate at solid offensive tempos and the line suggests an expectation of scoring. Expect a game that leans over, though turnovers/defense could push it lower.
Both programs typically field potent offenses; the 47.5 line is modest for two high-powered teams, making the over a reasonable expectation, though early-season defense could temper scoring.
The total points line is set at 47.5 with odds of 1.87 for over, indicating a slight lean towards a higher-scoring game. Both teams have strong offenses capable of exceeding this threshold in favorable conditions.
The total is set at 47.5 with over at 1.87, suggesting a slight lean towards higher scoring. Both teams have potent offenses, and repeated odds indicate market stability favoring over.
Over 47.5 is slightly juiced (1.87 vs 1.95), indicating a market lean to a moderately higher-scoring game between two high-talent programs.
Under
The 47.5 total suggests a moderate-scoring game. The under is getting slightly better odds (1.95 vs 1.87), indicating public lean toward the over. High-profile early season matchups between defensive-minded programs often feature conservative game plans, strong defensive preparation, and lower-than-expected scoring. Both teams likely emphasize ball control and field position in this marquee non-conference showdown.
The total is set at 47.5 points. Both Texas and Ohio State project to have elite defensive lines in 2026. Early season matchups between top-5 caliber teams often lean on defensive execution and running games to control the clock, suggesting a lower-scoring affair.
The total is set at 47.5 points. Both teams have strong defenses, and their matchups often result in lower-scoring games, making the under a plausible outcome.
The over/under is set at 47.5 points with slightly better odds on the under (1.95 vs 1.87), suggesting modest offensive output expected. Early season September matchups between Power Five programs often feature defensive adjustments and potential weather/field conditions that favor lower-scoring affairs. The under carries slight analytical edge.
The 'Under 47.5' has slightly better odds at 1.95 compared to the 'Over' at 1.87. This suggests a slight lean from the bookmakers towards a lower-scoring game, possibly anticipating strong defensive play or a more conservative approach in an early-season marquee matchup between two top programs.
Big non-conference matchups between elite programs often trend under as defenses are typically ahead of offenses early in the season. Both Texas and Ohio State historically field strong defensive units. The total of 47.5 is moderate, and early-season games between top-tier teams frequently feature conservative playcalling and defensive struggles. The slight juice on the under (1.95) also suggests sharper money may be leaning that direction.