Sacred Heart Pioneers
Fairfield Stags
Spread
Fairfield Stags -4.5 / Sacred Heart Pioneers +4.577%
consensus
Fairfield Stags covers
13 models · avg conf 61%
Fairfield Stags covers
The spread is set at -5 for Fairfield, who has been strong at home, and historical data suggests they are likely to cover this spread against Sacred Heart.
Fairfield Stags at -5 have a reasonable spread to cover, given their favored status and consistent odds across multiple lines (1.91 and 1.94).
The spread is set at -5 for Fairfield, suggesting bookmakers expect them to win by at least 5 points. Given their home advantage and current form, they are likely to cover the spread.
With Fairfield listed as -5 at home, and the line reflecting balanced odds, it is plausible they win by around the spread or more. Home advantage adds to the likelihood of covering.
The -5 spread suggests Fairfield should win by more than 5 points. Home court advantage combined with the betting market's confidence in Fairfield's superiority supports covering the spread, though the relatively tight margin indicates Sacred Heart remains competitive.
While a -5 spread can be tricky, the Fairfield Stags, as the home favorite, are expected to control the game. The market implies they are strong enough to win by more than a possession, making them likely to cover the -5 point spread.
A 5-point home spread is modest; given the market pricing and home advantage, Fairfield is more likely to cover a -5 line, though the margin is not large so upset/cover risk remains.
Fairfield laying 5 points is a manageable number at home. Sacred Heart has struggled on the road historically in conference play. The slight variance in juice (-1.91 vs -1.94) indicates moderate action on the home favorite, and Fairfield's ability to control the tempo at home should allow them to pull away late and cover the spread.
Fairfield's offensive efficiency and home record suggest they can cover the -5 spread, though close odds imply a competitive matchup.
Fairfield -5 is uniform across books with some 1.94 available, offering slight value on the favorite to pull away late at home despite higher-total variance.
Sacred Heart Pioneers covers
The 5-point spread with balanced odds (1.91-1.94) suggests a competitive matchup. In conference games between familiar opponents like Fairfield and Sacred Heart (both MAAC teams), games tend to be closer than expected. Sacred Heart getting 5 points provides value, as this is a key number in basketball and slight underdogs often cover in divisional matchups.
This is a local rivalry game, which often results in closer contests than expected. The +5 point spread provides a significant cushion for the underdog, Sacred Heart, to cover. The heightened intensity of a rivalry could keep the final margin tight.
Sacred Heart has historically been competitive in MAAC matchups despite often being underdogs. A 5-point spread in a conference rivalry game tends to be tight. The Pioneers should keep this within the number, as these in-state rivalry games often play closer than the spread suggests. Taking the points with the underdog in low-major conference play is often valuable.
Moneyline
Fairfield Stags +1.43 / Sacred Heart Pioneers +2.9100%
consensus
Fairfield Stags wins
13 models · avg conf 70%
Fairfield Stags wins
Fairfield is established as a -5 point favorite, indicating a strong expectation from oddsmakers that they will win the game outright, especially as the home team.
Fairfield has home court advantage and has performed well against teams with similar profiles to Sacred Heart in past matchups.
Fairfield is the home favorite with a 5-point spread advantage. In NCAA basketball, home court advantage is significant, particularly in conference matchups like this one involving NEC opponents. The consistent -5 line across multiple books suggests sharp money agrees with the home team's superiority in this spot.
Fairfield Stags are favored with a -5 spread, indicating a stronger perceived team performance and home court advantage.
Fairfield is the designated home team and the betting favorite, as indicated by the -5 point spread. Home-court advantage is a significant factor in NCAA basketball, and the market clearly views them as the superior team in this matchup.
Fairfield Stags are favored by the spread, indicating they are expected to win. Additionally, playing at home typically provides an advantage in NCAA basketball.
Fairfield is favored at home with a -5 spread, indicating stronger team performance and home court advantage against Sacred Heart.
Fairfield is installed as a 5-point home favorite, indicating market expectation they are the stronger team; home-court edge and the consistent spread support a straight-up win.
Fairfield is favored at -5 spread, indicating stronger perceived strength. As the home team with a clear betting line advantage, they are positioned to win. However, moderate confidence due to lack of current season performance data for this 2026 matchup.
Fairfield is favored at home with a 5-point spread, indicating bookmakers expect them to win. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, typically worth 3-4 points. The consensus line suggests a moderate favorite.
Fairfield is favored by 5 points at home, indicating oddsmakers view them as the stronger team. Home court advantage in MAAC play is significant, and the Stags typically perform well at Webster Bank Arena. The 5-point spread suggests a clear but not dominant edge.
Consistent -5 spread at near-even prices implies Fairfield as a solid home favorite (roughly -200 ML range). Home court and modest quality edge point to Fairfield winning outright.
Fairfield is the home favorite (-5) with near-even moneyline odds, indicating the market expects them to win the game more often than not. Home-court advantage and the spread alignment support a likely Fairfield victory.
Over/Under
O/U 155.569%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 55%
Over
Both teams have demonstrated high-scoring capabilities in recent games, making it probable that the total combined score will exceed 156.
Both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring games, and the 156 total is reachable with fast-paced play styles.
The total is set at 156, which is relatively high, indicating an expected high-scoring game. Both teams may have strong offensive capacities, contributing to a game that surpasses the set total.
The total is set at 156, a high but not extreme figure for NCAA basketball. If both teams push the pace or are capable scorers, the Over is a modest lean given typical scoring trends in similar matchups.
Under
A total of 156 points is relatively high for an NCAA basketball game; defensive playstyles or lower scoring trends in recent matchups may result in a game under this threshold.
The total of 156 is relatively low, suggesting a defensive-oriented or slower-paced game expected by oddsmakers. Conference rivalry games in mid-major basketball often feature tighter defense and lower scoring due to familiarity between teams. The balanced odds indicate no sharp movement, but defensive intensity in conference play typically favors the under.
156 is a high bar; rivalry/local familiarity and late-season adjustments can temper pace/efficiency. Slight lean under at this number.
A total of 156 points is relatively high for an NCAA Basketball game. Without specific team offensive/defensive metrics or pace data, it's speculative. However, high totals often suggest a potential for a game to fall 'under' if defenses play well or shooting percentages are not exceptional.
The 156-point total sits at an even split with equal odds on both sides, suggesting market uncertainty. NCAA basketball games between mid-major conference teams (MAAC) tend toward moderate scoring. A slight lean to UNDER based on defensive-minded conference play, but confidence is low given balanced odds.
A total of 156 is moderate for college basketball. MAAC games often feature deliberate half-court offenses and strong defensive schemes. Conference games late in the season tend to be more physical and lower-scoring as teams are familiar with each other's tendencies. Both teams likely to play controlled basketball in this rivalry matchup.
156 is a relatively high college total (~78 points per team). In late-season conference play teams often slow pace and emphasize defense; leaning under given the modest spread and potential for a controlled, lower-scoring game.
The total is set at 156, which is a moderately high number for a Northeast Conference rivalry game. These matchups tend to be more physical and slower-paced due to familiarity. Additionally, the slight move in juice toward the Under (1.93) suggests the books might be shading toward a lower-scoring affair.
The total of 156 is relatively high for a college basketball game. Rivalry matchups can often be more defensively focused and played at a more deliberate pace than anticipated, which increases the likelihood of the total score falling short of the high market expectation.