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NCAA Basketball 2/21/2026 at 12:00 AM

Green Bay Phoenix

@

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Spread

Oakland Golden Grizzlies -6.5 / Green Bay Phoenix +6.5

77%

consensus

Oakland Golden Grizzlies covers

13 models · avg conf 68%

Oakland Golden Grizzlies covers (77%) Green Bay Phoenix covers (23%)
10 models · avg 68% avg 58% · 3 models

Oakland Golden Grizzlies covers

Oakland is consistently listed as a -6.5 to -7 favorite across lines. Given the home status and the magnitude of the favorite, Oakland is likely to cover the spread.

Given Oakland is a significant moneyline favorite, they are expected to win comfortably. The spread of -6.5 to -7 suggests they should win by more than a touchdown, which is a reasonable expectation for a team favored this heavily.

Given the Grizzlies' strong performance and the spread of -6.5, they are likely to cover against the Green Bay Phoenix, who have struggled on the road.

The market has settled consistently on Oakland -6.5 to -7 across multiple books, with tight odds (1.87-1.94), indicating balanced action on both sides. However, the consistency of the spread across sportsbooks and the moneyline strength suggests Oakland should cover the spread at home with a 7-point cushion.

Grok 3
70%

Oakland Golden Grizzlies are favored by -6.5 to -7 across multiple lines with competitive odds (1.87-1.94). Their implied dominance suggests they are likely to cover the spread against Green Bay Phoenix.

GPT-4o
70%

The spread is set at 6.5 to 7 points in favor of Oakland, suggesting they are expected to win by a comfortable margin. Considering their favorable moneyline odds and home advantage, it is likely they will cover the spread.

GLM-5
62%

The spread consensus sits around 6.5-7 points favoring Oakland. Oakland should have enough offensive firepower and home crowd support to win by 8-12 points against a struggling Green Bay Phoenix squad. However, conference rivalry games can be unpredictable, hence moderate confidence.

Grok 4
60%

Spreads consistently favor Oakland at -6.5 to -7; they should cover as the stronger team, with slight line movement suggesting home dominance.

The market has Oakland priced around -6.5 to -7. That margin is defendable for a home favorite; bookmakers expect a ~6–7 point win. I expect Oakland to cover but with moderate confidence due to small variance in college spreads and upset potential.

GPT-5
58%

Market centers around -7, indicating a modest but clear edge; with home court and implied quality gap, Oakland is slightly more likely to win by 8+.

Green Bay Phoenix covers

The spread has moved from -6.5 to -7 across multiple books with improving odds for Green Bay, suggesting some sharp action on the underdog. While Oakland should win outright, a 7-point spread in college basketball is substantial. Green Bay at +7 offers value, as college games often stay competitive and Oakland may win by 4-6 points rather than 7+.

The spread is set at a key number of 7. In conference play, games are often tighter than non-conference matchups. Green Bay receiving 7 points provides a solid cushion for them to cover, even in a loss. This represents good value for the underdog.

The spread has moved from -6.5 to -7 across multiple books, suggesting sharp money on Oakland. However, Green Bay getting 7 points in a mid-major conference game offers value. Home favorites in the Horizon League often win but don't always cover inflated spreads. The 7-point cushion gives Green Bay a reasonable chance to stay competitive or catch a backdoor cover.

Moneyline

Oakland Golden Grizzlies +1.3 / Green Bay Phoenix +3.6

100%

consensus

Oakland Golden Grizzlies wins

13 models · avg conf 80%

Oakland Golden Grizzlies wins (100%) Green Bay Phoenix wins (0%)
13 models · avg 80% avg 0% · 0 models

Oakland Golden Grizzlies wins

The moneyline odds of 1.31 for Oakland Golden Grizzlies indicate they are strong favorites and are highly expected to win this game outright.

The moneyline odds of 1.31 give Oakland an implied win probability of over 76%. As the strong home favorite against a conference opponent, they are the most probable winner based on market sentiment.

The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have a strong home-court advantage and have been performing well this season, making them the favored team in this matchup.

GPT-4o
85%

The odds favor the Oakland Golden Grizzlies significantly with a moneyline of 1.31, indicating strong confidence from bookmakers that they are the superior team. Additionally, playing at home gives them an added advantage.

Oakland is the clear favorite on the moneyline (around 1.31) against Green Bay (3.6), with home-court advantage and favorable matchup dynamics suggesting they are most likely to win.

Grok 3
80%

Oakland Golden Grizzlies have significantly better odds at 1.31 compared to Green Bay Phoenix at 3.6, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win at home.

Oakland's moneyline odds of 1.31 (-323 implied) reflect strong market confidence in a home win. The consistent -6.5 to -7 point spread across multiple sportsbooks indicates sharp consensus that Oakland is the superior team. Green Bay's 3.6 odds suggest significant underdog status.

Oakland is the clear favorite across moneyline markets (implied probability ~75–77%) and will have home-court advantage. The consistent pricing across books indicates bookmakers expect Oakland to win outright.

GLM-5
78%

Oakland is a significant home favorite at 1.31 odds, implying approximately 76% win probability. Home court advantage in Horizon League play, combined with Green Bay's historically weaker program status, supports Oakland winning this conference matchup.

GPT-5
76%

Decimal odds of 1.31 imply ~76% win probability; market has Oakland a solid home favorite by multiple possessions.

Grok 4
75%

Oakland is a heavy favorite at 1.31 odds, implying strong market confidence in their win probability against a 3.6 underdog.

Oakland is heavily favored at 1.31 odds (-323 American), indicating strong market confidence in their victory. The significant disparity between home (1.31) and away (3.6) odds suggests Oakland has a clear advantage, likely due to home court and superior team quality.

Oakland is a heavy favorite at 1.31 odds (implied probability ~76%), indicating strong market confidence. Playing at home in the Horizon League gives them a significant edge. The moneyline disparity (1.31 vs 3.6) suggests Oakland is the clearly superior team in this matchup.

Over/Under

O/U 155.5

77%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 56%

Over (23%) Under (77%)
3 models · avg 64% avg 56% · 10 models

Over

Both teams have shown the ability to score, and the betting line suggests an expectation for a high-scoring game. Thus, the total points are likely to exceed 157.5.

Lines converge around 155.5–157.5, and both teams typically play at a pace that supports higher totals. A slight tilt toward the over is plausible, though it carries some uncertainty.

GLM-5
58%

The total range of 155.5-157.5 suggests a moderately-paced game. Horizon League games often feature efficient scoring, and both teams should contribute offensively. Oakland's home offensive output combined with Green Bay needing to score to stay competitive points toward the over hitting.

Under

Grok 3
60%

The totals line varies between 155.5 and 157.5 with balanced odds (1.91-1.93). Given the slight discrepancy and typical scoring trends in NCAA Basketball, the under seems marginally safer, though confidence is moderate.

GPT-4o
60%

The totals are relatively high at 155.5 to 157.5. While both teams can score, the high totals suggest a potential overestimation of the offensive capabilities or defensive weaknesses. Opting for the under, given the competitive nature of NCAA games, seems a prudent choice.

The totals are set between 155.5-157.5 with balanced odds near even money (1.91-1.93). NCAA basketball typically trends toward moderate-paced games. The slight lean to 'under' reflects that even with home team advantage, Oakland's apparent defensive strength (reflected in the spread) may suppress Green Bay's scoring output enough to push below the total.

The total has dropped from 157.5 to 155.5 across books, indicating market movement toward the under. Horizon League games often feature deliberate pace and solid defensive schemes. February conference games tend to be lower-scoring as teams are familiar with each other's tendencies. The line movement suggests sharps are taking the under.

The total has dropped from 157.5 to 155.5 across multiple books, indicating market movement toward the under. The consistent 1.91-1.93 odds suggest balanced action at the lower number. In college basketball, especially with a home favorite, defensive intensity often leads to lower-scoring affairs. The 155.5-157.5 range is moderate, but the line movement favors under backers.

The totals odds are perfectly balanced (e.g., 1.91 for both over and under 157.5), indicating no strong market consensus. Without additional team-specific offensive or defensive metrics, it's a speculative pick. A slight lean towards 'Under' is made, assuming a dominant favorite might control the pace and limit the opponent's scoring, potentially keeping the total score below the set line.

Grok 4
55%

Totals line has dropped from 157.5 to 155.5, indicating market expectation of a lower-scoring game; even odds support under.

The betting line for the total has moved from 157.5 down to 155.5. This line movement indicates that more money or sharper bettors are favoring the under, causing bookmakers to adjust. Following this market trend suggests the under is the more likely outcome.

Lines cluster around 155.5–157.5, which is relatively high. Given the spread and typical mid‑major pacing late in the season (tighter defense, slower tempo when a clear favorite exists), I lean under, though confidence is modest because totals are close to a coin flip.

GPT-5
54%

Total is inflated (155.5–157.5); without above-average pace and shooting from both sides, outcomes more often land below the top number.

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