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English Premier League 2/23/2026 at 08:00 PM

Manchester United

@

Everton

Spread

Everton +0.5 / Manchester United -0.5

92%

consensus

Manchester United covers

13 models · avg conf 65%

Everton covers (8%) Manchester United covers (92%)
1 model · avg 60% avg 65% · 12 models

Everton covers

The spread is set at Everton +0.5, and the odds are nearly even for both sides (around 1.91). This suggests the market expects a very close game, likely decided by a single goal. Given that Everton is the home team, there is value in betting on them to secure at least a draw, which would cover the +0.5 spread.

Manchester United covers

Given Manchester United's favoritism on the moneyline, they are expected to win the match. Covering a -0.5 spread simply means winning by at least one goal, which aligns with their status as the more likely winner.

Grok 4
70%

The spread favors Manchester United at -0.5 with odds around 1.88-1.93, suggesting they are expected to win outright, covering the spread against Everton's +0.5.

GPT-4o
70%

The spread is set at 0.5 in favor of Manchester United, with odds indicating a slight preference for them to cover. Given their stronger performance expectations, they are likely to win by at least one goal.

With Manchester United favored to win by 0.5, and considering their overall performance compared to Everton's, they are likely to cover the spread.

The common spread is MU -0.5 / Everton +0.5, with MU odds around 1.88–1.93. Since MU is favored to win, they are likely to cover the -0.5 spread.

Manchester United -0.5 spread is consistently priced at 1.88-1.93 across multiple books, while Everton +0.5 is priced at 1.83-1.93. The slight preference for United to cover the spread aligns with moneyline consensus. The tight spread (-0.5) suggests a competitive match, but United's favoritism makes them the predicted cover.

Multiple books list Man United -0.5 at juice around 1.83–1.93, indicating the market expects United to win outright (covering a -0.5). Narrow spread shows some risk (one-goal games possible), but the bias favors the away side.

Grok 3
65%

Manchester United at -0.5 spread has odds ranging from 1.88 to 1.93, slightly better than Everton at +0.5 (1.83 to 1.93). This suggests a close game, but United's favoritism in moneyline odds supports their likelihood to win by at least one goal.

Manchester United is favored at -0.5 goals with odds hovering around 1.88-1.93, meaning they need to win outright. The spread market is relatively balanced (near even odds), but the juice slightly favors Man United. Given their moneyline advantage and the fact this spread requires only a one-goal margin, Manchester United should cover more often than not.

Manchester United -0.5 at odds around 1.88-1.93 represents a competitive line. The tight spread odds (near even money) indicate bookmakers expect a close match, but United's consistent favoritism suggests they're expected to win outright. The -0.5 spread simply requires a United victory, which aligns with moneyline expectations. However, Everton at home can be stubborn, keeping confidence moderate.

GLM-5
55%

The spread is set at Manchester United -0.5 with odds near even money (1.91-1.93). This effectively functions as a 'win to cover' scenario. Given that Manchester United's moneyline odds imply a higher win probability than the even odds offered on the spread, there is value in backing United to cover the -0.5 handicap. The market expectation of goals (Over 2.5 favored) also typically favors the stronger attacking side.

GPT-5
54%

United -0.5 is priced ~1.88–1.93, mirroring the moneyline edge; taking the away side to win and cover the -0.5 Asian handicap.

Moneyline

Everton +3.5 / Manchester United +1.98

100%

consensus

Manchester United wins

13 models · avg conf 71%

Everton wins (0%) Manchester United wins (100%)
0 models · avg 0% avg 71% · 13 models

Manchester United wins

Manchester United is consistently priced as the clear favorite across all moneyline odds provided, with average odds significantly lower than Everton's. This indicates a strong probability of an outright win for the away team.

Grok 3
75%

Manchester United is consistently favored across all moneyline odds (ranging from 1.91 to 1.95), indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win. Everton's odds (3.5 to 3.9) suggest they are the underdog, likely due to form or historical matchups.

Grok 4
75%

Manchester United is consistently favored across multiple moneyline odds (around 1.91-1.95), indicating a higher probability of victory over Everton, who has underdog odds (3.5-3.9).

GPT-4o
75%

Manchester United are the favorites with consistent odds around 1.91 to 1.95, indicating strong market confidence in their ability to win. Everton's odds are significantly higher, suggesting they are the underdogs in this matchup.

Manchester United has consistently lower odds, indicating a stronger likelihood of winning based on market sentiment and recent form.

Manchester United's odds consistently range from 1.91-1.95 across all sportsbooks, indicating strong market consensus. Everton's odds averaging 3.6 suggest the away team is heavily favored. Manchester United's lower odds reflect their superior betting market position and likely stronger current form or head-to-head record.

Manchester United is heavily favored with consistent odds around 1.91-1.95 across all bookmakers, implying approximately 50-52% probability. Everton's odds of 3.5-3.9 suggest only 25-28% win probability. The market consensus strongly favors an away win, which is significant given Everton's home advantage.

MU is the overwhelming favorite across the majority of markets (roughly 1.91–1.95) while Everton sits around 3.6–3.9. MU also generally performs well in away fixtures, giving them the edge.

Consensus moneyline across books places Man United as clear favorite (~1.91–1.95, ~52–53% implied), while Everton's odds (~3.5–3.9) imply a sizeable upset required. Market consensus and implied probability favor Man United to win.

The betting odds consistently favor Manchester United, with an average price around 1.92, implying a win probability of over 50%. This clear market consensus indicates they are the expected victors, despite playing away from home.

GLM-5
65%

Manchester United enters as the clear favorite with odds averaging around 1.92, implying a win probability of approximately 52%. Everton's odds hovering near 3.60 indicate they are significant underdogs. The market consistently prices United as the superior side, and despite the away fixture, their odds suggest they have the quality to secure all three points.

The odds across all bookmakers consistently favor Manchester United as clear favorites (1.91-1.95 range vs 3.5-3.9 for Everton). This implies approximately 51-52% implied probability for United. Historically, United tends to perform well at Goodison Park, and the market consensus strongly suggests they are the more likely winner in this matchup.

GPT-5
55%

Market has United a small road favorite (1.91–1.95) vs Everton (3.5–3.9), implying ~52% win probability; multiple books align with a modest away edge.

Over/Under

O/U 2.75

85%

consensus

Over

13 models · avg conf 65%

Over (85%) Under (15%)
11 models · avg 65% avg 58% · 2 models

Over

The odds for 'Over 2.5' goals are significantly lower (around 1.69-1.73) than the 'Under', indicating a strong expectation for goals. The presence of a balanced line at 2.75 goals further reinforces that the market anticipates the final score to feature three or more goals.

The odds for Over 2.5 goals are consistently lower (averaging around 1.70) compared to Under 2.5 goals (averaging around 2.06). This suggests that bookmakers anticipate a match with at least three goals scored.

The trend in betting lines suggests a higher likelihood of goals, with multiple lines favoring the over, indicating expectations for an attacking match.

Grok 4
65%

Odds for Over 2.5/2.75 are generally lower (1.69-1.93) compared to Under (2.05-1.93), pointing to a pattern expecting higher-scoring games in this matchup.

GPT-4o
65%

The odds for the over 2.5 and 2.75 goals are lower than the under, suggesting that the market expects a higher-scoring game. Manchester United's attacking capabilities contribute to this expectation.

The totals lines are set at 2.5-2.75 goals with Over consistently priced at 1.69-1.93 (shorter odds) compared to Under at 2.05-2.08. The market is leaning toward higher scoring, and Manchester United as favorites typically pushes offensive play. Premier League matches between top-half and struggling teams often see multiple goals as the underdog must attack, creating open play.

Several markets show Over 2.75 around 1.93, and both teams have the attacking capability to reach 3+ goals in a competitive Premier League clash.

GPT-5
62%

Over 2.5 is heavily shaded (1.69–1.73) and Over 2.75 is near even (1.91–1.93), indicating an expected goals tally around 2.8–2.9; lean Over.

Grok 3
60%

The odds for Over 2.5 goals (1.69 to 1.73) are generally more favorable than Under 2.5 (2.05 to 2.08), and even at Over 2.75 (1.91 to 1.93), the market leans slightly toward a higher-scoring game. This could indicate expectations of an open match or strong attacking play from Manchester United.

Totals cluster at 2.5–2.75 with Over priced more attractively in several books (over as low as 1.69–1.93). The market edge favors more than ~2.5 goals, suggesting an Over lean.

GLM-5
60%

The betting lines heavily favor the Over, with odds for Over 2.5 goals ranging from 1.69 to 1.73, which implies a probability of roughly 58-59%. Additionally, the alternative line of Over 2.75 is priced at even odds (1.91), suggesting oddsmakers anticipate at least a 3-goal game. The discrepancy between the 2.5 and 2.75 lines indicates an expectation of higher scoring, making the Over the logical play.

Under

Under 2.5 goals shows better value (averaging 2.05 odds) compared to Over 2.5 (averaging 1.71 odds), suggesting bookmakers expect a lower-scoring match. Under 2.75 shows even odds (1.91-1.93), indicating uncertainty around this threshold. The tighter odds and sportsbook positioning slightly favor the under, typical for Premier League matches involving defensive-minded teams.

The totals market shows slight value on the under, with Under 2.5 at 2.05-2.08 offering better odds than the over. Everton home matches tend to be tighter affairs, and Goodison Park can produce cagey encounters. The variation between 2.5 and 2.75 lines across books suggests uncertainty, but the pricing on Under 2.5 indicates the market leans slightly toward a lower-scoring game.

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