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NBA 2/20/2026 at 12:12 AM Live

Atlanta Hawks

@

Philadelphia 76ers

Spread

Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 / Atlanta Hawks +2.5

77%

consensus

Philadelphia 76ers covers

13 models · avg conf 63%

Philadelphia 76ers covers (77%) Atlanta Hawks covers (23%)
10 models · avg 63% avg 56% · 3 models

Philadelphia 76ers covers

The 76ers are listed as roughly -4.5 to -5 on the spread across multiple lines, and home court typically aids cover probability in this range.

The spread is largely consistent at Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 or -5. Given their strong moneyline favoritism and home court advantage, the 76ers are expected to win by a comfortable margin. While a -4.5 or -5 spread requires a solid performance, the odds suggest they are favored to cover this differential against the Hawks.

The 76ers are favored by -4.5, and given their home performance and recent form, they are likely to cover the spread against the Hawks.

The 76ers are consistently favored at -4.5 to -5.0 point spread across all books with nearly even odds (1.85-1.99), indicating market uncertainty about the exact margin. However, the persistence of this spread and home court advantage suggests the 76ers should cover the spread more often than not in their favor.

GPT-4o
65%

Philadelphia is favored by 4.5 points, with odds suggesting a reasonable probability of covering this spread. Given their expected win and previous performance against the spread, they are likely to cover.

Grok 3
60%

The spread of -4.5 to -5 for the 76ers indicates they are expected to win by at least 5 points. Given the consistent odds around 1.87 to 1.93 for the 76ers to cover, there is moderate confidence they can outperform the Hawks by this margin at home.

Grok 4
60%

The spread is stable at -4.5 for Philadelphia with balanced odds, suggesting the 76ers are expected to win by a margin that covers, based on their home advantage and recent NBA trends.

The spread has remained consistently at -4.5 for the 76ers, with one line moving to -5. This slight shift indicates that market sentiment is leaning towards the home team winning by at least five points. The 76ers are expected to control the game and secure a victory that covers this spread.

Consensus spread is -4.5 (occasionally -5). That’s a modest margin — Philadelphia is favored but not overwhelmingly. Home advantage and market skew toward the 76ers make them slightly more likely to cover, but variance (injuries/rest/late lineup news) keeps confidence moderate.

GPT-5
54%

The spread is steady at -4.5/-5 with minor juice tilt toward the 76ers at some books, implying a median margin near two possessions. Slight lean to Philadelphia to cover.

Atlanta Hawks covers

While Philadelphia is favored, the spread of -4.5 to -5 points is relatively tight. The odds are nearly even (1.87-1.93 on both sides), indicating sharp money may be split. In NBA games where favorites are in this range, underdogs often cover. The Hawks getting 4.5-5 points provides good value, especially if the game stays competitive into the fourth quarter.

GLM-5
55%

The spread has been consistent at -4.5 across most books with slight late movement to -5 at one bookmaker. This is a key number in basketball, and Atlanta getting 4.5 points offers value. The Hawks have shown ability to compete with upper-tier teams, and the slight juice variations (some books offering 1.98-1.99 on Atlanta +4.5) suggest the market respects their ability to keep games close. Road underdogs in this range cover at a decent historical rate.

While the 76ers should win, the -4.5 spread is tight for an NBA game. Most books have the Hawks +4.5 at slightly better or even odds (1.89-1.99), suggesting value on Atlanta. The Hawks have enough offensive firepower to keep games competitive, and 4.5 points provides a reasonable cushion in what projects as a single-digit margin game. One book even has the spread at -5, indicating some uncertainty about the margin.

Moneyline

Philadelphia 76ers +1.83 / Atlanta Hawks +1.91

100%

consensus

Philadelphia 76ers wins

13 models · avg conf 73%

Philadelphia 76ers wins (100%) Atlanta Hawks wins (0%)
13 models · avg 73% avg 0% · 0 models

Philadelphia 76ers wins

The Philadelphia 76ers are consistently priced as strong favorites across all listed moneyline odds, ranging from 1.5 to 1.56. This indicates a high probability of them winning the game outright against the Atlanta Hawks, whose odds are significantly higher (2.48 to 2.7).

Philadelphia is the home favorite with consistent scoring ability; the Hawks are capable but the inverse odds (around 1.53–1.56 for the 76ers) reflect stronger favored status for the home team.

Grok 3
75%

The 76ers have consistently lower moneyline odds (ranging from 1.5 to 1.56) compared to the Hawks (2.48 to 2.7), indicating strong market belief in their likelihood to win. This suggests the 76ers are the favored team, likely due to better form, home advantage, or roster strength.

Grok 4
75%

Philadelphia is consistently favored across multiple sportsbooks with moneyline odds around 1.5-1.56, indicating strong market consensus for a home win against Atlanta.

The betting market consistently favors the Philadelphia 76ers, with their moneyline odds holding steady around 1.53. This implies a win probability of approximately 65%, making them the clear and stable favorite to win the game at home.

GPT-4o
75%

The odds consistently favor the Philadelphia 76ers across various bookmakers, indicating a stronger market confidence in their win. Additionally, the home-court advantage and their current season performance contribute to this prediction.

The 76ers have a strong home-court advantage and have shown better overall performance compared to the Hawks. The betting odds favor the 76ers consistently.

Consistent odds across all sportsbooks favoring the 76ers with moneyline ranging from 1.50-1.56, implying approximately 65-67% implied probability. The consensus is clear that Philadelphia is the stronger team in this matchup. Home court advantage and superior odds consistency suggest a 76ers victory is likely.

Market consensus strongly favors the 76ers across multiple books (ML ~1.50–1.56, implied ~64–67%). Home-court edge and consistent favorite pricing indicate the market expects Philadelphia to win.

The 76ers are consistent favorites across all books with moneyline odds averaging around 1.53-1.56 (implied probability ~65%). The home court advantage and the market's clear consensus on Philadelphia suggest they have a solid edge to win outright.

The 76ers are clear favorites across all books with moneyline odds ranging from 1.50-1.56, implying roughly 64-67% win probability. Playing at home in Philadelphia gives them an additional edge. The consistent pricing across multiple sportsbooks suggests strong market confidence in the 76ers winning outright.

GLM-5
68%

Philadelphia is a solid home favorite with odds ranging from 1.50-1.56, implying approximately 65% win probability. Home court advantage in the NBA typically provides 2-3 points of edge, and the consistent pricing across multiple books indicates strong market confidence in the 76ers. The gap between the moneyline and spread odds suggests Philadelphia is the superior team in this matchup.

GPT-5
64%

Consensus pricing has Philadelphia around 1.53–1.56 at home (≈64–66% implied), consistent with a -4.5/-5 spread. Market alignment points to the 76ers as rightful favorites.

Over/Under

O/U 235.5

54%

consensus

Over

13 models · avg conf 58%

Over (54%) Under (46%)
7 models · avg 58% avg 56% · 6 models

Over

Both teams have high-scoring capabilities, and the total set at around 236.5 suggests a shootout could occur, making the over a solid prediction.

Both teams field capable offenses and the implied total around 236.5 suggests a pace and scoring environment where the over has a modest edge, barring a defensive clamp-down.

Totals cluster at 236–236.5 across books. Atlanta and Philadelphia typically generate above-average scoring/pacing, and the balanced market suggests bettor appetite for offense. Expect a game trending over the mid-230s, though injury/rest risk tempers confidence.

Grok 3
55%

The total points line is set at 236 to 236.5 with balanced odds (1.88 to 1.93 for over, 1.89 to 1.93 for under). Given the slight variation and high scoring potential of NBA games, especially with two offensively capable teams, there is a marginal lean towards the over.

The total is consistently set at 236 or 236.5, with very balanced odds for both over and under (typically around 1.91). This suggests oddsmakers see it as a close call. However, NBA scoring trends often lean towards higher totals, and both the 76ers and Hawks are capable of putting up significant points. A slight lean towards the 'over' is made, acknowledging the tight margins indicated by the balanced odds.

Grok 4
55%

Totals line at 236.5 is consistent with slight variations, and NBA games between these teams often exceed this threshold due to high-paced offenses.

GPT-5
53%

Total sits 236–236.5 with balanced juice, signaling a high-scoring projection. With a competitive spread, end-game scoring dynamics slightly favor the over.

Under

GPT-4o
60%

The total line is set relatively high at 236.5 points. Considering both teams' defensive capabilities and recent games not exceeding this total, there is a moderate likelihood for the total score to fall under.

GLM-5
58%

The total is set extremely high at 236-236.5, one of the higher lines you'll see in NBA betting. While both teams have offensive capability, such elevated totals often present value on the under. The consistent 1.91 pricing on both sides indicates a balanced market, but historically, totals above 235 have trended toward the under as the offensive efficiency required to hit these numbers is difficult to sustain for a full 48 minutes.

The total is set at 236-236.5 points with nearly perfect symmetry in odds (1.88-1.93 on both sides), indicating the market views this as a true coin flip. Slight lean toward under due to this being an early morning game (12:10 AM start), which may favor slower-paced, lower-scoring affairs. Confidence is low given the balanced odds.

The totals line is high at 236.5, and the odds are very evenly split, suggesting the market is divided. With such a high line, there is often more value on the under, as it requires exceptional offensive efficiency from both teams to be surpassed. The lack of a strong market push towards the over suggests this number may be slightly inflated.

The total has settled tightly around 236-236.5 with very balanced odds (1.91 both sides). There's slight movement toward the under in some books (1.92-1.93). This suggests a defensive-minded game or concern about pace. With a relatively low total for an NBA game and balanced odds indicating market efficiency, a slight lean to the under based on the marginal odds movement favoring it.

The total is set at 236-236.5 across books, which is a moderate-high NBA total. The evenly balanced odds (mostly 1.91 on both sides) indicate market uncertainty. Home games in Philadelphia historically trend slightly lower-scoring, and the 76ers' defensive capabilities when healthy tend to suppress scoring. The slight edge goes to the under, though this is essentially a coin flip based on the pricing.

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