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NCAA Basketball 2/20/2026 at 01:00 AM

Utah Tech Trailblazers

@

UT-Arlington Mavericks

Spread

UT-Arlington Mavericks -5 / Utah Tech Trailblazers +5

77%

consensus

UT-Arlington Mavericks covers

13 models · avg conf 59%

UT-Arlington Mavericks covers (77%) Utah Tech Trailblazers covers (23%)
10 models · avg 59% avg 54% · 3 models

UT-Arlington Mavericks covers

With UT-Arlington favored by 3.5 points at home, they are expected to win by 4 or more to cover. Home advantage and the spread being -3.5 strongly supports a Mavericks cover unless Utah Tech performs exceptionally well.

GLM-5
61%

The spread is set at -3.5, a number that suggests a competitive game but respects the home team's advantage. In conference play, home favorites of this magnitude often find ways to win the final minutes, potentially extending a close game into a 5-7 point victory, sufficient to cover the spread.

Grok 3
60%

The -3.5 spread for UT-Arlington Mavericks suggests a moderate advantage. Given the consistent odds (1.91-1.94), there is a reasonable chance they cover the spread at home against Utah Tech Trailblazers.

UT-Arlington is favored at -3.5. While the odds for both sides of the spread are balanced, the Mavericks are the home team and the clear favorite to win, suggesting they have a slight edge to cover this modest spread.

With the spread at -3.5, UT-Arlington is favored to win by a small margin. Given their home advantage and the current form of both teams, they are likely to cover the spread.

GPT-4o
60%

The consistent spread of -3.5 for UT-Arlington indicates bookmakers anticipate a close game, but still favor the Mavericks to cover. Historical performance and home advantage support this.

A -3.5 home line is small but actionable; the unanimity of the line across books suggests no sharp money against it and favors UT-Arlington to cover by a single possession, though margin is modest so confidence is moderate.

Grok 4
55%

Consistent -3.5 spread suggests Mavericks can win by more than 3.5 points, supported by home court and balanced odds.

UT-Arlington is favored by 3.5 points across all books with uniform odds (1.91-1.94), suggesting oddsmakers believe the Mavericks should win by approximately this margin. The home court advantage and consistent line placement support covering the small spread, though the tight odds indicate betting is balanced and the game could easily go either direction.

GPT-5
54%

With -3.5 widely posted and little movement, UT-Arlington’s home-court edge and late-game foul/FT dynamics support a narrow cover.

Utah Tech Trailblazers covers

In a game with a relatively small spread of 3.5 points, the underdog often holds value. Utah Tech can lose the game by a single possession (3 points or less) and still cover the spread. Given the market expects a close contest, taking the points is the percentage play.

The 3.5-point spread is relatively tight for a home favorite in college basketball. The balanced odds (1.91-1.94 on both sides) suggest no strong market consensus. In close WAC conference matchups, the underdog often keeps games within one possession. Utah Tech getting 3.5 points provides value in what should be a competitive game.

The spread is tight at -3.5 with nearly even juice across all books (1.91-1.94), suggesting sharp money hasn't moved this line. Utah Tech as a mid-major program often plays competitive games on the road. In low-profile mid-week matchups, road underdogs historically cover at a slightly higher rate. The 3.5-point spread sits right at the key number threshold, making the dog attractive.

Moneyline

UT-Arlington Mavericks +1.44 / Utah Tech Trailblazers +2.85

100%

consensus

UT-Arlington Mavericks wins

13 models · avg conf 66%

UT-Arlington Mavericks wins (100%) Utah Tech Trailblazers wins (0%)
13 models · avg 66% avg 0% · 0 models

UT-Arlington Mavericks wins

The UT-Arlington Mavericks are favored by -3.5 points on the spread, clearly indicating they are expected to win the game outright against the Utah Tech Trailblazers.

GLM-5
74%

UT-Arlington enjoys significant home-court advantage in this conference matchup. As the consistent favorite across all listed odds, they are perceived as the stronger roster. Utah Tech has historically struggled in road environments during their Division I transition period, making the home victory the most probable outcome.

Mavericks are the home favorite at -3.5 with a typical implied win probability around the 60–70% range. Home court advantage and market consensus on the favorite suggest UT-Arlington is likely to win.

Grok 3
65%

UT-Arlington Mavericks are favored with a consistent -3.5 spread across multiple betting lines, indicating bookmakers' belief in their superiority. As the home team, they likely have an edge in familiarity and crowd support.

GPT-4o
65%

UT-Arlington Mavericks are favored by the spread, suggesting they are slightly stronger. Additionally, home court advantage often plays a significant role in NCAA basketball.

UT-Arlington has home-court advantage and has performed better in recent matchups compared to Utah Tech. Their offense has shown consistency, which gives them the edge.

Grok 4
65%

Mavericks are favored at home with a -3.5 spread across multiple lines, indicating a slight edge in team strength and home advantage.

The betting market has consistently established the UT-Arlington Mavericks as the home favorite with a -3.5 point spread. This indicates a clear expectation that they will win the game outright, leveraging their home-court advantage.

UT-Arlington is favored at home with a consistent -3.5 spread across all books. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the betting market clearly favors the Mavericks. The spread indicates oddsmakers expect a close but decisive home victory.

UT-Arlington is favored by 3.5 points at home, indicating the market sees them as the stronger team. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball is significant, typically worth 3-4 points. The Mavericks playing at home with a modest spread suggests they should win outright.

Market consistently prices UT-Arlington as a 3.5-point home favorite across books, indicating the market edge lies with the Mavericks; home-court advantage and a narrow but consistent favorite signal a probable straight-up win.

GPT-5
60%

Consensus -3.5 spread at near-even juice signals a modest but clear home advantage; travel spot slightly favors UT-Arlington to win outright.

The consistent -3.5 spread across all sportsbooks indicates the market favors UT-Arlington as the home team. However, the modest spread suggests this is a relatively close matchup with no dominant favorite. The home court advantage and consistent oddsmaker consensus slightly favor UT-Arlington, but Utah Tech should be competitive.

Over/Under

O/U 140.5

54%

consensus

Under

13 models · avg conf 54%

Over (46%) Under (54%)
6 models · avg 55% avg 54% · 7 models

Over

GPT-5
56%

A 139.5 total is modest; these WAC foes project for a mid-tempo game with adequate efficiency and free-throw volume to reach the low 140s.

The total is set at 139.5 with nearly identical odds for both over and under. Without additional team-specific offensive or defensive data, it's a difficult call. However, a slight lean towards the Over is made, anticipating a competitive NCAA basketball game where both teams contribute enough scoring to push past the moderate total.

The total set at 139.5 is reasonable given both teams' offensive capabilities. Historical scoring trends suggest that this game could see a higher total than projected.

GLM-5
55%

The total is set at a moderate 139.5. Utah Tech tends to play at a faster pace, which can drive up scores, but their defense often struggles on the road. If UT-Arlington can efficiently capitalize on defensive lapses, this game should have enough scoring to barely eclipse the total.

139.5 is a mid-range total for this matchup. If both teams run pace or rely on scoring in bursts, the game could push over. The edge is modest due to uncertainties in pace and defense, but the average mid-major NCAA game often lands around this mark or slightly above.

Grok 4
52%

Totals line at 139.5 with even odds; both teams have shown scoring potential in past matchups, leaning towards a higher-scoring game.

Under

The 139.5 total is moderate for college basketball, and the perfectly balanced odds across all books (1.91-1.93) indicate uncertainty. Late-night weekday games in college basketball tend to see lower scoring due to fatigue and reduced offensive efficiency. Both teams likely emphasize defense in conference play, suggesting a grind-it-out game that stays under.

Grok 3
55%

The total points line of 139.5 is relatively high for a mid-tier NCAA basketball matchup. With odds stable at 1.91-1.93, there’s a slight lean towards the under, as both teams may prioritize defense in a competitive game.

The total of 139.5 is moderate for college basketball. Both teams are from smaller conferences where pace tends to be slower and scoring efficiency lower. Mid-major games often feature more deliberate offenses and tighter defensive games. The consistent line across all sportsbooks with balanced juice suggests the market is comfortable here, but unders have slight edge in games with less overall talent.

GPT-4o
55%

The total set at 139.5 suggests a moderately high-scoring game. However, considering potential defensive strengths and the pressure of the game, it might fall slightly under.

The total is set at 139.5 points across all sportsbooks with consistent odds (1.91-1.93), indicating balanced betting action. This is a relatively modest total for NCAA basketball, suggesting oddsmakers expect a lower-scoring, more defensive game. The slight lean to 'under' is based on the compressed total line, though this is a marginal prediction with near 50/50 probability.

The total of 139.5 is a sharp line with nearly identical odds for both the over and the under. With no strong market lean, the prediction favors the under, anticipating that a competitive game could lead to slower-paced, deliberate possessions, particularly in the second half, keeping the total score just below the line.

The market total at 139.5 is balanced across books. Without clear pace or offensive mismatch indicators and given late-season/defensive tendencies in similar matchups, lean slightly to the under but with low confidence.

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