Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Tarleton State Texans
Spread
Tarleton State Texans -5 / Southern Utah Thunderbirds +569%
consensus
Tarleton State Texans covers
13 models · avg conf 64%
Tarleton State Texans covers
With a spread of -6, Tarleton State is likely to cover the spread based on their home advantage and previous performance against Southern Utah, which has struggled on the road.
The consistent spread of -6 for Tarleton State Texans suggests confidence from bookmakers about their ability to cover this spread. Historical performance and home court advantage support this prediction.
Tarleton as the home favorite by 6 points aligns with typical outcomes where the home team covers a -6 spread, given the market odds around -110 to -115 on the spread.
Tarleton State Texans are consistently listed at -6 with odds around 1.91-1.94, suggesting they are likely to win by more than 6 points. Their home advantage further supports this prediction.
Tarleton State is favored by 6 points across all sportsbooks with consistent odds, indicating strong market agreement. However, the tight odds pricing (no significant line movement) and balanced structure suggest this could be a competitive game. The 6-point spread is modest enough that Tarleton State should cover as the home favorite, but confidence is moderate given the balanced market perception.
The line is steady at -6 for the Texans. In conference matchups like this, home favorites often perform well against the spread, particularly if they possess a defensive edge. Tarleton State should have enough control to win by a margin of 7-10 points.
While the odds for both sides of the -6 spread are nearly identical, the Tarleton State Texans are the clear favorite. If they play to their potential, they should be able to cover the modest 6-point spread at home.
The spread is consistently set at -6 for the Texans with even odds around 1.91-1.94, suggesting they are likely to cover by winning by more than 6 points, leveraging home advantage against the Thunderbirds.
Tarleton -6 is a one-possession to one-and-a-half-possession spread. Home advantage and the unified market line favor Tarleton to cover, but modest margin and typical mid-major variance reduce confidence.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds covers
The 6-point spread is relatively modest for a home favorite, and the odds are balanced at around 1.91-1.94 on both sides, suggesting no clear edge. In competitive mid-major matchups, the underdog often keeps games close. Southern Utah getting 6 points provides value, especially with no line movement indicating sharp money on either side.
The odds on the spread are nearly identical for both sides (e.g., 1.91 vs 1.91), indicating the line is considered very sharp by the market. In these tightly-lined games, taking the underdog receiving a notable number of points like +6 often holds value. Southern Utah needs to keep the game within two possessions to cover, which is a plausible outcome in a conference matchup.
Southern Utah has historically been competitive on the road in conference play. A 6-point spread is relatively large for a WAC matchup, and the identical juice across books (-110 equivalent) suggests uncertainty. Road underdogs of 5-7 points in mid-major conference games often keep it close. Taking the points with SUU provides value.
Spread holding at -6 with even juice indicates an efficient number; in a conference matchup with a moderately high total, taking Southern Utah +6 has slight value.
Moneyline
Tarleton State Texans +1.43 / Southern Utah Thunderbirds +2.86100%
consensus
Tarleton State Texans wins
13 models · avg conf 71%
Tarleton State Texans wins
Tarleton State is a -6 favorite on the spread, indicating they are strongly favored to win the game outright against Southern Utah.
Tarleton State is playing at home and is favored by 6 points across all provided lines, indicating a clear advantage. Home court advantage in NCAA basketball, combined with the consistent spread, suggests a high probability of a straight-up victory.
Tarleton State has been performing consistently well at home and has a solid record against Southern Utah. Their recent form suggests they have the upper hand in this matchup.
Tarleton State Texans are favored by 6 points according to the spread, indicating they are the stronger team. Additionally, being the home team often provides an advantage in college basketball.
Tarleton State is established as a significant 6-point favorite at home. Home-court advantage is a major factor in NCAA basketball, and a spread of this size implies a high probability of an outright win. The market has priced them as the clear superior team in this matchup.
Home-court advantage and being the favored side by 6 points suggests Tarleton State Texans are more likely to win outright despite relatively balanced spread odds.
As the home team favored by 6 points across multiple betting lines, the Texans are positioned as clear favorites to win outright, with consistent odds indicating strong market confidence in their performance.
Tarleton State Texans are favored with a -6 spread across multiple betting lines, indicating a strong market belief in their ability to win at home against Southern Utah Thunderbirds.
The 6-point spread indicates Tarleton State is a moderate favorite at home. Home court advantage in the WAC is significant, and the consistent spread across all books suggests sharp agreement on Tarleton State's edge in this matchup.
The consistent -6 spread indicates market confidence in Tarleton State as the home team. The evenly-priced odds (1.91-1.94 on both sides) suggest this is a relatively balanced matchup, but home court advantage and the spread consensus favor Tarleton State to win outright.
Tarleton State is favored at home with a -6 spread across all books, indicating clear market consensus that they should win. Home court advantage in college basketball is significant, and the betting markets show strong support for the Texans.
Home team priced -6 across markets implies solid favoritism; consistent lines suggest Tarleton is the likely winner at home.
Consensus market prices Tarleton as a clear favorite (home -6 across books). Home-court edge plus consistent lines indicate books see Tarleton as the cleaner moneyline play; absence of contrary injury/lineup info keeps confidence moderate.
Over/Under
O/U 14577%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 60%
Over
Both teams have shown the ability to score, and the total of 145.5 seems reasonable. Given their offensive capabilities, it is likely they will surpass this total.
Over 145.5 is consistently juiced (1.87–1.88) vs. under (1.95–1.97), signaling market lean to the over; expect enough possessions to push past the number.
The 'Over 145.5' consistently has slightly lower odds (1.87-1.88) compared to the 'Under 145.5' (1.95-1.97). This suggests that bookmakers perceive the 'Over' as marginally more likely to occur, or are balancing action expecting more bets on the 'Under'.
Under
Books are offering slightly better juice on the under repeatedly (under ~1.95-1.97 vs over ~1.87-1.88), indicating market money on a lower-scoring game. Mid-major conference contests often trend slower; absent pace/injury specifics, under is the lean.
The betting odds consistently show a higher price for the under (1.95-1.97) compared to the over (1.87-1.88). This indicates a market lean towards a lower-scoring contest. This sentiment aligns with Tarleton State's historical program identity, which emphasizes defense and a controlled offensive pace, both of which contribute to games staying under the total.
The totals line at 145.5 shows slightly higher odds for the under (1.95-1.97) compared to over (1.87-1.88), indicating potential value in a lower-scoring game, possibly due to defensive matchups in NCAA basketball.
The totals line is set at 145.5 with slightly better odds for the under (1.95-1.97 compared to 1.87-1.88 for over), indicating a slight market lean towards a lower-scoring game. Defensive playstyles or recent trends may contribute to this.
The odds for the under are slightly more favorable than the over, indicating a potential lean towards a lower-scoring game. Additionally, both teams have shown tendencies to engage in lower-scoring matchups historically.
The under is consistently priced higher (1.95-1.97) across all books compared to the over (1.87-1.88), indicating the market expects more action on the over but bookmakers favor the under. This reverse line movement suggests sharp money on the under. A total of 145.5 is moderate for college basketball, and defensive intensity often increases in conference games.
Projected pace and scoring for NCAA teams in this matchup suggests a total around the mid-140s; 145.5 is a modestly high mark that could tilt under if defenses tighten or shooting fluctuates.
The total of 145.5 is moderate for college basketball. The slightly higher juice on the under (1.95-1.97 vs 1.87-1.88) indicates books are seeing or expecting under money. WAC games tend to be lower-scoring affairs, and late-season conference games often feature tighter defensive schemes as teams become more familiar with opponents.
The total is set at 145.5 with slightly better odds for the Under (1.95-1.97 vs 1.87-1.88 for Over). The marginal difference in odds suggests balanced market expectations. NCAA basketball games at this level typically feature moderate scoring, and the Under's slight odds advantage combined with defensive-oriented conference play leans slightly toward the Under, though confidence is low due to the even market split.
The total is set at 145.5. Tarleton State typically relies on defensive intensity, which tends to slow down game tempo. This style of play often keeps scores lower, making the Under a slightly more favorable play despite the standard odds.