Dallas Mavericks
Minnesota Timberwolves
Spread
Minnesota Timberwolves -12 / Dallas Mavericks +1254%
consensus
Minnesota Timberwolves covers
13 models · avg conf 70%
Minnesota Timberwolves covers
Spread values show Minnesota favored by roughly 11.5–12.5 points. Home advantage and the likelihood of a double-digit win support the Wolves covering.
Minnesota is favored by a significant margin, indicating confidence that they can win by a large score differential.
Given the Timberwolves are favored by a substantial margin (-12.5), and their recent form suggests they can dominate the Mavericks, they are likely to cover the spread.
The spread is consistently set at -11.5 to -12.5 points for Minnesota, suggesting oddsmakers expect a double-digit home victory. The tight odds on both sides (1.87-1.88 vs 1.94-1.95) indicate balanced risk, but the large spread combined with home court advantage and moneyline confidence suggests Timberwolves cover.
The Timberwolves are favored to cover the spread of -11.5 to -12.5. Given the consistent odds and their favored status, they are likely to win by a substantial margin. However, the spread is quite large, so confidence is slightly lower than the moneyline prediction.
Books are pricing Minnesota at -11.5 to -12.5, indicating a sizable mismatch; while big spreads carry variance, the consensus suggests Minnesota is likely to cover given the gap in pricing and home advantage.
Spreads range from -11.5 to -12.5 for Timberwolves with odds around 1.87-1.88; slight variation in lines but consistent favoritism indicates Timberwolves likely to win by double digits, though close odds suggest moderate confidence.
Dallas Mavericks covers
While the Timberwolves are strong favorites to win, covering a significant spread of -11.5 or -12.5 in the NBA is often challenging. The Dallas Mavericks, even in a loss, have a reasonable chance to keep the final score within this margin. The slightly better odds for Dallas to cover (+11.5 at 1.95) compared to Minnesota covering (-11.5 at 1.87) suggests some market belief in the underdog against the spread.
The spread is very large at +/- 12.5 points. While the Timberwolves are expected to win, covering such a significant margin is challenging. The underdog often finds value in covering large spreads, even in a loss.
While Minnesota is heavily favored to win, the 11.5-12.5 point spread is quite large. The slight line shopping variance between 11.5 and 12.5 suggests uncertainty at these numbers. Large NBA spreads often see value on the underdog covering, especially with a competitive team like Dallas. The slightly better odds on the Mavericks spread (+1.94-1.95 vs 1.87-1.88) indicates sharper action may be leaning that way.
With a large spread (-11.5 to -12.5), underdogs historically cover slightly more often; backdoor potential in a blowout favors Dallas +12/+12.5, and pricing leans slightly to the dog.
While Minnesota should win, covering 11.5-12.5 points is a tall order in the NBA. Dallas, despite being heavy underdogs, has offensive firepower to keep games competitive. Large spreads in the NBA are historically difficult to cover, and the Mavericks getting nearly two full possessions of cushion provides value. The slight variation in spreads (11.5 vs 12.5) suggests market uncertainty about the margin.
While Minnesota is clearly the superior team, double-digit spreads are difficult to cover consistently. Dallas, even if shorthanded, should find ways to keep the margin within 12 points through garbage-time scoring or Minnesota pulling starters early in a blowout situation. The spread has moved between 11.5 and 12.5, showing some market uncertainty.
Moneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves +1.15 / Dallas Mavericks +5.5100%
consensus
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
13 models · avg conf 85%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
The Minnesota Timberwolves are overwhelming favorites with moneyline odds consistently ranging from 1.15 to 1.17, indicating a very high implied probability of victory against the Dallas Mavericks.
The moneyline odds (averaging 1.16) give the Minnesota Timberwolves an implied win probability of approximately 86%. They are overwhelmingly favored by the betting market to win the game outright.
Market strongly favors Minnesota (ML ~1.15–1.17) and lines consistently show a double‑digit edge; home court and implied roster/health advantage make Minnesota the clear favorite to win.
Minnesota is heavily favored with odds as low as 1.15, indicating an implied probability of ~87%. The large spread (-11.5 to -12.5) and short moneyline odds suggest Dallas may be dealing with significant injuries or roster issues. Home court advantage further strengthens Minnesota's position.
The Timberwolves are heavily favored across multiple moneyline odds (1.15 to 1.17), indicating strong market confidence in their victory. The Mavericks' odds (5.4 to 5.8) suggest a significant underdog status, likely due to team form, injuries, or matchup disadvantages.
The odds heavily favor the Timberwolves with a low payout on their win. They are likely the stronger team, especially at home.
The odds heavily favor Minnesota with a moneyline around 1.15-1.17, implying an 85-87% win probability. The Timberwolves are at home with significant market confidence, and the large spread indicates expected dominance. Dallas at 5.4-5.8 suggests the market sees them as major underdogs.
The Timberwolves have a strong home advantage and have been performing well in recent games, with a low moneyline indicating a high likelihood of victory.
Timberwolves are heavy favorites across all listed moneyline odds (1.15-1.17), implying an 85-87% win probability; Mavericks at 5.4-5.8 suggest a significant underdog status.
The Wolves are clear home favorites with moneyline around 1.15–1.17; Mavericks listed as long shots (~5.4–5.8). Implied probability favors Minnesota by a wide margin.
The odds heavily favor Minnesota at home (1.15-1.17 across books), implying roughly 85% win probability. The Timberwolves are significant favorites with a double-digit spread, indicating a substantial talent/form gap. Home court advantage further solidifies their position as the clear favorite in this matchup.
Market has Minnesota as a heavy home favorite (1.15–1.17 ≈ 85% implied) across multiple lines, indicating strong win likelihood.
Odds of 1.15-1.17 heavily favor the Timberwolves as home favorites. The consistent pricing across multiple sportsbooks suggests strong market conviction. Dallas at 5.4-5.8 is a significant underdog, indicating Minnesota is expected to win decisively.
Over/Under
O/U 235.562%
consensus
Under
13 models · avg conf 57%
Over
Both teams have shown the ability to score high in recent matchups. The over/under line is set at a competitive level, but the Timberwolves' offensive capabilities could push the total points over 236.5.
The totals line is set at 235.5 to 236.5 with balanced odds (1.91). Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, especially the Timberwolves, and recent NBA trends favoring high-scoring games, there is a slight lean towards the over, though confidence is moderate due to potential defensive play.
The total is set high at 235.5-236.5, with balanced odds (1.91 for both Over and Under). Given that Minnesota is expected to win comfortably and is a strong offensive team, they are likely to put up a high number of points. If Dallas can contribute enough offensively to stay somewhat competitive or if the game pace is high due to a potential blowout, the total points are likely to exceed the set line.
Both teams typically push scoring and the line sits around 235.5–236.5. With two capable offenses, the game has a reasonable chance to exceed the total.
Totals lines at 235.5-236.5 with even odds (1.91); NBA games involving high-scoring teams like these often exceed mid-230s, with minor line fluctuations supporting a slight lean to over.
Under
The total line is high, possibly overestimating the offensive output. Betting markets are often conservative on high totals, so an 'under' could be more likely.
Total lines cluster around 235.5–236.5. In a game where a heavy favorite can control pace and play more bench minutes late, combined scoring can be suppressed — leaning under the mid‑230s.
The total of 235.5-236.5 is extremely high. Minnesota has built their identity around elite defense in recent seasons, typically holding opponents well below their average. If Dallas is missing key offensive pieces (suggested by the large spread), they may struggle to contribute enough points to push this over. A blowout scenario could also lead to slower fourth-quarter pace.
The total is set at 235.5-236.5, which is moderate for modern NBA standards. Minnesota is known for their elite defense anchored by their frontcourt. With the Timberwolves likely controlling pace at home and their defensive identity, combined with potential garbage time in a blowout scenario slowing the pace, the under has slight edge here.
Totals are set at 235.5-236.5 with perfectly balanced odds (1.91 both sides), indicating genuine uncertainty. Given the Timberwolves are likely to win decisively, Dallas may play defensively and limit possessions. This slight lean toward Under reflects a potential low-scoring blowout scenario, though confidence is low due to balanced market pricing.
The total line is set very high at 236.5, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair. However, such high totals are difficult to surpass. In a potential blowout scenario, the pace could slow in the second half, favoring the under.
The total of 235.5-236.5 is relatively high, suggesting an expected fast-paced game. However, with even odds (1.91 both sides) and Minnesota likely controlling tempo as heavy favorites, they may slow the game down in the second half to protect a lead. Close spreads in blowouts often result in lower-than-expected totals as the losing team struggles offensively and the winning team manages clock.
High total (235.5–236.5) combined with a big favorite raises garbage-time/pace-down risk late; modest lean to the under at these numbers.