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NCAA Basketball 2/19/2026 at 11:30 PM

South Carolina Upstate Spartans

@

Winthrop Eagles

Spread

Winthrop Eagles -13 / South Carolina Upstate Spartans +13

69%

consensus

Winthrop Eagles covers

13 models · avg conf 72%

Winthrop Eagles covers (69%) South Carolina Upstate Spartans covers (31%)
9 models · avg 72% avg 57% · 4 models

Winthrop Eagles covers

Winthrop's extremely low moneyline suggests a dominant performance is expected. While covering a -13.5 spread can be challenging, the implied talent disparity indicates they should win comfortably by a significant margin.

The 13.5-point spread heavily favors Winthrop at home. While spreads of this magnitude can be vulnerable to backdoor covers by the underdog, Winthrop's betting odds suggest they are substantially the better team. Home teams with this level of favoritism typically cover comfortably, though there is some risk of a late-game letdown.

Winthrop is favored by 13.5 points. With home-court advantage and the large spread, they are likely to cover, though a potential late surge by the Spartans could prevent a clean margin cover.

With a spread of -13.5, Winthrop Eagles are expected to dominate the game given their strong home court advantage and the Spartans' struggles this season.

Grok 3
70%

Winthrop Eagles are favored by -13.5, which is a significant spread. Given their favored status and home court advantage, they are likely to cover, though large spreads carry some risk of underperformance.

GPT-4o
70%

Given the strong moneyline odds for Winthrop and the sizable spread, it's likely they will cover. Their past performances against similar teams suggest they can win by a substantial margin.

Winthrop getting -13.5 suggests bookmakers see a sizable mismatch. Given home advantage and likely depth/tempo control by the favorite, Winthrop has a solid chance to cover, though large spreads carry variance so confidence is lower than the moneyline.

Grok 4
65%

Winthrop -13.5 is supported by their favoritism; they are likely to win by a margin exceeding the spread against a weaker opponent.

GLM-5
58%

While the 13.5-point spread is substantial, the moneyline odds suggest a blowout is the most likely outcome. Winthrop's home-court advantage and superior offensive capabilities should allow them to pull away in the second half.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans covers

A spread of 13.5 points is substantial in college basketball. Heavily favored teams often win but fail to cover large spreads, as they may ease up once the game is in hand. There is value in taking the underdog, South Carolina Upstate, to keep the final margin within this number.

While Winthrop should win comfortably, 13.5 points is a significant spread in college basketball. Conference rivalry games tend to be competitive, and Upstate has motivation to keep it close. The even odds at 1.91 suggest uncertainty in the market. Taking the points with the underdog in a rivalry matchup offers value.

GPT-5
56%

The -13.5 is a large number in a high-total game, increasing variance and backdoor cover potential; lean to USC Upstate +13.5.

A 13.5-point spread is substantial for a conference matchup, even between mismatched teams. Big South games tend to be competitive, and SC Upstate should be motivated in a rivalry game. Large spreads in mid-major conferences often see the underdog keep it closer than expected. Taking the Spartans +13.5 offers value here.

Moneyline

Winthrop Eagles +1.08 / South Carolina Upstate Spartans +8.95

100%

consensus

Winthrop Eagles wins

13 models · avg conf 90%

Winthrop Eagles wins (100%) South Carolina Upstate Spartans wins (0%)
13 models · avg 90% avg 0% · 0 models

Winthrop Eagles wins

The moneyline odds of 1.08 for Winthrop Eagles indicate they are overwhelming favorites, implying a near-certain victory against South Carolina Upstate.

The moneyline odds of 1.08 give Winthrop an implied win probability of over 92%. The market views them as an overwhelming favorite, making them the most logical choice to win the game outright.

GLM-5
94%

The odds (1.08) indicate Winthrop is a massive favorite, reflecting a significant talent disparity. Playing at home in conference play, they are expected to dominate a struggling South Carolina Upstate side.

Winthrop's moneyline odds of 1.08 indicate they are heavily favored, and the 13.5-point spread suggests a significant home-court advantage. The stark contrast between the odds (1.08 vs 8.2) reflects a clear quality gap between the teams. Winthrop should win this game decisively.

The moneyline odds of 1.08 for Winthrop indicate they are overwhelming favorites at home. This is a Big South Conference rivalry where Winthrop has historically dominated. The 8.2 odds for Upstate suggest the market sees this as nearly a certainty for the home team.

Grok 4
92%

Winthrop is a heavy favorite at 1.08 odds, implying a strong likelihood of victory based on team strength and home advantage.

GPT-4o
90%

The odds heavily favor Winthrop Eagles, indicating a significant gap in perceived team strength. Historical performance and home advantage further bolster their chances.

Market strongly favors Winthrop (decimal 1.08 → implied probability ≈92%). Home team is heavy favorite which indicates a clear quality/depth gap; barring late injuries or surprises, Winthrop is very likely to win.

GPT-5
90%

The market price (1.08) implies a ~93% win probability, signaling a clear mismatch plus home-court edge for Winthrop.

The moneyline odds of 1.08 for Winthrop indicate an overwhelming favorite status with implied probability around 92%. Winthrop historically dominates the Big South conference and typically performs well at home. SC Upstate has struggled in conference play, making Winthrop the clear choice for the straight-up win.

Winthrop Eagles are heavily favored with a low moneyline of 1.08, indicating strong expectations for them to win against the South Carolina Upstate Spartans.

Grok 3
85%

The odds heavily favor Winthrop Eagles at 1.08, suggesting a strong likelihood of victory. This indicates market confidence in their superior team performance and home advantage.

Winthrop is the heavy favorite on the moneyline (1.08) and is the home team, implying a high probability of victory against the South Carolina Upstate Spartans.

Over/Under

O/U 157

54%

consensus

Over

13 models · avg conf 59%

Over (54%) Under (46%)
7 models · avg 59% avg 58% · 6 models

Over

GPT-4o
65%

Both teams have shown tendencies to engage in high-scoring games. The total set at 152.5 indicates expectations for a fast-paced, high-scoring match, which aligns with their offensive capabilities.

Both teams have shown the ability to score, and the total set at 152.5 suggests a high-scoring affair, making the over a reasonable expectation.

With Winthrop being such a strong favorite, it's likely they will put up a high offensive output. If they play at a decent pace, their scoring combined with some contributions from the Spartans could push the total over 152.5, despite the identical odds suggesting a balanced market.

The 152.5 total sits in a typical mid-major pace range. If Winthrop pushes tempo and both teams contribute offensively, the game could exceed 152.5; however, defense and pace fluctuations keep the outcome uncertain.

The total of 152.5 is high, indicating an expectation of a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The game script of a heavy favorite often leads to high point totals, and late-game situations in a potential blowout can add easy points to push the score over the line.

Grok 4
55%

Both teams play in a conference with moderate pacing; odds suggest a balanced line, but recent trends lean towards higher-scoring games.

GLM-5
52%

The total is set at a moderate 152.5. With Winthrop heavily favored, they will likely dictate the tempo. If they build a large lead, garbage time could accelerate scoring, but the primary driver is Winthrop's efficient offense facing a weaker defense.

Under

At 152.5, this total is moderate for college basketball. Rivalry games often feature tighter defense and lower possessions due to familiarity. Big South Conference games tend to be more defensive-oriented. With Winthrop likely controlling tempo as favorites, expect a methodical game that stays under the total.

Grok 3
60%

The total of 152.5 is relatively high for college basketball. Given that one team (Winthrop) is heavily favored, the game could be less competitive, potentially leading to a lower-scoring outcome.

Total at 152.5 is relatively high (~76 points per team). Heavy favorites often control tempo and cleanly win, which can suppress scoring late (bench minutes, clock management). With no strong market lean on totals (both sides 1.91) and limited matchup-specific data, the safer lean is under.

The total of 152.5 suggests a moderately-paced game. Both Big South teams typically play at slower tempos compared to power conferences. Winthrop's likely defensive game plan to protect a big lead, combined with SC Upstate's offensive struggles, points toward the under. Late-season conference games often feature more deliberate play.

The total of 152.5 is relatively balanced with even odds (1.91 both sides). Given that Winthrop should control the game and build an early lead, South Carolina Upstate may become forced into playing catch-up or slow-down basketball. This situational dynamic, combined with a team likely playing with reduced confidence, could suppress the overall scoring pace and total points.

GPT-5
55%

Total 152.5 is elevated; a front-running favorite can slow pace late, and if the underdog struggles to score, it drags the total down.

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