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English Premier League 3/1/2026 at 02:00 PM

Crystal Palace

@

Manchester United

Spread

Manchester United -1 / Crystal Palace +1

100%

consensus

Manchester United covers

13 models · avg conf 72%

Manchester United covers (100%) Crystal Palace covers (0%)
13 models · avg 72% avg 0% · 0 models

Manchester United covers

The spread of -0.5 for Manchester United simply requires them to win the match by any margin. As they are heavily favored on the moneyline, their likelihood of covering this minimal spread is equally high.

GPT-4o
80%

The spread is set at -0.5 for Manchester United with favorable odds, suggesting confidence in their ability to win by at least one goal.

Grok 4
80%

Manchester United -0.5 is favored at 1.56, suggesting they are likely to win outright and cover the minimal spread against a weaker away side.

With Manchester United heavily favored to win outright, they are expected to cover the -0.5 spread, which simply means winning the match by any margin. The odds of 1.56 for Man Utd -0.5 align closely with their moneyline odds.

Grok 3
75%

With a spread of -0.5 for Manchester United at odds of 1.56, the market expects them to win by at least one goal. Given their favored status and Crystal Palace's underdog odds, Manchester United is likely to cover the spread at home.

Given Manchester United's strong home record and the -0.5 spread, they are likely to win by at least one goal against Crystal Palace.

GLM-5
68%

The spread is set at Manchester United -0.5, which essentially mirrors the moneyline pick. The odds for covering the spread (1.56) suggest the market strongly expects United to secure all three points rather than settling for a draw, making the home cover the logical choice.

United -0.5 at ~1.56 implies the market expects a one-goal victory. The narrow spread reflects confidence in a home win but not a large-margin result; given the moneyline and home edge, United covering -0.5 is the probable result.

The -0.5 spread requires MU to win by at least one goal. Given MU's favored status and home advantage, a win by 1+ goal is plausible, supporting a higher likelihood of covering.

Manchester United at -0.5 spread with consistent 1.56 odds suggests sportsbooks expect a narrow home victory. The spread is minimal, reflecting competitive match expectations. United's home advantage and favored status support covering the half-goal spread, though Crystal Palace's away form could keep it competitive.

Manchester United -0.5 at 1.56 odds is essentially a win market with slight juice. The spread being set at just -0.5 goals indicates the book expects a relatively close match, but United should win outright. Given their home advantage and favorable matchup, they should cover this minimal spread.

GPT-5
62%

Manchester United -0.5 at ~1.56 mirrors the moneyline; a United win covers, aligning with the market’s strong lean to the home side.

Manchester United -0.5 at 1.56 odds essentially mirrors the moneyline, requiring only a United win to cover. While the spread offers minimal value compared to moneyline, United's home advantage and the tight spread line suggest bookmakers expect a decisive result. However, Crystal Palace has historically been a tricky opponent, which slightly tempers confidence.

Moneyline

Manchester United +1.62 / Crystal Palace +4.8

100%

consensus

Manchester United wins

13 models · avg conf 76%

Manchester United wins (100%) Crystal Palace wins (0%)
13 models · avg 76% avg 0% · 0 models

Manchester United wins

Manchester United are clear favorites according to the moneyline odds (average 1.58). Playing at home against Crystal Palace, they are strongly expected to secure a win.

Grok 4
85%

Manchester United is heavily favored with odds around 1.57-1.59, indicating strong home advantage and superior form against mid-table Crystal Palace.

The betting odds across all provided lines are consistently low for Manchester United (averaging 1.58), indicating they are the strong favorite to win the match at home. This implies a high probability of a straightforward victory.

GPT-4o
85%

Manchester United has significantly lower odds indicating strong favoritism. Historical performance and home advantage increase their likelihood of winning.

Grok 3
80%

Manchester United has significantly lower odds (around 1.57-1.59) compared to Crystal Palace (around 5.1-5.6), indicating strong market confidence in a home win. As a historically dominant team in the English Premier League, Manchester United likely has the edge in form and home advantage.

Market prices Manchester United as a strong favorite (moneyline ~1.57, implied win prob ~64%). Home advantage and superior squad depth make a United win the most likely outcome given the lines and consensus across bookmakers.

Manchester United has a strong home advantage and a higher win probability based on current betting odds and historical performance against Crystal Palace.

GLM-5
72%

Manchester United is a heavy favorite with odds hovering around 1.57-1.59, implying a win probability of roughly 63-65%. Playing at Old Trafford gives them a significant advantage against a Crystal Palace side that historically struggles against top-tier opposition away from home.

Manchester United is heavily favored at home with odds around 1.57-1.59, implying roughly 63-64% win probability. Crystal Palace's odds of 5.1-5.6 (15-18% implied probability) suggest they're significant underdogs. Home advantage and the clear market consensus support a Manchester United victory.

Manchester United is heavily favored with consistent odds around 1.57-1.59 across all sportsbooks, implying approximately 63-64% implied probability. As the home team against Crystal Palace, United should win the majority of matchups. However, the confidence is moderate rather than high due to lack of current team form data and the inherent volatility of football.

The odds heavily favor Manchester United at home (1.57 average) with implied probability around 64%. United playing at Old Trafford against Crystal Palace historically performs well, and the market consensus across all bookmakers is strongly aligned on United as clear favorites. Palace's odds of 5.1-5.6 suggest only 18-20% implied win probability.

Manchester United is the clear favorite at home based on the given odds (implied win ~63-64%). Home form and higher quality squad tilt expectations in their favor.

GPT-5
63%

Odds around 1.57–1.59 imply ~63–64% win chance; home advantage and superior talent profile favor United over Palace.

Over/Under

O/U 2.5

92%

consensus

Over

13 models · avg conf 66%

Over (92%) Under (8%)
12 models · avg 66% avg 58% · 1 model

Over

The odds for Over 2.5 goals (averaging 1.64) are significantly lower than for the Under (averaging 2.19). This suggests that the market expects a relatively open game with at least three goals, a scenario consistent with a strong home favorite securing a win.

GPT-4o
75%

The odds for over 2.5 goals are lower, indicating an expectation for a relatively high-scoring match, consistent with Manchester United's offensive strength.

Grok 3
70%

The odds for Over 2.5 goals (1.61-1.66) are more favorable than Under 2.5 (2.17-2.2), suggesting a higher likelihood of a higher-scoring game. Manchester United's attacking potential at home supports the probability of at least 3 goals in the match.

The odds for Over 2.5 goals are consistently lower (average 1.635) compared to Under 2.5 goals (average 2.185). This suggests bookmakers anticipate a match with at least three goals, likely driven by Manchester United's offensive capabilities at home.

Grok 4
65%

Over 2.5 is slightly favored at 1.61-1.66, based on Manchester United's attacking style and historical high-scoring home games.

Both teams have shown the ability to score in recent matches, making the over 2.5 total a reasonable expectation.

Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.61-1.66, suggesting the market leans toward a higher-scoring match with roughly 60% probability. Manchester United playing at home typically produces attacking football, and with their need to win decisively against lower-table opposition, this should be an open game with 3+ goals likely.

Over 2.5 is priced around 1.61 (implied ~62%), indicating the market expects 3+ goals. United’s attacking capability at home combined with Palace’s tendency to concede on the road makes 'over 2.5' the favored play.

Both teams have scoring potential; MU’s attack and Palace’s tendencies in away fixtures suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals, though the line is close and underdog value exists as well.

Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.61-1.66 (implied probability ~60-62%), indicating bookmakers expect a moderately high-scoring affair. Manchester United at home typically plays attacking football, and matches between these sides have historically featured goals. The odds differential between over (1.61) and under (2.17) shows clear market lean toward over 2.5 goals.

GLM-5
61%

The odds for Over 2.5 goals are priced between 1.61 and 1.66, indicating the market anticipates a match with multiple goals. Given United's attacking intent at home and Palace's tendency to concede on the road, a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline is a probable outcome.

GPT-5
60%

Over 2.5 is juiced (1.61–1.66), implying ~60%+; match profile suggests a 2–1 or 3–0 type result more often than not.

Under

Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.61-1.66 while Under 2.5 is at 2.17-2.2, suggesting moderate expectations for goal-scoring. The better odds on Under indicate sportsbooks expect a lower-scoring affair. This aligns with typical Premier League matches involving defensive-minded teams, though the confidence is relatively low without specific team statistics.

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